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olivLaw · US equity research

TETRA Technologies, Inc. TTI

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

6.18USD+3.87% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

TETRA Technologies is an energy services company that supplies brine-based completion fluids to oil and gas operators and, in parallel, develops bromine chemistry for energy storage and produced water treatment. Its relevance now lies in rising deepwater activity, the final investment decision for the Arkansas bromine facility and the expansion of its battery electrolyte business, while U.S. onshore water services remain weak. Revenue was 630.9 million USD in fiscal 2025 and 341.9 million USD in the first six months of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, TETRA Technologies, Inc. (TTI) stock was 6.18 USD (+3.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 917.3 m USD, P/E 100.8 on diluted EPS of 0.06 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.59, 52-week range 5.15–12.32 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 168.0 m USD (+9.6% YoY), net income of 6.8 m USD (+65.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
917.3 m USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
100.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.06 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.99%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.59
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
5.1512.32

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.96 – 6.35
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.88 · band width 24.6%
SMA 50 / 200
6.10 / 8.65
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.06 / -0.17
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+2.5%−1.1%+3.6 pp—
3 months−26.9%−0.5%−26.4 pp—
6 months−37.3%+4.4%−41.7 pp—
Year to date−34.0%+12.3%−46.4 pp—
1 year−11.7%+13.5%−25.3 pp+16.2%
3 years+35.5%+76.4%−40.9 pp+3.6%
5 years+60.5%+63.7%−3.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−58.2%
03 Feb 2026 → 22 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−67.4%
17 Oct 2023 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
168.0 m USD
+9.6% YoY
Net income
6.8 m USD
+65.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.05
+66.7% YoY
net / operating
4.1% / 5.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue134.5 m157.1 m173.9 m153.2 m146.7 m156.3 m185.7 m168.0 m
Cost of revenue94.0 m104.6 m116.3 m107.4 m105.4 m108.9 m130.3 m—
Gross profit31.1 m42.9 m48.2 m36.4 m28.4 m38.2 m45.7 m35.1 m
Operating income8.0 m18.8 m23.0 m11.1 m2.5 m12.8 m20.1 m9.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation9.4 m9.2 m9.2 m ≈9.5 m ≈9.3 m9.2 m9.6 m ≈9.8 m ≈
Interest expense—4.7 m4.2 m4.4 m—3.2 m3.3 m2.4 m
Pre-tax income7.4 m5.1 m19.4 m8.1 m-6.1 m11.6 m15.9 m6.4 m
Income tax-94.8 m1.0 m8.1 m4.0 m9.2 m3.3 m5.6 m-419.0 k
Net income102.7 m4.0 m11.3 m4.2 m-16.5 m8.3 m10.2 m6.8 m
Diluted EPS0.77 ≈0.030.080.03-0.12 ≈0.060.070.05
Operating cash flow5.6 m3.9 m48.3 m ≈16.4 m ≈31.7 m-11.9 m34.4 m ≈8.8 m ≈
Capex14.9 m18.0 m19.5 m15.7 m27.6 m19.0 m23.3 m ≈35.3 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 78 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 3.5, median 29.6, max 439.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue560.1 m561.2 m377.7 m388.3 m553.2 m626.3 m599.1 m630.9 m
Revenue YoY−22.5%+0.2%−32.7%+2.8%+42.5%+13.2%−4.3%+5.3%
Net income-61.6 m-147.4 m-51.1 m103.3 m7.8 m25.8 m108.3 m3.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−92.4%+228.9%+320.0%−97.2%
Diluted EPS-0.50-1.17-0.410.820.060.200.820.02
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−92.7%+233.3%+310.0%−97.6%
net %-11.0%-26.3%-13.5%26.6%1.4%4.1%18.1%0.5%
Free cash flow-95.3 m-18.0 m47.5 m-15.9 m-21.1 m32.1 m-24.2 m19.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
72.6 m USD
Financial debt
181.4 m USD
Net debt
108.7 m USD
Equity
282.5 m USD
Total assets
675.8 m USD
Debt / equity
0.64x
Current ratio
1.96x
ROE
1.1%
ROA
0.5%
FCF margin
3.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
626.3 m
2024
599.1 m
2025
630.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
438.2 m
2024
423.4 m
2025
433.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
153.6 m
2024
139.9 m
2025
155.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
44.9 m
2024
49.9 m
2025
55.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
34.3 m
2024
35.7 m
2025
37.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
79.3 m ≈
2024
85.6 m ≈
2025
92.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
22.9 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
31.7 m
2024
28.7 m
2025
26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
6.2 m
2024
-84.9 m
2025
22.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
25.8 m
2024
108.3 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.20
2024
0.82
2025
0.02

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
131.2 m
2024
132.2 m
2025
135.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
52.5 m
2024
37.0 m
2025
72.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
111.8 m
2024
104.8 m
2025
99.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
96.5 m
2024
101.7 m
2025
115.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
282.0 m
2024
269.6 m
2025
316.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
107.7 m
2024
142.2 m
2025
194.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
29.1 m
2024
24.9 m
2025
21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
479.0 m
2024
605.2 m
2025
675.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
157.5 m
2024
179.7 m
2025
176.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
126.0 m
2024
123.3 m
2025
161.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
147.3 m
2024
253.3 m
2025
282.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
70.2 m
2024
36.5 m
2025
100.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
38.2 m
2024
60.7 m
2025
80.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
32.1 m ≈
2024
-24.2 m ≈
2025
19.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-27.0 m
2024
-59.1 m
2025
-61.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-4.7 m
2024
8.9 m
2025
-5.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-97.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-27.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-97.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-30.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
22.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
99.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
63.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
105.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-42.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-474.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
75.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
90 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
917.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
103.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
100.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 20 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

6.18 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 917.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
917.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
100.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2410derived 159

Score by group

  • Balance sheet50
  • Quality27
  • Valuation0
  • Growth19

Estimated value range

Low
0.97
USD per share
Mid
1.34
USD per share
High
1.63
USD per share
Price: 6.18 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -78.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -360.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.53 – 2.49 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA1.42 – 2.49 (Mid 2.11)
    16 companies used · median multiple 5.0x · quartiles 3.7x – 5.6x
    APA, AR, CHRD, CRGY, CRK, EOG, EQT, EXE, FANG, MGY, MTDR, OVV, REPX, TALO, VIST, WTI
  • Peers: P/E0.53 – 0.77 (Mid 0.57)
    20 companies used · median multiple 9.4x · quartiles 8.6x – 12.5x
    AMPY, APA, AR, CHRD, CNX, CRK, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, GPRK, INR, MGY, MTDR, OVV, OXY, PR, REPX, TTE, VIST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 20/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.2%35 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality1.4%39 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality-474.7%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.5%37 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-30.7%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.2x29 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation100.8x0 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.2x0 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation-4.6%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet50/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth19/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation0/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TETRA Technologies, Inc. (TTI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 630.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.3%; net margin 1.4%; ROE 2.5%; net debt/EBITDA 1.2x.

The estimated value range is 0.97–1.63 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.34 USD, the price of 6.18 USD leaves a potential of -78.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -360.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 20/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -474.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -30.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.2x
  • P/E (TTM): 100.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 12.2x
  • FCF yield: -4.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
100.8x
vertical median 9.7x
above median (+943.0%)
EV/EBITDA
12.2x
vertical median 5.0x
above median (+146.5%)
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−18.3%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+66.0%)
ROE
2.5%
vertical median 10.6%
below median (−76.4%)
Net margin
1.4%
vertical median 10.4%
below median (−86.9%)
EBIT margin
6.9%
vertical median 17.0%
below median (−59.6%)
Revenue YoY
5.3%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+42.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.2x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+36.1%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE199.6 bn15.711.3%6.5%−6.2%+38% / +33%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.77.1 bn11.422.5%25.4%−4.5%+36% / +19%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation57.3 bn8.618.9%33.7%−1.9%+37% / −3%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.51.1 bn25.05.3%11.0%+35.8%+20% / +18%
DVNDevon Energy Corp48.5 bn10.511.5%16.7%+7.8%+19% / −2%
EQTEqt Corporation32.9 bn12.510.9%28.4%+63.9%−14% / +31%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.2 bn7.614.6%19.8%+186.3%−28% / +9%
PRPermian Resources Corporation18.8 bn14.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+55% / +71%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.8 bn12.712.1%12.8%−2.7%+53% / +41%
APAApa Corporation15.6 bn9.425.9%—unavailable+78% / +24%
ARAntero Resources Corporation11.5 bn8.417.6%21.7%+22.0%+3% / +58%
CHRDChord Energy Corporation7.2 bn8.910.3%13.4%−7.1%+41% / −18%
MTDRMatador Resources Company6.2 bn8.612.8%19.9%+5.5%+19% / −13%
VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.5.9 bn13.433.3%29.0%+41.0%+26% / +101%
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp5.5 bn13.020.5%28.8%−0.3%+1% / +9%
CNXCNX Resources Corporation5.1 bn5.820.4%35.2%+76.8%−7% / +72%
CRGYCrescent Energy Company5.0 bn79.81.3%1.3%+22.1%+24% / +3%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.3 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+1% / −6%
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.3.9 bn7.621.1%23.3%+77.0%−50% / +36%
TALOTalos Energy Inc.2.6 bn—-18.1%-18.4%−9.8%+36% / +12%
KOSKosmos Energy Ltd.1.3 bn—-58.8%-27.4%−23.1%+101% / −67%
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.948.6 m9.216.8%17.3%−4.4%+57% / +74%
TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.917.3 m100.82.5%1.4%+5.3%−12% / +36%
AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc.843.0 m—-12.1%-13.0%+3.7%−22% / −61%
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.618.1 m—-7.6%-15.4%+13.2%−31% / −38%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TTI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
3.57
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
6.32
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
9.52
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
3.47
Total return -44% · Per year -18%
6.90
Total return 12% · Per year 4%
11.41
Total return 85% · Per year 23%
5 years
3.36
Total return -46% · Per year -11%
7.53
Total return 22% · Per year 4%
13.67
Total return 121% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.72
  • Net margin± 1.21
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.99
  • Annual dilution± 0.10

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

TETRA Technologies is an energy services company that supplies brine-based completion fluids to oil and gas operators and, in parallel, develops bromine chemistry for energy storage and produced water treatment. Its relevance now lies in rising deepwater activity, the final investment decision for the Arkansas bromine facility and the expansion of its battery electrolyte business, while U.S. onshore water services remain weak. Revenue was 630.9 million USD in fiscal 2025 1 and 341.9 million USD in the first six months of 2026 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Strong position in deepwater completion fluids, with the TETRA Neptune technology and revenue support from industrial calcium chloride.
  • Cleaner balance sheet after the June 2026 equity offering, with low net leverage relative to adjusted EBITDA.
  • Mineral resources in Arkansas including bromine and lithium, backed by a global production infrastructure.

Weaknesses

  • The Water & Flowback Services segment depends heavily on U.S. onshore activity, which has declined, and some service lines have been closed.
  • Dependence on a single supplier for elemental bromine limits flexibility in bromine-based fluid production.
  • Quarterly results are sensitive to the timing of Neptune projects, which makes profit harder to predict from one quarter to the next.

Opportunities

  • TETRA Oasis desalination projects could become a major revenue source if customers move from pilots to large-scale plants.
  • Energy storage demand from data centers in West Texas could support expansion of the electrolyte line.
  • The Arkansas bromine facility, if it enters production in early 2028, could reduce reliance on outside suppliers.

Threats

  • Volatility in oil and gas prices could reduce industry customers' investment budgets.
  • Larger competitors with greater financial resources could offer lower prices for similar services.
  • Geopolitical tensions and sanctions could disrupt raw material supply chains.

Risks

  • Volatility in oil and gas priceshigh

    Demand for the company's services depends on the level of exploration and production activity, which is directly influenced by oil and gas prices. If prices fall significantly for an extended period, results could be affected.

  • Dependence on a single bromine suppliermedium

    The company must buy elemental bromine mainly from one supplier under a long-term agreement. If supply is interrupted or prices rise, production of bromine-based fluids could be affected.

  • Asset impairments and supply chain disruptionmedium

    If economic conditions worsen, the company could be required to record further impairments of long-lived assets, which would reduce earnings.

  • Minority investments and volatile holdingslow

    The company holds stakes in listed and private companies whose values can fluctuate significantly and affect its financial results.

  • Uncertain economic extraction of lithium and bromine in Arkansasmedium

    There is no assurance that the mineral resources on the Arkansas brine leases can be extracted economically, and future exploration may not succeed.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If deepwater activity keeps growing, the Completion Fluids & Products segment could support higher revenue and margins, especially through TETRA Neptune fluids.
  • If the Arkansas bromine facility and the energy storage electrolyte line meet their goals, the company could reduce reliance on outside suppliers and diversify its revenue.
  • The consolidated balance sheet after the equity offering could provide flexibility for investment, particularly if desalination projects expand.

What would break the thesis

  • If U.S. onshore activity does not recover, the Water & Flowback Services segment could keep reporting declining revenue and operating profit.
  • If dependence on Neptune projects with uncertain timing persists, quarterly results could be hard to predict and could show large swings.
  • If Arkansas investment costs exceed estimates, the company could need additional borrowing, which would add pressure on cash flow.

What to watch

  • Construction progress of the Arkansas bromine facility and adherence to the start-up schedule2027
  • Timing and value of Neptune projects, including the Z-Lite contract in the Gulf of AmericaQ3 2026
  • Progress of the TETRA Oasis project from pilot to a 100,000 bbl/d plant2030

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

TETRA Technologies, Inc., a Delaware corporation headquartered in Spring, Texas, is listed on the NYSE under the symbol TTI 1. The company describes itself as an energy services and solutions company with operations on six continents, combining oilfield products with calcium chloride for diverse applications and low-carbon energy projects 1. Its activity is organized in two reporting segments: Completion Fluids & Products and Water & Flowback Services 1.

The company presents its zinc-bromide long-duration energy storage line as a new direction linked to data center power demand 1. The supply agreement with Eos Energy Enterprises, running through December 31, 2027, provides that Eos buys all of its zinc bromide requirements from TETRA 1.

Market context

Market risks include oil and gas price volatility, competitive pressure and dependence on a single major bromine supplier 1. If activity in the Permian Basin or in the U.S. slows again, the water segment could feel the effects more strongly 1.

Trends

  • Growth in offshore deepwater projectstailwind

    Deepwater investment is rising and subsea tree installations, a leading indicator for completion fluids, could increase through the end of the decade, which would support demand for high-value fluids 3.

  • Long-duration energy storage for data centerstailwind

    Demand for zinc-bromide electrolytes grows as data centers need reliable large-scale storage, and if this market expands, the TETRA PureFlow line could become a growth driver 1.

  • Weaker U.S. onshore activityheadwind

    Lower U.S. frac activity has reduced revenue in the water segment, although the company says its performance is outpacing the year-over-year decline in the market 3.

  • Bromine costs and international trademixed

    Dependence on bromine supplied by LANXESS and geopolitical tensions affecting raw materials could raise costs, and new tariffs could influence component prices 1. The Middle East conflict did not materially affect the first two quarters of 2026, but longer-term effects remain uncertain 2.

Competitive position

The company operates in a sector with numerous competitors, many with far greater financial resources, and some offer equipment or services at lower prices or lower quality 1. Large customers may also perform services internally 1.

In electrolytes and water treatment, the company is compared with specialized partners and suppliers, and its stated advantage is lower unit costs at larger desalination plant scale and its patent portfolio 3.

  • Eos Energy EnterprisesEOSE

    Major partner and customer for zinc bromide, not strictly a competitor, depending on TETRA supply for electrolytes

  • Standard LithiumSLI

    Partner holding lithium rights on Arkansas leases and an investment held by the company, a potential competitor for mineral resources

  • Kodiak Gas ServicesKGS

    Energy services company cited through the investment sold in January 2025, with no direct competitive relationship in the sources

  • LANXESS

    Long-term supplier of bromine, essential for bromine-based fluids, and a source of dependence for the company

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 07 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / TETRA Technologies, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / TETRA Technologies, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / TETRA Technologies, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.