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Hess Midstream LP HESM

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

32.70USD+0.80% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Hess Midstream LP (HESM) is a midstream infrastructure company whose revenue is almost entirely fee-based under agreements with Chevron, operating in the Williston Basin of North Dakota. Second-quarter 2026 volumes declined, but full-year guidance was reaffirmed.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, Hess Midstream LP (HESM) stock was 32.70 USD (+0.80% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.2 bn USD, P/E 11.2, beta 0.44, 52-week range 30.04–40.97 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 399.0 m USD (−3.7% YoY), net income of 96.4 m USD (+6.8% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.2 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.2
market cap ÷ net income
E/P (TTM)
8.93%
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.44
Volatility (1y) 27%
52-week range
30.0440.97

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
45.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
29.51 – 33.70
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.76 · band width 13.3%
SMA 50 / 200
36.26 / 37.95
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.14 / -1.62
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−13.4%−2.0%−11.4 pp—
3 months−18.8%−2.2%−16.7 pp—
6 months−16.5%+4.3%−20.8 pp—
Year to date−5.2%+10.6%−15.8 pp—
1 year−5.1%+10.5%−15.6 pp+28.5%
3 years+7.7%+73.7%−66.0 pp+14.3%
5 years+32.0%+61.7%−29.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.7%
08 Sept 2026 → 22 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−31.5%
19 Mar 2025 → 22 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.7%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
399.0 m USD
−3.7% YoY
Net income
96.4 m USD
+6.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
24.2% / 63.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue378.5 m395.9 m382.0 m414.2 m420.9 m404.2 m390.1 m399.0 m
Operating income231.7 m243.0 m237.4 m260.2 m258.9 m251.6 m238.1 m253.2 m
Pre-tax income183.6 m194.7 m184.4 m208.8 m207.0 m198.2 m185.9 m204.8 m
Income tax18.9 m22.6 m23.0 m29.1 m31.5 m30.2 m28.2 m31.1 m
Net income58.6 m70.4 m71.6 m90.3 m97.7 m93.3 m87.6 m96.4 m
Operating cash flow224.9 m ≈258.5 m202.4 m276.9 m ≈258.9 m ≈245.6 m253.3 m278.6 m ≈
Capex92.3 m ≈95.1 m45.5 m63.4 m ≈80.0 m ≈66.7 m28.8 m23.1 m ≈
Share repurchases100.0 m ≈0100.0 m200.0 m ≈100.0 m ≈060.0 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue712.7 m848.3 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
Revenue YoY+23.0%+19.0%+28.7%+10.2%+5.9%+5.8%+10.9%+8.4%
Net income70.8 m70.1 m24.0 m46.4 m83.9 m118.6 m223.1 m352.9 m
Net income YoY+71.8%−1.0%−65.8%+93.3%+80.8%+41.4%+88.1%+58.2%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %9.9%8.3%2.2%3.9%6.6%8.8%14.9%21.8%
Free cash flow225.0 m164.3 m340.6 m632.3 m622.9 m642.9 m634.2 m728.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.9 m USD
Financial debt
3.8 bn USD
Net debt
3.8 bn USD
Equity
unavailable USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.85x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
8.3%
FCF margin
44.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
816.9 m
2024
919.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
645.6 m
2024
730.8 m
2025
798.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
37.9 m
2024
71.8 m
2025
113.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
118.6 m
2024
223.1 m
2025
352.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
5.4 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
122.5 m
2024
135.3 m
2025
143.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
136.8 m
2024
149.4 m
2025
159.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
41.2 m
2024
33.5 m
2025
26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
12.5 m
2024
22.5 m
2025
32.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
210.2 m
2024
219.3 m
2025
187.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.4 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
866.4 m
2024
940.3 m
2025
983.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
223.5 m
2024
306.1 m
2025
255.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
642.9 m ≈
2024
634.2 m ≈
2025
728.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-223.5 m
2024
-306.1 m
2025
-255.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-640.6 m
2024
-635.3 m
2025
-730.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
400.0 m
2024
300.0 m
2025
400.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
58.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
61.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
71.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
62.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
23.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
51.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
input data missing
ROA
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
24.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
198.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
837.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
223.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
7.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

32.70 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
23.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

21/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 666derived 64

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
22.08
USD per share
Mid
29.51
USD per share
High
38.40
USD per share
Price: 32.70 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -9.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -10.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 22.08 – 38.40 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E22.08 – 38.40 (Mid 29.51)
    19 companies used · median multiple 10.1x · quartiles 7.6x – 13.1x
    APA, CKX, DEC, DMLP, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, GPRK, KRP, MNR, MTDR, OVV, OXY, PARR, PR, REPX, SD, TTE
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality23.2%76 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality223.4%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.3%69 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.2x50 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation20.0%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.8%54 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial69/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial54/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation72/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Hess Midstream LP (HESM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.4%; net margin 23.2%.

The estimated value range is 22.08–38.40 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 29.51 USD, the price of 32.70 USD leaves a potential of -9.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -10.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 23.2%
  • FCF conversion: 223.4%
  • FCF yield: 20.0%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.8x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.2x
vertical median 11.1x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.7x
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+52.3%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.4x
ROE
—
vertical median 10.9%
Net margin
23.2%
vertical median 8.4%
above median (+176.4%)
EBIT margin
62.1%
vertical median 14.7%
above median (+320.9%)
Revenue YoY
8.4%
vertical median -3.4%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE204.6 bn16.011.3%6.5%−6.2%+41% / +36%
PBRPetrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro SA156.9 bn36.310.9%8.2%−10.7%+68% / +38%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.81.4 bn12.122.5%25.4%−4.5%+44% / +26%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation60.4 bn9.118.9%33.7%−1.9%+44% / +2%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.53.9 bn37.43.8%8.6%+35.8%+26% / +25%
DVNDevon Energy Corp52.4 bn11.311.5%16.7%+7.8%+28% / +6%
EQTEqt Corporation33.9 bn12.910.9%28.4%+63.9%−11% / +36%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.8 bn7.814.6%19.8%+186.3%−26% / +12%
PRPermian Resources Corporation20.1 bn15.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+66% / +83%
OVVOvintiv Inc.17.9 bn13.412.1%12.8%−2.7%+62% / +50%
APAApa Corporation16.7 bn10.125.9%—unavailable+91% / +33%
MTDRMatador Resources Company6.7 bn9.312.8%19.9%+5.5%+28% / −6%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.5 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+8% / +0%
HESMHess Midstream LP4.2 bn11.2—23.2%+8.4%−5% / +8%
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.3.6 bn4.254.7%9.9%−6.4%+56% / +108%
TALOTalos Energy Inc.2.7 bn—-17.8%-20.5%−9.8%+40% / +16%
NOGNorthern Oil And Gas, Inc.2.7 bn—-22.1%-25.4%+11.2%+12% / −33%
MNRMach Natural Resources LP1.7 bn19.7—7.4%+21.2%−12% / −42%
DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.1.4 bn15.9—45.5%−5.4%+29% / −3%
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.1.0 bn8.519.9%24.5%−4.4%+71% / +90%
DECDiversified Energy Company965.3 m2.447.6%22.6%+141.5%−9% / +1,470%
EGYVaalco Energy Inc590.1 m—-24.4%-31.1%−25.0%+57% / +21%
GPRKGeoPark LTD534.1 m10.922.1%10.1%−25.5%+27% / +14%
SDSandridge Energy, Inc.496.1 m6.016.2%46.1%+24.8%−5% / −3%
KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LP438.0 m4.3—29.7%+7.9%+31% / +6%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HESM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
20.07
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
35.42
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
53.27
Total return 63% · Per year 63%
3 years
21.01
Total return -36% · Per year -14%
41.58
Total return 27% · Per year 8%
68.43
Total return 109% · Per year 28%
5 years
21.99
Total return -33% · Per year -8%
48.79
Total return 49% · Per year 8%
87.89
Total return 169% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 10.39
  • Net margin± 7.28
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.76
  • Annual dilution± 0.61

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Hess Midstream LP (HESM) is a midstream infrastructure company whose revenue is almost entirely fee-based under agreements with Chevron, operating in the Williston Basin of North Dakota. Second-quarter 2026 volumes declined, but full-year guidance was reaffirmed 32.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Fee-based contracts with broad dedications, minimum volume commitments and inflation escalators support cash flow stability 2.
  • Existing infrastructure covers most of Chevron's drilling plans, reducing the need for major new capital 1.
  • An investment grade rating from S&P and lighter contractual restrictions support access to financing 12.

Weaknesses

  • Near-total dependence on Chevron makes revenue vulnerable to changes in its strategy 1.
  • Third-party volumes have remained limited, restricting customer diversification 1.
  • Significant consolidated debt could restrict business flexibility 1.

Opportunities

  • If third-party producers in the Bakken expand, the Company could win new contracts for available capacity 1.
  • Acquisitions of midstream assets from the sponsor or third parties could extend the portfolio 1.
  • Lower capital spending after compression work could free cash for shareholders 2.

Threats

  • Lower oil and gas prices could reduce drilling and throughput volumes 1.
  • Environmental and climate regulation could raise costs or limit operations 1.
  • Cyberattacks on operational technology networks could disrupt activity 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on Chevronhigh

    Chevron accounts for substantially all revenue, and changes in its strategy or financial condition could materially affect distributions 1.

  • Production declinehigh

    Production from connected wells declines naturally, and a lack of new drilling could reduce volumes and revenue 1.

  • Environmental regulationmedium

    Laws on emissions, hydraulic fracturing and climate change could raise costs or limit operations 1.

  • Debt and restrictionsmedium

    Significant consolidated debt and lending terms could limit the business and financial flexibility 1.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Incidents affecting operational technology networks could disrupt the Company and its partners 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Fee-based contracts with broad dedications and minimum volume commitments could sustain cash flow even in a period of weaker volumes 2.
  • The Company reaffirmed 2026 guidance and raised its quarterly distribution, which could signal confidence in cash flow 23.
  • Completing the compression expansion reduced capital spending, which could free cash for shareholders and debt reduction 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Oil and water volumes fell in the second quarter of 2026, and revenue was lower than the prior year 2.
  • Near-total dependence on Chevron could leave the Company exposed if Chevron's strategy changes 1.
  • Third-party volume growth has remained limited, and competition in the Bakken could hinder expansion 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow guidance2026
  • Trend in oil and water volumes as new-well activity changesQ3 2026
  • Chevron's Bakken strategy after the Mergernext 10-K
  • Progress in attracting third-party volumes2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Hess Midstream LP is a fee-based, growth-oriented limited partnership that owns, operates, develops and acquires midstream assets in the Bakken and Three Forks shale plays of the Williston Basin, North Dakota 1. It provides fee-based services to its sponsor, now Chevron, and to third-party customers 1. Since the July 2025 Merger, Chevron indirectly holds an approximate 37.9% interest in the Company 1.

Revenues are fees for gathering, compressing and processing natural gas, gathering and terminaling crude oil and NGLs, storing propane and disposing of produced water 2. Chevron agreements include dedications covering substantially all of its Bakken production, minimum volume commitments and fee recalculation mechanisms intended to support cash flow stability 2. The Secondary Term runs through December 31, 2033, with no changes to the provisions 2.

The Company reports three segments: gathering, processing and storage, and terminaling and export 1. In fiscal 2025 it recorded consolidated net income of $684.6 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $1,238.1 million 1.

Segments

Gathering

The gathering segment covers natural gas and crude oil gathering systems in McKenzie, Williams and Mountrail counties, plus produced water gathering and disposal 1. Gas processing throughput rose 6% in 2025, mainly on higher Chevron and third-party production 1.

Processing and storage

The segment includes the Tioga Gas Plant, a 50% equity investment in the LM4 joint venture and the Mentor propane storage terminal in Minnesota 1. Second-quarter 2026 gas processing throughput fell 4%, mainly due to planned maintenance at the Tioga Gas Plant 2.

Terminaling and export

The segment includes the Ramberg Terminal, the Tioga Rail Terminal and the Johnson's Corner Header System, which delivers crude to the Dakota Access Pipeline 1. Oil terminaling volumes fell 15% in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting lower new-well activity 2.

Market context

The relevant market is midstream infrastructure in the Williston Basin, where volumes depend on drilling activity and commodity prices 1. The Company could be affected if lower drilling by producers reduces volumes moving through its systems, a risk it describes in its filings 1. Compression capacity in the Bakken has been expanded, with a new station placed in service in the first quarter of 2026 2.

The Partnership's senior unsecured debt is rated BBB- by S&P and Ba1 by Moody's as of June 30, 2026 2. An investment grade rating could reduce contractual debt restrictions, which could matter for the cost of capital 1.

Trends

  • Lower drilling activityheadwind

    Fewer new wells reduced oil and water volumes in the second quarter of 2026 2. If the decline continues, volume-based revenue could be affected, although higher tariffs partly offset it 2.

  • Rising distributionstailwind

    The quarterly distribution was raised to $0.7888 per Class A share for the second quarter of 2026 2. Sustained increases would depend on adjusted cash flow, which the Company guides for the year 3.

  • Dependence on Chevronmixed

    Chevron accounts for substantially all revenue, and the 2025 Merger added uncertainty about its strategy and synergies 1. The long-term effect is mainly a risk, but it could become support if Chevron expands its Bakken activity 1.

Competitive position

Gathering and processing systems compete with third-party gathering systems and processing plants in the Bakken, while terminals and rail cars compete with third-party terminals, pipelines and rail cars 1. The Company cannot assure it will attract significant third-party volumes, which limits growth 1.

Potential customers may prefer contracts that leave the midstream provider with direct commodity exposure, which complicates attracting new clients 1. The close relationship with Chevron may limit this diversification 1.

  • Bakken gathering and processing operators

    Third-party gathering systems and processing plants that compete for new volumes in the region 1.

  • Third-party terminals and pipelines

    Compete for crude oil volumes and could draw customers away from the Company's terminals 1.

  • Third-party rail cars

    Offer alternative crude transport, limiting use of the Company's available capacity 1.

  • LM4 processing plant

    Operated by Targa Resources, which processes regional gas in a plant where the Company holds a 50% interest 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report30 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report04 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Mar 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report25 Feb 2026
  • Current report02 Feb 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Jan 2026
    Amendments to articles or bylaws · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hess Midstream LP · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Hess Midstream LP · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hess Midstream LP · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.