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olivLaw · US equity research

Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN

Trucking (No Local) · SIC 4213 · Vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

29.34USD+2.55% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Werner Enterprises is one of the largest truckload carriers in the United States, complemented by an asset-light logistics division. The company acquired FirstFleet in January 2026, and its latest results show margins under pressure from fuel costs, with revenues above 1.7 billion USD in the first half of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) stock was 29.34 USD (+2.55% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.8 bn USD, dividend yield 1.91%, beta 0.83, 52-week range 23.15–47.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 933.9 m USD (+24.0% YoY), net income of 6.4 m USD (−85.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.8 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.77 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2.62%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.91%
DPS 12m 0.56
Beta (2y)
0.83
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
23.1547.29

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
41.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.14 – 34.25
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.39 · band width 26.8%
SMA 50 / 200
33.83 / 36.00
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.61 / -1.73
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−14.1%−2.0%−12.1 pp—
3 months−22.4%−2.2%−20.3 pp—
6 months−19.4%+4.3%−23.7 pp—
Year to date−2.2%+10.6%−12.8 pp—
1 year+11.6%+10.5%+1.1 pp+34.0%
3 years−20.5%+73.7%−94.2 pp+4.3%
5 years−36.0%+61.7%−97.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−42.6%
21 Jul 2026 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−53.2%
02 Feb 2023 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
933.9 m USD
+24.0% YoY
Net income
6.4 m USD
−85.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.11
−84.7% YoY
net / operating
0.7% / 1.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue745.7 m754.7 m712.1 m753.1 m771.5 m737.6 m808.6 m933.9 m
Operating income17.6 m13.4 m-5.8 m66.3 m-13.0 m-35.8 m4.0 m16.9 m
Interest expense11.1 m11.1 m9.5 m9.4 m9.9 m10.2 m11.7 m11.7 m
Pre-tax income8.5 m12.5 m-13.4 m59.1 m-21.9 m-44.6 m-5.9 m7.3 m
Income tax2.0 m910.0 k-3.2 m15.5 m-822.0 k-9.3 m-1.5 m2.0 m
Net income6.6 m11.9 m-10.1 m44.1 m-20.6 m-27.8 m-4.3 m6.4 m
Diluted EPS0.110.19 ≈-0.160.72-0.34-0.47 ≈-0.070.11
Operating cash flow61.0 m ≈71.0 m29.4 m46.0 m ≈44.1 m ≈62.3 m83.5 m83.8 m ≈
Capex134.5 m ≈80.8 m23.5 m88.3 m ≈52.7 m ≈85.8 m52.8 m29.0 m ≈
Dividends paid8.7 m ≈8.7 m8.7 m8.7 m ≈8.4 m ≈8.4 m8.4 m8.4 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈-17.0 k055.6 m ≈0 ≈-9.0 k——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.5 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.7 bn3.3 bn3.3 bn3.0 bn3.0 bn
Revenue YoY+16.1%+0.2%−3.7%+15.3%+20.3%−0.2%−7.7%−1.8%
Net income168.1 m166.9 m169.1 m259.1 m241.3 m112.4 m34.2 m-14.4 m
Net income YoY−17.1%−0.7%+1.3%+53.2%−6.9%−53.4%−69.5%−142.1%
Diluted EPS2.332.382.443.823.741.760.55-0.24
Diluted EPS YoY−16.8%+2.1%+2.5%+56.6%−2.1%−52.9%−68.8%−143.6%
net %6.8%6.8%7.1%9.5%7.3%3.4%1.1%-0.5%
Free cash flow-101.7 m5.9 m32.8 m-38.0 m-58.5 m-124.4 m-84.1 m-68.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
59.9 m USD
Financial debt
752.0 m USD
Net debt
692.1 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
2.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.55x
Current ratio
1.95x
ROE
-1.0%
ROA
-0.5%
FCF margin
-2.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
176.4 m
2024
66.1 m
2025
11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
33.5 m
2024
39.2 m
2025
39.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
147.8 m
2024
42.5 m
2025
-20.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
35.5 m
2024
8.9 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
112.4 m
2024
34.2 m
2025
-14.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.76
2024
0.55
2025
-0.24

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
63.7 m
2024
62.7 m
2025
60.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.55
2024
0.56
2025
0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
61.7 m
2024
40.8 m
2025
59.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
444.9 m
2024
391.7 m
2025
394.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
18.1 m
2024
14.2 m
2025
12.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
634.6 m
2024
541.8 m
2025
612.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
129.1 m
2024
129.1 m
2025
129.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
86.5 m
2024
76.4 m
2025
44.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
136.0 m
2024
112.4 m
2025
95.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.5 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
646.3 m
2024
630.0 m
2025
752.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
330.6 m
2024
355.7 m
2025
314.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.5 bn †
2025
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
474.4 m
2024
329.7 m
2025
181.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
598.8 m
2024
413.8 m
2025
250.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-124.4 m ≈
2024
-84.1 m ≈
2025
-68.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-434.9 m
2024
-241.4 m
2025
-171.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-87.1 m
2024
-105.7 m
2025
7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
34.2 m
2024
35.1 m
2025
34.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
67.1 m
2025
55.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-82.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-142.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-143.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
62.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
736.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
273.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
220.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
53.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
33.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.34 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2424derived 168

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
7.32
USD per share
Mid
10.31
USD per share
High
15.32
USD per share
Price: 29.34 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -64.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -184.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 7.28 – 20.75 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)7.28 – 20.75 (Mid 12.18)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 89.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 77%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 20.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)7.36 – 9.90 (Mid 8.44)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-1.1%30 (vs peers)19%
Net margin · Quality-1.4%25 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.3%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.6x0 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x54 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.0%38 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns62.8%82 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet22/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality28/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns49/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial38/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

WERNER ENTERPRISES, INC. (WERN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.8%; net margin -1.4%; ROE -3.3%.

The estimated value range is 7.32–15.32 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 10.31 USD, the price of 29.34 USD leaves a potential of -64.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -184.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Payout ratio (FCF): 62.8%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -1.1%
  • Net margin: -1.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.3%
  • Interest coverage: -0.6x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 37.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.1x
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−53.0%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−35.0%)
ROE
-3.3%
vertical median 1.9%
below median (−275.0%)
Net margin
-1.4%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−184.0%)
EBIT margin
-0.9%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−132.6%)
Revenue YoY
-1.8%
vertical median -2.8%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.3x
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+52.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.36.8 bn34.224.8%19.4%−5.5%+31% / −9%
JBHTJ.b. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.20.9 bn31.618.8%5.1%−0.7%+29% / +21%
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.10.2 bn67.22.2%1.9%+0.8%+36% / +16%
SAIASaia, Inc.9.7 bn34.310.6%8.0%+0.8%+28% / −7%
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.5.1 bn32.018.7%3.0%−1.6%+16% / −12%
ARCBArcbest Corporation3.1 bn201.51.3%0.4%−4.0%+117% / +17%
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.1.8 bn—-3.3%-1.4%−1.8%+12% / −21%
MRTNMarten Transport, Ltd.1.0 bn74.81.6%1.5%−8.3%+21% / −34%
ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.862.8 m—-15.1%-6.0%−15.6%+118% / +32%
HTLDHeartland Express Inc829.0 m—-2.8%-3.0%−23.1%+36% / −20%
PAMTPamt Corp259.3 m—-18.9%-7.1%−16.3%+38% / −34%
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.—37.04.6%2.4%+7.3%+32% / +29%
CVLGCovenant Logistics Group, Inc.—237.70.9%0.3%+2.9%+70% / +59%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WERN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Werner Enterprises is one of the largest truckload carriers in the United States, complemented by an asset-light logistics division. The company acquired FirstFleet in January 2026, and its latest results show margins under pressure from fuel costs, with revenues above 1.7 billion USD in the first half of 2026 2.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a modern fleet, a balance sheet described as well positioned by management, and a broad base of consumer-goods customers, providing stability in weaker economic periods.
    • Diversification across dedicated, one-way truckload and logistics offers several sources of revenue.
    • The FirstFleet acquisition adds a base of long-term dedicated contracts and a wider geographic footprint.

    Weaknesses

    • Operating margins are very thin and were close to zero in 2025 and in the third quarter of 2026.
    • Reliance on a small number of large customers makes revenues sensitive to the loss of a major contract.
    • The company holds no derivative instruments to hedge fuel price fluctuations, which increases its exposure.

    Opportunities

    • Integration of FirstFleet could generate cost synergies and expand dedicated contracts.
    • A recovery in demand for consumer nondurable goods could support volumes and rates in 2027.
    • Investment in technology and safety could differentiate the company from smaller carriers.

    Threats

    • Rising fuel costs and emissions rules could reduce margins if surcharge recovery remains partial.
    • Driver shortages and wage pressure could limit capacity and raise costs.
    • Trade uncertainty and tariff changes could reduce cross-border volumes.

    Risks

    • Fuel exposurehigh

      The company recovers only part of fuel price increases, and rapid price changes are not fully covered by surcharges, which could affect results.

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      One large customer represents a significant share of revenues, and losing it could have a material effect on operations.

    • Driver recruitmentmedium

      If the driver shortage worsens, wage costs could rise without a matching increase in rates.

    • FirstFleet integrationmedium

      Integrating a large acquisition could face operational difficulties and delay the expected benefits.

    • Insurance and regulatory riskmedium

      The company is self-insured for a significant part of claims, and reserve adjustments could affect results unexpectedly.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Revenue growth in the first half of 2026 and the FirstFleet integration could mark a recovery in volumes and margins if costs stabilize.
    • A structure of long-term dedicated contracts and a balance sheet described as solid could provide stability in harder economic periods.
    • If recovery of fuel and labor costs improves, profitability could gradually return.

    What would break the thesis

    • Operating margins are close to zero, and rapidly rising fuel costs and retention spending weighed on the third quarter of 2026.
    • If demand stays weak, more competitive rates could limit the recovery in profitability.
    • Integrating a large acquisition carries operational and financial risks, and the benefits could take longer to appear.

    What to watch

    • Third-quarter 2026 results and details on fuel and driver cost trendsQ3 2026
    • Evolution of operating margin after the FirstFleet integrationQ4 2026
    • Net capital expenditure guidance for 2027 compared with the 185 to 225 million USD range for 20262027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

    The business

    Werner Enterprises, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that transports mainly truckload shipments of general commodities in interstate and intrastate commerce, headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska 1. Its operations are organized in two reportable segments: Truckload Transportation Services (TTS), which includes Dedicated and One-Way Truckload, and Werner Logistics, which operates without its own fleet and covers truck brokerage, freight management, intermodal and final mile 1. In 2025, TTS generated 69% of operating revenues and Werner Logistics 29% 1.

    Segments

    Werner Logistics

    The Werner Logistics segment generated 29% of operating revenues in 2025 and operates without its own fleet, relying on third-party capacity providers 1. It faces more direct competition from digital brokers and intermodal operators, with an operating margin of only 0.8% in 2025 1.

    Dedicated

    Dedicated provides transportation to a specific customer, usually for a distribution center or factory, and is the most stable part of TTS because of its longer contracts 1. After the acquisition, the division also takes on the FirstFleet fleet, which could raise the weight of dedicated contracts during 2026 2.

    Market context

    The US full truckload market is fragmented, with thousands of carriers and asset-light logistics operators, and demand largely follows the economic cycle and consumer volumes 1. The market shows seasonality, with peaks in September to November and lower volumes in winter months 1.

    Rates depend on the balance between demand and available capacity: when volumes fall or capacity rises, pricing becomes more competitive 1. In 2026 the company pointed to rapidly rising fuel prices and driver recruitment investments as pressures on third-quarter results 3.

    Trends

    • Fuel costsheadwind

      Fuel rose quickly in the second half of 2026, and fuel expense grew by nearly 98% in the second quarter compared with the prior year 23. Surcharges recover most but not all of the increase, with a one-week lag 13.

    • Driver scarcity and costheadwind

      The company invested in driver retention and recruitment, and these costs were one of three factors pressuring third-quarter results 3. Better working conditions could help stabilize the fleet, but wage pressure remains a risk 1.

    • Consolidation through acquisitionsmixed

      The FirstFleet acquisition adds capacity and long-term contracts, which could stabilize revenues if integration proceeds as planned 2. Transaction costs and amortization of acquired assets weigh on short-term profitability 23.

    • Cross-border and trade demandmixed

      Cross-border trade with Mexico and Canada remains part of the business, partly protected by the USMCA, but trade tensions and tariffs add uncertainty over volumes 1. A February 2026 Supreme Court ruling on tariffs added further uncertainty 1.

    Competitive position

    Werner competes mainly with other truckload carriers in the TTS segment, and in logistics it faces digital brokers, intermodal operators, railroads and less-than-truckload carriers 1. Competition is based on service, efficiency, available capacity and, to some degree, freight rates 1.

    The company differentiates through its modern fleet, tracking technology and on-time service for consumer nondurable customers 1. Failing to invest in technology that meets market demands could place it at a competitive disadvantage 1.

    • Knight-Swift TransportationKNX

      Truckload carrier with comparable US operations in the same ground transport niche.

    • J.B. Hunt Transport ServicesJBHT

      Transport and logistics provider with truck and intermodal divisions that compete directly in logistics.

    • Schneider NationalSNDR

      Truckload carrier with dedicated and logistics activities that overlap with segments Werner serves.

    • Digital freight brokers

      Digital brokerage platforms competing with the Werner Logistics division, named in the filing as more direct competition in logistics.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 06 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report03 Nov 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report08 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report24 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report28 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Werner Enterprises, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Werner Enterprises, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Werner Enterprises, Inc. · 19 Oct 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw