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olivLaw · US equity research

Comstock Resources, Inc. CRK

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

13.38USD−3.32% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Comstock Resources is an independent natural gas producer focused on the Haynesville shale in North Louisiana and East Texas, close to Gulf Coast export markets. The company is currently pursuing production growth in Western Haynesville, and gas prices and its developing data center contracts shape its outlook.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) stock was 13.38 USD (−3.32% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.9 bn USD, P/E 7.6 on diluted EPS of 1.76 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.69, 52-week range 12.32–27.37 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 353.3 m USD (−24.9% YoY), net income of 8.8 m USD (−93.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.03 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.9 bn USD
shares as of 29 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.6
Diluted EPS TTM 1.76 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
13.18%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.69
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
12.3227.37

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
13.21 – 14.93
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.10 · band width 12.2%
SMA 50 / 200
13.98 / 16.05
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.10 / 0.17
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+2.5%−1.1%+3.5 pp—
3 months+3.2%−0.5%+3.7 pp—
6 months−10.7%+4.4%−15.1 pp—
Year to date−42.3%+12.3%−54.6 pp—
1 year−33.3%+13.5%−46.8 pp+18.8%
3 years+0.5%+76.4%−75.9 pp+12.4%
5 years+38.2%+63.7%−25.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−55.0%
05 Dec 2025 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−66.1%
07 Jun 2022 → 14 Feb 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
353.3 m USD
−24.9% YoY
Net income
8.8 m USD
−93.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.03
−93.2% YoY
net / operating
2.5% / 6.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue304.5 m367.4 m512.9 m470.3 m449.9 m787.3 m587.4 m353.3 m
Operating income-61.3 m-1.9 m126.2 m89.4 m50.2 m380.0 m174.9 m22.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation208.4 m202.1 m167.9 m158.4 m157.4 m157.5 m141.5 m167.4 m
Interest expense54.5 m54.6 m54.8 m55.2 m56.7 m56.1 m53.1 m55.0 m
Pre-tax income-40.4 m-135.3 m-258.7 m272.2 m136.7 m358.5 m124.5 m12.2 m
Income tax-14.7 m-80.0 m-143.3 m141.5 m18.6 m71.7 m12.0 m-2.8 m
Net income-28.9 m-58.1 m-121.3 m124.8 m111.1 m280.9 m107.5 m8.8 m
Diluted EPS-0.09-0.20 ≈-0.400.440.400.95 ≈0.380.03
Operating cash flow98.2 m ≈267.1 m174.7 m347.6 m ≈153.1 m ≈224.2 m272.0 m170.2 m ≈
Capex229.3 m ≈280.0 m298.0 m344.3 m ≈341.5 m ≈365.5 m415.8 m431.9 m ≈
Dividends paid0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 15-quarter history (min 2.2, median 10.2, max 109.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2017201920202021⚠ 2022202320242025
Revenue255.3 m768.7 m858.2 m1.9 bn3.6 bn1.6 bn1.3 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+11.6%+115.7%—−56.9%−19.9%+77.0%
Net income-111.4 m96.9 m-52.4 m-259.2 m1.1 bn211.1 m-229.7 m395.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−154.1%unavailable—−81.2%−208.8%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable0.52-0.39-1.124.110.76-0.761.43
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−175.0%unavailable—−81.5%−200.0%unavailable
net %-43.6%12.6%-6.1%-14.0%31.0%13.5%-18.3%17.8%
Free cash flow-5.9 m-35.5 m66.0 m169.9 m630.6 m-408.2 m-477.1 m-449.7 m

The series breaks before 2022: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
23.9 m USD
Financial debt
2.8 bn USD
Net debt
2.8 bn USD
Equity
3.0 bn USD
Total assets
7.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.95x
Current ratio
0.49x
ROE
14.9%
ROA
5.9%
FCF margin
-20.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
226.6 m
2024
-168.6 m
2025
645.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
607.9 m
2024
795.4 m
2025
641.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
834.5 m ≈
2024
626.8 m ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
169.0 m
2024
210.6 m
2025
222.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
247.0 m
2024
-367.8 m
2025
508.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
35.1 m
2024
-149.1 m
2025
88.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
211.1 m
2024
-229.7 m
2025
395.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.76
2024
-0.76
2025
1.43

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
276.8 m
2024
287.0 m
2025
294.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.50
2024
0.00
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
16.7 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
23.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
166.6 m
2024
145.4 m
2025
203.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
461.5 m
2024
284.0 m
2025
360.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.4 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
335.9 m
2024
335.9 m
2025
335.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.3 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
7.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
523.3 m
2024
421.8 m
2025
501.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
681.5 m
2024
612.9 m
2025
729.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.0 bn
2024
620.3 m
2025
899.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-408.2 m ≈
2024
-477.1 m ≈
2025
-449.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.4 bn
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-915.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
363.0 m
2024
454.1 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
139.0 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
77.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
-29.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
-29.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
57.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
28.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-33.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
819.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-735.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-144.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
65.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
23 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
7.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
7.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
13.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
11.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.28
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 26 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

13.38 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
77.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Jul 2026
verified 2201derived 148

Score by group

  • Valuation43
  • Balance sheet9
  • Quality43
  • Growth0
  • Returns0

Estimated value range

Low
9.45
USD per share
Mid
13.61
USD per share
High
17.72
USD per share
Price: 13.38 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 1.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 1.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.99 – 21.52 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA3.99 – 13.92 (Mid 9.69)
    13 companies used · median multiple 4.7x · quartiles 3.4x – 5.7x
    APA, AR, DEC, EOG, EQT, EXE, FANG, MTDR, MUR, OVV, PARR, REPX, WTI
  • Peers: P/E14.90 – 21.52 (Mid 17.53)
    18 companies used · median multiple 9.9x · quartiles 8.4x – 12.2x
    ANNA, APA, AR, CKX, DEC, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, MTDR, MUR, OVV, OXY, PARR, PR, REPX, SM, TTE
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 26/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.1%45 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality23.3%84 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-144.7%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-15.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-29.7%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.4x6 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.8x21 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation7.6x81 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.6x40 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation-18.7%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet9/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality43/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation43/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

COMSTOCK RESOURCES, INC. (CRK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 77.0%; net margin 23.3%; ROE 21.1%; net debt/EBITDA 2.4x.

The estimated value range is 9.45–17.72 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 13.61 USD, the price of 13.38 USD leaves a potential of 1.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 1.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 26/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 23.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 7.6x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -144.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -15.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -29.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 2.4x
  • Interest coverage: 2.8x
  • Current ratio: 0.5x
  • FCF yield: -18.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
7.6x
vertical median 10.5x
below median (−28.0%)
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
vertical median 5.2x
above median (+6.8%)
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+10.2%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+15.4%)
ROE
21.1%
vertical median 10.9%
above median (+92.8%)
Net margin
23.3%
vertical median 8.2%
above median (+183.4%)
EBIT margin
28.8%
vertical median 14.9%
above median (+93.7%)
Revenue YoY
77.0%
vertical median -1.9%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
2.4x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+171.3%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 2.7%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE199.6 bn15.711.3%6.5%−6.2%+38% / +33%
PBRPetrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro SA145.9 bn33.810.9%8.2%−10.7%+56% / +28%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.77.1 bn11.422.5%25.4%−4.5%+36% / +19%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation57.3 bn8.618.9%33.7%−1.9%+37% / −3%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.51.1 bn25.05.3%11.0%+35.8%+20% / +18%
DVNDevon Energy Corp48.5 bn10.511.5%16.7%+7.8%+19% / −2%
EQTEqt Corporation32.9 bn12.510.9%28.4%+63.9%−14% / +31%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.2 bn7.614.6%19.8%+186.3%−28% / +9%
PRPermian Resources Corporation18.8 bn14.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+55% / +71%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.8 bn12.712.1%12.8%−2.7%+53% / +41%
APAApa Corporation15.6 bn9.425.9%—unavailable+78% / +24%
ARAntero Resources Corporation11.5 bn8.417.6%21.7%+22.0%+3% / +58%
SMSm Energy Co7.3 bn7.515.0%13.7%+17.2%+63% / −17%
MTDRMatador Resources Company6.2 bn8.612.8%19.9%+5.5%+19% / −13%
MURMurphy Oil Corporation5.2 bn11.28.9%15.0%−10.2%+12% / −16%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.3 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+1% / −6%
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.3.9 bn7.621.1%23.3%+77.0%−33% / +1%
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn3.650.9%9.8%−6.4%+53% / +103%
TBNTamboran Resources Corporation982.4 m—-4.8%—unavailable+18% / unavailable
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.948.6 m9.216.8%17.3%−4.4%+57% / +74%
DECDiversified Energy Company942.7 m16.711.0%4.9%+141.5%−11% / +1,434%
TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.917.3 m100.82.5%1.4%+5.3%−20% / +31%
AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc.843.0 m—-12.1%-13.0%+3.7%−22% / −61%
EGYVaalco Energy Inc568.0 m—-24.4%-31.1%−25.0%+51% / +16%
WTIW&T Offshore, Inc.497.2 m——-8.4%−4.5%+81% / −4%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
7.02
Total return -48% · Per year -48%
12.47
Total return -7% · Per year -7%
18.88
Total return 41% · Per year 41%
3 years
5.57
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
11.26
Total return -16% · Per year -6%
18.88
Total return 41% · Per year 12%
5 years
4.43
Total return -67% · Per year -20%
10.16
Total return -24% · Per year -5%
18.88
Total return 41% · Per year 7%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.81
  • Net margin± 1.97
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.78
  • Annual dilution± 0.17

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Comstock Resources is an independent natural gas producer focused on the Haynesville shale in North Louisiana and East Texas, close to Gulf Coast export markets. The company is currently pursuing production growth in Western Haynesville, and gas prices and its developing data center contracts shape its outlook 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Its position in the Haynesville basin, with access to Gulf Coast markets and substantial proved reserves, gives it a pricing advantage over producers in other regions 1.
  • The company operates nearly all its properties, giving it control over costs, drilling timing and marketing 1.
  • Its drilling inventory is deep and growth relies on acquiring undeveloped acreage rather than producing properties 1.

Weaknesses

  • Production and revenue depend heavily on gas prices, which are volatile, and price declines directly affect cash flow 1.
  • Financing costs are high, and interest expense rose because of additional borrowing 1.
  • The company recorded impairment in the Eagle Ford and could need further impairments if prices decline 1.

Opportunities

  • Development of Western Haynesville and longer lateral wells could raise reserves and production over the long term 1.
  • The NextEra contract for gas supplying power generation for data centers could add a new revenue source 1.
  • LNG export demand could support better prices for producers with Gulf Coast access 1.

Threats

  • Weaker gas prices over a long period could make reserves uneconomic and limit drilling 1.
  • Stricter environmental rules or carbon pricing systems could raise costs and restrict operations 1.
  • If production cannot offset decline from existing wells, cash flow could be insufficient for investment 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on gas priceshigh

    Revenue, reserve value and project viability depend on gas prices, which may remain volatile 1.

  • Reserve replacementhigh

    Future production depends on the company's ability to find and develop new economically recoverable reserves, and success is not assured 1.

  • Lease expirationsmedium

    A large portion of undeveloped acreage is under leases expiring before 2028, and renewing them could be costly or impossible 1.

  • Environmental and operating hazardsmedium

    Operations carry risks of explosions, leaks and accidents, and environmental rules impose costs and penalties 1.

  • Access to capitalmedium

    Funding investment may require equity or additional debt, which could dilute shareholders or raise costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Large reserves, a position in Haynesville and access to Gulf Coast markets could support cash flow if gas prices stabilize 12.
  • The Western Haynesville project and the NextEra partnership could open long-term growth linked to data center demand 13.
  • Second quarter 2026 results show production growth and a high operating margin even though prices fell 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Realized prices fell in the second quarter of 2026, and sales revenue was lower than in the prior year 2.
  • Net income for the quarter was small, and part of the profit came from unrealized gains on hedging instruments rather than operations 3.
  • Interest costs and debt could limit financial flexibility if gas prices stay low for a long period 1.

What to watch

  • Realized gas price trend and the effect of hedgingQ3 2026
  • Completion of the Quantum redemption and its effect on the capital structure2026
  • Results and initial rates of the first Western Haynesville wellsQ3 2026
  • Update of the drilling plan and capital budget in the annual reportnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Comstock Resources is an independent company engaged in the exploration and production of natural gas and oil in the United States, with assets concentrated almost entirely in the Haynesville and Bossier shales of North Louisiana and East Texas 1. As of December 31, 2025, it held proved reserves of 7.0 Tcfe with a PV 10 value of 4.5 billion USD 1. Its shares are listed on the NYSE and NYSE Texas under the symbol CRK 1.

The company's advantage is its location, since the area has access to Gulf Coast demand driven by LNG exports, exports to Mexico and petrochemical facilities 1. It operates 99% of its proved reserve base and controls costs through its operator role 1. Since 2023, a partnership with Quantum has financed gathering and treating infrastructure in Western Haynesville through Pinnacle Gas Services LLC 1.

For 2026, the company intends to drill an additional 19 Haynesville and Bossier wells in its exploratory Western Haynesville play while maintaining a plan that protects its balance sheet 1. In the second quarter of 2026, Pinnacle was partly sold, and the proceeds were used to redeem Pinnacle's preferred equity and debt 3.

Segments

Natural gas production

Natural gas accounts for nearly all proved reserves and extraction revenue. In 2025, production fell 15% to 450.2 Bcf, sold at an average price of 3.17 USD per Mcf 1. In the first half of 2026, production fell 7% to 210.9 Bcf 2.

Western Haynesville development

Western Haynesville is the main growth driver, with undeveloped drilling inventory and longer lateral lengths than the legacy area 1. During the second quarter of 2026, five new wells were turned to sales with an average initial rate of 33 MMcf per day 3.

Market context

The US natural gas market is highly volatile, and producers' realized prices depend on domestic and foreign demand, weather and global inventories 1. Comstock benefits from access to Gulf Coast markets, where demand is rising due to LNG exports and data center power generation 1. Realized prices fell in Q2 2026 to 2.54 USD per Mcf before hedging 2.

Reserve estimates depend on the reference price: for 2025 the gas price used was 3.07 USD per Mcf, and proved reserves rose significantly from the prior year 1. If prices stayed below recent levels, the value of reserves and drilling plans could be reassessed 1.

Trends

  • Rising LNG export demandtailwind

    US LNG exports and expanding petrochemical capacity on the Gulf Coast support demand for Haynesville gas 1. If this demand keeps growing, producers with direct Gulf Coast access could obtain better prices 1.

  • Data center power demandtailwind

    The partnership with NextEra Energy Resources to supply gas for new power generation supporting data centers could open a new long-term revenue source 1. The project is, however, at an early stage.

  • Weaker gas pricesheadwind

    In the first half of 2026, the realized price fell in the second quarter to 2.54 USD per Mcf, compared with 3.02 USD in the same period of the prior year 2. Lower prices reduce revenue and reserve value 1.

  • Environmental regulationmixed

    Environmental laws are becoming stricter, and the imposition of harsher rules such as cap and trade schemes could increase costs and limit operations 1.

Competitive position

Comstock competes with other Haynesville producers and with producers in other regions for acreage, equipment, services and capital, and winning favorable acquisitions is becoming harder 1. The company says it differentiates through longer lateral wells and a steady acquisition of undeveloped acreage 1.

Producers in other areas without Gulf Coast access generally receive lower net prices, so Comstock's position depends on regional infrastructure 1. Competition for gathering and transport infrastructure can influence margins 1.

  • Other independent Haynesville producers

    Companies operating in the same basin that compete for acreage, equipment and capital; the source does not name them.

  • Operators in other North American gas basins

    Producers in other regions that compete for prices and demand in the gas market; the source does not name them.

  • Gathering and transport infrastructure companies

    Third-party pipeline and treating operators on which market access depends; the source does not name them.

  • Eagle Ford producers

    Operators reducing activity in the Eagle Ford, where the company recorded impairment; the source does not identify them.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Comstock Resources, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Comstock Resources, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Comstock Resources, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.