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olivLaw · US equity research

Terreno Realty Corporation TRNO

Real Estate · SIC 6500 · Vertical: Real Estate (SIC 6500)

67.99USD+2.00% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Terreno Realty Corporation is a REIT that owns and operates industrial properties in six major coastal U.S. markets, with a focus on warehouse and distribution buildings. The company reported building occupancy of 97.6% at June 30, 2026, a figure relevant to demand for logistics space in large coastal cities.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) stock was 67.99 USD (+2.00% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.5 bn USD, P/E 20.3 on diluted EPS of 3.35 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.13%, beta 0.67, 52-week range 58.01–75.08 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 132.2 m USD (+13.7% YoY), net income of 68.1 m USD (−34.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.62 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.5 bn USD
shares as of 02 Nov 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3
Diluted EPS TTM 3.35 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.92%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.13%
DPS 12m 2.13
Beta (2y)
0.67
Volatility (1y) 19%
52-week range
58.0175.08

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
63.23 – 67.38
above the upper band · %B 1.15 · band width 6.4%
SMA 50 / 200
65.52 / 65.87
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.30 / -0.06
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.5%−1.1%+6.6 pp—
3 months−2.1%−0.5%−1.6 pp—
6 months+2.9%+4.4%−1.5 pp—
Year to date+15.8%+12.3%+3.5 pp—
1 year+17.4%+13.5%+3.9 pp−12.2%
3 years+21.5%+76.4%−54.9 pp−5.4%
5 years−8.8%+63.7%−72.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.6%
16 Jul 2026 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−40.6%
31 Dec 2021 → 25 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−1.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
132.2 m USD
+13.7% YoY
Net income
68.1 m USD
−34.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.62
−38.0% YoY
net / operating
51.5% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue103.7 m110.4 m112.2 m116.2 m137.5 m124.4 m124.7 m132.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation25.9 m26.9 m28.0 m28.4 m38.3 m29.5 m29.2 m30.5 m
Interest expense5.3 m7.9 m7.0 m8.4 m9.5 m9.0 m8.3 m8.5 m
Net income76.1 m48.1 m93.3 m103.4 m158.2 m69.4 m57.6 m68.1 m
Diluted EPS0.76 ≈0.470.901.001.53 ≈0.660.540.62
Operating cash flow51.3 m61.4 m60.6 m ≈79.5 m ≈70.3 m61.9 m74.9 m ≈81.2 m ≈
Dividends paid48.9 m48.9 m50.6 m ≈50.6 m ≈53.8 m54.1 m55.3 m ≈56.3 m ≈
Share repurchases01.9 m51.0 k ≈1.3 m ≈02.3 m34.0 k ≈1.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 16 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 15.0, median 33.8, max 69.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue151.7 m171.0 m186.9 m221.9 m276.2 m323.6 m382.6 m476.4 m
Revenue YoY+14.5%+12.8%+9.3%+18.8%+24.5%+17.2%+18.2%+24.5%
Net income63.3 m55.5 m79.8 m87.3 m198.0 m151.5 m184.5 m403.0 m
Net income YoY+19.2%−12.3%+43.7%+9.3%+126.9%−23.5%+21.8%+118.4%
Diluted EPS1.090.851.161.232.611.811.923.91
Diluted EPS YoY+14.7%−22.0%+36.5%+6.0%+112.2%−30.7%+6.1%+103.6%
net %41.7%32.5%42.7%39.3%71.7%46.8%48.2%84.6%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
25.0 m USD
Financial debt
943.3 m USD
Net debt
918.3 m USD
Equity
4.1 bn USD
Total assets
5.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.23x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
10.3%
ROA
7.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
323.6 m
2024
382.6 m
2025
476.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
73.2 m
2024
93.9 m
2025
121.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
24.8 m
2024
20.9 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
151.5 m
2024
184.5 m
2025
403.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.81
2024
1.92
2025
3.91

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
83.4 m
2024
95.8 m
2025
102.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.70
2024
1.88
2025
2.02

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
165.4 m
2024
18.1 m
2025
25.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
771.6 m
2024
823.4 m
2025
943.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
990.1 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.9 bn †
2024
3.7 bn †
2025
4.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
179.7 m
2024
232.7 m
2025
271.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-570.4 m
2024
-915.5 m
2025
-452.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
528.9 m
2024
534.9 m
2025
187.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
135.9 m
2024
175.0 m
2025
203.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
1.5 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
24.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
19.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
118.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
26.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
38.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
103.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
27.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
68.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
63.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
804.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
288.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
8.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
14.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
16.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 57 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

67.99 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
68.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

17/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Nov 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1370derived 115

Score by group

  • Returns51
  • Growth100
  • Valuation43
  • Quality72

Estimated value range

Low
23.56
USD per share
Mid
32.79
USD per share
High
51.88
USD per share
Price: 67.99 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -51.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -107.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 20.58 – 68.05 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)26.54 – 35.70 (Mid 30.45)
  • Peers: P/B20.58 – 68.05 (Mid 35.14)
    19 companies used · median multiple 0.8x · quartiles 0.5x – 1.6x
    AEI, AHRT, AIRE, BEEP, CBRE, CHCI, CIGI, CMTG, CURB, CWK, FOR, FRPH, GTY, HPP, IIPR, LPA, OPI, TRC, UE
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate (SIC 6500)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 57/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality8.3%72 (vs peers)10%
EBITDA margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth19.9%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation1.6x36 (vs peers)31%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.3x60 (vs peers)14%
Dividend yield · Returns3.1%43 (vs peers)24%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns63.6%81 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial72/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation43/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 476.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 24.5%; net margin 68.1%; ROE 8.3%.

The estimated value range is 23.56–51.88 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 32.79 USD, the price of 67.99 USD leaves a potential of -51.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -107.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 57/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, quality. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROE: 8.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 19.9%
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 63.6%

What contradicts it

  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBITDA margin, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate (SIC 6500) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 31 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.3x
vertical median 30.2x
below median (−32.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 13.3x
P/S
14.5x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+574.4%)
P/B
1.6x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+78.2%)
ROE
8.3%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+548.4%)
Net margin
68.1%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+2,395.8%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 6.1%
Revenue YoY
24.5%
vertical median 7.5%
above median (+227.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.6x
Dividend yield
3.1%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−40.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CBRECbre Group, Inc.40.7 bn30.216.1%3.1%+13.4%−13% / +79%
VTMXVesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V.32.7 bn131.89.1%85.4%+12.2%+19% / −2%
TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation7.5 bn20.38.3%68.1%+24.5%+17% / +21%
FSVFirstService Corporation7.1 bn49.014.9%3.5%+5.4%−1% / −1%
CIGIColliers International Group Inc.4.0 bn48.815.7%4.0%+15.3%−32% / −5%
CURBCurbline Properties Corp.3.7 bn125.41.3%11.2%+51.3%+26% / unavailable
CWKCushman & Wakefield Ltd.3.5 bn50.53.4%0.6%+8.9%−11% / +82%
UEUrban Edge Properties2.7 bn24.67.9%22.2%+6.1%+10% / +26%
GTYGetty Realty Corp.1.9 bn17.48.9%42.4%+9.0%+1% / −2%
IIPRInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.1.6 bn12.57.6%53.2%−13.8%+14% / −31%
FORForestar Group Inc.1.3 bn7.59.6%9.9%+10.1%−2% / −18%
HPPHudson Pacific Properties, Inc.572.8 m—-19.8%-69.1%−1.3%−24% / −74%
DUOFangdd Network Group Ltd.548.5 m—-17.9%-23.9%+9.2%−68% / −96%
AHRTAh Realty Trust, Inc.500.6 m—-6.7%-18.2%+4.1%+3% / −38%
TRCTejon Ranch Co.439.9 m71.31.3%10.6%+18.4%+0% / +3%
FRPHFrp Holdings, Inc.360.7 m2,041,655.00.0%0.2%+2.6%−19% / −32%
MLPMaui Land & Pineapple Co Inc289.5 m—-16.1%-28.6%+68.2%−8% / −2%
OPIOffice Properties Income Trust285.6 m—-40.5%-73.0%−11.8%unavailable / unavailable
CMTGClaros Mortgage Trust, Inc.261.0 m—-36.5%-391.9%−24.4%−44% / −85%
CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.165.7 m6.736.4%32.2%+22.6%+46% / +352%
BEEPMobile Infrastructure Corporation100.4 m—-16.1%-67.2%−5.2%−22% / −54%
LPALogistic Properties of the Americas78.1 m7.54.3%20.9%+14.3%−27% / unavailable
OZBelpointe PREP, LLC47.6 m——-212.1%+243.4%−41% / −50%
AEIAlset Inc.21.1 m—-43.4%-951.4%−78.8%−80% / −54%
CWDCalibercos Inc.4.7 m——-117.3%−60.7%−80% / −98%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRNO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
42.51
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
74.81
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
112.22
Total return 69% · Per year 69%
3 years
50.42
Total return -17% · Per year -6%
98.94
Total return 57% · Per year 16%
161.59
Total return 153% · Per year 36%
5 years
59.81
Total return 4% · Per year 1%
130.85
Total return 116% · Per year 17%
232.69
Total return 273% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.73
  • Net margin± 17.31
  • Annual revenue growth± 12.91
  • Annual dilution± 1.45

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Terreno Realty Corporation is a REIT that owns and operates industrial properties in six major coastal U.S. markets, with a focus on warehouse and distribution buildings. The company reported building occupancy of 97.6% at June 30, 2026, a figure relevant to demand for logistics space in large coastal cities.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The portfolio is concentrated in coastal markets with high demand and limited supply, which can support rents. Building occupancy at June 30, 2026 was high 2. The financing strategy aims at a conservative balance sheet and an investment grade rating.
  • The company has a history of selling properties at attractive returns and reinvesting the capital into assets with better prospects 1.
  • Internal management and reliance on local third-party managers for day-to-day operations provide operational flexibility and access to acquisition opportunities 1.

Weaknesses

  • Geographic concentration in six coastal markets exposes the company to local economic conditions. A significant share of rent comes from New York City/Northern New Jersey 12.
  • The remaining lease term is short in some markets, which can create exposure to renewals and lower rents 2.
  • Dependence on third-party property managers for daily operations could affect service quality and cash flow 1.

Opportunities

  • Acquiring properties below replacement cost and repositioning assets could generate additional returns 1. Development projects, such as those in Miami, could add space with new rents 1.
  • If supply in target markets stays limited, re-leasing vacated space could be achieved at higher rents.
  • Selective sales of low-return assets could free capital for projects with better prospects 1.

Threats

  • A recession in the industrial sector or in local markets could reduce occupancy and rents 12. Supply chain disruptions and trade tariffs are also risks.
  • High interest rates and higher construction costs could hurt development returns and refinancing capacity 2.
  • Environmental risks, natural disasters and zoning changes could create uninsured costs or reduce property values 1.

Risks

  • Geographic concentrationhigh

    Activity is concentrated in six coastal markets, and a decline in local economies could significantly affect revenue and distributions to stockholders 1.

  • Lease renewals and re-leasingmedium

    If tenants do not renew or space is not re-leased at current rents, revenue could decline and additional tenant improvement spending could be required 1.

  • Financing and refinancing costsmedium

    A weaker credit rating or higher interest rates could make financing more expensive and limit access to capital for acquisitions 12.

  • Impairment of real estate valuesmedium

    Declining property valuations could lead to impairment charges with a direct effect on net income and financial condition 1.

  • Environmental liabilitieslow

    Costs to clean up contaminated properties or comply with environmental laws could be material and could reduce funds available for distributions 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • High portfolio occupancy and concentration in coastal markets with limited supply could support rents over the long term 12.
  • The company's history of reinvesting sale proceeds into better-returning properties could support revenue growth 1.
  • If development projects in progress are completed at estimated returns, they could add new revenue without depending solely on acquisitions 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Heavy exposure to a few markets could amplify the effect of a local recession on rents and occupancy 1.
  • High interest rates and operating costs could compress margins and limit the ability to finance new projects 2.
  • If tariffs and geopolitical tensions reduce trade activity, demand for logistics space could decline 2.

What to watch

  • Occupancy and rent trends in New York City/Northern New JerseyQ3 2026
  • Completion of projects under development and their stabilization at estimated returns2027
  • Level of financing costs and changes in credit ratingnext 10-K
  • Effect of tariffs and supply chain disruptions on tenant demandQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Terreno Realty Corporation, referred to here as Terreno, acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets: New York City/Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, the San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle and Washington, D.C. The strategy targets functional properties in infill locations that may be shared by multiple tenants 1. As of December 31, 2025 the company owned 309 buildings, about 19.8 million square feet, plus 46 improved land parcels and six properties under development or redevelopment 1. Terreno is an internally managed Maryland corporation that has been taxed as a REIT since fiscal 2010 1.

Segments

Warehouse and distribution

Warehouse and distribution buildings are the dominant segment, with about 80.5% of total annualized base rent at December 31, 2025 1 and about 80.1% at June 30, 2026 2. These are buildings typically serving tenants above 10,000 square feet, with clear heights of 18 to 36 feet and dock-high access 1.

Improved land and transshipment

Improved land, used for outdoor storage of trucks, trailers and cars, represented about 10.1% of annualized base rent at December 31, 2025 1, while transshipment represented about 6.0% 1. By June 30, 2026 the land share had fallen to about 9.5% and the transshipment share had risen to about 6.3% 2.

Market context

Terreno operates only in coastal markets with dense populations, where supply of land for industrial development is constrained by physical or regulatory factors 1. At June 30, 2026 the largest share of annualized base rent came from New York City/Northern New Jersey, about 24.3% of the total 2, followed by Miami at about 20.6% 2. The company reported annualized base rent of about 17.40 dollars per occupied square foot at the same date 2.

Trends

  • Demand for logistics space in coastal citiestailwind

    Demand for warehouses close to ports and consumer markets could support rents, particularly in markets with restricted supply such as those in which Terreno operates 1. If this demand holds, the portfolio's high occupancy could support revenue.

  • Trade and geopolitical uncertaintyheadwind

    The company notes that a decline in economic activity or supply chain disruptions caused by geopolitical changes, trade policies and tariffs could affect demand for industrial space 2. Such an effect could reduce rents or occupancy.

  • Cost of financing and capitalmixed

    Elevated interest rates and higher operating costs could affect the company's ability to finance acquisitions and development, a risk Terreno lists among the factors that could influence results 2. The company has set leverage targets, such as keeping debt and perpetual preferred below 30% of total enterprise value 1.

  • Artificial intelligence and cyber securitymixed

    The use of artificial intelligence and risks from cyber attacks are cited as factors that could affect the company's operations or those of its tenants 12. The impact depends on how these technologies are adopted and protected.

Competitive position

Terreno states that the market for industrial real estate acquisitions is highly competitive, with pension funds, banks, insurance companies, other REITs and private investors competing for similar properties 1. Competition for tenants comes from owners and managers of comparable properties, which may require free rent periods or spending on improvements 1.

  • Other REITs and real estate investment companies

    Named in the source as participants in acquiring industrial properties, without specific names in the supplied texts.

  • Pension funds and their advisors

    Institutional investors competing for the same industrial assets, according to the company.

  • Banks and insurance company investment accounts

    Investors that can provide financing or capital for acquisitions of comparable real estate assets.

  • Owners and managers of competing industrial buildings

    Compete for tenants in the same markets, which can lead to rent concessions or added investment.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Terreno Realty Corporation · 04 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Terreno Realty Corporation · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.