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olivLaw · US equity research

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. AUPH

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

17.11USD+3.32% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company that sells LUPKYNIS, the first FDA-approved oral therapy for active lupus nephritis, and is developing aritinercept, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor. Product sales grew 21% in the first half of 2026, and the company reiterated 2026 total revenue guidance of 315 to 325 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH) stock was 17.11 USD (+3.32% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.3 bn USD, P/E 7.5 on diluted EPS of 2.29 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.70, 52-week range 13.95–18.62 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 83.7 m USD (+13.9% YoY), net income of 31.7 m USD (+0.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.23 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.3 bn USD
shares as of 29 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.29 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
13.38%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.70
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
13.9518.62

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
16.06 – 17.47
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.75 · band width 8.4%
SMA 50 / 200
16.48 / 15.67
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.13 / 0.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.8%−1.1%+9.9 pp—
3 months+12.6%−0.5%+13.1 pp—
6 months+5.3%+4.4%+0.9 pp—
Year to date+7.3%+12.3%−5.0 pp—
1 year+19.9%+13.5%+6.4 pp+19.6%
3 years+107.9%+76.4%+31.5 pp+33.9%
5 years−46.5%+63.7%−110.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.8%
24 Jun 2026 → 03 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−86.9%
08 Nov 2021 → 27 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
83.7 m USD
+13.9% YoY
Net income
31.7 m USD
+0.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.23
0.0% YoY
net / operating
37.9% / 42.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue59.9 m62.5 m70.0 m73.5 m77.1 m77.7 m83.2 m83.7 m
Cost of revenue5.6 m8.6 m7.1 m8.2 m8.8 m6.5 m6.6 m8.3 m
Research & development8.1 m5.7 m7.4 m8.4 m10.9 m7.5 m13.1 m16.6 m
Operating income-1.7 m21.8 m20.1 m29.7 m33.2 m41.4 m46.3 m35.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.9 m4.9 m4.9 m ≈4.9 m ≈4.9 m4.8 m4.8 m ≈4.8 m ≈
Interest expense1.1 m1.1 m1.1 m1.1 m1.0 m1.0 m948.0 k867.0 k
Pre-tax income1.2 m24.3 m22.2 m32.0 m35.7 m43.9 m48.8 m38.7 m
Income tax-256.0 k1.0 m643.0 k411.0 k-175.1 m9.6 m11.4 m7.0 m
Net income1.4 m23.3 m21.5 m31.6 m210.8 m34.4 m37.4 m31.7 m
Diluted EPS0.010.160.160.231.530.250.280.23
Operating cash flow30.1 m1.3 m44.2 m ≈44.4 m ≈45.7 m32.6 m52.6 m ≈46.4 m ≈
Share repurchases21.8 m46.9 m42.6 m ≈8.7 m ≈036.2 m38.7 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 38 percentile of its own 8-quarter history (min 6.8, median 13.7, max 179.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue463.0 k318.0 k50.1 m45.6 m134.0 m175.5 m235.1 m283.1 m
Revenue YoY+10.8%−31.3%+15,660.4%−9.0%+193.9%+31.0%+34.0%+20.4%
Net income-53.1 m-88.4 m-102.7 m-181.0 m-108.2 m-78.0 m5.8 m287.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+4,893.1%
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.95-0.87-1.40-0.76-0.540.042.07
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+5,075.0%
net %-11,464.1%-27,794.0%-204.9%-396.8%-80.7%-44.5%2.4%101.5%
Free cash flow-51.6 m-63.7 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
80.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
581.3 m USD
Total assets
751.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
5.25x
ROE
59.9%
ROA
44.1%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
175.5 m
2024
235.1 m
2025
283.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
14.1 m
2024
28.2 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
161.4 m ≈
2024
206.9 m ≈
2025
250.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
49.6 m
2024
20.8 m
2025
32.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
195.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2024verified

Operating income
2023
-91.7 m
2024
-4.7 m
2025
104.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
11.6 m
2024
19.4 m
2025
19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-80.0 m ≈
2024
14.8 m ≈
2025
124.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
2.8 m
2024
4.8 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-77.5 m
2024
7.4 m
2025
114.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
551.0 k
2024
1.7 m
2025
-173.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-78.0 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
287.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.54
2024
0.04
2025
2.07

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
143.2 m
2024
146.2 m
2025
138.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
48.8 m
2024
83.4 m
2025
80.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
39.7 m
2024
39.2 m
2025
45.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
424.8 m
2024
446.6 m
2025
492.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.4 m
2024
2.7 m
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
5.0 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
548.1 m
2024
550.6 m
2025
751.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.3 m
2024
5.2 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
77.2 m
2024
97.8 m
2025
93.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
170.1 m
2024
173.2 m
2025
170.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
378.0 m †
2024
377.5 m †
2025
581.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-33.5 m
2024
44.4 m
2025
135.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-6.7 m
2024
39.3 m
2025
-32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-5.1 m
2024
-49.1 m
2025
-106.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
40.2 m
2025
98.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
20.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
41.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
4,893.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
5,075.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
90.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
54.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
48.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
97.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
61.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
46.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
21.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
40.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
177.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
100.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
536 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

17.11 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
61.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
97.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
20.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 1013derived 51

Score by group

42% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
40.33
USD per share
Mid
52.58
USD per share
High
99.43
USD per share
Price: 17.11 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 207.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 67.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 40.33 – 99.43 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E40.33 – 99.43 (Mid 52.58)
    15 companies used · median multiple 23.0x · quartiles 17.6x – 43.4x
    ABBV, ABT, ALNY, BMY, JNJ, LAB, LLY, PBYI, PFE, REGN, RPRX, TGTX, UTHR, VRTX, ZTS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality97.7%97 (vs peers)15%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth28.3%100 (on a fixed band)20%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet40.4x100 (on a fixed band)15%
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.1x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation7.5x94 (vs peers)25%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.3%47 (on a fixed band)15%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial97/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial47/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial94/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 283.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 20.4%; net margin 97.7%; ROE 61.4%.

The estimated value range is 40.33–99.43 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 52.58 USD, the price of 17.11 USD leaves a potential of 207.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 67.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 97.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 28.3%
  • Interest coverage: 40.4x
  • Current ratio: 6.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 7.5x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
7.5x
vertical median 38.6x
below median (−80.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 25.4x
P/S
7.1x
vertical median 6.7x
above median (+6.4%)
P/B
3.5x
vertical median 4.1x
below median (−15.6%)
ROE
61.4%
vertical median -6.2%
above median
Net margin
97.7%
vertical median 3.6%
above median (+2,594.5%)
EBIT margin
48.6%
vertical median -8.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
20.4%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+237.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,334.0 bn46.086.1%31.9%+44.7%+32% / +140%
JNJJohnson & Johnson665.2 bn41.920.0%16.2%+6.0%+34% / +79%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.558.4 bn869.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+11% / +102%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.521.1 bn50.7—15.7%+8.6%+29% / +107%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.370.7 bn154.75.1%3.6%+1.3%+43% / +47%
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+20% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.8 bn97.46.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +326%
ZTSZoetis Inc.36.9 bn14.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−30% / −50%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.27.6 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+84% / +300%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc26.2 bn47.76.9%25.7%+5.1%+69% / +150%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.9 bn23.019.1%38.6%+10.6%+25% / +154%
INSMInsmed Inc24.1 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−47% / +340%
VTRSViatris Inc.22.1 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+80% / +109%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.6 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−64% / −4%
TGTXTg Therapeutics, Inc.9.4 bn22.5100.3%55.2%+87.3%+85% / +381%
BLRXBioLineRx Ltd4.9 bn—-12.8%-171.7%−95.9%−46% / −97%
AUPHAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.2.3 bn7.561.4%97.7%+20.4%+20% / +108%
AGIOAgios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.1.9 bn—-34.3%-418.2%+48.0%+7% / +41%
SLSSELLAS Life Sciences Group, Inc.1.8 bn—-39.6%—−100.0%+464% / +779%
SVRASavara Inc957.4 m—-105.5%—unavailable−26% / +21%
PBYIPuma Biotechnology, Inc.551.8 m20.522.0%11.6%−0.9%+112% / +174%
STTKShattuck Labs, Inc.516.9 m—-39.2%-5,256.8%−82.5%+145% / +163%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AUPH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
11.45
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
20.15
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
30.23
Total return 77% · Per year 77%
3 years
13.58
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
26.65
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
43.53
Total return 154% · Per year 37%
5 years
16.11
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
35.25
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
62.68
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.66
  • Net margin± 4.66
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.48
  • Annual dilution± 0.39

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

In brief

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company that sells LUPKYNIS, the first FDA-approved oral therapy for active lupus nephritis, and is developing aritinercept, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor. Product sales grew 21% in the first half of 2026, and the company reiterated 2026 total revenue guidance of 315 to 325 million USD 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A unique oral product approved for active lupus nephritis, with a high gross margin and steady sales growth 12.
  • A solid cash position, with growing cash and investments and strong operating cash flow 123.
  • A development platform with aritinercept, a candidate in four potential indications, which diversifies the portfolio 2.

Weaknesses

  • Very heavy dependence on a single product, LUPKYNIS, for nearly all sales revenue 1.
  • Licensing and collaboration revenue is volatile and depends on meeting contractual obligations to Otsuka 12.
  • Research costs have risen and aritinercept does not yet generate revenue, so profitability depends on LUPKYNIS 1.

Opportunities

  • The ACR guideline on early treatment could expand adoption of the therapy among patients with lupus nephritis 1.
  • The PRESERVE study, which combines LUPKYNIS with other biologics, could widen use of the product if results are favourable 2.
  • Developing aritinercept across several autoimmune diseases could open markets beyond lupus nephritis 23.

Threats

  • Generic entry could reduce sales if the 2037 patents are invalidated in litigation 1.
  • Pressure from payors and government reimbursement programmes could limit prices and margins 1.
  • Competition from injectable therapies and dual BAFF/APRIL candidates could reduce market share 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on a single producthigh

    The company's success depends almost entirely on LUPKYNIS, so any slowdown in sales would directly affect results 1.

  • Patent litigationhigh

    Paragraph IV notices from several generic companies challenge the patents protecting the product until 2037 1.

  • Pricing pressuremedium

    Mandatory discounts and rebates to government programmes and private payors could reduce net revenue 1.

  • Product liability exposuremedium

    Serious adverse reactions and gravely ill patients could lead to lawsuits that affect reputation and finances 1.

  • Reliance on Otsukalow

    Revenue from the Otsuka territories depends on meeting supply obligations and on the partner's commercial success 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If LUPKYNIS sales growth continues and 2026 guidance is met, the company could strengthen profitability and fund aritinercept development 23.
  • High gross margin and strong operating cash flow provide flexibility for buybacks and investment 12.
  • The ACR guideline and ongoing studies could expand the market for LUPKYNIS if clinical evidence holds 12.

What would break the thesis

  • If patent litigation is lost, generic entry could significantly reduce sales before 2037 1.
  • Dependence on a single product makes the company vulnerable to changes in clinical practice or pricing pressure 1.
  • Research and development costs are rising, and aritinercept is still early-stage with a high risk of failure 12.

What to watch

  • Delivery of 2026 net product sales guidance2026
  • First data from the PRESERVE study2027
  • Progress of aritinercept studies in new indicationsQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

The business

Aurinia focuses on therapies for people with autoimmune diseases that have high unmet medical needs. Its main product, LUPKYNIS (voclosporin), is sold directly in the United States through its own commercial organization and through partner Otsuka for Europe and Japan 1. The company also has aritinercept in clinical development 12.

In fiscal 2025 net product sales were 271.3 million USD and total revenue was 283.1 million USD 1. Figures for the first half of 2026 show continued growth, with total revenue of 160.9 million USD 3.

The financial position strengthened: at June 30, 2026 the company held cash and investments of 443.1 million USD, and it repurchased shares in 2025 123. This gives flexibility to develop aritinercept if LUPKYNIS sales growth continues.

Segments

LUPKYNIS

LUPKYNIS is the only oral therapy approved by the FDA for active lupus nephritis in adults and accounts for nearly all product sales 1. In the first half of 2026 net product sales rose 21% over the same period of 2025 2.

Aritinercept

Aritinercept is a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor in development for autoimmune diseases, and the company has started clinical development in four potential indications 23. It does not yet contribute revenue, and its success depends on clinical study results.

Licensing and Otsuka collaboration

License, collaboration and royalty revenue comes from the Otsuka agreement for voclosporin in Japan and Europe, along with manufacturing services provided through the Lonza Monoplant 12. This segment is smaller than direct sales but grew in the first half of 2026 2.

Market context

Competition includes BENLYSTA and GAZYVA, which are also approved for lupus nephritis, as well as off-label treatment with MMF and corticosteroids 1. Over the longer term, generic entry could change the market if the 2037 patents do not withstand challenges 1.

Trends

  • Growing LUPKYNIS penetrationtailwind

    Rising cartons sold to specialty pharmacies suggest ongoing adoption of the therapy 12. If this pace holds, it could support the 2026 guidance 3.

  • ACR guideline on early treatmenttailwind

    The November 2024 ACR guideline update stresses early and aggressive treatment to preserve kidney function 1. This may favour therapies that reduce proteinuria quickly.

  • Generic patent litigationheadwind

    Several companies have filed ANDAs for generic versions, and the company has sued each of them for patent infringement 1. The outcome could determine when generic entry in the U.S. occurs.

  • Pricing and reimbursement pressuremixed

    Third-party payors and government programmes demand discounts from list prices, and policy changes can affect net sales 1. This factor is mixed: it could limit growth but also supports access to treatment.

Competitive position

LUPKYNIS is the only oral therapy approved for lupus nephritis, but it competes with the injectables BENLYSTA and GAZYVA and with off-label MMF and corticosteroid treatment, possibly with tacrolimus 1. For aritinercept, competition comes from other dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitors in development or already approved 1.

Competitive structure differs by indication: in lupus nephritis, competitors use different mechanisms, while in broader autoimmune disease aritinercept faces several candidates with the same mechanism 12. Clinical study results will determine each product's relative position.

  • GSK plc (BENLYSTA)

    Belimumab, an injectable also approved for lupus nephritis and marketed by GSK plc, is the main direct competitor in the LN treatment class 1.

  • Genentech (GAZYVA)

    Obinutuzumab, marketed by Genentech, is approved for lupus nephritis and is a competing injectable option 1.

  • Otsuka Pharmaceutical

    The company's collaboration partner in Japan and Europe, which markets voclosporin there and could also play a role in competition over the longer term 1.

  • Developers of dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitors

    Candidates such as povetacicept, atacicept and telitacicept compete with aritinercept in autoimmune diseases 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 16 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.