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olivLaw · US equity research

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH

Trucking (No Local) · SIC 4213 · Vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

32.72USD+2.25% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Universal Logistics Holdings is a North American transportation and logistics group whose business is dominated by value-added and dedicated contract logistics, with operations in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The company is going through a difficult period: losses in intermodal and the 2025 restatement have raised questions about its resilience, while the second quarter of 2026 was largely supported by a gain on a property sale.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (ULH) stock was 32.72 USD (+2.25% on the day), with market capitalisation 862.8 m USD, dividend yield 1.28%, beta 1.36, 52-week range 12.18–32.72 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 379.3 m USD (−3.7% YoY), net income of 26.2 m USD (+214.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.99 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
862.8 m USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.48 · TTM to 04 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
-10.63%
TTM to 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
1.28%
DPS 12m 0.42
Beta (2y)
1.36
Volatility (1y) 93%
52-week range
12.1832.72

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
88.6
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.91 – 29.64
above the upper band · %B 1.15 · band width 107.5%
SMA 50 / 200
18.51 / 17.60
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.79 / 0.94
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+85.6%−1.1%+86.7 pp—
3 months+77.9%−0.5%+78.4 pp—
6 months+134.0%+4.4%+129.7 pp—
Year to date+115.4%+12.3%+103.1 pp—
1 year+102.5%+13.5%+88.9 pp+32.2%
3 years+38.9%+76.4%−37.5 pp−7.6%
5 years+52.5%+63.7%−11.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.9%
23 Apr 2026 → 12 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.7%
06 Nov 2024 → 12 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 04 Jul 2026

Revenue
379.3 m USD
−3.7% YoY
Net income
26.2 m USD
+214.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.99
+209.4% YoY
net / operating
6.9% / 11.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue426.8 m465.1 m382.4 m393.8 m396.8 m385.4 m367.6 m379.3 m
Operating income42.6 m38.3 m15.7 m19.9 m-117.4 m17.5 m4.8 m45.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation30.3 m36.4 m35.5 m36.2 m35.5 m39.1 m35.6 m33.2 m
Interest expense8.5 m11.8 m11.2 m11.6 m12.8 m13.4 m12.3 m13.1 m
Pre-tax income35.2 m27.3 m8.0 m11.2 m-126.6 m7.3 m-4.6 m34.6 m
Income tax8.7 m7.1 m2.0 m2.9 m-8.6 m3.6 m-1.1 m8.4 m
Net income26.5 m20.2 m6.0 m8.3 m-117.9 m3.7 m-3.5 m26.2 m
Diluted EPS1.010.77 ≈0.230.32-4.480.14 ≈-0.130.99
Operating cash flow6.2 m ≈59.7 m84.3 m25.7 m ≈25.9 m ≈47.1 m33.4 m40.5 m ≈
Capex65.1 m ≈40.8 m52.6 m84.3 m ≈54.5 m ≈32.9 m9.6 m13.3 m ≈
Dividends paid2.8 m ≈2.8 m2.8 m2.8 m ≈2.8 m ≈2.8 m2.8 m2.8 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈24.0 k——0 ≈0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.6 bn
Revenue YoY+20.1%+3.4%−8.0%+25.9%+15.1%−17.5%+11.1%−15.6%
Net income52.2 m37.6 m48.1 m73.7 m168.6 m92.9 m129.9 m-99.9 m
Net income YoY+85.3%−28.0%+28.1%+53.2%+128.7%−44.9%+39.8%−176.9%
Diluted EPS1.841.341.782.746.373.534.93-3.79
Diluted EPS YoY+85.9%−27.2%+32.8%+53.9%+132.5%−44.6%+39.7%−176.9%
net %3.6%2.5%3.5%4.2%8.4%5.6%7.0%-6.4%
Free cash flow28.3 m48.3 m8.6 m44.4 m96.3 m-30.3 m-139.2 m-41.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
26.8 m USD
Financial debt
797.6 m USD
Net debt
770.7 m USD
Equity
540.4 m USD
Total assets
1.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.48x
Current ratio
1.20x
ROE
-16.8%
ROA
-5.6%
FCF margin
-2.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
145.4 m
2024
203.1 m
2025
-64.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
77.0 m
2024
124.2 m
2025
146.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
222.5 m ≈
2024
327.3 m ≈
2025
81.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
24.2 m
2024
34.5 m
2025
49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
124.3 m
2024
173.7 m
2025
-100.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
31.4 m
2024
43.8 m
2025
-139.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
92.9 m
2024
129.9 m
2025
-99.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.53
2024
4.93
2025
-3.79

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
26.3 m
2024
26.3 m
2025
26.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.42
2024
0.42
2025
0.42

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
12.5 m
2024
19.4 m
2025
26.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
287.9 m
2024
293.6 m
2025
261.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
12.4 m
2024
8.3 m
2025
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
365.5 m
2024
409.8 m
2025
382.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
561.1 m
2024
742.4 m
2025
819.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
170.7 m
2024
206.8 m
2025
105.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
61.3 m
2024
150.9 m
2025
108.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
64.1 m
2024
60.0 m
2025
61.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
70.7 m
2024
88.8 m
2025
114.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
311.2 m
2024
670.3 m
2025
682.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
260.4 m
2024
304.6 m
2025
318.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
532.2 m †
2024
647.0 m †
2025
540.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
210.2 m
2024
112.4 m
2025
183.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
240.6 m
2024
251.6 m
2025
224.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-30.3 m ≈
2024
-139.2 m ≈
2025
-41.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-236.8 m
2024
-462.9 m
2025
-203.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-8.6 m
2024
365.0 m
2025
26.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
11.0 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
11.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
134.0 k
2024
107.0 k
2025
85.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-131.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-176.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-176.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
-6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
-15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROA
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROIC
-3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROCE
-3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
30.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
672.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
7.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
-1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
146.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
110.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
36.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
157.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
862.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/FCF
23.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
FCF yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 19 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

32.72 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 862.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
862.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROE
-15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
-6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 04 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 04 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 2541derived 148

Score by group

  • Balance sheet7
  • Growth0
  • Quality9
  • Returns51
  • Valuation33

Estimated value range

Low
10.49
USD per share
Mid
22.20
USD per share
High
26.77
USD per share
Price: 32.72 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -32.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -47.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.52 – 49.41 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)15.92 – 49.41 (Mid 27.56)
    WACC 7.4% · starting FCFF 80.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -1.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA10.49 – 26.77 (Mid 22.20)
    6 companies used · median multiple 13.5x · quartiles 10.2x – 14.8x
    ARCB, HTLD, JBHT, KNX, ODFL, SAIA
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)5.52 – 7.42 (Mid 6.33)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 19/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-3.2%10 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-6.0%8 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.2%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet7.2x0 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.0x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x33 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.4x17 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation4.2%53 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.3%18 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns30.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet7/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation33/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS, INC. (ULH). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-04.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -15.6%; net margin -6.0%; ROE -15.1%; net debt/EBITDA 7.2x.

The estimated value range is 10.49–26.77 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 22.20 USD, the price of 32.72 USD leaves a potential of -32.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -47.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 19/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Payout ratio (FCF): 30.2%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -3.2%
  • Net margin: -6.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 7.2x
  • Interest coverage: -1.0x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.3%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Trucking (No Local) (SIC 4213) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 37.0x
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
vertical median 13.5x
above median (+22.1%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−51.0%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−19.3%)
ROE
-15.1%
vertical median 2.2%
below median (−792.0%)
Net margin
-6.0%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−453.1%)
EBIT margin
-3.3%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−224.3%)
Revenue YoY
-15.6%
vertical median -1.7%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
7.2x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+6,226.1%)
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 1.3%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.37.0 bn32.226.0%20.1%−5.5%+33% / −8%
JBHTJ.b. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.21.2 bn31.918.8%5.1%−0.7%+31% / +23%
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.10.2 bn67.22.2%1.9%+0.8%+36% / +16%
SAIASaia, Inc.9.7 bn34.310.6%8.0%+0.8%+28% / −7%
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.5.1 bn32.018.7%3.0%−1.6%+16% / −12%
ARCBArcbest Corporation3.1 bn109.62.2%0.7%−4.0%+117% / +17%
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.1.8 bn—-3.3%-1.4%−1.8%+15% / −27%
MRTNMarten Transport, Ltd.1.0 bn74.81.6%1.5%−8.3%+21% / −34%
ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.862.8 m—-15.1%-6.0%−15.6%+102% / +39%
HTLDHeartland Express Inc829.0 m—-2.8%-3.0%−23.1%+36% / −20%
PAMTPamt Corp259.3 m—-18.9%-7.1%−16.3%+38% / −34%
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.—37.04.6%2.4%+7.3%+32% / +29%
CVLGCovenant Logistics Group, Inc.—237.70.9%0.3%+2.9%+70% / +59%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ULH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Universal Logistics Holdings is a North American transportation and logistics group whose business is dominated by value-added and dedicated contract logistics, with operations in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The company is going through a difficult period: losses in intermodal and the 2025 restatement have raised questions about its resilience, while the second quarter of 2026 was largely supported by a gain on a property sale 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has durable relationships with large customers in key industries and an integrated portfolio of services covering the whole supply chain 1.
    • The model based on agents and independent owner-operators gives flexibility in costs and reduces the need for direct investment 1.
    • The contract logistics segment showed higher revenue and margin in the second quarter of 2026, with long-term contracts providing visibility 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a single large customer in the automotive industry concentrates risk in the company's revenue 1.
    • The intermodal segment has produced repeated operating losses, and impairments in 2025 significantly reduced reported profit 13.
    • The company restated previously issued financial statements and has a material weakness in internal control, which weighs on investor confidence 1.

    Opportunities

    • Growing outsourcing of logistics functions could bring new long-term contracts in sectors such as energy, healthcare and consumer goods 1.
    • If the freight cycle recovers, the intermodal segment could return to profitability and win back part of its lost volumes 3.
    • Selective acquisitions in a fragmented market could expand the company's capabilities and geographic reach 1.

    Threats

    • A recession or a fall in automotive production could reduce volumes and pressure rates across all segments 12.
    • Volatility in diesel prices and labor costs could erode margins, especially if they cannot be passed on to customers 12.
    • Reclassification of independent owner-operators as employees could create significant wage and tax costs 1.

    Risks

    • Material weakness in internal controlhigh

      The company identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting and management concluded it was not effective as of December 31, 2025. Remediation is ongoing and there is no assurance it will be fully effective 1.

    • Restatement of financial statementshigh

      Quarterly financial statements for 2025 were restated because of an error in the goodwill impairment analysis for the intermodal segment. The restatement could attract regulatory scrutiny and lead to litigation 1.

    • Asset impairmentmedium

      The company recorded significant impairment of goodwill and customer-relationship intangibles in intermodal in 2025. If actual results of other reporting units differ from estimates, further impairments could follow 1.

    • Labor costs and unionsmedium

      The labor market is tight and a part of the workforce is unionized. Wage increases or a work stoppage could affect operations and financial results 12.

    • Fuel exposure and trade policylow

      The company does not hedge fuel price risk, and tariffs and geopolitical tensions can disrupt cross-border volumes. These factors could reduce margins if they cannot be recovered through rates 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the recovery in the freight cycle is sustained, the intermodal segment could return to profitability, and long-term contracts in contract logistics could support revenue 3.
    • The model based on agents and owner-operators could let the company grow without large equipment investments, and capturing the outsourcing trend could bring new customers 1.
    • Gains from asset sales, such as the New Jersey property, could help reduce debt and support the dividend 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If intermodal continues to lose volumes and concede rates, operating losses could persist and lead to further impairments 13.
    • The internal control weakness and the restatement could weigh on investor confidence and attract additional scrutiny 1.
    • Dependence on automotive customers and rising costs could compress margins even in a more favorable market cycle 12.

    What to watch

    • Trends in intermodal volumes and ratesQ3 2026
    • Outcome of any inquiries or litigation linked to the restatement2027
    • Debt levels and use of the revolving credit facilityQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

    The business

    Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. is a holding company whose subsidiaries provide customized transportation and logistics solutions across North America and in select international markets. The company delivers an integrated portfolio of services, including value-added logistics, dedicated, intermodal and trucking services, for customers in the automotive, industrial, retail, consumer goods, energy and metals sectors 1. It operates through three channels: a direct sales organization, a network of company-managed terminals and a nationwide network of independent agents who solicit freight directly from shippers 1.

    As of December 31, 2025, the company employed approximately 10,525 people, and a significant part of its workforce was represented by labor unions under collective bargaining agreements 1. The network of agents and owner-operators is a critical component of the operating model: in 2025 agents generated a portion of freight volume, and this flexible model reduces the need for direct equipment investment 1. Universal completed its reincorporation from Michigan to Nevada in May 2025, with no change to its business or management 1.

    The strategy relies on selective acquisitions in a fragmented industry, expansion into new verticals such as aerospace, energy and healthcare, and growth of its agent and owner-operator networks 1. Results for 2025 and the first half of 2026 show, however, that dependence on transactional transportation, especially intermodal, can quickly weigh on margins, which makes execution of the strategy a central point to watch 12.

    Market context

    The North American transportation and logistics market is highly competitive and fragmented, with competition based on service quality, reliability, price and access to capacity 1. Demand remains uneven in many sectors, particularly industrial and automotive, where production has stayed below historical levels, affecting parts of the contract logistics, intermodal and trucking services 2. Management says the freight cycle is moving in a favorable direction, but the recovery is still at an early stage and conditions continue to evolve 3.

    Elevated labor, insurance, equipment, fuel and interest costs continue to pressure margins across the sector, and large companies that depend on outsourced logistics are most exposed to economic cycles 12. In the second quarter of 2026 Universal reported weaker intermodal volumes but a recovery in trucking revenue per load, which reflects the tariff pressure that varies by segment 3.

    Trends

    • Freight cycle recoverymixed

      Management says the freight cycle is moving in a favorable direction, though the recovery is still in early stages. If demand in intermodal and the automotive sector recovers, revenues and capacity utilization could benefit 3.

    • Outsourcing of logisticstailwind

      The company expects continued outsourcing of logistics functions to support long-term growth as supply chains become more complex. This favors integrated providers with facility networks and long-standing customer relationships 1.

    • Operating cost pressureheadwind

      Labor, insurance, equipment, maintenance, fuel and interest costs rose in the first half of 2026. If these costs cannot be fully passed through in pricing, margins could remain under pressure 2.

    • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

      The business depends heavily on cross-border trade between the United States, Canada and Mexico. New tariffs, trade restrictions or geopolitical tensions could reduce volumes and freight activity 12.

    Competitive position

    Universal competes with asset-based and non-asset-based carriers, integrated logistics providers, railroads and digital freight platforms 1. Larger competitors have greater financial resources, bigger equipment fleets and more advanced technology platforms, which can put pressure on prices and margins 1. Customers that reduce their number of carriers or frequently rebid freight can amplify this pressure 1.

    The company's advantage lies in long-standing relationships with large industrial customers, facilities integrated into customer production processes and a flexible model built on independent agents and owner-operators 1. Competition in intermodal appears especially intense, as falling volumes and rates weighed on quarterly results in that area 3.

    • Asset-based truck carriers

      Carriers operating their own fleets that compete in road transportation, with greater financial resources and larger fleets as described in the annual report.

    • Integrated logistics providers

      Operators offering complete logistics solutions that compete directly with the contract logistics segment.

    • Railroads

      Indirect competition in intermodal transport, where freight can be moved by rail.

    • Digital freight platforms

      Technology-enabled brokers competing in transactional transportation and for access to capacity.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report29 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report13 Aug 2026
    • Current report31 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report26 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report14 May 2026
    • Current report01 May 2026
      Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report08 Apr 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement31 Mar 2026
    • Current report20 Mar 2026
      Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. · 16 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-04 · SEC / Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. · 31 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.