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olivLaw · US equity research

Gulfport Energy Corporation GPOR

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

155.08USD−2.53% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted producer with assets in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins, focused on the Utica and Marcellus formations in eastern Ohio. Proved reserves at year-end 2025 reached 4.3 Tcfe, and net production in the second quarter of 2026 averaged 962.8 MMcfe per day, amid high volatility in natural gas prices.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) stock was 155.08 USD (−2.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.7 bn USD, P/E 6.0 on diluted EPS of 25.98 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.53, 52-week range 150.19–222.49 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 362.5 m USD (−4.5% YoY), net income of 96.4 m USD (−13.5% YoY), diluted EPS 5.45 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.7 bn USD
shares as of 29 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.0
Diluted EPS TTM 25.98 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
16.75%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.53
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
150.19222.49

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
156.97 – 171.22
below the lower band · %B -0.13 · band width 8.7%
SMA 50 / 200
165.51 / 178.53
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.40 / 0.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.8%−5.9%+2.1 pp—
3 months−2.1%−4.6%+2.5 pp—
6 months−13.3%+0.2%−13.5 pp—
Year to date−25.4%+7.4%−32.9 pp—
1 year−21.2%+8.2%−29.4 pp+13.3%
3 years+21.1%+68.4%−47.4 pp−4.7%
5 years+89.5%+56.5%+32.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.5%
28 Nov 2025 → 20 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−43.2%
07 Jun 2022 → 06 Feb 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+13.6%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
362.5 m USD
−4.5% YoY
Net income
96.4 m USD
−13.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
5.45
+22.5% YoY
net / operating
26.6% / 38.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue239.9 m197.0 m447.6 m379.7 m398.2 m437.5 m323.2 m362.5 m
Cost of revenue88.2 m82.9 m86.5 m96.4 m93.2 m90.6 m84.6 m99.3 m
Operating income-315.0 m12.0 m250.8 m159.0 m178.7 m227.6 m127.1 m140.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation84.3 m65.6 m73.6 m83.2 m81.7 m75.4 m73.1 m85.3 m
Interest expense14.0 m13.4 m13.7 m13.6 m13.6 m15.4 m15.8 m17.3 m
Pre-tax income-332.8 m-640.0 k236.1 m142.8 m165.0 m210.5 m111.1 m122.8 m
Income tax-59.5 m-176.0 k51.7 m31.4 m32.6 m44.7 m24.0 m26.4 m
Net income-273.2 m-464.0 k184.5 m111.4 m132.4 m165.8 m87.1 m96.4 m
Diluted EPS-16.25 ≈-0.079.124.456.81 ≈8.874.855.45
Operating cash flow148.8 m177.3 m231.4 m ≈209.1 m ≈185.4 m292.9 m149.9 m ≈183.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 67 percentile of its own 12-quarter history (min 1.1, median 3.5, max 11.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920202022202320242025
Revenue1.3 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn866.5 m1.3 bn1.8 bn958.1 m1.4 bn
Revenue YoY+242.1%+17.5%+0.7%−44.6%unavailable+34.6%−46.5%+48.5%
Net income435.2 m430.6 m-2.0 bn-1.6 bn494.7 m1.5 bn-261.4 m427.8 m
Net income YoYunavailable−1.1%−565.1%unavailableunavailable+197.3%−117.8%unavailable
Diluted EPS2.412.45-12.49-10.1420.3266.46-14.7221.48
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+1.7%−609.8%unavailableunavailable+227.1%−122.1%unavailable
net %33.0%27.7%-128.1%-187.5%37.2%82.1%-27.3%30.1%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.8 m USD
Financial debt
788.2 m USD
Net debt
786.4 m USD
Equity
1.8 bn USD
Total assets
3.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.43x
Current ratio
0.68x
ROE
24.1%
ROA
14.5%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
958.1 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
348.6 m
2024
351.2 m
2025
358.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
606.9 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
974.8 m
2024
-236.8 m
2025
600.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
319.7 m
2024
325.7 m
2025
304.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
89.0 m ≈
2025
904.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
57.1 m
2024
60.0 m
2025
54.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
945.8 m
2024
-317.5 m
2025
543.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-525.2 m
2024
-56.1 m
2025
115.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.5 bn
2024
-261.4 m
2025
427.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
66.46
2024
-14.72
2025
21.48

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
18.9 m
2024
18.1 m
2025
18.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.9 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
122.5 m
2024
155.9 m
2025
184.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
396.8 m
2024
231.3 m
2025
248.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.3 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
43.5 m
2024
34.7 m
2025
53.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
667.4 m
2024
702.9 m
2025
788.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
344.5 m
2024
345.5 m
2025
364.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.2 bn †
2024
1.7 bn †
2025
1.8 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
723.2 m
2024
650.0 m
2025
803.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-537.2 m
2024
-456.0 m
2025
-529.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-191.3 m
2024
-194.5 m
2025
-273.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
48.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
-4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
75.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
65.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
44.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
31.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
22.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
811.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
82.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
2.95
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 60 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

155.08 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
31.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
48.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Nov 2026
verified 2206derived 119

Score by group

  • Quality90
  • Growth16
  • Balance sheet53
  • Valuation77

Estimated value range

Low
168.73
USD per share
Mid
220.81
USD per share
High
271.91
USD per share
Price: 155.08 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 42.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 29.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 149.46 – 283.11 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA149.46 – 260.71 (Mid 220.31)
    11 companies used · median multiple 4.9x · quartiles 3.7x – 5.7x
    APA, CHRD, CRK, DEC, EOG, EQT, EXE, FANG, MTDR, OVV, TALO
  • Peers: P/E188.00 – 283.11 (Mid 221.30)
    18 companies used · median multiple 8.5x · quartiles 7.2x – 10.9x
    AMPY, APA, CHRD, CKX, CRK, DEC, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, KRP, MTDR, OVV, OXY, PR, SD, SM, WDS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 60/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality19.5%90 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality31.7%89 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth2.2%19 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth1.9%12 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x46 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet10.9x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation6.0x86 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation3.8x69 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth16/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality90/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation77/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 48.5%; net margin 31.7%; ROE 25.9%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 168.73–271.91 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 220.81 USD, the price of 155.08 USD leaves a potential of 42.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 29.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 60/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 19.5%
  • Net margin: 31.7%
  • Interest coverage: 10.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 6.0x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 2.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 1.9%
  • Current ratio: 0.8x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
6.0x
vertical median 9.2x
below median (−35.3%)
EV/EBITDA
3.8x
vertical median 5.3x
below median (−28.6%)
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 1.8x
at median
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+14.2%)
ROE
25.9%
vertical median 6.6%
above median (+289.5%)
Net margin
31.7%
vertical median 10.5%
above median (+201.6%)
EBIT margin
44.3%
vertical median 17.5%
above median (+153.6%)
Revenue YoY
48.5%
vertical median -0.4%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
1.1x
vertical median 1.1x
at median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SHELShell plc569.7 bn31.910.1%6.7%−6.1%+36% / +52%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.75.1 bn9.425.8%27.5%−4.5%+34% / +18%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation56.3 bn8.518.9%33.7%−1.9%+34% / −5%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.50.1 bn24.55.3%11.0%+35.8%+18% / +16%
DVNDevon Energy Corp47.2 bn10.211.5%16.7%+7.8%+16% / −5%
WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd40.8 bn15.17.6%20.9%−1.5%+31% / +5%
EQTEqt Corporation31.7 bn12.010.9%28.4%+63.9%−17% / +27%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation19.7 bn7.414.6%19.8%+186.3%−30% / +6%
PRPermian Resources Corporation17.9 bn11.114.3%25.0%+1.3%+47% / +62%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.4 bn12.312.1%12.8%−2.7%+49% / +37%
APAApa Corporation14.6 bn7.133.0%—unavailable+74% / +21%
CHRDChord Energy Corporation7.0 bn8.311.0%13.4%−7.1%+41% / −18%
SMSm Energy Co7.0 bn7.215.0%13.7%+17.2%+56% / −21%
MTDRMatador Resources Company6.2 bn8.612.8%19.9%+5.5%+18% / −14%
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.3.9 bn9.216.9%19.8%+77.0%−50% / +35%
GPORGulfport Energy Corp2.7 bn6.025.9%31.7%+48.5%−21% / +21%
TALOTalos Energy Inc.2.4 bn—-18.1%-18.4%−9.8%+28% / +5%
KOSKosmos Energy Ltd.1.3 bn—-58.8%-27.4%−23.1%+96% / −68%
DECDiversified Energy Company905.2 m16.011.0%4.9%+141.5%−15% / +1,373%
TXOTXO Partners, L.P.703.1 m——-20.5%+41.8%+2% / −31%
AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc.666.4 m—-12.1%-13.0%+3.7%−38% / −69%
EGYVaalco Energy Inc565.9 m—-24.4%-31.1%−25.0%+50% / +16%
SDSandridge Energy, Inc.468.3 m4.818.4%50.1%+24.8%−11% / −9%
KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LP403.4 m4.2—27.8%+7.9%+21% / −2%
GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc.332.2 m—-97.9%-40.0%−4.0%+107% / +48%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GPOR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
95.40
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
168.85
Total return 9% · Per year 9%
254.59
Total return 64% · Per year 64%
3 years
88.43
Total return -43% · Per year -17%
176.50
Total return 14% · Per year 4%
292.79
Total return 89% · Per year 24%
5 years
81.97
Total return -47% · Per year -12%
184.49
Total return 19% · Per year 4%
336.72
Total return 117% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 44.12
  • Net margin± 30.89
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.91
  • Annual dilution± 2.60

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (05 Nov 2026), 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted producer with assets in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins, focused on the Utica and Marcellus formations in eastern Ohio. Proved reserves at year-end 2025 reached 4.3 Tcfe 1, and net production in the second quarter of 2026 averaged 962.8 MMcfe per day 3, amid high volatility in natural gas prices 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a strong position in the Utica and Marcellus, with large proved reserves and production concentrated in high-quality locations 1.
  • The balance sheet was strengthened through preferred stock redemption and a credit facility with available liquidity 12.
  • The company earned MIQ certification for all Appalachia assets for a third consecutive year, supporting its emissions positioning 1.

Weaknesses

  • The company is highly exposed to natural gas prices, and prolonged declines could reduce cash flow and economically recoverable reserves 1.
  • Production in the SCOOP segment declined year over year due to natural declines and the timing of investment programs 2.
  • The full cost accounting method could lead to non-cash impairments of property values if prices fall 1.

Opportunities

  • Ohio acreage purchases could extend drilling inventory and the development runway 3.
  • Growth in US gas and LNG exports could support demand and prices over the medium term 1.
  • Higher liquids output from new wet gas Utica pads could improve adjusted free cash flow 3.

Threats

  • Tariffs and retaliatory measures could affect costs and demand, with significant uncertainty 12.
  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could change global energy prices and market conditions 2.
  • Competition in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins could limit access to infrastructure and attractive acreage 1.

Risks

  • Commodity price volatilityhigh

    Natural gas, oil and NGL prices can fluctuate sharply, and prolonged low prices could materially affect revenue and reserves 1.

  • Indebtedness and covenantsmedium

    Existing debt and commitments could limit financial flexibility, and covenant breaches could have significant consequences 1.

  • Property impairmentsmedium

    The full cost method could lead to accounting write-downs if prices decline, adversely affecting reported results 1.

  • Derivative counterparty riskmedium

    Hedging counterparties could fail to meet their obligations, which could weaken protection against falling prices 1.

  • Leadership transitionlow

    Changes in executive leadership and the departure of the finance chief could disrupt strategy execution until a successor is appointed 23.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The Utica and Marcellus position, with large proved reserves, could support long-term production if gas prices remain supportive.
  • Ohio acreage additions could expand high-return inventory and extend the development runway.
  • Improved capital and cost efficiency could lower breakevens and increase free cash flow.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on natural gas prices, which have been highly volatile, could reduce revenue and cash flow during prolonged weak periods.
  • Production and sales fell in the second quarter of 2026 compared with the prior year, and this trend could continue if natural declines are not offset.
  • Tariffs, geopolitical tensions and finance leadership changes could add operational and market uncertainty.

What to watch

  • Utica production trends and the effect of new Ohio wet gas padsSecond half 2026
  • Progress of the 140 million USD discretionary acreage programBy end 2026
  • Appointment of a permanent finance chief and leadership stabilityQ3 2026
  • Updated proved reserves and standardized measure in the annual reportNext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (05 Nov 2026), 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Gulfport is an exploration and production company weighted toward natural gas, headquartered in Oklahoma City, with shares trading on the NYSE under GPOR 1. Its strategy aims at economic development of its assets to generate sustainable free cash flow and return capital to shareholders through its repurchase program 1. In 2025 net production was 1,039 MMcfe per day and operating cash flow was 803.2 million USD 1.

The company emerged from Chapter 11 in May 2021 and has strengthened its capital structure, including redeeming preferred stock in 2025 12. For 2026 the capital expenditure program was updated to about 430 million USD, including land and seismic investments 3.

Liquidity is comfortable, with a credit facility tied to a borrowing base, but dependence on natural gas prices remains a central feature of the business model 12.

Segments

Utica and Marcellus (Appalachia)

This is the dominant segment in eastern Ohio, accounting for approximately 81% of total production in 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 Utica and Marcellus production was about 800 MMcfe per day 3.

SCOOP (Oklahoma)

SCOOP assets in central Oklahoma contributed a smaller share of production, averaging about 163 MMcfe per day in the second quarter of 2026 3. The segment declined year over year due to natural declines and the timing of development programs 2.

Market context

Natural gas prices were volatile: in 2025 Henry Hub spot ranged from 2.65 to 9.86 USD per MMBtu 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the realized gas price without derivatives fell year over year, reducing gas revenue 2. The Middle East conflict added uncertainty to global energy markets without direct material effects on operations as of the filing 2.

The 2026 capital program and share repurchases depend on commodity prices, so results could vary materially if prices remain below recent levels 13.

Trends

  • Natural gas price volatilitymixed

    Gas prices have fluctuated sharply; producers can benefit from increases but are exposed to prolonged declines that could trigger write-downs 12.

  • Demand from US LNG and gas exportstailwind

    Growth in US gas and LNG exports could support prices over the medium term, a factor the company cites among those influencing its market 1.

  • Tariffs and economic uncertaintyheadwind

    Imposed and retaliatory tariffs have created uncertainty about economic conditions, which could affect demand and operating costs 12.

  • Ohio acreage additionstailwind

    Ohio state land purchases and the discretionary acreage program could extend drilling inventory and development runway if results confirm expectations 3.

Competitive position

The exploration and production industry is highly competitive, and some competitors have greater financial and other resources than Gulfport 1. The company operates in the same Appalachia basin as other gas producers, which could affect access to infrastructure and transport costs 1.

Competition for acreage and development capital is intense, and Gulfport's ability to stay competitive depends on operating efficiency and production costs 13.

  • Larger exploration and production companies

    The company's risk disclosures indicate some competitors have greater financial resources, without naming them in the sources reviewed 1.

  • Other Appalachia basin producers

    Companies operating in the same region compete for infrastructure and acreage, as described in the company's risk factors 1.

  • Anadarko basin producers

    Competition in the SCOOP area is shaped by geology and access to processing, as described in the company's activity overview 1.

  • Ohio land lease bidders

    State land lease sales in Ohio show several operators competing for the same high-return locations 23.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Gulfport Energy Corporation · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Gulfport Energy Corporation · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Gulfport Energy Corporation · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.