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Verastem Oncology VSTM

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

9.85USD+0.82% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Verastem Oncology is a biopharmaceutical company in Boston focused on cancers driven by the RAS/MAPK pathway. It markets AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA CO-PACK, the first FDA-approved treatment for adults with KRAS-mutated recurrent LGSOC, while its VS-7375 KRAS G12D inhibitor is in clinical development. Net product revenue reached 30.9 million USD in the first seven months of the 2025 launch, while the net loss was 209.5 million USD in 2025, making financing and commercial execution central questions.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Verastem Oncology (VSTM) stock was 9.85 USD (+0.82% on the day), with market capitalisation 892.0 m USD, beta 1.22, 52-week range 3.45–10.64 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 40.1 m USD (+1,775.4% YoY), net income of -34.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.35 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
892.0 m USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-25.94%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.22
Volatility (1y) 76%
52-week range
3.4510.64

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.54 – 10.82
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.70 · band width 35.7%
SMA 50 / 200
8.32 / 6.23
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.51 / 0.51
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+23.1%−2.0%+25.1 pp—
3 months+67.8%−2.2%+70.0 pp—
6 months+63.9%+4.3%+59.6 pp—
Year to date+27.6%+10.6%+17.0 pp—
1 year+24.5%+10.5%+14.1 pp+16.6%
3 years+43.8%+73.7%−29.9 pp+16.8%
5 years−70.2%+61.7%−131.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−67.6%
28 Nov 2025 → 25 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.3%
16 Nov 2021 → 05 Aug 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−21.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
40.1 m USD
+1,775.4% YoY
Net income
-34.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.35
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-86.5% / -81.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue0 ≈0—2.1 m11.2 m17.5 m18.7 m40.1 m
Research & development24.8 m20.8 m29.2 m24.8 m29.0 m31.7 m38.2 m41.3 m
SG&A12.3 m10.8 m15.0 m20.7 m21.0 m24.4 m22.3 m27.4 m
Operating income-37.0 m-31.6 m-44.2 m-43.8 m-40.7 m-41.5 m-44.9 m-32.7 m
Interest expense1.1 m1.1 m192.0 k212.0 k319.0 k415.0 k382.0 k360.0 k
Pre-tax income———-25.9 m———-33.9 m
Income tax0185.0 k00 ≈0 ≈—0816.0 k
Net income-24.0 m-64.6 m-52.1 m-25.9 m-98.5 m-32.9 m-36.6 m-34.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.60-1.33 ≈-0.96-0.62-1.35-0.39 ≈-0.46-0.35
Operating cash flow-23.8 m ≈-25.1 m-38.7 m-32.7 m ≈-36.2 m ≈-30.0 m-52.1 m-43.9 m ≈
Capex0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022202320242025
Revenue26.7 m17.5 m88.5 m2.1 m2.6 munavailable10.0 m30.9 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−34.7%+407.1%—+26.4%unavailableunavailable+209.1%
Net income-72.4 m-149.2 m-67.7 m-71.2 m-73.8 m-87.4 m-130.6 m-209.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-1.37-2.00-0.44-4.90-4.57-3.96-3.66-3.02
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-271.1%-854.8%-76.5%-3,468.1%-2,843.3%unavailable-1,306.4%-677.6%
Free cash flow-76.0 m-138.5 m-33.5 m-53.7 munavailableunavailable-104.8 munavailable

The series breaks before 2021: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
205.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
57.2 m USD
Total assets
246.4 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.09x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-120.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
—
2024
10.0 m
2025
30.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
61.4 m
2024
81.3 m
2025
114.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
30.7 m
2024
43.6 m
2025
81.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-92.1 m
2024
-115.0 m
2025
-170.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
4.1 m
2024
4.6 m
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-87.4 m
2024
-130.5 m
2025
-209.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
—
2024
185.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025verified

Net income
2023
-87.4 m
2024
-130.6 m
2025
-209.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-3.96
2024
-3.66
2025
-3.02

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
22.1 m
2024
35.7 m
2025
69.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
77.9 m
2024
88.8 m
2025
205.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
143.7 m
2024
95.0 m
2025
223.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
37.0 k
2024
32.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
16.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
149.7 m
2024
101.5 m
2025
246.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
7.2 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
40.1 m
2024
40.7 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
26.4 m
2024
31.0 m
2025
72.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
71.2 m
2024
130.4 m
2025
189.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
57.4 m †
2024
-28.9 m †
2025
57.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-86.5 m
2024
-104.8 m
2025
-137.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
28.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
-104.8 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-44.4 m
2024
60.0 m
2025
-9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
134.2 m
2024
54.8 m
2025
263.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
209.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
128.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-182.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-231.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-471.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-100.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-124.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-108.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-162.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
892.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
17.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

9.85 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 892.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
892.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
17.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-471.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-231.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
209.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1552derived 79

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-231.6%21 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth128.4%100 (on a fixed band)33%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-108.3x0 (on a fixed band)25%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)17%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial21/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Verastem, Inc. (VSTM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 30.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 209.1%; net margin -231.6%; ROE -471.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 128.4%
  • Current ratio: 2.3x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -231.6%
  • Interest coverage: -108.3x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 32.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 24.9x
P/S
10.2x
vertical median 7.1x
above median (+44.5%)
P/B
17.8x
vertical median 6.0x
above median (+195.7%)
ROE
-471.2%
vertical median -9.5%
below median
Net margin
-231.6%
vertical median 4.2%
below median (−5,629.8%)
EBIT margin
-182.6%
vertical median -4.2%
below median
Revenue YoY
209.1%
vertical median 5.9%
above median (+3,469.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,325.9 bn45.786.1%31.9%+44.7%+31% / +138%
JNJJohnson & Johnson640.8 bn40.420.0%16.2%+6.0%+29% / +72%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.524.7 bn817.514.7%10.7%+40.2%+4% / +90%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.505.5 bn49.2—15.7%+8.6%+26% / +101%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.356.9 bn115.67.0%4.8%+1.3%+38% / +41%
ABTAbbott Laboratories190.6 bn30.612.4%13.9%+5.7%−15% / +5%
PFEPfizer Inc171.0 bn42.74.4%6.3%−1.6%+17% / −2%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc134.6 bn34.220.8%30.7%+8.9%+22% / +50%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company126.1 bn13.744.1%18.5%−0.2%+25% / +25%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.9 bn97.66.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +327%
ZTSZoetis Inc.34.3 bn13.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−35% / −53%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.26.0 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+73% / +277%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.8 bn21.519.3%41.6%+10.6%+24% / +151%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc25.8 bn37.68.5%32.1%+5.1%+66% / +145%
INSMInsmed Inc22.9 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−50% / +317%
VTRSViatris Inc.21.7 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+77% / +106%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.4 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−65% / −5%
TGTXTg Therapeutics, Inc.9.4 bn22.5100.3%55.2%+87.3%+85% / +381%
BLRXBioLineRx Ltd4.9 bn—-12.8%-171.7%−95.9%−46% / −97%
BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.3.1 bn——-7.6%+6.7%+31% / +17%
ANABAnaptysbio, Inc.1.4 bn11.5—82.4%+157.0%+71% / +404%
VSTMVerastem, Inc.892.0 m—-471.2%-231.6%+209.1%+25% / +44%
KURAKura Oncology, Inc.677.0 m—-167.7%-384.3%+25.2%−37% / −21%
DMACDiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.580.8 m—-114.6%—unavailable+25% / +341%
PHATPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.461.7 m——-30.2%+216.9%−64% / −19%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VSTM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Verastem Oncology is a biopharmaceutical company in Boston focused on cancers driven by the RAS/MAPK pathway. It markets AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA CO-PACK, the first FDA-approved treatment for adults with KRAS-mutated recurrent LGSOC, while its VS-7375 KRAS G12D inhibitor is in clinical development. Net product revenue reached 30.9 million USD in the first seven months of the 2025 launch 1, while the net loss was 209.5 million USD in 2025 1, making financing and commercial execution central questions.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has an approved product and a commercial team already in place in the U.S., which shortens the path to revenue 1.
    • VS-7375 holds Fast Track Designation for several indications and has encouraging early clinical data 23.
    • The portfolio spans several signaling pathways, offering scientific diversification 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Net losses are large and first-year product sales remain limited 1.
    • The company depends heavily on the success of a single commercial product 1.
    • The accumulated losses mean additional financing could be needed in future periods 1.

    Opportunities

    • RAMP 301 results could expand the indication regardless of KRAS status 1.
    • Phase 2 trials of VS-7375 across several cancers could open new markets 2.
    • Expansion into Europe and Japan could follow if Phase 3 data are favorable 1.

    Threats

    • Reimbursement by third-party payers could limit adoption of the commercial product 1.
    • Competition in KRAS inhibitors is intensifying, and other companies could reach the market first 1.
    • The failure of a major clinical trial could delay or halt development of the candidates 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on a single producthigh

      Commercial success of AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA depends on several factors, including physician and payer acceptance 1.

    • Clinical trial failurehigh

      Interim results may differ from final ones, and trials can fail at any stage 1.

    • Need for additional financingmedium

      The company has accumulated large losses and could need extra capital if sales do not grow enough 1.

    • Conditional approvalmedium

      Accelerated approval depends on confirmation of clinical benefit in a confirmatory trial 2.

    • Leadership transitionlow

      The CEO change announced for 2027 could affect the pace of execution 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If sales of AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA keep growing and RAMP 301 confirms benefit, the company could significantly expand its indication and sales 1.
    • Favorable VS-7375 data could turn the candidate into a promising treatment for several KRAS G12D-mutated cancers 2.
    • Commercial experience and an incoming CEO with oncology background could accelerate execution 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If sales remain modest, the large losses could force the company to issue new equity or pursue other financing 1.
    • The failure of a Phase 3 or Phase 2 trial could reduce portfolio value and delay future launches 1.
    • Competition in the KRAS field and limited reimbursement could reduce the company's market share 1.

    What to watch

    • Rezultatele topline ale trialului RAMP 301mid-2027
    • Topline results of the RAMP 301 trialmid-2027
    • Trend of AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA sales over the first full quarters2027
    • Initial data from the TARGET-D Phase 2 registration-directed trials2027
    • Start of the new CEO's tenure and any strategic changesQ1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Verastem is a biopharmaceutical company developing and commercializing new medicines for patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers 1. Its main commercial product is AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA CO-PACK, approved in the U.S. on May 8, 2025 under accelerated approval for adults with KRAS-mutated recurrent LGSOC who received prior systemic therapy 1. The portfolio also includes clinical, preclinical and early partnered programs, and the company notes that results from the RAMP 301 Phase 3 trial could support an expanded indication 1.

    The strategy centers on inhibiting critical signaling nodes in cancer, including KRAS G12D directly, the RAF/MEK pathway downstream, and the parallel FAK pathway that drives resistance 1. The company says it has built a U.S. commercial presence that can be scaled for future launches 1. Stated priorities include sustaining the launch, advancing VS-7375 toward registration-directed studies, and prudent capital management 1.

    In October 2026 the company announced a planned CEO transition, with a new President and CEO taking over effective January 1, 2027 3. The change comes as the company moves from launching its first product toward developing VS-7375 across several tumor types 3.

    Segments

    AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA CO-PACK

    This is the only commercial product, for patients with KRAS-mutated recurrent LGSOC, approved under accelerated approval in the U.S. 1. The launch generated 30.9 million USD in net product revenue in the first seven months of 2025 1. The RAMP 301 study aims to confirm clinical benefit and expand the indication 2.

    VS-7375

    This oral KRAS G12D inhibitor, licensed from GenFleet, is in the TARGET-D 101 Phase 1/2 study 2. The company has started registration-directed Phase 2 trials in pancreatic, non-small cell lung and colorectal cancer 2. The candidate holds FDA Fast Track Designation for several indications 3.

    Market context

    The addressable market is cancers driven by the RAS/MAPK pathway, where KRAS mutations are common 1. For LGSOC, the company estimates roughly 6,000 to 8,000 women in the U.S., with 1,000 to 2,000 new cases each year 1. The KRAS G12D opportunity is broader, especially in pancreatic, lung and colorectal cancer 2.

    Market size depends on physician adoption and third-party payer coverage, factors the company treats as essential 1. If Phase 3 and registration-directed Phase 2 results prove favorable, the accessible market could grow significantly 1.

    Trends

    • Interest in KRAS inhibitorstailwind

      Therapies targeting KRAS are an active field, and VS-7375 is among the candidates in this segment 2. If clinical data remain encouraging, the company could benefit from partner interest.

    • Rising development costsheadwind

      Research spending has increased from earlier years and may keep rising as trials grow larger 1. This could weigh on the net result in the coming periods.

    • Payer and physician acceptancemixed

      Adoption of AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA depends on payer coverage and physician views of safety 1. Favorable results could support sales growth, but reimbursement delays could slow it.

    • Regulatory feedback and trial designmixed

      FDA feedback led the company to separate its Phase 2 trials by cancer type 2. Regulatory shifts could change the development timeline.

    Competitive position

    The company notes that competing therapies could reduce its market share, and patients may enroll in competitors' trials 1. In KRAS G12C, Verastem discontinued its RAMP 203 study with Amgen, showing that the competitive landscape is evolving 1.

    In pancreatic and lung cancer, several developers are working on KRAS inhibitors, and GenFleet is developing GFH375 in China 1. Verastem's position depends on the differentiation of VS-7375's ON/OFF profile and on comparative clinical results 2.

    • GenFleet Therapeutics

      The partner that develops VS-7375 as GFH375 in China and reports data from more than 150 patients 1.

    • Amgen

      A company Verastem collaborated with on RAMP 203, discontinued after interim data 1.

    • Erasca

      A partner for evaluating VS-7375 combined with a pan-RAS molecular glue, at the preclinical stage 2.

    • AVEO Pharmaceuticals

      An oncology company, now part of LG Chem, where the new CEO held senior roles earlier in his career 3.

    News & filings

    SEC filings

    • Current report14 Oct 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
    • Current report23 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report26 May 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Current report07 May 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report07 May 2026

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Verastem Oncology · 04 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Verastem Oncology · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Verastem Oncology · 14 Oct 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.