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olivLaw · US equity research

Cheniere Energy, Inc. LNG

Natural Gas Distribution · SIC 4924 · Vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

292.02USD−6.15% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cheniere Energy is one of the largest LNG infrastructure companies in the United States, with total revenues of 19,976 million USD in fiscal 2025. The first half of 2026 brought revenues of 11.60 billion USD and consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of 4.137 billion USD, and the company raised its 2026 guidance.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) stock was 292.02 USD (−6.15% on the day), with market capitalisation 59.6 bn USD, P/E 20.3 on diluted EPS of 14.36 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.62%, beta 0.25, 52-week range 188.83–330.32 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 6.2 bn USD (+39.0% YoY), net income of 1.2 bn USD (+11.5% YoY), diluted EPS 5.65 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
59.6 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3
Diluted EPS TTM 14.36 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.92%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.62%
DPS 12m 1.81
Beta (2y)
0.25
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
188.83330.32

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
265.10 – 322.48
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.47 · band width 19.5%
SMA 50 / 200
283.68 / 257.99
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
8.56 / 7.71
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.2%−1.1%+7.3 pp—
3 months+14.6%−0.5%+15.1 pp—
6 months+11.7%+4.4%+7.3 pp—
Year to date+50.2%+12.3%+37.9 pp—
1 year+41.2%+13.5%+27.7 pp+2.8%
3 years+68.2%+76.4%−8.2 pp+40.1%
5 years+170.8%+63.7%+107.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.3%
27 Mar 2026 → 29 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−25.6%
16 Jan 2025 → 15 Dec 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+22.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
6.2 bn USD
+39.0% YoY
Net income
1.2 bn USD
+11.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
5.65
+18.9% YoY
net / operating
19.0% / 31.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.4 bn5.4 bn4.6 bn4.4 bn5.5 bn5.9 bn5.7 bn6.2 bn
Cost of revenue1.7 bn3.6 bn1.1 bn1.8 bn712.0 m8.3 bn439.0 m3.2 bn
SG&A142.0 m116.0 m99.0 m81.0 m87.0 m136.0 m88.0 m112.0 m
Operating income1.7 bn961.0 m2.5 bn1.8 bn3.8 bn-3.5 bn4.3 bn1.9 bn
Depreciation & amortisation308.0 m312.0 m329.0 m338.0 m350.0 m373.0 m380.0 m393.0 m
Interest expense240.0 m229.0 m237.0 m236.0 m246.0 m255.0 m287.0 m285.0 m
Pre-tax income1.5 bn789.0 m2.3 bn1.6 bn3.6 bn-3.8 bn4.0 bn1.7 bn
Income tax261.0 m121.0 m426.0 m303.0 m638.0 m-341.0 m366.0 m168.0 m
Net income977.0 m353.0 m1.6 bn1.0 bn2.3 bn-3.5 bn3.1 bn1.2 bn
Diluted EPS4.33 ≈1.577.304.7510.71 ≈-16.6514.655.65
Operating cash flow1.6 bn1.2 bn831.0 m ≈1.4 bn ≈2.1 bn1.1 bn1.6 bn ≈2.5 bn ≈
Capex569.0 m623.0 m1.0 bn ≈687.0 m ≈744.0 m736.0 m1.2 bn ≈732.0 m ≈
Dividends paid112.0 m112.0 m111.0 m ≈109.0 m ≈119.0 m117.0 m116.0 m ≈114.0 m ≈
Share repurchases281.0 m363.0 m327.0 m ≈997.0 m ≈1.0 bn537.0 m576.0 m ≈706.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 68 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 3.3, median 14.2, max 110.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.0 bn9.7 bn9.4 bn15.9 bn33.4 bn20.4 bn15.7 bn20.0 bn
Revenue YoY+42.6%+21.8%−3.8%+69.5%+110.7%−39.0%−23.0%+27.2%
Net income471.0 m648.0 m-85.0 m-2.3 bn1.4 bn9.9 bn3.3 bn5.3 bn
Net income YoYunavailable+37.6%−113.1%unavailableunavailable+591.9%−67.1%+63.9%
Diluted EPS1.902.51-0.34-9.255.6440.7214.2024.13
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+32.1%−113.5%unavailableunavailable+622.0%−65.1%+69.9%
net %5.9%6.7%-0.9%-14.8%4.3%48.5%20.7%26.7%
Free cash flow-1.7 bn-1.2 bn-574.0 m1.5 bn8.7 bn6.3 bn3.2 bn2.5 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
22.8 bn USD
Net debt
21.7 bn USD
Equity
12.9 bn USD
Total assets
47.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.76x
Current ratio
0.94x
ROE
46.4%
ROA
11.6%
FCF margin
12.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
20.4 bn
2024
15.7 bn
2025
20.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
19.0 bn ≈
2024
9.7 bn ≈
2025
12.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023verified

SG&A
2023
474.0 m
2024
441.0 m
2025
383.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
15.5 bn
2024
6.1 bn
2025
9.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
16.7 bn ≈
2024
7.3 bn ≈
2025
10.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
948.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
14.6 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.5 bn
2024
811.0 m
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
9.9 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
40.72
2024
14.20
2025
24.13

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
242.6 m
2024
229.1 m
2025
220.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.62
2024
1.81
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
4.1 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
661.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
445.0 m
2024
501.0 m
2025
524.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.3 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
32.5 bn
2024
33.6 bn
2025
35.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
77.0 m
2024
77.0 m
2025
77.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
43.1 bn
2024
43.9 bn
2025
47.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
181.0 m
2024
171.0 m
2025
123.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
300.0 m
2024
351.0 m
2025
306.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
23.4 bn
2024
22.6 bn
2025
22.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
34.1 bn
2024
33.8 bn
2025
34.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.0 bn
2024
10.1 bn
2025
12.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
8.4 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
6.3 bn ≈
2024
3.2 bn ≈
2025
2.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.2 bn
2024
-2.3 bn
2025
-3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-4.2 bn
2024
-4.5 bn
2025
-4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
393.0 m
2024
412.0 m
2025
451.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
1.5 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
48.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
63.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
55.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
69.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
62.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-22.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
34.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
45.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
15.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
22.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
6.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
7.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
3.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
124.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
89.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
17 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
17 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
10 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
59.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
81.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
9.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
12.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.24
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 62 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

292.02 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 59.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
59.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
9.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
45.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2536derived 194

Score by group

  • Balance sheet51
  • Growth50
  • Quality86
  • Returns88
  • Valuation49

Estimated value range

Low
171.15
USD per share
Mid
237.83
USD per share
High
325.27
USD per share
Price: 292.02 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -18.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -22.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 23.72 – 367.29 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)174.29 – 363.17 (Mid 243.55)
    WACC 8.1% · starting FCFF 4.7 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 0.4%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA214.27 – 367.29 (Mid 280.35)
    7 companies used · median multiple 9.9x · quartiles 8.2x – 12.1x
    ATO, CQP, MDU, NFG, NJR, NWN, SR
  • Peers: P/E168.01 – 287.36 (Mid 232.10)
    10 companies used · median multiple 16.2x · quartiles 11.7x – 20.0x
    ATO, CQP, EE, MDU, NFG, NJR, NWN, OGS, SR, VG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)23.72 – 31.90 (Mid 27.21)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 62/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.5%100 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality13.1%50 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality124.7%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-15.8%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth62.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.8x56 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet6.1x70 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x8 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.3x30 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.2x43 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation6.4%79 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.6%80 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns12.3%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet51/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality86/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns88/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation49/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

CHENIERE ENERGY, INC. (LNG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 20.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 27.2%; net margin 13.1%; ROE 45.7%; net debt/EBITDA 2.8x.

The estimated value range is 171.15–325.27 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 237.83 USD, the price of 292.02 USD leaves a potential of -18.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -22.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 62/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.5%
  • FCF conversion: 124.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 62.3%
  • Interest coverage: 6.1x
  • FCF yield: 6.4%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 12.3%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -15.8%
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 20.3x

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.3x
vertical median 16.2x
above median (+25.8%)
EV/EBITDA
10.2x
vertical median 9.9x
at median
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+10.9%)
P/B
9.1x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+482.4%)
ROE
45.7%
vertical median 9.3%
above median (+393.1%)
Net margin
13.1%
vertical median 12.3%
above median (+6.0%)
EBIT margin
28.1%
vertical median 22.8%
above median (+22.9%)
Revenue YoY
27.2%
vertical median 10.8%
above median (+150.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.8x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−6.0%)
Dividend yield
0.6%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−78.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.59.6 bn20.345.7%13.1%+27.2%+41% / +68%
ATOAtmos Energy Corp29.8 bn21.09.8%28.5%+12.9%+0% / +55%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.27.4 bn8.4—28.1%+23.6%+4% / −8%
NFGNational Fuel Gas Company7.3 bn10.619.6%26.9%+17.1%−7% / +51%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation5.6 bn15.214.5%24.0%+9.9%+15% / +30%
SRSpire Inc.5.3 bn14.910.3%13.9%−4.5%+2% / +48%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.5.2 bn17.58.7%—+42.5%−2% / +43%
MDUMdu Resources Group Inc4.2 bn20.87.0%10.7%+6.7%−7% / +87%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company2.2 bn17.18.3%9.7%+11.8%+4% / +40%
NFENew Fortress Energy Inc.1.2 bn—-533.9%-148.7%−36.2%+234% / −89%
SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.71.2 m—-14.0%-17.4%−6.9%−18% / −16%
CETYClean Energy Technologies, Inc.10.4 m—-76.3%-245.9%−63.8%−53% / −96%
EEExcelerate Energy, Inc—26.8——+44.3%+22% / +105%
UGPUltrapar Holdings Inc.——16.5%1.8%+5.9%+36% / +10%
VGVenture Global, Inc.—9.154.7%22.3%+176.9%+61% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for LNG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
161.76
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
287.43
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
434.93
Total return 49% · Per year 49%
3 years
128.45
Total return -56% · Per year -24%
259.41
Total return -11% · Per year -4%
434.93
Total return 49% · Per year 14%
5 years
101.99
Total return -65% · Per year -19%
234.11
Total return -20% · Per year -4%
434.93
Total return 49% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 64.85
  • Net margin± 45.40
  • Annual revenue growth± 41.00
  • Annual dilution± 3.81

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Cheniere Energy is one of the largest LNG infrastructure companies in the United States, with total revenues of 19,976 million USD in fiscal 2025 1. The first half of 2026 brought revenues of 11.60 billion USD and consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of 4.137 billion USD 3, and the company raised its 2026 guidance 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Long-term contracts with creditworthy customers provide predictable and stable revenues 1.
  • The company received credit rating upgrades from S&P and Fitch in 2025 1.
  • Leading position in US LNG production with a large operating capacity base 2.

Weaknesses

  • Total debt is high, and financing costs could rise if access to capital worsens 1.
  • GAAP results are volatile because of changes in the fair value of derivative instruments 1.
  • Restrictions in debt agreements can limit dividends and distributions 1.

Opportunities

  • Planned expansions at Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi could add significant capacity 3.
  • Growing demand for supply security could generate new long-term contracts 1.
  • More moderate prices could unlock latent demand in price-sensitive markets 1.

Threats

  • Excess LNG supply could reduce prices and margins 1.
  • Disruptions in third party natural gas supply could reduce revenues 1.
  • Natural disasters and extreme weather could interrupt operations 1.

Risks

  • Access to capitalhigh

    The company relies on new financing for ongoing projects, and market conditions could raise costs or reduce availability 1.

  • Dependence on long-term customershigh

    If a significant customer fails to perform its obligations, revenues could be materially affected 1.

  • Derivative volatilitymedium

    Changes in the value of derivative instruments can strongly influence reported net income 1.

  • Supply interruptionsmedium

    Problems with third party pipelines or gas sources could limit production and deliveries 1.

  • Weather and operational hazardslow

    Storms and other disasters could affect terminals and increase insurance costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Capacity growth and raised 2026 guidance could support long-term cash flows 3.
  • Long-term contracts and rising credit ratings could reduce financial risk 1.
  • Global demand for supply security could open new contracts 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Global supply expansion could compress margins and prices over the medium term 1.
  • Volatility in GAAP results and debt burden could make earnings hard to forecast 1.
  • Weak Asian demand could persist and limit spot sales growth 1.

What to watch

  • Completion of the first phase of the SPL Expansion and final investment decision2026
  • Development of the EBITDA and distributable cash flow guidanceQ3 2026
  • Trends in European and Asian LNG demand2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is an energy infrastructure company primarily engaged in LNG-related businesses, supplying liquefied natural gas to integrated energy companies, utilities and energy trading companies around the world 2. It operates two liquefaction and export facilities, at Sabine Pass, Louisiana, and near Corpus Christi, Texas 1. Total production capacity is expected to exceed 60 mtpa, of which over 6 mtpa was under construction as of June 30, 2026 2. Revenues come mainly from long-term contracts with third party customers that provide stable cash flows 1.

Segments

LNG sales from liquefaction projects

Most LNG revenues come from deliveries to third party customers under long-term contracts, which totaled 14,804 million USD in fiscal 2025 1. The remainder comes from short-term sales by the integrated marketing function 1.

Development and expansion

The company is developing the SPL Expansion Project, with an expected peak capacity of up to about 20 mtpa 3, and has filed applications to expand the Corpus Christi terminal 1. The first phase of this expansion, with over 6 mtpa, is in early engineering 3.

Market context

The LNG market is moving from a period of tight supply to one of rapid growth, following nearly 20 mtpa of new supply in 2025 1. The average JKM price in 2025 was 12.71 USD per MMBtu, while Henry Hub averaged 3.43 USD per MMBtu 1. European demand reached a record level of about 125 mtpa 1, although expanding supply could moderate prices over the medium term 1.

Trends

  • Growth in global LNG supplymixed

    New capacity in the US and Canada could loosen the global balance and lead to more moderate prices 1. This could compress margins for producers while unlocking latent demand 1.

  • European LNG demandtailwind

    Replacing Russian gas and refilling storage supported European demand 1. The European Parliament's vote to ban Russian gas could keep demand high 1.

  • Weaker Asian demandheadwind

    LNG consumption in Asia declined in 2025, mainly due to China 1. If this continues, it could limit spot sales revenues 1.

  • Henry Hub-linked contractsmixed

    Long-term contracts indexed to Henry Hub provide stability, and cheaper markets could unlock latent demand 2.

Competitive position

Cheniere ranks among the largest LNG producers in the world and is the largest in the US 2. Competition comes from other US and Canadian exporters that are adding capacity in the same market 1.

  • Other US and Canadian LNG exporters

    New capacity in the US and Canada increases global supply and intensifies competition for long-term contracts 1.

  • LNG producers in Qatar

    The analyzed sources refer to the global LNG market but do not detail these producers' positions.

  • LNG operators in Australia

    The analyzed sources mention global supply competition without detailed comparative data.

  • Russian LNG suppliers

    The withdrawal of Russian gas from Europe opened the market to new suppliers, including US producers 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 18 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report28 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Jul 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 May 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cheniere Energy, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cheniere Energy, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cheniere Energy, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.