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olivLaw · US equity research

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. FEDU

Services-Educational Services · SIC 8200 · Vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

9.31USD−8.28% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. is a provider of after-school enrichment learning and study tour services in China that refocused after 2021 regulatory restrictions on learning, tourism and learning technology solutions. Revenue returned to about 254.4 mn RMB in fiscal 2026, so the company's trajectory now depends on whether its new offerings can grow within a regulatory framework that remains uncertain.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. (FEDU) stock was 9.31 USD (−8.28% on the day), with market capitalisation 210.5 m USD, P/E 46.6 on diluted EPS of 0.20 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.28%, beta 0.42, 52-week range 6.91–14.49 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
210.5 m USD
shares as of 28 Feb 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.20 · TTM to 28 Feb 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.15%
TTM to 28 Feb 2026
Dividend yield
2.28%
DPS 12m 0.21
Beta (2y)
0.42
Volatility (1y) 101%
52-week range
6.9114.49

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.23 – 11.78
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.03 · band width 24.3%
SMA 50 / 200
9.79 / 10.64
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.03 / 0.13
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.8%−1.1%−4.7 pp—
3 months+12.3%−0.5%+12.8 pp—
6 months−11.3%+4.4%−15.7 pp—
Year to date−22.1%+12.3%−34.4 pp—
1 year−35.7%+13.5%−49.3 pp−30.6%
3 years+19.4%+76.4%−57.1 pp−18.2%
5 years−67.2%+63.7%−130.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.3%
07 Nov 2025 → 11 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.2%
12 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−20.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 4-quarter history (min 50.5, median 419.7, max 823.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue50.2 m55.7 m43.3 m39.7 m4.9 m17.4 m34.5 m37.1 m
Revenue YoY+5.6%+10.9%−22.2%−8.4%−87.6%+253.1%+97.8%+7.6%
Net income-90.0 k-15.7 m-4.4 m-18.0 m-4.3 m690.0 k111.0 k4.5 m
Net income YoY−101.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−83.9%+3,942.3%
Diluted EPS-0.00-0.66-0.19-0.80-0.200.030.010.20
Diluted EPS YoY−101.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−66.7%+1,900.0%
net %-0.2%-28.1%-10.1%-45.3%-86.7%4.0%0.3%12.1%
Free cash flow5.3 m10.4 m3.2 m-16.0 m-4.9 m-5.6 m-5.1 m3.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 28 Feb 2026

Cash
19.9 m USD
Financial debt
13.1 m USD
Net debt
-6.7 m USD
Equity
75.1 m USD
Total assets
107.8 m USD
Debt / equity
0.17x
Current ratio
1.85x
ROE
6.2%
ROA
4.3%
FCF margin
9.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
17.4 m
2025
34.5 m
2026
37.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
11.1 m
2025
28.0 m
2026
27.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
6.3 m
2025
6.5 m
2026
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-1.3 m
2025
-2.2 m
2026
983.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
539.0 k
2025
14.0 k
2026
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Income tax
2024
153.0 k
2025
99.0 k
2026
93.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Net income
2024
690.0 k
2025
111.0 k
2026
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.03
2025
0.01
2026
0.20

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
23.6 m
2025
22.1 m
2026
22.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
—
2025
0.21
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2025derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
25.0 m
2025
28.9 m
2026
19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Receivables
2024
451.0 k
2025
281.0 k
2026
463.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Current assets
2024
44.8 m
2025
40.8 m
2026
36.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
9.2 m
2025
17.2 m
2026
17.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
156.0 k
2025
154.0 k
2026
164.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
258.0 k
2025
197.0 k
2026
326.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Total assets
2024
93.7 m
2025
100.4 m
2026
107.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
—
2025
514.0 k
2026
439.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
5.6 m
2025
11.3 m
2026
11.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
14.8 m
2025
18.6 m
2026
19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
20.6 m
2025
31.0 m
2026
32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Equity
2024
73.1 m
2025
69.4 m
2026
75.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2024
21.2 m
2025
22.6 m
2026
22.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
2.3 m
2025
2.7 m
2026
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Capex
2024
7.9 m
2025
7.9 m
2026
912.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-5.6 m ≈
2025
-5.1 m ≈
2026
3.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
9.9 m
2025
346.0 k
2026
-15.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
5.7 m
2025
1.7 m
2026
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Jun 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
—
2025
4.8 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
95.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
3,942.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
1,900.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
25.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
ROA
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
ROIC
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
ROCE
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
106.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
138.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-6.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
912.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
3.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
77.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
4 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
6 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
210.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Enterprise value
203.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
46.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
P/S
5.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
207.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
EV/Sales
5.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
P/FCF
60.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
FCF yield
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 47 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

9.31 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 210.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
210.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Feb 2026
Net margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 28 Feb 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 28 Feb 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Feb 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 17 Jun 2026
verified 258derived 3

Score by group

  • Valuation15
  • Returns20
  • Quality59
  • Balance sheet87
  • Growth100

Estimated value range

Low
2.19
USD per share
Mid
2.86
USD per share
High
3.58
USD per share
Price: 9.31 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -69.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -225.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.60 – 3.75 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E1.60 – 3.42 (Mid 2.53)
    16 companies used · median multiple 12.6x · quartiles 8.0x – 17.1x
    APEI, CVSA, IH, LAUR, LFS, LGCY, LINC, LOPE, LRN, PRDO, PXED, STG, STRA, TAL, VSA, YOUL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)2.79 – 3.75 (Mid 3.19)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 47/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality1.6%44 (vs peers)16%
Net margin · Quality12.1%76 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality77.2%67 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth95.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x87 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation46.6x11 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.6%21 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.3%33 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns138.2%0 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial87/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality59/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns20/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation15/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. (FEDU). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-02-28.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 37.1 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 7.6%; net margin 12.1%; ROE 6.8%.

The estimated value range is 2.19–3.58 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 2.86 USD, the price of 9.31 USD leaves a potential of -69.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -225.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 47/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 12.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 95.9%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 46.5x
  • FCF yield: 1.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 138.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
46.6x
vertical median 14.0x
above median (+233.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.1x
P/S
5.7x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+284.5%)
P/B
3.0x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+13.4%)
ROE
6.8%
vertical median 10.0%
below median (−31.5%)
Net margin
12.1%
vertical median 3.0%
above median (+299.1%)
EBIT margin
2.6%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+28.9%)
Revenue YoY
7.6%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+62.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.5x
Dividend yield
2.3%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+74.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.80.7 bn169.712.4%8.4%+15.5%+2% / −36%
LAURLaureate Education, Inc.4.8 bn12.934.1%20.3%+8.6%+14% / +168%
CVSACovista Inc.4.1 bn17.017.9%12.8%+9.3%+34% / +118%
COE51Talk Online Education Group4.1 bn——-17.6%+88.6%−73% / +43%
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.3.8 bn16.135.9%21.9%+7.1%−4% / +10%
LRNStride, Inc.3.3 bn10.920.9%13.2%+4.7%+25% / +31%
NAMIJinxin Technology Holding Company2.6 bn—-89.7%-22.8%+6.1%−89% / unavailable
DAOYoudao, Inc.2.5 bn159.2—1.6%+9.6%+105% / +397%
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corp1.9 bn10.917.6%20.6%+24.2%+7% / +72%
STRAStrategic Education, Inc.1.7 bn12.48.2%10.5%+4.0%−5% / −16%
YQ17 Education & Technology Group Inc.1.5 bn—-46.5%-145.6%−41.5%−41% / +14%
UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc1.2 bn36.310.5%3.9%+14.0%−3% / +91%
PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, Inc.794.4 m9.530.1%8.7%+1.0%−36% / unavailable
APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.776.2 m17.515.6%6.8%+3.9%+22% / +439%
LINCLincoln Educational Services Corporation637.9 m28.011.9%4.0%+17.8%−2% / +117%
JZJianzhi Education Technology Group Company Limited522.3 m—-44.4%-22.4%−70.6%−98% / −100%
GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.373.9 m—-20.8%-5.3%+40.9%−0% / −9%
IHiHuman Inc.245.2 m22.810.0%11.8%−8.7%−60% / −59%
FEDUFour Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.210.5 m46.66.8%12.1%+7.6%−36% / +19%
LXEHLixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd.155.2 m—-83.1%-395.4%−1.9%−63% / −99%
LGCYLegacy Education Inc.118.1 m14.019.5%11.4%+24.8%−12% / unavailable
EEIQEpicQuest Education Group International Limited93.6 m—-34.8%-27.2%+9.6%−23% / −81%
VSAVisionSys AI Inc81.8 m0.3—164,963.8%−99.9%−97% / −100%
CHGGChegg, Inc71.1 m—-30.7%-17.2%−39.0%−34% / −94%
AMBOAmbow Education Holding Ltd.62.3 m—-2.9%-2.6%+0.8%−61% / −10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FEDU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
6.04
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
10.62
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
15.93
Total return 74% · Per year 74%
3 years
7.16
Total return -17% · Per year -6%
14.05
Total return 59% · Per year 17%
22.94
Total return 157% · Per year 37%
5 years
8.49
Total return 2% · Per year 0%
18.58
Total return 116% · Per year 17%
33.04
Total return 277% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.51
  • Net margin± 2.46
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.83
  • Annual dilution± 0.21

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. is a provider of after-school enrichment learning and study tour services in China that refocused after 2021 regulatory restrictions on learning, tourism and learning technology solutions. Revenue returned to about 254.4 mn RMB in fiscal 2026, so the company's trajectory now depends on whether its new offerings can grow within a regulatory framework that remains uncertain. 1

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has more than fifteen years of operating history in Shanghai education and owns proprietary content protected by copyrights and patents. Teachers are selectively recruited and receive continuous in-house training. 1
  • Its offering combines education with tourism, which differentiates it from purely academic or purely travel providers. The company has shown a recovery in revenue after the 2021 restrictions. 1
  • It has a base of learners and partner schools that use its courses, and its relationships with travel partners provide a platform for diversification. 1

Weaknesses

  • Revenue is highly sensitive to season and travel demand, and the tourism segment declined after its fiscal 2025 peak. 1
  • Some new initiatives have not yet generated significant profit, and the operating history of the newer business lines is short. 1
  • Insurance coverage is limited and does not include certain operating and liability risks. 1

Opportunities

  • Demand for enrichment learning and immersive experiences could support growth in learning services if the new programs gain market acceptance. 1
  • Expanding study camps to new geographic locations could increase capacity in both the tourism and education segments. 1
  • Technology and content solutions for schools could become a larger segment if relationships with schools deepen. 1

Threats

  • Regulatory changes could impose new licence requirements or restrict existing activities, affecting operational continuity. 1
  • Competition is intense, and better-resourced rivals could quickly copy the company's initiatives. 1
  • Travel disruptions such as epidemics or geopolitical tensions could reduce demand for travel packages. 1

Risks

  • Licensing and permit regulatory riskhigh

    Failure to obtain or renew licences for private schools, tourism or online publishing could lead to fines or suspension of operations. 1

  • Risk related to school profit distributionhigh

    Service arrangements between a school and the company's operating entity could be regarded as a way around restrictions on profit distribution, which could lead to confiscation of payments. 1

  • Seasonality dependencemedium

    Demand concentrated in particular periods of the year makes quarterly results volatile and difficult to forecast. 1

  • Growth strategy execution riskmedium

    If new initiatives are not accepted by the market or cannot be replicated efficiently in other cities, growth could be slower than planned. 1

  • Data privacy and cybersecurity riskmedium

    PRC rules on personal data are evolving, and cybersecurity incidents could bring penalties and damage the brand. 1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If enrichment services and content solutions expand, the company could diversify its revenue away from the more volatile tourism segment. 1
  • A return to profitability after the fiscal 2025 loss could suggest the business model has stabilised after restructuring. 1
  • The content portfolio, trademarks and patents could give an edge if they are used in new products and school partnerships. 1

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on regulatory approvals and licences could limit the company's ability to expand its offerings predictably. 1
  • The tourism segment declined after its fiscal 2025 peak, and travel demand can be hit quickly by external factors. 1
  • Intense competition and the ease with which new initiatives can be copied could compress margins over the long term. 1

What to watch

  • Trend in tourism revenue and the summer season resultsQ2 2027
  • Results of the new enrichment programs and the Jiangxi study camp2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company was founded in 2007 in Shanghai and started as a provider of math education for elementary school students, with the Cayman holding company established in 2014. In 2021 it ceased K-9 academic services in mainland China and focused on enrichment learning, tourism services and learning technology and content solutions for schools. 1

The offering falls into three areas: learning services (science, creativity, humanities and aesthetics, coding), tourism services (travel agency, study tours and study camps, with a new site in Jiangxi opened in 2025) and learning technology and content solutions sold to schools through a lump sum cooperation fee and hourly service fees. 1

The company had 95 teachers as of February 28, 2026, about 91% of whom held at least a bachelor's degree, and reported 20 registered trademarks, 21 copyrights and 13 patents. Its insurance covers liability and employee medical costs but not property, business interruption or product liability. 1

Segments

Learning services

This is the largest segment, with revenue of 130.8 mn RMB in fiscal 2026, or 51.4% of the total, up from 108.0 mn RMB in fiscal 2025. Enrichment programs are built on in-house content, and performance depends on course quality and teacher recruitment. 1

Tourism services

This segment generated 118.4 mn RMB in fiscal 2026, after a peak of 138.3 mn RMB in fiscal 2025 when its share was 55.1%. It covers travel agency services, study tours and study camps, and demand is concentrated in the summer season, which typically brings the largest part of annual sales. 1

Market context

The company describes the China after-school learning and enrichment activity market as rapidly evolving, highly fragmented and competitive, with existing players and new entrants. Demand depends on disposable income, urbanization, the regulatory policy landscape and general economic conditions. 1

China's travel market is also highly competitive, and demand for travel services depends on economic growth and willingness to pay for them. Disruptions such as epidemics, geopolitical tensions or natural disasters can directly affect tourism revenue. 1

Trends

  • Shift toward enrichment learningmixed

    After ceasing K-9 academic services, the company is building growth on science, creativity and coding programs that fall outside those restrictions. The strategy is not yet proven over the long term, since many new initiatives have not generated significant profit so far. 1

  • Integration of education with travelmixed

    Demand for immersive learning, study camps and educational trips could support the tourism segment, but the same products are easy for competitors to replicate. If travel demand falls, revenue could be hit quickly. 1

  • Pronounced seasonalitymixed

    The second quarter of each fiscal year generates the largest share of revenue, tied to summer leisure travel and summer and winter study breaks. Quarterly results can therefore vary widely and are hard to compare directly. 1

  • Ongoing regulatory pressureheadwind

    Permits for private schools, travel agency licences and a possible requirement for an online publishing licence could change costs and operating capacity. The lack of clear guidance on which activities need licences keeps uncertainty high. 1

Competitive position

The company faces competition from other major players in the learning and enrichment market, from traditional travel agencies, from domestic and foreign hotel and airline ticket consolidators, and from internet platforms moving into travel. Its stated competitive factors are reputation, technology and content, learner experience, product quality, tailoring of offerings and the ability to attract and keep faculty. 1

The company acknowledges that some competitors have greater access to financing and resources and a longer operating history. New initiatives can be copied quickly by others, which limits the advantage it gains from product innovation. 1

  • Other major learning and enrichment providers in China

    The source mentions these players without naming them, and no verifiable US ticker is given in the text.

  • Traditional travel agencies in China

    Direct competition for the tourism segment, without named companies in the source.

  • Domestic and foreign hotel and airline ticket consolidators

    Named by the company as travel competitors, with no names or tickers given.

  • Internet platforms and social networks entering travel

    A possible source of new entry, not named in the source.

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2026-02-28 · SEC / Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. · 17 Jun 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.