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olivLaw · US equity research

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. CQP

Natural Gas Distribution · SIC 4924 · Vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

56.68USD−10.07% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is a limited partnership that owns and operates the Sabine Pass natural gas liquefaction and export facility in Louisiana, one of the largest in the world. It supplies LNG to integrated energy companies, utilities and trading firms worldwide, and its total revenues reached 10.758 bn USD in 2025 and 2.583 bn USD in the second quarter of 2026. Growing interest in supply security and planned capacity expansion give the company a relevant position in the global LNG market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP) stock was 56.68 USD (−10.07% on the day), with market capitalisation 27.4 bn USD, P/E 8.4 on diluted EPS of -0.49 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.42, 52-week range 50.91–71.22 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.6 bn USD (+7.1% YoY), net income of 639.0 m USD (+26.3% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
27.4 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4
Diluted EPS TTM -0.49 · TTM to 31 Dec 2016
E/P (TTM)
-0.86%
TTM to 31 Dec 2016
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.42
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
50.9171.22

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.7
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
59.77 – 68.31
below the lower band · %B -0.36 · band width 13.3%
SMA 50 / 200
65.19 / 63.48
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.51 / -0.04
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−10.4%−1.1%−9.3 pp—
3 months−11.6%−0.5%−11.2 pp—
6 months−11.4%+4.4%−15.8 pp—
Year to date+6.0%+12.3%−6.3 pp—
1 year+9.6%+13.5%−4.0 pp+2.8%
3 years−2.1%+76.4%−78.5 pp+42.7%
5 years+32.3%+63.7%−31.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.4%
02 Sept 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−30.5%
30 Nov 2022 → 17 Mar 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.6 bn USD
+7.1% YoY
Net income
639.0 m USD
+26.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
24.8% / 31.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.5 bn3.0 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.9 bn3.6 bn2.6 bn2.6 bn
Cost of revenue1.2 bn1.7 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn968.0 m2.8 bn765.0 m1.3 bn
Operating income812.0 m826.0 m715.0 m696.0 m1.5 bn361.0 m1.3 bn815.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation171.0 m171.0 m171.0 m173.0 m173.0 m174.0 m174.0 m174.0 m
Interest expense197.0 m190.0 m188.0 m189.0 m186.0 m181.0 m183.0 m182.0 m
Net income623.0 m641.0 m553.0 m506.0 m1.3 bn186.0 m1.2 bn639.0 m
Operating cash flow876.0 m665.0 m558.0 m ≈658.0 m ≈887.0 m910.0 m699.0 m ≈941.0 m ≈
Capex49.0 m60.0 m68.0 m ≈48.0 m ≈23.0 m31.0 m266.0 m ≈229.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue6.4 bn6.8 bn6.2 bn9.4 bn17.2 bn9.7 bn8.7 bn10.8 bn
Revenue YoY+49.3%+6.4%−9.8%+53.0%+82.4%−43.8%−9.9%+23.6%
Net income1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.6 bn2.5 bn4.3 bn2.5 bn3.0 bn
Net income YoY+160.0%−7.8%+0.7%+37.8%+53.3%+70.3%−41.0%+19.0%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %19.8%17.2%19.2%17.3%14.5%44.0%28.8%27.8%
Free cash flow1.1 bn216.0 m779.0 m1.6 bn3.7 bn2.9 bn2.8 bn2.6 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
182.0 m USD
Financial debt
14.5 bn USD
Net debt
14.3 bn USD
Equity
unavailable USD
Total assets
17.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.78x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
17.1%
FCF margin
23.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
9.7 bn
2024
8.7 bn
2025
10.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
6.9 bn ≈
2024
5.1 bn ≈
2025
5.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2022verified

Operating income
2023
5.0 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
672.0 m
2024
680.0 m
2025
688.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
5.7 bn ≈
2024
4.0 bn ≈
2025
4.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
823.0 m
2024
800.0 m
2025
753.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
4.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
575.0 m
2024
270.0 m
2025
182.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
0
2024
1.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
142.0 m
2024
151.0 m
2025
180.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
16.2 bn
2024
15.8 bn
2025
15.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.1 bn
2024
17.5 bn
2025
17.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
69.0 m
2024
62.0 m
2025
53.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
300.0 m
2024
351.0 m
2025
306.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
15.6 bn
2024
14.8 bn
2025
14.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
18.9 bn
2024
18.0 bn
2025
17.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
220.0 m
2024
154.0 m
2025
199.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
2.9 bn ≈
2024
2.8 bn ≈
2025
2.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-227.0 m
2024
-162.0 m
2025
-204.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.2 bn
2024
-3.1 bn
2025
-2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
23.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-14.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
20.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
50.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
34.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
24.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
input data missing
ROA
18.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
24.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
13.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
549.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
88.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
73.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
10 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
27.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
41.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
10.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
9.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

56.68 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 27.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
27.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 1636derived 136

Score by group

  • Balance sheet47
  • Growth0
  • Valuation90
  • Quality87

Estimated value range

Low
63.94
USD per share
Mid
87.73
USD per share
High
129.99
USD per share
Price: 56.68 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 54.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 35.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 56.38 – 140.06 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)63.94 – 129.99 (Mid 87.73)
    WACC 7.8% · starting FCFF 3.5 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 77%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -17.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA56.38 – 88.74 (Mid 70.21)
    7 companies used · median multiple 10.2x · quartiles 8.8x – 12.1x
    ATO, LNG, MDU, NFG, NJR, NWN, SR
  • Peers: P/E101.28 – 140.06 (Mid 117.14)
    10 companies used · median multiple 17.3x · quartiles 15.0x – 20.7x
    ATO, EE, LNG, MDU, NFG, NJR, NWN, OGS, SR, VG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality28.1%92 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality88.2%83 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-14.5%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.0x44 (vs peers)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.4x61 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x32 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.4x100 (vs peers)15%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.8x71 (vs peers)15%
FCF yield · Valuation10.5%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet47/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality87/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation90/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 10.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 23.6%; net margin 28.1%; net debt/EBITDA 3.0x.

The estimated value range is 63.94–129.99 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 87.73 USD, the price of 56.68 USD leaves a potential of 54.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 35.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 28.1%
  • FCF conversion: 88.2%
  • P/E (TTM): 8.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 8.8x
  • FCF yield: 10.5%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -14.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.4x
vertical median 17.3x
below median (−51.6%)
EV/EBITDA
8.8x
vertical median 10.2x
below median (−13.7%)
P/S
2.4x
vertical median 2.4x
at median
P/B
—
vertical median 1.6x
ROE
—
vertical median 9.8%
Net margin
28.1%
vertical median 11.9%
above median (+135.5%)
EBIT margin
34.2%
vertical median 22.8%
above median (+49.5%)
Revenue YoY
23.6%
vertical median 10.8%
above median (+117.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.0x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+6.4%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.59.6 bn20.345.7%13.1%+27.2%+40% / +60%
ATOAtmos Energy Corp29.8 bn21.09.8%28.5%+12.9%+0% / +55%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.27.4 bn8.4—28.1%+23.6%+10% / −2%
NFGNational Fuel Gas Company7.3 bn10.619.6%26.9%+17.1%−7% / +51%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation5.6 bn15.214.5%24.0%+9.9%+15% / +30%
SRSpire Inc.5.3 bn14.910.3%13.9%−4.5%+2% / +48%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.5.2 bn17.58.7%—+42.5%−2% / +43%
MDUMdu Resources Group Inc4.2 bn20.87.0%10.7%+6.7%−7% / +87%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company2.2 bn17.18.3%9.7%+11.8%+4% / +40%
NFENew Fortress Energy Inc.1.2 bn—-533.9%-148.7%−36.2%+234% / −89%
SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.71.2 m—-14.0%-17.4%−6.9%−18% / −16%
CETYClean Energy Technologies, Inc.10.4 m—-76.3%-245.9%−63.8%−53% / −96%
VGVenture Global, Inc.—9.154.7%22.3%+176.9%+61% / unavailable
EEExcelerate Energy, Inc—26.8——+44.3%+22% / +105%
UGPUltrapar Holdings Inc.——16.5%1.8%+5.9%+36% / +10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CQP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
30.30
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
53.85
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
81.48
Total return 44% · Per year 44%
3 years
24.06
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
48.60
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
81.48
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
5 years
19.11
Total return -66% · Per year -20%
43.86
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
81.48
Total return 44% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 12.15
  • Net margin± 8.50
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.68
  • Annual dilution± 0.71

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is a limited partnership that owns and operates the Sabine Pass natural gas liquefaction and export facility in Louisiana, one of the largest in the world. It supplies LNG to integrated energy companies, utilities and trading firms worldwide, and its total revenues reached 10.758 bn USD in 2025 and 2.583 bn USD in the second quarter of 2026. Growing interest in supply security and planned capacity expansion give the company a relevant position in the global LNG market.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Long-term contracts with creditworthy customers provide stable and predictable cash flows that support distributions to unitholders 12.
  • The Sabine Pass terminal is one of the largest in the world, and several agencies upgraded credit ratings during 2025 1.
  • The structure of IPM and SPA agreements limits direct exposure to U.S. gas price swings, which stabilizes margins 2.

Weaknesses

  • Total debt is high and interest costs remain significant, which narrows financial flexibility 1.
  • Revenue concentration among a few large customers means that a failure by one of them could have a major impact 1.
  • Reported results are shaped by derivative valuation, which can make accounting profit differ from operating performance 13.

Opportunities

  • The SPL expansion, if it obtains the required approvals and financing, could significantly raise production capacity 3.
  • European demand, supported by the ban on Russian LNG, could bring new long-term contracts 1.
  • Lower financing costs as credit ratings improve could support new investment 1.

Threats

  • Rapid expansion of global supply could push prices down and weaken the competitiveness of new contracts 1.
  • Changes in U.S. trade policy could affect LNG exports 1.
  • Delays or cost overruns in building the expansion could affect financing and expected returns 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on large customershigh

    A small number of customers generate most revenue, and failure to perform under contracts could lead to unrecoverable losses 1.

  • Access to capital for expansionhigh

    If capital markets become more expensive or less accessible, financing for the SPL project could be delayed or limited 1.

  • Derivative accounting volatilitymedium

    Changes in the fair value of derivatives can create large differences in reported profit even when operating fundamentals are stable 13.

  • Distribution restrictions from debt agreementsmedium

    Debt agreements can limit payment of distributions if debt service coverage requirements are not met 1.

  • Construction and operating hazardsmedium

    Severe weather, cost overruns and construction delays could affect operations and the expansion 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Long-term contracts and the IPM structure can provide predictable cash flows even if the global LNG market becomes more volatile 12.
  • The SPL expansion, if delivered on schedule, could add substantial capacity to an already large production base 3.
  • Improving credit ratings and lower debt could reduce financing costs and support larger distributions in future 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Rapid growth in global supply could keep prices under pressure and reduce margins on new contracts 1.
  • Customer concentration and reliance on long-term contracts mean the loss of one major customer could have serious effects 1.
  • Reported profit can be volatile because of derivative valuation, which makes performance harder to read from quarter to quarter 13.

What to watch

  • FERC and DOE approvals for the SPL expansion2027
  • Final investment decision (FID) for the first phase of the expansion2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The business model rests on two kinds of long-term contracts. SPAs generally provide a fixed fee for contracted volumes regardless of whether the customer cancels deliveries, and a variable component indexed to Henry Hub 2. IPM agreements have a gas producer sell natural gas to the company on a global LNG or gas index price, less a fixed liquefaction fee 2. Because most feedstock is sourced in the U.S., the structure limits exposure to U.S. gas price swings 2.

Segments

LNG liquefaction at Sabine Pass

The core segment is the Sabine Pass terminal, with total production capacity of over 30 mtpa of LNG, which generates nearly all revenue from external customer contracts 23. As of July 31, 2026, the company reported over 3,460 cumulative cargoes exported from the terminal 3.

Regasification and pipeline services

Smaller revenue streams come from regasification and the Creole Trail pipeline, which interconnects the terminal with several interstate and intrastate pipelines 12. These lines have been stable in recent years and represent a limited share of total revenue 1.

Market context

Greater supply could ease price pressure over the medium term, which could unlock latent demand in Asia, where consumption fell in 2025 1. If global prices decline further, the company's contract-based margins could be affected differently from producers with direct spot exposure 1.

Trends

  • Expansion of global LNG supplymixed

    Many new liquefaction projects in the U.S. and Canada are coming online, which could bring more moderate and stable prices over the medium term 1. For a company with fixed-fee contracts, cheaper LNG could push demand in price-sensitive markets, which could support volumes 1.

  • European demand after the break from Russian gastailwind

    Europe is replacing Russian gas, and the European Parliament voted to ban Russian LNG by 2027, which could keep demand elevated 1. This trend supports the outlook for long-term contracts with European buyers 1.

  • Weaker Asian demandheadwind

    LNG consumption in Asia fell in 2025, mainly because of China, which cut imports as domestic output and piped Russian gas reduced the need for LNG 1. If this decline persists, it could reduce volumes sold into spot markets 1.

Competitive position

The company competes in the international LNG market with other U.S. exporters and producers from other regions, and the international LNG price is a major competitive factor, as the company's own risk disclosures note 1. Rapid expansion of supply from the U.S. and Canada could intensify competition for price-sensitive buyers 1.

The company's competitive position rests on long-term contracts and proximity to American gas, which limits exposure to domestic gas prices 2. If other suppliers offer more flexible terms, the company's market position could be challenged when contracts are renewed 12.

  • Cheniere Energy, Inc.LNG

    Parent company that controls the general partner and runs the integrated marketing function, as noted in its results releases 3.

  • Other U.S. LNG exporters

    New producers in the U.S. and Canada that add global supply and can compete on price and contracts 1.

  • Qatar and other regional exporters

    Traditional Middle East suppliers referenced in the global LNG market context, which can influence benchmark prices 1.

  • Pipeline gas suppliers

    Pipeline gas suppliers that compete with LNG in markets such as Asia and Europe, as described in the market analysis 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
  • Current report23 Oct 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report28 Jul 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 May 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 May 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.