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olivLaw · US equity research

Schneider National, Inc. SNDR

Trucking (No Local) · SIC 4213 · Vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

29.81USD+0.88% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Schneider National is one of North America's leading providers of truckload, intermodal and logistics services. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported operating revenues of 1568.7 million USD, and its outlook depends on how pricing and capacity balance as weaker capacity leaves the market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) stock was 29.81 USD (+0.88% on the day), with P/E 37.0 on diluted EPS of 0.81 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.27%, beta 0.99, 52-week range 20.62–38.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.6 bn USD (+9.2% YoY), net income of 49.5 m USD (+155.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
37.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.81 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.70%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.27%
DPS 12m 0.38
Beta (2y)
0.99
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
20.6238.76

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
29.02 – 32.25
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.24 · band width 10.5%
SMA 50 / 200
32.14 / 31.92
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.75 / -0.72
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−7.8%−2.0%−5.8 pp—
3 months−18.4%−2.2%−16.2 pp—
6 months−3.5%+4.3%−7.8 pp—
Year to date+12.4%+10.6%+1.8 pp—
1 year+36.0%+10.5%+25.5 pp+33.7%
3 years+34.6%+73.7%−39.0 pp−8.0%
5 years+18.0%+61.7%−43.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.6%
08 Jun 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−39.8%
29 Nov 2024 → 30 Oct 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.4%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.6 bn USD
+9.2% YoY
Net income
49.5 m USD
+155.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.28
+154.5% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 3.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Operating income42.4 m42.1 m55.0 m35.3 m36.5 m33.4 m71.4 m62.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation106.5 m113.6 m112.3 m112.9 m111.2 m110.9 m109.5 m107.7 m
Interest expense4.7 m7.8 m8.6 m9.5 m7.9 m7.0 m6.9 m-1.9 m
Pre-tax income41.2 m34.8 m47.4 m26.4 m29.4 m27.2 m65.6 m65.6 m
Income tax8.6 m8.7 m11.4 m7.0 m7.3 m6.8 m15.9 m16.1 m
Net income32.6 m26.1 m36.0 m19.4 m22.1 m20.4 m49.7 m49.5 m
Diluted EPS0.19 ≈0.150.200.110.13 ≈0.120.280.28
Operating cash flow199.5 m91.7 m175.5 m ≈184.2 m ≈186.0 m92.9 m171.4 m ≈138.9 m ≈
Capex85.9 m114.4 m69.1 m ≈128.0 m ≈40.5 m40.9 m112.8 m ≈136.6 m ≈
Dividends paid16.7 m17.0 m16.7 m ≈16.6 m ≈16.7 m17.1 m17.5 m ≈17.5 m ≈
Share repurchases08.3 m0 ≈0 ≈6.3 m5.2 m0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 84 percentile of its own 38-quarter history (min 7.5, median 19.5, max 57.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.0 bn4.7 bn4.6 bn5.6 bn6.6 bn5.5 bn5.3 bn5.7 bn
Revenue YoY+13.5%−4.6%−4.1%+23.2%+17.8%−16.7%−3.8%+7.3%
Net income268.9 m147.0 m211.7 m405.4 m457.8 m238.5 m117.0 m103.6 m
Net income YoY−31.0%−45.3%+44.0%+91.5%+12.9%−47.9%−50.9%−11.5%
Diluted EPS1.520.831.192.282.561.340.660.59
Diluted EPS YoY−33.3%−45.4%+43.4%+91.6%+12.3%−47.7%−50.7%−10.6%
net %5.4%3.1%4.6%7.2%6.9%4.3%2.2%1.8%
Free cash flow181.4 m301.0 m343.4 m166.7 m321.3 m19.9 m272.1 m285.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
201.5 m USD
Financial debt
397.0 m USD
Net debt
195.5 m USD
Equity
3.0 bn USD
Total assets
4.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.13x
Current ratio
2.13x
ROE
3.4%
ROA
2.1%
FCF margin
5.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
296.4 m
2024
165.2 m
2025
168.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
382.5 m
2024
413.7 m
2025
450.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
678.9 m ≈
2024
578.9 m ≈
2025
618.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
14.2 m
2024
16.6 m
2025
33.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
306.1 m
2024
152.2 m
2025
138.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
67.6 m
2024
35.2 m
2025
34.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
238.5 m
2024
117.0 m
2025
103.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.34
2024
0.66
2025
0.59

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
178.2 m
2024
176.1 m
2025
175.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.36
2024
0.38
2025
0.38

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
102.4 m
2024
117.6 m
2025
201.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Receivables
2023
575.7 m
2024
600.0 m
2025
578.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
117.9 m
2024
89.8 m
2025
99.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
331.7 m
2024
377.9 m
2025
337.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
56.1 m
2024
51.1 m
2025
73.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
100.0 m
2024
98.7 m
2025
8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
190.0 m
2024
416.3 m
2025
388.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
606.2 m
2024
704.5 m
2025
555.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.0 bn †
2024
3.0 bn †
2025
3.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
680.0 m
2024
686.1 m
2025
637.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
660.1 m
2024
414.0 m
2025
352.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
19.9 m ≈
2024
272.1 m ≈
2025
285.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-907.6 m
2024
-791.5 m
2025
-346.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-55.7 m
2024
120.6 m
2025
-207.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
63.6 m
2024
66.6 m
2025
67.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
66.9 m
2024
29.5 m
2025
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-39.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-38.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
10.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
47.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
63.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
589.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
330.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
258.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
182.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
91.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
37.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 60 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.81 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
37.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 1489derived 115

Score by group

  • Valuation50
  • Balance sheet88
  • Quality77
  • Growth0
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
15.62
USD per share
Mid
16.66
USD per share
High
27.11
USD per share
Price: 29.81 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -44.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -79.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.99 – 47.50 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E26.25 – 47.50 (Mid 27.59)
    6 companies used · median multiple 34.2x · quartiles 32.6x – 59.0x
    JBHT, KNX, LSTR, MRTN, ODFL, SAIA
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.99 – 6.72 (Mid 5.73)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 60/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.7%70 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality2.4%67 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality182.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-38.7%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.1x75 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet10.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation37.0x50 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns26.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet88/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality77/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial50/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.3%; net margin 2.4%; ROE 4.6%; net debt/EBITDA 0.1x.

The estimated value range is 15.62–27.11 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 16.66 USD, the price of 29.81 USD leaves a potential of -44.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -79.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 60/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 4.7%
  • FCF conversion: 182.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.1x
  • Interest coverage: 10.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 26.6%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -38.7%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.0x
vertical median 50.7x
below median (−27.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.1x
P/S
—
vertical median 1.1x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.5x
ROE
4.6%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+217.8%)
Net margin
2.4%
vertical median 0.9%
above median (+155.7%)
EBIT margin
3.4%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+169.1%)
Revenue YoY
7.3%
vertical median -2.9%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.1x
vertical median 0.5x
below median (−78.3%)
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 1.3%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.36.8 bn34.224.8%19.4%−5.5%+31% / −9%
JBHTJ.b. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.20.9 bn31.618.8%5.1%−0.7%+29% / +21%
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.10.2 bn67.22.2%1.9%+0.8%+36% / +16%
SAIASaia, Inc.9.7 bn34.310.6%8.0%+0.8%+28% / −7%
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.5.1 bn32.018.7%3.0%−1.6%+16% / −12%
ARCBArcbest Corporation3.1 bn201.51.3%0.4%−4.0%+117% / +17%
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.1.8 bn—-3.3%-1.4%−1.8%+15% / −27%
MRTNMarten Transport, Ltd.1.0 bn74.81.6%1.5%−8.3%+21% / −34%
ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.862.8 m—-15.1%-6.0%−15.6%+118% / +32%
HTLDHeartland Express Inc829.0 m—-2.8%-3.0%−23.1%+36% / −20%
PAMTPamt Corp259.3 m—-18.9%-7.1%−16.3%+38% / −34%
CVLGCovenant Logistics Group, Inc.—237.70.9%0.3%+2.9%+70% / +59%
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.—37.04.6%2.4%+7.3%+36% / +35%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SNDR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Schneider National is one of North America's leading providers of truckload, intermodal and logistics services. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported operating revenues of 1568.7 million USD 2, and its outlook depends on how pricing and capacity balance as weaker capacity leaves the market.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A multimodal portfolio offering flexible options and supporting revenue stability, backed by a balance sheet management describes as strong 1.
  • A recognized brand and proprietary digital network, including the FreightPower platform, supporting growth in logistics 1.
  • Agreements with most Class I railroads and owned containers and chassis give the company control over service quality 1.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on diesel fuel, and fuel surcharges do not always fully offset sharp price increases 1.
  • Thin margins, with the adjusted operating ratio close to the level where profitability is squeezed 1.
  • Many customer relationships lack long-term contracts, rate agreements or minimum volume guarantees 1.

Opportunities

  • A tightening market could allow higher pricing, especially in the segments under the most capacity pressure 3.
  • Expanding specialty and dedicated services under long-term contracts could deepen customer relationships 1.
  • Fleet electrification and alternative fuels could lower emissions and costs over the longer term 1.

Threats

  • Weaker demand or excess capacity could pressure rates and equipment utilization 1.
  • A shortage of drivers and rising pay could weigh on profitability and the ability to maintain the fleet 1.
  • Trade tariffs and regulatory changes could raise costs or reduce freight volumes 1.

Risks

  • Economic conditions and tariffshigh

    Lower shipping volumes or new trade tariffs could reduce rates and equipment utilization 1.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    Price competition could limit growth and profitability, especially if customers choose lower-cost offers 1.

  • Reliance on major customershigh

    The loss of a major customer, or its move to a private fleet, could materially affect revenues 1.

  • Driver shortagemedium

    A lack of qualified drivers could force higher pay or reliance on costlier third-party carriers 1.

  • Fuel pricesmedium

    Sharp diesel price increases could exceed what surcharges recover, affecting results 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The exit of non-compliant capacity could support higher pricing and margins as the market tightens 3.
  • Cost reduction and productivity actions could produce faster earnings growth if demand improves 3.
  • Digital platforms and the multimodal model could strengthen the company's long-term position against competitors 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If second-half demand weakens, new pressure on rates and equipment utilization could emerge 3.
  • Driver and third-party carrier costs could rise faster than rates, compressing margins 1.
  • Reliance on a few large customers could leave revenues exposed to the loss of one major contract 1.

What to watch

  • Pricing and equipment utilization trends in the Truckload segmentQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the 0.90-1.10 USD adjusted diluted EPS guidance2026
  • Final net capital expenditures versus the 350-400 million USD rangenext 10-K
  • Effect of trade tariffs on shipping volumes and costs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Schneider National, Inc., founded in 1935 and listed on the NYSE as SNDR 1, offers multimodal transportation and logistics solutions across the United States, Canada and Mexico. Its portfolio combines full-truckload service, intermodal rail service and asset-light logistics including brokerage and Power Only. The company operates its own tractors, trailers, containers and chassis, while also relying on third-party carriers and owner-operators to meet demand 1. Its mission and strategy stress organic growth, specialty and dedicated services, and technology and AI to improve operations 1.

Revenue is shaped by economic conditions, tariffs, diesel prices and driver availability. The company uses fuel surcharges, but these do not always fully protect it from sharp fuel price increases 1. In 2025 it applied stricter qualification rules to third-party carriers in response to cargo theft, which reduced the size of its carrier network 1.

Its adjusted operating ratio was 96.5% in fiscal 2025 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reported income from operations of 71.4 million USD 2. For 2026 management raised its adjusted diluted EPS guidance to 0.90-1.10 USD and lowered its net capital expenditure guidance to 350-400 million USD 3.

Segments

Truckload

The Truckload segment covers long-haul and regional over-the-road trucking with dry van, bulk, temperature-controlled and flatbed trailers. In the second quarter of 2026 its revenues excluding fuel surcharge were 627.6 million USD, with an operating ratio of 91.8% 2.

Logistics

The asset-light Logistics segment includes brokerage, supply chain (3PL), warehousing and import-export. In the second quarter of 2026 its revenues excluding fuel surcharge were 376.1 million USD, with an operating ratio of 96.8% 2.

Market context

The US trucking market is highly fragmented, with numerous small and mid-sized carriers, while the domestic intermodal market is dominated by three providers, including Schneider 1. The logistics market is large and growing but equally fragmented 1. Management said non-compliant capacity exited the market faster than expected, and pricing improved most where capacity is tightest 3.

Demand depends on economic activity, trade and tariff policy, and labor and equipment costs 1. The pace of price recovery could vary with second-half demand and driver availability 3.

Trends

  • Exit of non-compliant capacitytailwind

    If the exit of non-compliant carriers continues, it could support pricing and equipment utilization 3.

  • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

    Tariffs on imported goods could reduce demand or raise operating costs, and their effect is hard to predict 1.

  • Digitalization and AItailwind

    Investment in digital platforms and AI for load matching and resource optimization could support long-term productivity 1.

  • Driver shortage and labor costsmixed

    Difficulty attracting and retaining qualified drivers could raise pay and third-party carrier costs, affecting margins 1.

Competitive position

In trucking Schneider competes with thousands of dry van and specialty carriers, and in logistics with service providers, brokers and truckload carriers 1. Competition is based on service, efficiency, available capacity and, to some degree, rate 1.

In intermodal the company faces two other major providers and trucking firms offering similar services, and it relies on agreements with most Class I railroads to support its drayage model 1. Large customers may also use their own fleets, reducing available volume 1.

  • Regional and specialty truckload carriers

    Numerous small and mid-sized carriers that compete mainly on a regional basis in the fragmented trucking market 1.

  • Other intermodal service providers

    The other providers in the consolidated domestic intermodal market compete with Schneider on service and reliability 1.

  • Brokers and logistics providers

    A large and fragmented group of brokerage and logistics firms competing on digital platforms and carrier networks 1.

  • Class I railroads and LTL carriers

    Railroads and, in some cases, LTL carriers may compete for the same freight, as the company describes 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report30 Oct 2026
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report16 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report31 Jul 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report01 May 2026
  • Current report01 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Schneider National, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Schneider National, Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Schneider National, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.