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olivLaw · US equity research

Crescent Energy Company CRGY

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

11.73USD−9.84% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Crescent Energy is a U.S. energy company producing oil, natural gas and NGLs from the Eagle Ford, Permian and Uinta basins, and it pairs acquisitions with consistent return of capital to shareholders. It matters now because the 2026 conflict with Iran has brought high volatility to energy markets, and its debt position and assets acquired through mergers will be tested by these conditions.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) stock was 11.73 USD (−9.84% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.0 bn USD, P/E 79.8, dividend yield 3.01%, beta 1.02, 52-week range 7.75–15.37 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+55.9% YoY), net income of -2.2 m USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.0 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.8
market cap ÷ net income
E/P (TTM)
1.25%
Dividend yield
3.01%
Beta (2y)
1.02
Volatility (1y) 49%
52-week range
7.7515.37

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.14 – 14.46
below the lower band · %B -0.18 · band width 17.4%
SMA 50 / 200
13.57 / 12.08
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.08 / 0.05
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−13.5%−1.1%−12.4 pp—
3 months+6.8%−0.5%+7.3 pp—
6 months−10.5%+4.4%−14.9 pp—
Year to date+39.8%+12.3%+27.5 pp—
1 year+45.7%+13.5%+32.2 pp+18.1%
3 years−6.1%+76.4%−82.5 pp+4.3%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.3%
05 May 2026 → 06 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.6%
14 Apr 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+55.9% YoY
Net income
-2.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-0.2% / 35.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue875.3 m950.2 m898.0 m866.6 m865.0 m1.2 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn
Operating income-27.5 m172.2 m79.6 m30.8 m-53.4 m327.5 m581.0 m478.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation309.0 m282.6 m297.1 m298.5 m288.8 m354.1 m358.0 m374.9 m
Interest expense69.4 m73.2 m75.2 m72.6 m77.4 m104.6 m99.8 m94.2 m
Pre-tax income-206.7 m8.5 m203.6 m-14.3 m3.9 m-501.4 m663.6 m5.4 m
Income tax-36.8 m2.6 m41.1 m-4.0 m-5.1 m-82.3 m169.9 m6.0 m
Net income-118.0 m-2.2 m153.2 m-9.5 m-8.7 m-419.8 m492.8 m-2.2 m
Operating cash flow384.4 m337.1 m499.0 m ≈473.1 m ≈371.0 m409.2 m706.8 m ≈608.5 m ≈
Dividends paid19.5 m23.5 m30.6 m ≈30.6 m ≈30.6 m39.3 m39.6 m ≈39.6 m ≈
Share repurchases502.0 k5.3 m28.5 m ≈0 ≈-358.0 k00 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.1 bn754.2 m1.5 bn3.1 bn2.4 bn2.9 bn3.6 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−30.6%+95.8%+107.0%−22.1%+23.0%+22.1%
Net income00-19.4 m96.7 m67.6 m-114.6 m132.9 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−30.1%−269.5%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %0.0%0.0%-1.3%3.2%2.8%-3.9%3.7%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
10.2 m USD
Financial debt
5.5 bn USD
Net debt
5.5 bn USD
Equity
5.2 bn USD
Total assets
12.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.07x
Current ratio
1.48x
ROE
3.2%
ROA
1.2%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
324.7 m
2024
218.5 m
2025
229.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
675.8 m
2024
949.5 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.0 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
145.8 m
2024
216.3 m
2025
298.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
345.2 m
2024
-168.8 m
2025
201.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
23.2 m
2024
-31.1 m
2025
34.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
67.6 m
2024
-114.6 m
2025
132.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.0 m
2024
132.8 m
2025
10.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2023verified

Current assets
2023
615.7 m
2024
788.1 m
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2024verified

Total assets
2023
6.8 bn
2024
9.2 bn
2025
12.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
125.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.7 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
750.3 m
2024
827.4 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.2 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.7 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
935.8 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.4 bn
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-922.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
456.5 m
2024
207.4 m
2025
-245.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
34.1 m
2024
65.1 m
2025
115.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
7.8 m
2025
33.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
36.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
56.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
77.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
9.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
79.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
7.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.18
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 38 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

11.73 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

23/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 594derived 56

Score by group

  • Balance sheet17
  • Valuation43
  • Quality55
  • Growth45
  • Returns43

Estimated value range

Low
7.19
USD per share
Mid
11.90
USD per share
High
14.04
USD per share
Price: 11.73 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 1.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 1.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.25 – 26.23 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA13.13 – 26.23 (Mid 22.35)
    13 companies used · median multiple 5.2x · quartiles 3.8x – 5.8x
    APA, AR, BKV, CHRD, CRK, EOG, EQT, EXE, FANG, OVV, PHXE-P, REPX, WTI
  • Peers: P/E1.25 – 1.85 (Mid 1.46)
    23 companies used · median multiple 9.9x · quartiles 8.5x – 12.6x
    AMPY, APA, AR, BKV, CHRD, CRK, DMLP, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, GPRK, HESM, INR, KGEI, MXC, OVV, OXY, PR, REPX, SM, TTE, WDS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 38/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality12.8%70 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality1.3%30 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.4%45 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.7x14 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.5x31 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation79.8x7 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation3.6x79 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet17/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial45/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality55/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial43/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation43/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 22.1%; net margin 1.3%; ROE 1.3%; net debt/EBITDA 1.7x.

The estimated value range is 7.19–14.04 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.90 USD, the price of 11.73 USD leaves a potential of 1.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 1.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 38/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/EBITDA: 3.6x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 1.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.7x
  • Current ratio: 0.7x
  • P/E (TTM): 79.8x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
79.8x
vertical median 10.9x
above median (+633.3%)
EV/EBITDA
3.6x
vertical median 5.3x
below median (−33.2%)
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−36.9%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−25.2%)
ROE
1.3%
vertical median 9.2%
below median (−85.9%)
Net margin
1.3%
vertical median 12.1%
below median (−89.3%)
EBIT margin
27.8%
vertical median 22.4%
above median (+24.1%)
Revenue YoY
22.1%
vertical median -1.9%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
1.7x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+93.4%)
Dividend yield
3.0%
vertical median 2.4%
above median (+27.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE199.6 bn15.711.3%6.5%−6.2%+38% / +33%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.77.1 bn11.422.5%25.4%−4.5%+36% / +19%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation57.3 bn8.618.9%33.7%−1.9%+37% / −3%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.51.1 bn25.05.3%11.0%+35.8%+20% / +18%
DVNDevon Energy Corp48.5 bn10.511.5%16.7%+7.8%+19% / −2%
WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd40.9 bn15.17.6%20.9%−1.5%+31% / +6%
EQTEqt Corporation32.9 bn12.510.9%28.4%+63.9%−14% / +31%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.2 bn7.614.6%19.8%+186.3%−28% / +9%
PRPermian Resources Corporation18.8 bn14.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+55% / +71%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.8 bn12.712.1%12.8%−2.7%+53% / +41%
APAApa Corporation15.6 bn9.425.9%—unavailable+78% / +24%
ARAntero Resources Corporation11.5 bn8.417.6%21.7%+22.0%+3% / +58%
SMSm Energy Co7.3 bn7.515.0%13.7%+17.2%+63% / −17%
CHRDChord Energy Corporation7.2 bn8.910.3%13.4%−7.1%+41% / −18%
CRGYCrescent Energy Company5.0 bn79.81.3%1.3%+22.1%+46% / −6%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.3 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+1% / −6%
HESMHess Midstream LP4.1 bn10.9—23.2%+8.4%−6% / −2%
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.3.9 bn7.621.1%23.3%+77.0%−50% / +36%
PHXE-PPhoenix Energy One, LLC2.6 bn332.249.7%0.7%+144.4%+26% / unavailable
NOGNorthern Oil And Gas, Inc.2.4 bn—-22.1%-25.4%+11.2%−1% / −40%
BKVBKV Corp2.1 bn6.814.1%19.5%+9.9%−31% / unavailable
DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.1.4 bn15.6—45.5%−5.4%+27% / −5%
TBNTamboran Resources Corporation982.4 m—-4.8%—unavailable+18% / unavailable
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.948.6 m9.216.8%17.3%−4.4%+57% / +74%
TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.917.3 m100.82.5%1.4%+5.3%−20% / +31%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRGY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
7.00
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
12.36
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
18.62
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
6.91
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
13.74
Total return 17% · Per year 5%
22.69
Total return 93% · Per year 25%
5 years
6.83
Total return -42% · Per year -10%
15.26
Total return 30% · Per year 5%
27.66
Total return 136% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.43
  • Net margin± 2.40
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.96
  • Annual dilution± 0.20

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (15 Oct 2026 · results), 8-K (08 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Crescent Energy is a U.S. energy company producing oil, natural gas and NGLs from the Eagle Ford, Permian and Uinta basins, and it pairs acquisitions with consistent return of capital to shareholders. It matters now because the 2026 conflict with Iran has brought high volatility to energy markets, and its debt position and assets acquired through mergers will be tested by these conditions.12

SWOT

Strengths

  • A long-life portfolio combining stable production with a high-quality development inventory, concentrated in areas with well-capitalized operators.
  • A clear strategy of disciplined acquisitions and return of capital, which can support long-term financial flexibility.
  • Mineral and royalty interests across the principal U.S. basins, providing revenue linked to the activity of other operators.

Weaknesses

  • Revenues depend heavily on oil and gas prices, which can be volatile and hard to forecast.
  • Integration risks from recent acquisitions and mergers can bring added costs and management distraction.
  • Reserve estimates rest on assumptions that may prove inaccurate, which could affect the borrowing base and access to capital.

Opportunities

  • If prices stay elevated, the company could fund development and acquisitions on favourable terms.
  • Consolidation within existing basins could create scale economies if integration succeeds.
  • Refinancing longer-dated debt could lower financing costs if capital markets remain open.

Threats

  • Geopolitical conflicts and OPEC+ decisions can trigger sharp price declines, affecting cash flow.
  • Inflation, tariffs and high interest rates could raise costs and compress operating margins.
  • Constraints in transport and processing infrastructure may limit output and sales in certain areas.

Risks

  • Decline in oil and gas priceshigh

    A sustained fall in prices could reduce cash flow, borrowing capacity and investment, and in some cases could lead to impairment of assets.1

  • Integration of acquisitions and mergersmedium

    Integrating assets from Ridgemar and Vital Energy could exceed expectations, bringing extra costs and delays in achieving scale savings.1

  • Uncertainty in reserve estimateshigh

    Proved reserves depend on assumptions about prices, production and costs. If these prove inaccurate, the value of reserves and the borrowing base could be reduced.1

  • Inflation and tariff costsmedium

    Higher costs for goods, services and personnel could squeeze margins if they cannot be recovered through selling prices.12

  • Access to financing and refinancingmedium

    Debt carrying high interest rates and near-term maturities could make refinancing more expensive if capital markets become more restrictive.12

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If oil prices stay at elevated levels, the company's cash flow could support both capital returns and new acquisitions.
  • The Eagle Ford portfolio, operated alongside well-capitalized partners, could offer stable production and predictable long-term development.
  • Successful integration of recently acquired assets could generate savings and strengthen the company's position in its basins.

What would break the thesis

  • If prices fall after the volatile 2026 period, revenues and cash flow could be affected quickly.
  • Reserve estimates and present values depend on assumptions that may differ from outcomes, which could reduce borrowing capacity.
  • Inflation, tariffs and infrastructure constraints could raise costs and limit production in certain areas.

What to watch

  • Evolution of oil and gas prices amid the Iran conflict and OPEC+ decisionsQ3 2026
  • Progress in integrating the Vital Energy and Ridgemar assets and realising scale savings2026
  • Level of operating costs and capital expenditure relative to inflation and tariffsnext 10-K
  • Debt levels, maturities and refinancing costs, including the 2031 convertible notesQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (15 Oct 2026 · results), 8-K (08 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Crescent describes itself as a differentiated energy company pursuing growth through disciplined, returns-driven acquisitions and consistent return of capital. Its long-life portfolio combines stable production with a high-quality development inventory, focused on the Eagle Ford, Permian Basin and Uinta Basin, with a core focus on the Eagle Ford.12 The company also owns mineral and royalty interests across premier U.S. oil and gas basins, primarily operated by large, well-capitalized companies.1

The corporate structure was simplified in April 2025 through the elimination of the Up-C structure, so all common stockholders now hold Class A Common Stock.1 In the same year the company integrated assets from the Ridgemar Acquisition and the Vital Energy Merger, and reorganized part of its debt through exchange offers and new note issues.1

The financing approach relies on long-dated senior notes and a revolving credit facility whose borrowing base is tied to proved reserves. A decline in prices could reduce that borrowing base and therefore financing capacity, which makes capital discipline central to the strategy.1

Segments

Oil and gas production in the Eagle Ford

The Eagle Ford is the core of the business, where the company concentrates development and most of its production, operating alongside large, well-capitalized operators.12

Activities in the Permian and Uinta basins

The Permian Basin and Uinta Basin complete the portfolio, though the company notes that midstream constraints in these areas may create operational challenges.12

Mineral and royalty interests

The company holds mineral and royalty interests across the principal U.S. oil and gas basins, a revenue stream that depends on the activity of third-party operators.12

Market context

The official sources describe the market for oil, natural gas and NGLs as volatile, with prices shaped by geopolitical conflicts, OPEC+ decisions and global demand. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude above 100 USD per Bbl at times in 2026, which shows the size of recent swings.2

For proved reserves the company uses a 12-month average price, which can differ from five-year forward curves. The present value of reserves therefore does not necessarily equal their market value, and readers should be cautious when interpreting these figures.1

Trends

  • High geopolitical volatilitymixed

    Conflicts in Ukraine, the Middle East and, from February 2026, with Iran have created supply risks and risk premiums in energy prices. If tensions persist, revenues could benefit from higher prices, but planning would also face added uncertainty.12

  • Inflation and operating costsheadwind

    Inflationary pressures and new tariffs can raise the cost of goods, services and labour across the industry. If oil prices do not cover these increases, operating margins could shrink.12

  • Monetary policy and the cost of capitalheadwind

    The benchmark interest rate was held steady by the Federal Reserve in 2026 after earlier cuts. The cost of financing could influence both investment and the acquisition strategy.2

  • Consolidation through acquisitionsmixed

    A growth-through-acquisition strategy could open opportunities if attractive assets are found at acceptable prices. Integration, however, remains costly and complex, and failure could weigh on results.1

Competitive position

The analysed sources do not name direct competitors. The company operates alongside several large, well-capitalized operators in the basins where it works, and competition is felt mainly for assets, skilled labour and oilfield services.1

The acquisition market and access to transport infrastructure are areas of indirect competition. Other producers' ability to absorb assets and contract capacity can affect both purchase prices and the company's operating costs.12

  • Large well-capitalized operators in the Eagle Ford

    The sources mention large operators in Crescent's basins without naming them. They compete for assets and services.

  • Operators in the Permian Basin

    Activity in the Permian is described as part of the portfolio, with no competing companies named.

  • Operators in the Uinta Basin

    Transport constraints in the Uinta affect all operators in the area, including the company.

  • Oilfield services providers

    Competing demand for services and equipment can influence development and production costs.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 12 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report02 Nov 2026
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Results of operations · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report03 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Jul 2026
    Results of operations
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Crescent Energy Company · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Crescent Energy Company · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.