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olivLaw · US equity research

Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO

Services-Educational Services · SIC 8200 · Vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

29.99USD+1.11% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Perdoceo Education Corporation provides online, campus-based and hybrid postsecondary education through three accredited institutions: CTU, AIUS and USAHS. The company grew revenue to 846.1 million USD in fiscal 2025, mainly due to the USAHS acquisition, amid shifting federal regulation.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) stock was 29.99 USD (+1.11% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.9 bn USD, P/E 10.9 on diluted EPS of 2.74 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.00%, beta 0.46, 52-week range 27.41–37.95 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 213.4 m USD (+1.8% YoY), net income of 48.0 m USD (+16.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.75 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.9 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9
Diluted EPS TTM 2.74 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
9.15%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.00%
DPS 12m 0.60
Beta (2y)
0.46
Volatility (1y) 34%
52-week range
27.4137.95

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
29.41 – 35.62
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.09 · band width 19.1%
SMA 50 / 200
32.43 / 33.33
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.67 / -0.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−4.9%−2.0%−2.9 pp—
3 months−9.2%−2.2%−7.0 pp—
6 months−12.1%+4.3%−16.3 pp—
Year to date+2.3%+10.6%−8.3 pp—
1 year−3.3%+10.5%−13.8 pp−30.6%
3 years+71.3%+73.7%−2.4 pp−18.2%
5 years+173.9%+61.7%+112.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−22.5%
06 Apr 2026 → 22 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−27.4%
01 Aug 2022 → 26 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+22.3%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
213.4 m USD
+1.8% YoY
Net income
48.0 m USD
+16.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.75
+21.0% YoY
net / operating
22.5% / 25.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue169.8 m176.4 m213.0 m209.6 m211.9 m211.6 m221.7 m213.4 m
Operating income44.8 m37.2 m51.7 m51.4 m51.0 m41.9 m63.1 m54.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.1 m5.5 m11.8 m10.1 m10.0 m9.7 m9.3 m9.3 m
Interest expense82.0 k84.0 k1.7 m1.6 m1.6 m1.6 m1.5 m1.5 m
Income tax14.1 m11.7 m12.8 m15.2 m16.2 m12.7 m14.2 m12.2 m
Net income38.3 m31.5 m43.7 m41.0 m39.9 m35.3 m54.0 m48.0 m
Diluted EPS0.570.47 ≈0.650.620.600.54 ≈0.850.75
Operating cash flow51.0 m ≈17.6 m65.1 m78.8 m ≈41.2 m ≈40.1 m69.4 m74.6 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈025.2 m20.9 m ≈20.6 m ≈54.1 m8.1 m6.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 55 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 6.6, median 10.5, max 25.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue581.3 m627.7 m687.3 m693.0 m695.2 m710.0 m681.3 m846.1 m
Revenue YoY−2.5%+8.0%+9.5%+0.8%+0.3%+2.1%−4.0%+24.2%
Net income55.2 m70.0 m124.3 m109.6 m95.9 m147.7 m147.6 m159.9 m
Net income YoYunavailable+26.8%+77.6%−11.8%−12.6%+54.0%−0.0%+8.4%
Diluted EPS0.770.971.741.551.392.182.192.42
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+26.0%+79.4%−10.9%−10.3%+56.8%+0.5%+10.5%
net %9.5%11.1%18.1%15.8%13.8%20.8%21.7%18.9%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
111.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
972.4 m USD
Total assets
1.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
5.06x
ROE
16.6%
ROA
12.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
710.0 m
2024
681.3 m
2025
846.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
150.4 m
2024
174.3 m
2025
196.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
16.9 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
167.3 m ≈
2024
188.9 m ≈
2025
237.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
404.0 k
2024
613.0 k
2025
6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
44.5 m
2024
53.9 m
2025
56.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
147.7 m
2024
147.6 m
2025
159.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.18
2024
2.19
2025
2.42

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
67.8 m
2024
67.2 m
2025
66.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.22
2024
0.48
2025
0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
118.0 m
2024
109.1 m
2025
111.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
5.0 m
2024
3.4 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
655.0 m
2024
640.2 m
2025
696.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
21.4 m
2024
95.5 m
2025
83.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
241.2 m
2024
258.0 m
2025
265.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
36.2 m
2024
95.0 m
2025
77.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
10.8 m
2024
12.8 m
2025
14.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
111.0 m
2024
132.2 m
2025
137.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
841.4 m †
2024
959.5 m †
2025
972.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
112.0 m
2024
161.6 m
2025
225.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-88.5 m
2024
-107.8 m
2025
-53.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-23.4 m
2024
-41.1 m
2025
-171.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
14.4 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2024verified

Share repurchases
2023
8.3 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
120.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
24.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
18.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
24.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
21.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
34.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
225.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
90.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
10.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.99 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2255derived 145

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
17.91
USD per share
Mid
35.36
USD per share
High
48.92
USD per share
Price: 29.99 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 17.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 15.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 17.91 – 48.92 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E17.91 – 48.92 (Mid 35.36)
    15 companies used · median multiple 12.9x · quartiles 6.5x – 17.8x
    APEI, CVSA, IH, LAUR, LFS, LGCY, LINC, LOPE, LRN, PXED, STG, STRA, TAL, VSA, YOUL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate7.36 – 9.90 (Mid 8.44)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality20.6%97 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.8%56 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth20.3%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet34.1x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.7x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation10.9x68 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.8%68 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth78/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial97/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial68/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial68/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP (PRDO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 846.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 24.2%; net margin 20.6%; ROE 17.6%.

The estimated value range is 17.91–48.92 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 35.36 USD, the price of 29.99 USD leaves a potential of 17.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 15.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 20.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 20.3%
  • Interest coverage: 34.1x
  • Current ratio: 4.7x

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
10.9x
vertical median 17.0x
below median (−35.5%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.1x
P/S
2.2x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+48.1%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−39.0%)
ROE
17.6%
vertical median 8.2%
above median (+115.4%)
Net margin
20.6%
vertical median 3.0%
above median (+580.7%)
EBIT margin
24.6%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+1,529.7%)
Revenue YoY
24.2%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+416.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.5x
Dividend yield
2.0%
vertical median 1.4%
above median (+38.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.80.7 bn169.712.4%8.4%+15.5%+2% / −36%
LAURLaureate Education, Inc.4.8 bn12.934.1%20.3%+8.6%+14% / +168%
CVSACovista Inc.4.1 bn17.017.9%12.8%+9.3%+34% / +118%
COE51Talk Online Education Group4.1 bn——-17.6%+88.6%−73% / +43%
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.3.9 bn18.231.0%19.6%+7.1%−4% / +10%
LRNStride, Inc.3.3 bn10.920.9%13.2%+4.7%+25% / +31%
NAMIJinxin Technology Holding Company2.6 bn—-89.7%-22.8%+6.1%−89% / unavailable
DAOYoudao, Inc.2.5 bn159.2—1.6%+9.6%+105% / +397%
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corp1.9 bn10.917.6%20.6%+24.2%−3% / +71%
STRAStrategic Education, Inc.1.7 bn12.48.2%10.5%+4.0%−5% / −16%
YQ17 Education & Technology Group Inc.1.5 bn—-46.5%-145.6%−41.5%−41% / +14%
UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc1.2 bn36.310.5%3.9%+14.0%−3% / +91%
PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, Inc.794.4 m9.530.1%8.7%+1.0%−36% / unavailable
APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.776.2 m17.515.6%6.8%+3.9%+22% / +439%
LINCLincoln Educational Services Corporation637.9 m28.011.9%4.0%+17.8%−2% / +117%
JZJianzhi Education Technology Group Company Limited522.3 m—-44.4%-22.4%−70.6%−98% / −100%
GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.373.9 m—-20.8%-5.3%+40.9%−0% / −9%
IHiHuman Inc.245.2 m22.810.0%11.8%−8.7%−60% / −59%
FEDUFour Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.210.5 m46.66.8%12.1%+7.6%−30% / +13%
LXEHLixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd.155.2 m—-83.1%-395.4%−1.9%−63% / −99%
LGCYLegacy Education Inc.118.1 m14.019.5%11.4%+24.8%−12% / unavailable
EEIQEpicQuest Education Group International Limited93.6 m—-34.8%-27.2%+9.6%−23% / −81%
VSAVisionSys AI Inc81.8 m0.3—164,963.8%−99.9%−97% / −100%
CHGGChegg, Inc71.1 m—-30.7%-17.2%−39.0%−34% / −94%
AMBOAmbow Education Holding Ltd.62.3 m—-2.9%-2.6%+0.8%−61% / −10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PRDO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
18.71
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
33.04
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
49.72
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
18.99
Total return -32% · Per year -12%
37.66
Total return 33% · Per year 10%
62.11
Total return 116% · Per year 29%
5 years
19.28
Total return -27% · Per year -6%
42.93
Total return 56% · Per year 9%
77.59
Total return 175% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 9.42
  • Net margin± 6.59
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.30
  • Annual dilution± 0.55

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Perdoceo Education Corporation provides online, campus-based and hybrid postsecondary education through three accredited institutions: CTU, AIUS and USAHS. The company grew revenue to 846.1 million USD in fiscal 2025, mainly due to the USAHS acquisition, amid shifting federal regulation.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a solid balance sheet with substantial liquidity and grew both revenue and operating income in fiscal 2025.
  • Program diversity across three institutions and a presence in healthcare give it a broader student base.
  • Employer partnerships and advising technology support retention, which has remained at elevated levels.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on federal funding makes revenue sensitive to loan rules and the 90-10 revenue limit.
  • The AIUS segment had nearly flat revenue and a decline in enrollments at one university in the system.
  • Legal expenses rose at CTU, weighing on that segment's operating income in 2026.

Opportunities

  • If employer demand stays strong, corporate partnerships could expand enrollments without high marketing costs.
  • USAHS health programs could benefit from continued demand for qualified healthcare professionals.
  • Using artificial intelligence in recruitment and student support could reduce operating costs.

Threats

  • New graduate earnings rules could close programs or limit student access to funding.
  • Policy changes by the federal administration can quickly alter the rules applying to the sector.
  • Competition from traditional online universities and new providers could pressure pricing and enrollments.

Risks

  • Federal regulatory compliancehigh

    Failure to meet Title IV requirements could lead to financial penalties, restrictions or loss of authorization to operate the institutions.

  • 90-10 Rulehigh

    If an institution derives too much of its revenue from federal sources for two consecutive years, it could lose access to federal student aid.

  • Graduate earnings criteriamedium

    Programs failing the earnings thresholds could lose loan eligibility, and final implementing rules are not yet settled.

  • Legal costsmedium

    Ongoing litigation and legal expenses could continue to weigh on profitability, as seen at CTU in 2026.

  • Enrollment declinelow

    Lower interest in online programs or a decline at a single institute could affect revenue across the group.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If enrollment growth and retention remain high, operating income could continue to rise versus the prior year, in line with company guidance.
  • A solid balance sheet and a growing dividend could support the company's flexibility in investment and share repurchases.
  • The healthcare segment and employer partnerships could attract stable students at lower recruitment costs.

What would break the thesis

  • New federal rules could reduce enrollments in master's and professional programs if funding becomes more restrictive.
  • Legal and compliance costs could continue to weigh on profit even as revenue grows.
  • If institutions fail the graduate earnings thresholds, they could lose access to important programs.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the adjusted operating income outlook for fiscal 20262026
  • Enrollment trends at AIUS and Trident UniversityQ3 2026
  • Final graduate earnings rules and their effect on programs2027
  • Effect of ending Grad PLUS loans on master's enrollmentsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Perdoceo offers degree programs from associate to doctoral level, plus non-degree professional development programs, through Colorado Technical University, American InterContinental University System and University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences. The company targets non-traditional adult learners, military personnel and employees sponsored by employers. Most students reside in the United States, and about 91% of enrollments are in fully online programs.

Segments

CTU

Colorado Technical University offers programs in business, healthcare management, computer science, engineering and cybersecurity, and was the largest segment by revenue in the second quarter of 2026.

AIUS

American InterContinental University System combines three universities with programs in business, information technology and education; its revenue was nearly flat in 2026, with a modest enrollment decline at Trident University.

USAHS

University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences offers graduate health sciences programs, mainly physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech-language pathology and nursing, with a strong clinical component and rising revenue in 2026.

Market context

The adult postsecondary education market is sensitive to federally funded programs, and private higher education faces heightened scrutiny from authorities. The company nonetheless reports rising enrollments, suggesting that demand for its online programs remains active.

Trends

  • Federal loan reformheadwind

    The July 2025 reconciliation law eliminates Grad PLUS loans for new graduate and professional students and introduces borrowing caps, which could reduce demand for master's programs.

  • Graduate earnings requirementheadwind

    A new earnings premium test applying to all degree programs could restrict federal funding access if programs fail to meet the thresholds.

  • Employer-funded studentstailwind

    Partnerships with employers offering education benefits could attract students the company would not otherwise reach, at lower recruitment costs.

  • Technology and AI investmenttailwind

    Chatbots based on large language models and data analytics could improve recruitment and retention if they remain effective in practice.

Competitive position

The company competes with other online adult education providers and with traditional universities offering distance programs. Strict sector regulation and public scrutiny of for-profit schools mean that competitive pressure is also shaped by compliance costs.

  • Strategic EducationSTRA

    US postsecondary education provider with online adult programs and a comparable student profile.

  • Adtalem Global EducationATGE

    US education group with professional health and finance programs competing for the same adult students.

  • American Public EducationAPEI

    US online university focused on adults and military students, with programs similar to the AIUS segment.

  • Traditional online universities

    Public and private universities with distance programs compete for the same students but have different cost structures.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Perdoceo Education Corporation · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Perdoceo Education Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Perdoceo Education Corporation · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.