olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Pampa Energía S.A. PAM

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

64.84USD−5.36% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Pampa Energía is one of Argentina's largest integrated energy companies, active in oil and gas production, power generation and petrochemicals. Its large investment projects, such as FLNG and RDA, tied to the development of Vaca Muerta, give it long-term relevance in the Argentine economy.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Pampa Energía S.A. (PAM) stock was 64.84 USD (−5.36% on the day), with market capitalisation 88.2 bn USD, P/E 141.0 on diluted EPS of 0.46 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.01, 52-week range 64.84–92.27 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
88.2 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
141.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.46 · TTM to 31 Dec 2024
E/P (TTM)
0.71%
TTM to 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.01
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
64.8492.27

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
18.1
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
67.69 – 86.08
below the lower band · %B -0.15 · band width 23.9%
SMA 50 / 200
79.92 / 82.31
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-3.08 / -1.82
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−18.9%−2.0%−16.9 pp—
3 months−22.7%−2.2%−20.5 pp—
6 months−22.3%+4.3%−26.5 pp—
Year to date−26.7%+10.6%−37.3 pp—
1 year−25.9%+10.5%−36.3 pp−5.5%
3 years+69.1%+73.7%−4.6 pp+41.8%
5 years+258.2%+61.7%+196.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−29.7%
03 Dec 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−40.4%
10 Jan 2025 → 18 Sept 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+29.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 60 percentile of its own 5-quarter history (min 43.2, median 111.1, max 225.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920202021202220232024
Revenue2.2 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.1 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−34.0%−6.7%−19.9%+40.5%+21.3%−5.3%+8.3%
Net income286.0 m224.0 m692.0 m-367.0 m273.0 m456.0 m302.0 m619.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable−21.7%+208.9%−153.0%unavailable+67.0%−33.8%+105.0%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable0.38-0.230.190.330.220.46
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−160.5%unavailable+73.7%−33.3%+109.1%
net %13.1%15.6%51.6%-34.2%18.1%24.9%17.4%33.0%
Free cash flow-46.0 m155.0 m376.0 m569.0 m523.0 m203.0 m-183.0 m-12.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2024 · 31 Dec 2024

Cash
738.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.1 bn USD
Net debt
1.3 bn USD
Equity
3.3 bn USD
Total assets
6.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.63x
Current ratio
1.83x
ROE
21.7%
ROA
11.2%
FCF margin
-0.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2022
1.8 bn
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2022
1.1 bn
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Gross profit
2022
690.0 m
2023
625.0 m
2024
597.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Operating income
2022
631.0 m
2023
424.0 m
2024
440.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Interest expense
2022
221.0 m
2023
364.0 m
2024
185.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2022
581.0 m
2023
623.0 m
2024
498.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Income tax
2022
124.0 m
2023
318.0 m
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2024verified

Net income
2022
456.0 m
2023
302.0 m
2024
619.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2022
0.33
2023
0.22
2024
0.46

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2022
106.0 m
2023
171.0 m
2024
738.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Receivables
2022
—
2023
—
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Apr 2021verified

Inventories
2022
173.0 m
2023
205.0 m
2024
223.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Current assets
2022
1.3 bn
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2022
2.2 bn
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Total assets
2022
4.7 bn
2023
4.7 bn
2024
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Accounts payable
2022
—
2023
238.0 m
2024
253.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Short-term debt
2022
273.0 m
2023
224.0 m
2024
706.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Long-term debt
2022
1.3 bn
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Current liabilities
2022
631.0 m
2023
521.0 m
2024
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Total liabilities
2022
2.5 bn
2023
2.3 bn
2024
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Equity
2022
2.3 bn
2023
2.4 bn
2024
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2022
1.4 bn
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2022
619.0 m
2023
575.0 m
2024
435.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Capex
2022
416.0 m
2023
758.0 m
2024
447.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Free cash flow
2022
203.0 m ≈
2023
-183.0 m ≈
2024
-12.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2022
-575.0 m
2023
-446.0 m
2024
-344.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2022
-46.0 m
2023
-57.0 m
2024
476.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EBIT growth (YoY)
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net income growth (YoY)
105.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net income CAGR 3Y
31.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Net income CAGR 5Y
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EPS growth (YoY)
109.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EPS CAGR 3Y
34.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
EPS CAGR 5Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
31.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
23.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net margin
33.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF margin
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Returns

ROE
21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROA
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROIC
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROCE
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Interest coverage
2.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Quick ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Cash

Operating cash flow
435.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Capital expenditure
447.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Free cash flow
-12.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF conversion
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
70 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
88.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Enterprise value
89.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Market cap / net income TTM
142.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/E (TTM)
141.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Earnings yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
26.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/S
47.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
203.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/Sales
47.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 55.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

64.84 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 88.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
88.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/E (TTM)
141.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
26.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net margin
33.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2024
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2024
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2024
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 09 Apr 2026
verified 216

The data is older than the freshness threshold.

Score by group

55% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
5.06
USD per share
Mid
5.65
USD per share
High
6.55
USD per share
Price: 64.84 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -91.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -1,047.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.51 – 11.80 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)0.51 – 1.31 (Mid 0.82)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 143.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E9.61 – 11.80 (Mid 10.48)
    16 companies used · median multiple 22.8x · quartiles 20.9x – 25.6x
    AEP, AQN, BKH, CEG, CNP, D, ES, ETR, FE, NEE, NRG, OGE, POR, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 55.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.9%82 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality33.0%100 (vs peers)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.6%96 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth34.3%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.4x25 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation141.0x0 (vs peers)23%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Dividend yield · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet46/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth98/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality91/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Pampa Energy Inc. (PAM). Latest full fiscal year: 2024; data up to 2024-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.9 bn USD in 2024; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin 33.0%; ROE 21.8%.

The estimated value range is 5.06–6.55 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.65 USD, the price of 64.84 USD leaves a potential of -91.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -1,047.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 55.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 8.9%
  • Net margin: 33.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 7.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 34.3%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 2.4x
  • P/E (TTM): 141.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Dividend yield, Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
141.0x
vertical median 22.8x
above median (+518.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.2x
P/S
47.0x
vertical median 2.9x
above median (+1,528.8%)
P/B
26.8x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+1,231.4%)
ROE
21.8%
vertical median 8.2%
above median (+166.1%)
Net margin
33.0%
vertical median 9.0%
above median (+264.8%)
EBIT margin
23.5%
vertical median 19.5%
above median (+20.4%)
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−7.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.8x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc175.9 bn21.415.6%31.5%+9.8%−2% / +44%
SOSouthern Co105.7 bn24.011.3%14.5%+10.6%+3% / +32%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation93.3 bn25.715.3%11.1%+8.3%−28% / +118%
PAMPampa Energy Inc.88.2 bn141.021.8%33.0%+8.3%−26% / +69%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.7 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+5% / +63%
DDominion Energy, Inc58.7 bn19.810.5%16.9%+14.2%+6% / +47%
ETREntergy Corp49.9 bn27.711.1%13.6%+9.0%+12% / +115%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC46.9 bn23.043.1%11.6%+3.0%−22% / +294%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc27.8 bn26.19.6%11.4%+8.3%+6% / +50%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
ESEversource Energy26.0 bn17.99.1%10.4%+13.8%+3% / +16%
EIXEdison International22.9 bn6.320.8%19.6%+9.8%+1% / −11%
NRGNRG Energy, Inc20.2 bn24.923.8%2.6%+9.2%−43% / +101%
TLNTalen Energy Corporation15.5 bn—-16.7%-6.4%+22.0%−9% / +523%
OGEOge Energy Corp.10.4 bn22.59.6%14.0%+9.2%+11% / +44%
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners L.P.8.5 bn—-1.9%-1.1%+9.0%+8% / +25%
CWENClearway Energy, Inc.7.3 bn72.61.8%6.4%+4.2%−2% / +43%
TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.6.5 bn41.15.5%7.5%+9.9%+0% / +41%
BKHBlack Hills Corporation6.4 bn21.37.9%13.0%+8.6%+14% / +63%
ORAOrmat Technologies, Inc.5.8 bn46.35.0%10.7%+12.5%−16% / +40%
PORPortland General Electric Company5.5 bn19.76.6%7.7%+4.0%−9% / +12%
BEPCBrookfield Renewable Corporation5.4 bn—-501.4%-62.9%−10.0%−24% / +19%
OKLOOklo Inc.4.1 bn—-7.7%—unavailable−76% / +114%
AQNAlgonquin Power & Utilities Corp.3.4 bn25.63.9%7.4%+4.9%−8% / −8%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PAM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
39.10
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
69.02
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
103.83
Total return 60% · Per year 60%
3 years
40.30
Total return -38% · Per year -15%
79.84
Total return 23% · Per year 7%
131.52
Total return 103% · Per year 27%
5 years
41.55
Total return -36% · Per year -9%
92.35
Total return 42% · Per year 7%
166.61
Total return 157% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 19.96
  • Net margin± 13.97
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.14
  • Annual dilution± 1.17

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 09 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Pampa Energía is one of Argentina's largest integrated energy companies, active in oil and gas production, power generation and petrochemicals. Its large investment projects, such as FLNG and RDA, tied to the development of Vaca Muerta, give it long-term relevance in the Argentine economy. 1

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds important positions in Vaca Muerta gas production and power generation, giving it an integrated operating base.
  • Co-controlling stakes in gas and power transport add revenue and influence over essential infrastructure.
  • The integrated value chain can partly offset weakness in one segment with results from another.

Weaknesses

  • The petrochemicals segment posted an operating loss in fiscal 2025, showing the vulnerability of this division.
  • Dependence on the Argentine economy exposes the company to inflation, currency swings and fiscal policy.
  • Large projects require substantial financing, which can add pressure on the balance sheet.

Opportunities

  • The FLNG and RDA projects could monetize Vaca Muerta reserves and bring export foreign currency inflows.
  • Extending the RIGI regime to hydrocarbon activities could ease investment in new wells and infrastructure.
  • Growing power demand and renewable generation could open new contracts for the generation segment.

Threats

  • Delays in permits or project schedules could postpone expected LNG and new well revenues.
  • Changes to power sector rules or the expiry of hydroelectric concessions could reduce generation assets.
  • Volatility in oil, gas and petrochemical prices could affect profit margins.

Risks

  • Exposure to the Argentine economyhigh

    The company's activity depends on economic conditions, inflation and the exchange rate, which can change real costs and revenues.

  • Execution of large projectshigh

    The FLNG and RDA projects require very large investments and could face technical or regulatory delays.

  • Hydroelectric concessionsmedium

    Concession expiries and transition periods could affect generation assets if clear renewal terms are not reached.

  • Petrochemical divisionmedium

    The operating loss in the petrochemicals segment shows this activity can be exposed to thin margins.

  • Regulatory changeslow

    Changes to the electricity and hydrocarbon regulatory frameworks could influence tariffs and operating conditions.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Vaca Muerta output keeps rising, the company could benefit from higher volumes and export projects.
  • Stakes in gas and power infrastructure could provide steadier long-term revenue.
  • Segment integration may help the company manage economic cycles more effectively.

What would break the thesis

  • If economic instability in Argentina persists, revenues and margins could be affected.
  • Delays in the FLNG and RDA projects could postpone expected returns and raise costs.
  • If the petrochemicals division remains unprofitable, it could weigh on consolidated results.

What to watch

  • Progress of the FLNG project and start of Hilli operations2027
  • RIGI approval decision for the RDA project2026
  • Regulation of HINISA and HIDISA hydroelectric concessions2026
  • Petrochemicals segment results and marginsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 09 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Pampa Energía S.A. is a sociedad anónima incorporated in Argentina, headquartered in Buenos Aires, which emerged from a cold storage company and grew through acquisitions from 2006 onward. The company participates in the oil, gas and electricity value chains, directly or through subsidiaries and jointly controlled companies. The 2016 acquisition of Petrobras' Argentine holdings started the reorganization that produced its current structure. 1

Operations are grouped into four segments: oil and gas, generation, petrochemicals, and holding and others. The oil and gas segment includes interests in blocks across Argentina, while the generation segment runs installed capacity of 5,472 MW, about 12% of the country's total. The company also holds co-controlling stakes in TGS and Transener, major gas and high-voltage power transport operators. 1

Revenue in fiscal 2025 was weighted toward oil and gas and generation, while petrochemicals posted an operating loss. The company has also announced several large investment projects whose execution depends on economic and regulatory conditions in Argentina. 1

Segments

Oil and gas

The segment reported revenue of 862 million USD and an operating profit of 91 million USD in fiscal 2025. Combined proved reserves reach about 296 million boe, and average production in Argentina was 84.4 thousand boe per day. The company holds 9% of national gas output, and 60% of production came from the Vaca Muerta formation. 1

Generation

The generation segment recorded revenue of 792 million USD and an operating profit of 375 million USD in 2025. Installed capacity of 5,472 MW represents about 12% of the country's capacity. 1

Petrochemicals

The petrochemicals segment generated revenue of 443 million USD and an operating loss of 31 million USD in 2025. Its plants produce styrene, styrene butadiene rubber and polystyrene, with domestic market shares of 86% and 98% respectively, per company estimates. 1

Market context

Argentina's energy market grew in 2025, with electricity consumption of 141,249 GWh, up 0.7% from 2024. Installed capacity reached 44,177 MW at year end. Oil production hit 794 thousand barrels per day, the highest since 1999, led by Vaca Muerta. 1

The macroeconomic backdrop is volatile: inflation fell to 31.5% in 2025 while the exchange rate depreciated sharply against 2024. Energy markets are sensitive to tariff policy, sector regulation and the economic cycle, factors that can influence the company's margins. 1

Trends

  • Vaca Muerta developmenttailwind

    Rising oil and gas output in the Neuquina basin could support the company's volumes and revenues, particularly through gas projects and oil evacuation capacity.

  • LNG and infrastructure investmentmixed

    The FLNG and VMOS projects could open new export markets but require large capital and long execution timelines, and delays could affect returns.

  • Disinflation and exchange ratemixed

    Lower inflation could ease pressure on real costs, but exchange rate swings can affect dollar-denominated revenues and margins.

  • Power sector regulationheadwind

    Changes in the regulatory framework and the expiry of hydroelectric concessions could reduce generation assets if favorable renewal terms are not reached.

Competitive position

Pampa operates in a sector with several large players in oil and gas production, as well as in generation and transport. Its position depends on its scale, integration across the value chain and access to Vaca Muerta projects.

In petrochemicals and power generation, competition comes from local and regional companies, and plant market shares and installed capacities are key points of comparison. Detailed comparisons with each competitor are not available in the official source.

  • YPF S.A.YPF

    State-linked oil and gas company, partner in the FLNG project and active in the same Vaca Muerta formation.

  • Pan American Energy

    Major Argentine oil and gas operator, partner in the FLNG project and in the 20-year gas supply contracts.

  • Tecpetrol

    Oil company that joined the VMOS shareholder structure, competing for evacuation capacity from Vaca Muerta.

  • Harbour Energy

    International energy company involved in the FLNG project, relevant to the LNG export market.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Pampa Energía S.A. · 09 Apr 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.