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olivLaw · US equity research

New Fortress Energy Inc. NFE

Natural Gas Distribution · SIC 4924 · Vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

4.08USD−2.63% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

New Fortress Energy builds and operates natural gas and LNG infrastructure, plus a fleet of ships and logistics assets, serving customers in Puerto Rico, Mexico and Brazil. The company is now in a debt restructuring after defaulting on certain notes, and this process will determine whether it can continue as an independent business. Uncertainty is high and could materially affect shareholder value.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) stock was 4.08 USD (−2.63% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, dividend yield 0.04%, beta 1.52, 52-week range 0.26–17.70 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 312.5 m USD (+2.8% YoY), net income of -373.0 m USD, diluted EPS -1.30 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -6.64 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-162.63%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.04%
Beta (2y)
1.52
Volatility (1y) 1,178%
52-week range
0.2617.70

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.22 – 4.75
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.56 · band width 38.5%
SMA 50 / 200
4.66 / 2.04
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.26 / -0.34
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−30.5%−1.1%−29.4 pp—
3 months+1,121.6%−0.5%+1,122.0 pp—
6 months+452.1%+4.4%+447.7 pp—
Year to date+257.9%+12.3%+245.6 pp—
1 year+202.2%+13.5%+188.7 pp+2.8%
3 years−86.3%+76.4%−162.7 pp+42.7%
5 years−86.2%+63.7%−149.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−98.5%
07 Aug 2026 → 08 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.6%
25 Aug 2022 → 08 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−32.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
312.5 m USD
+2.8% YoY
Net income
-373.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.30
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-119.3% / -47.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue568.5 m677.3 m472.3 m304.1 m331.9 m395.7 m227.0 m312.5 m
Cost of revenue325.3 m288.9 m302.4 m208.2 m196.9 m210.5 m199.7 m210.4 m
SG&A81.3 m70.4 m51.8 m56.6 m86.5 m112.6 m47.5 m85.3 m
Operating income79.5 m228.0 m-12.5 m-388.4 m-89.9 m-629.7 m-225.4 m-148.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation34.6 m37.7 m66.6 m52.9 m49.3 m56.9 m51.4 m45.6 m
Interest expense71.9 m96.6 m200.3 m186.4 m198.2 m192.9 m186.9 m226.7 m
Pre-tax income13.4 m-184.6 m-149.4 m-536.1 m-257.5 m-827.7 m-369.1 m-380.9 m
Income tax3.2 m39.8 m26.1 m10.4 m5.5 m19.4 m31.5 m-8.0 m
Net income9.3 m-219.1 m-175.4 m-546.5 m-263.0 m-847.1 m-400.6 m-373.0 m
Diluted EPS0.03-0.86 ≈-0.65-1.99-0.96-2.98 ≈-1.40-1.30
Operating cash flow-20.0 m ≈445.3 m-7.2 m-329.0 m ≈-171.0 m ≈-76.2 m-118.9 m-159.3 m ≈
Capex347.1 m ≈655.6 m255.1 m246.6 m ≈90.5 m ≈58.6 m43.6 m40.3 m ≈
Dividends paid5.6 m ≈4.0 m3.5 m-446.0 k ≈5.0 k ≈453.0 k00 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue112.3 m189.1 m451.7 m1.3 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn1.5 bn
Revenue YoY+15.5%+68.4%+138.8%+192.9%+79.0%+0.9%−1.3%−36.2%
Net income-78.1 m-33.8 m-182.1 m97.1 m194.5 m547.9 m-244.5 m-1.8 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+100.3%+181.7%−144.6%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-1.62-1.710.470.932.65-1.26-6.63
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+97.9%+184.9%−147.5%unavailable
net %-69.5%-17.9%-40.3%7.3%8.2%22.9%-10.4%-121.8%
Free cash flow-274.4 m-611.3 m-282.6 m-584.6 m-818.9 m-2.1 bn-1.5 bn-1.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
226.5 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
952.2 m USD
Equity
309.6 m USD
Total assets
10.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
3.81x
Current ratio
0.15x
ROE
-158.6%
ROA
-15.6%
FCF margin
-82.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
879.2 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
918.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.5 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
585.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026derived

SG&A
2023
203.4 m
2024
293.4 m
2025
307.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
935.7 m
2024
528.5 m
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
161.4 m
2024
159.3 m
2025
242.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
687.8 m ≈
2025
-878.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
277.8 m
2024
316.3 m
2025
777.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
651.2 m
2024
-174.2 m
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
103.0 m
2024
70.3 m
2025
61.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
547.9 m
2024
-244.5 m
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.65
2024
-1.26
2025
-6.63

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
206.5 m
2024
218.6 m
2025
278.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
155.4 m
2024
492.9 m
2025
226.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
343.0 m
2024
331.4 m
2025
452.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
116.2 m
2024
103.2 m
2025
119.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
982.8 m
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
793.1 m
2024
782.7 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
51.8 m
2024
179.5 m
2025
187.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.5 bn
2024
12.9 bn
2025
10.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
546.2 m
2024
481.5 m
2025
731.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
292.6 m
2024
539.1 m
2025
73.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
6.5 bn
2024
8.4 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.7 bn
2024
10.8 bn
2025
10.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
309.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
818.6 m
2024
602.2 m
2025
-583.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
650.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-2.1 bn ≈
2024
-1.5 bn ≈
2025
-1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.8 bn
2024
-1.6 bn
2025
465.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
-543.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
724.0 m
2024
65.3 m
2025
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-36.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
27.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-312.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
35.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-70.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-86.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-148.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-59.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-533.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-16.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-53.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-525.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
232.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-758.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
79 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
265 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-143 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-162.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-65.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
-1.29
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.08 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-533.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-148.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-36.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1272derived 102

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-148.7%8 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-14.0%0 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.4x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.2x0 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-65.1%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%1 (on a fixed band)16%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial8/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial1/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -36.2%; net margin -148.7%; ROE -533.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -148.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -14.0%
  • Interest coverage: -1.4x
  • Current ratio: 0.2x
  • FCF yield: -65.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Distribution (SIC 4924) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 17.1x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.1x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−62.6%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.6x
ROE
-533.9%
vertical median 10.1%
below median (−5,402.4%)
Net margin
-148.7%
vertical median 13.5%
below median (−1,200.1%)
EBIT margin
-86.3%
vertical median 28.1%
below median (−407.4%)
Revenue YoY
-36.2%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−393.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.9x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−98.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.59.6 bn20.345.7%13.1%+27.2%+40% / +60%
ATOAtmos Energy Corp29.8 bn21.09.8%28.5%+12.9%+0% / +55%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.27.4 bn8.4—28.1%+23.6%+4% / −8%
NFGNational Fuel Gas Company7.3 bn10.619.6%26.9%+17.1%−7% / +51%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation5.6 bn15.214.5%24.0%+9.9%+15% / +30%
SRSpire Inc.5.3 bn14.910.3%13.9%−4.5%+2% / +48%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.5.2 bn17.58.7%—+42.5%−2% / +43%
MDUMdu Resources Group Inc4.2 bn20.87.0%10.7%+6.7%−7% / +87%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company2.2 bn17.18.3%9.7%+11.8%+4% / +40%
NFENew Fortress Energy Inc.1.2 bn—-533.9%-148.7%−36.2%+202% / −86%
SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.71.2 m—-14.0%-17.4%−6.9%−18% / −16%
CETYClean Energy Technologies, Inc.10.4 m—-76.3%-245.9%−63.8%−53% / −96%
VGVenture Global, Inc.—9.154.7%22.3%+176.9%+61% / unavailable
EEExcelerate Energy, Inc—26.8——+44.3%+22% / +105%
UGPUltrapar Holdings Inc.——16.5%1.8%+5.9%+36% / +10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NFE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    New Fortress Energy builds and operates natural gas and LNG infrastructure, plus a fleet of ships and logistics assets, serving customers in Puerto Rico, Mexico and Brazil. The company is now in a debt restructuring after defaulting on certain notes, and this process will determine whether it can continue as an independent business. Uncertainty is high and could materially affect shareholder value.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds integrated infrastructure from supply to delivery, including an operational FLNG unit and terminals in several countries 1.
    • Long-term contracts with large customers such as PREPA and CFE provide a fairly predictable revenue base 1.
    • The support agreement with creditors opens the way to a new capital structure if it is completed 2.

    Weaknesses

    • Defaults on certain notes and substantial doubt about the going concern assumption are major weaknesses 1.
    • Internal control over financial reporting was not effective at year-end 2025, and financial statements were restated 1.
    • Significant asset and goodwill impairments in the second quarter of 2025 drove a large loss in a single quarter 3.

    Opportunities

    • If the restructuring reduces debt, the company could focus resources on remaining operations and completable projects 2.
    • Brazil's power auctions could open new opportunities for existing infrastructure if projects advance 3.
    • Long-term gas and charter contracts could raise revenue if signed and executed on time 3.

    Threats

    • If the restructuring fails, the company could be forced into in-court proceedings, with a negative impact on shareholders 2.
    • Reliance on a small number of large customers makes revenue vulnerable to the loss of a single contract 1.
    • Regulatory changes and possible sanctions could affect operations and ongoing projects 1.

    Risks

    • Restructuring does not completehigh

      The transaction depends on approval by the UK High Court and recognition in the US, and failure could lead to in-court proceedings 12.

    • Doubt about going concernhigh

      Management concluded there is substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern absent completion of the restructuring 1.

    • Significant dilutionhigh

      Existing shareholders could face substantial dilution, and their influence over management could decline 1.

    • Internal control weaknessesmedium

      The identified control weaknesses and restatement of financial statements may affect investor confidence and reporting quality 1.

    • Dependence on projects and suppliersmedium

      Delays or failures by suppliers and contractors could postpone projects and expected revenue 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the restructuring completes and debt falls substantially, the company could have a more sustainable capital structure with core operating assets that could generate revenue 2.
    • Long-term contracts with PREPA and CFE, together with new gas agreements, could support predictable revenue if executed 1.
    • If projects in Brazil and Nicaragua enter operation, the company could grow its revenue-generating asset base 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the restructuring does not complete, shareholders could lose a significant part or all of their investment 12.
    • The large loss and significant impairments in the second quarter of 2025 show pressure on results 3.
    • Heavy dilution could reduce value per share even if operations recover 1.

    What to watch

    • Completion of the debt restructuring and court approvalsQ3 2026
    • Meeting of conditions and milestones in the support agreement2026
    • Progress of the PortoCem and Lins projects in Brazil2026
    • Remediation of reported internal control weaknessesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company describes itself as a global energy infrastructure company that owns and operates natural gas and LNG infrastructure, plus an integrated fleet of ships and logistics assets 1. Its activity is grouped in two segments: Terminals and Infrastructure, covering the chain from gas procurement and liquefaction to gas-fired power generation, and Ships. The FLNG 1 unit, with a capacity of 1.4 MTPA, has produced LNG since July 2024 and is the main supply source 1.

    Segments

    Terminals and Infrastructure

    This segment includes terminals in Puerto Rico, Mexico and Brazil, along with vessels used in terminal or logistics operations. A new PREPA gas supply contract was awarded in December 2025 for up to 75 TBtu annually from the San Juan Facility, and the company will receive a 142.0 million USD settlement for early termination of the emergency power contract 1.

    Ships

    The Ships segment currently includes one vessel chartered long term to a third party and included in the Energos Formation transaction 1. Vessels move to the Terminals and Infrastructure segment once the company uses them in its own operations 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in the natural gas and LNG market, where demand is linked to the energy transition and supply security 1. It plans to meet demand above FLNG 1 capacity through long-term supply contracts that could start in 2027 and 2029, if schedules hold 1.

    Trends

    • Debt restructuring and support agreementmixed

      In March 2026 the company signed a restructuring support agreement with key creditors that provides for a significant reduction of debt and interest expense if the transaction completes 12. Completion is expected in the third quarter of 2026, subject to remaining conditions 2.

    Competitive position

    The analysed sources do not name competitors in this document. The company operates in an LNG market where long-term contracts and access to liquefaction capacity are differentiators, but the texts provided do not offer a detailed comparison with other operators 1.

    • US-based LNG suppliers

      Companies supplying gas under the long-term contracts the company has signed with two American LNG facilities 1.

    • Gas-fired power operators in Brazil

      Players developing gas-fired generation capacity, mentioned in the context of Brazil's power auctions 3.

    • LNG shipping operators

      Companies competing for long-term charter contracts, relevant to the company's fleet 3.

    • Power suppliers in Puerto Rico

      Actors in the local energy market with which the company negotiates gas and service contracts 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 14 May 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report29 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 Oct 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Item 3.03 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report10 Sept 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report21 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
    • Current report25 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jun 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote
    • Current report05 Jun 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / New Fortress Energy Inc. · 13 Apr 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / New Fortress Energy Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / New Fortress Energy Inc. · 08 Sept 2025

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.