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olivLaw · US equity research

International Money Express, Inc. IMXI

Services-Business Services, NEC · SIC 7389 · Vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

8.31USD−1.66% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

International Money Express moves money from consumers in the United States to Latin America and the Caribbean through a network of independent agents and digital channels. The company is under a merger agreement with The Western Union Company at 16.00 USD per share in cash, and the volume it sends fell in the first half of 2026.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, International Money Express, Inc. (IMXI) stock was 8.31 USD (−1.66% on the day), with market capitalisation 251.1 m USD, P/E 13.3 on diluted EPS of 0.63 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.46, 52-week range 8.31–15.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 131.2 m USD (−18.6% YoY), net income of 4.2 m USD (−61.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.14 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
251.1 m USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.63 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
7.53%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.46
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
8.3115.94

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
29.0
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.50 – 12.18
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.17 · band width 47.6%
SMA 50 / 200
11.73 / 14.13
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.88 / -0.86
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−29.5%−1.1%−28.4 pp—
3 months−32.3%−0.5%−31.9 pp—
6 months−47.6%+4.4%−52.0 pp—
Year to date−45.9%+12.3%−58.2 pp—
1 year−44.3%+13.5%−57.9 pp+2.2%
3 years−50.4%+76.4%−126.8 pp+4.5%
5 years−51.1%+63.7%−114.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.9%
24 Apr 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−69.3%
31 Oct 2022 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−13.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
131.2 m USD
−18.6% YoY
Net income
4.2 m USD
−61.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.14
−62.2% YoY
net / operating
3.2% / 6.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue171.9 m164.8 m144.3 m161.1 m154.9 m147.4 m122.0 m131.2 m
Operating income27.8 m24.7 m14.1 m19.5 m10.5 m11.6 m3.7 m8.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.4 m3.7 m3.6 m4.5 m4.4 m4.7 m4.7 m4.8 m
Interest expense3.2 m2.7 m2.7 m3.1 m3.0 m3.1 m2.2 m2.3 m
Pre-tax income24.6 m22.0 m11.4 m16.4 m7.6 m11.8 m1.5 m6.4 m
Income tax7.3 m6.6 m3.6 m5.4 m2.6 m2.9 m955.0 k2.2 m
Net income17.3 m15.4 m7.8 m11.0 m5.0 m8.9 m511.0 k4.2 m
Diluted EPS0.530.49 ≈0.250.370.170.30 ≈0.020.14
Operating cash flow29.3 m ≈-4.9 m41.3 m39.9 m ≈-28.7 m ≈-15.6 m-37.4 m112.7 m ≈
Capex5.9 m ≈3.9 m5.3 m4.6 m ≈6.9 m ≈4.4 m5.5 m5.5 m ≈
Share repurchases20.3 m ≈20.2 m5.0 m11.4 m ≈0 ≈000 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 25 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 6.2, median 15.4, max 26.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue273.9 m319.6 m357.2 m459.2 m546.8 m658.7 m658.6 m607.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+16.7%+11.8%+28.6%+19.1%+20.5%−0.0%−7.7%
Net income-7.2 m19.6 m33.8 m46.8 m57.3 m59.5 m58.8 m32.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable+72.3%+38.7%+22.4%+3.8%−1.2%−44.5%
Diluted EPS-0.280.520.881.201.481.631.791.08
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable+69.2%+36.4%+23.3%+10.1%+9.8%−39.7%
net %-2.6%6.1%9.5%10.2%10.5%9.0%8.9%5.4%
Free cash flow14.5 m46.1 m-4.9 m67.5 m3.0 m130.7 m23.1 m15.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
168.7 m USD
Financial debt
194.8 m USD
Net debt
26.1 m USD
Equity
161.1 m USD
Total assets
517.7 m USD
Debt / equity
1.21x
Current ratio
2.51x
ROE
22.1%
ROA
6.7%
FCF margin
2.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
658.7 m
2024
658.6 m
2025
607.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
95.5 m
2024
95.0 m
2025
55.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
12.9 m
2024
13.6 m
2025
17.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
108.4 m ≈
2024
108.7 m ≈
2025
72.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
10.4 m
2024
11.7 m
2025
11.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
85.1 m
2024
83.3 m
2025
47.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
25.5 m
2024
24.5 m
2025
14.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
59.5 m
2024
58.8 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.63
2024
1.79
2025
1.08

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
36.4 m
2024
32.9 m
2025
30.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
239.2 m
2024
130.5 m
2025
168.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
155.2 m
2024
107.1 m
2025
105.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
432.9 m
2024
297.8 m
2025
353.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
31.7 m
2024
50.4 m
2025
57.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
54.0 m
2024
55.2 m
2025
54.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
18.1 m
2024
26.8 m
2025
25.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
576.8 m
2024
462.4 m
2025
517.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
36.5 m
2024
19.5 m
2025
15.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
7.2 m
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
181.1 m
2024
156.6 m
2025
194.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
223.4 m
2024
152.0 m
2025
141.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
149.0 m †
2024
134.9 m †
2025
161.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
143.5 m
2024
53.1 m
2025
36.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.8 m
2024
30.0 m
2025
21.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
130.7 m ≈
2024
23.1 m ≈
2025
15.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-18.3 m
2024
-43.9 m
2025
-22.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-37.1 m
2024
-114.2 m
2025
20.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
66.3 m
2024
75.1 m
2025
16.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-41.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-44.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-39.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-31.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
19.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-36.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
31.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
22.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
8.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
47.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
58.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
79 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
251.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
214.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
13.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
28.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

8.31 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 251.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
251.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 1323derived 86

Score by group

  • Valuation79
  • Balance sheet69
  • Quality48
  • Growth15
  • Returns0

Estimated value range

Low
11.57
USD per share
Mid
16.41
USD per share
High
24.17
USD per share
Price: 8.31 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 97.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 49.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.73 – 33.48 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)9.73 – 16.15 (Mid 12.01)
    WACC 7.7% · starting FCFF 16.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -13.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA22.08 – 33.48 (Mid 30.63)
    17 companies used · median multiple 16.7x · quartiles 11.9x – 18.4x
    BR, CPAY, EBAY, EXLS, FICO, FIS, GPN, HQY, MELI, OPRX, PSFE, PYPL, QNST, RBA, RELY, TIC, UBER
  • Peers: P/E11.57 – 24.17 (Mid 16.41)
    26 companies used · median multiple 26.2x · quartiles 18.5x – 38.6x
    ACN, AMTM, BR, CART, CPAY, DLO, EBAY, EXLS, FICO, FIS, FLYW, GRAB, HQY, LQDT, LYFT, MA, MELI, MSCI, OPRX, PYPL, QNST, RBA, RELY, TNET, UBER, WU
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality19.3%73 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality3.4%29 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality47.5%25 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.6%30 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.0%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.7x83 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.3x27 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x97 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation13.3x85 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation4.0x100 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation3.5%44 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet69/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth15/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation79/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

INTERNATIONAL MONEY EXPRESS, INC. (IMXI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 607.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.7%; net margin 3.4%; ROE 11.9%; net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.

The estimated value range is 11.57–24.17 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 16.41 USD, the price of 8.31 USD leaves a potential of 97.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 49.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 19.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.7x
  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 13.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 4.0x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 3.4%
  • FCF conversion: 47.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -10.0%
  • Interest coverage: 3.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
13.3x
vertical median 26.7x
below median (−50.3%)
EV/EBITDA
4.0x
vertical median 17.2x
below median (−76.5%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−81.8%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−49.6%)
ROE
11.9%
vertical median 13.7%
below median (−12.8%)
Net margin
3.4%
vertical median 8.1%
below median (−58.8%)
EBIT margin
6.2%
vertical median 12.0%
below median (−48.3%)
Revenue YoY
-7.7%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−175.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.7x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−152.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.142.7 bn41.312.4%6.1%+18.3%−20% / +24%
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.88.2 bn47.327.5%5.3%+39.1%−16% / +7%
EBAYeBay Inc.54.9 bn27.246.6%16.9%+7.9%+51% / +205%
PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.50.0 bn11.523.8%13.8%+4.3%−4% / +4%
MSCIMsci Inc.48.2 bn35.7—40.3%+9.7%+20% / +29%
FISVFiserv, Inc.33.0 bn—-17.0%-18.9%+3.6%+1% / −52%
CPAYCorpay, Inc27.5 bn25.430.5%22.7%+13.9%+42% / +74%
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.25.4 bn—-4.1%-9.1%−0.4%+27% / −17%
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.21.4 bn20.940.2%13.9%+8.5%−17% / −2%
RBARB Global, Inc17.6 bn39.98.8%10.0%+7.2%−3% / +49%
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.15.3 bn4.423.0%26.8%+5.4%−55% / −49%
FICOFair Isaac Corp15.1 bn20.3—34.1%+15.9%−61% / −36%
CARTMaplebear Inc.13.7 bn32.417.1%12.0%+10.8%+41% / +145%
HQYHealthequity, Inc.9.0 bn39.411.4%17.4%+9.5%+3% / +62%
LYFTLyft, Inc.7.1 bn2.7152.6%42.3%+9.2%−11% / +60%
EXLSExlservice Holdings, Inc.6.5 bn25.727.7%11.1%+13.6%+9% / +52%
RELYRemitly Global, Inc.5.8 bn16.435.9%19.1%+29.4%+100% / +26%
AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.5.4 bn26.74.5%1.4%+71.6%−22% / unavailable
DLODLocal Limited4.1 bn21.437.2%18.0%+46.6%+3% / −19%
TNETTrinet Group, Inc.3.1 bn18.1141.6%3.6%−0.9%+14% / −42%
FLYWFlywire Corporation2.7 bn36.39.1%10.3%+26.6%+56% / −6%
TICTIC Solutions, Inc.2.3 bn—-7.1%-5.6%unavailable+10% / unavailable
WUThe Western Union Company2.1 bn6.336.8%8.3%−3.8%−25% / −43%
LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc1.5 bn45.815.0%6.8%+31.2%+56% / +144%
RDWRRadware Ltd.1.4 bn73.36.1%6.7%+9.8%+44% / +116%

1- and 3-year price returns: for IMXI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.79
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
8.47
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
12.76
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
4.56
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
9.09
Total return 9% · Per year 3%
15.05
Total return 81% · Per year 22%
5 years
4.35
Total return -48% · Per year -12%
9.75
Total return 17% · Per year 3%
17.75
Total return 114% · Per year 16%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.27
  • Net margin± 1.59
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.32
  • Annual dilution± 0.13

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

International Money Express moves money from consumers in the United States to Latin America and the Caribbean through a network of independent agents and digital channels. The company is under a merger agreement with The Western Union Company at 16.00 USD per share in cash, and the volume it sends fell in the first half of 2026.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a strong position in the Mexico and Guatemala corridors and runs a large agent and store network 1.
  • Its proprietary software, with real-time compliance checks, and its relationships with major banks are cited as competitive advantages 1.
  • Brand recognition and customer loyalty in the served corridors are described as important assets 1.

Weaknesses

  • Volume sent and transaction counts have fallen in recent periods, and the agent network shrank in the first half of 2026 12.
  • Dependence on a small number of large agents and on one main corridor raises exposure to losing those relationships 1.
  • Merger and transaction costs have put pressure on profits and operating results 3.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new corridors such as Africa, Asia and the Caribbean could open further growth 1.
  • Developing digital channels and RaaS services could attract new consumers and digital partners 1.
  • If the merger does not close, the company could resume its independent growth strategy 12.

Threats

  • Digital competition and new fintech platforms could reduce margins and market share 1.
  • Changes in US tax law and immigration policy could reduce remittance volumes 12.
  • Economic and political instability in destination countries could make transfers more difficult 1.

Risks

  • Merger not completedhigh

    If the Western Union transaction is not completed, the company could bear unrecoverable costs and a termination fee, affecting results 1.

  • Uncertainty during the mergermedium

    The announcement and pendency of the deal could lead customers, agents and employees to reconsider their relationships with the company 1.

  • Digital competitionmedium

    Digital providers could attract consumers with lower prices, which could compress margins 1.

  • Immigration and tax policyhigh

    Policy changes in the United States could directly affect the number of consumers and the volume sent 12.

  • Currency volatilitylow

    Exchange rate movements could affect remittance volume and gains or losses on currency exchange 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the merger closes, shareholders would receive an agreed cash payment, and execution risk would pass to Western Union 12.
  • The strong position in the Mexico and Guatemala corridors could support revenue if volumes stabilise 1.
  • Growth in digital channels could gradually offset the decline in traditional transfers 12.

What would break the thesis

  • If volume keeps falling, revenue could remain under pressure, especially in the Mexico corridor 12.
  • If the merger does not close, the company could lose time and resources without a clear growth plan 1.
  • Competitive pressure from digital platforms could reduce margins and market share 1.

What to watch

  • Completion or failure of the Western Union merger and remaining regulatory approvals2026
  • Trend in principal sent and transaction counts in the Mexico corridorQ3 2026
  • Effects of taxes on remittances starting in 2026 on transfer volumes2026
  • Development of the agent network and the number of Company-operated storesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

International Money Express, Inc. (Intermex) is a global money remittance company focused mainly on the United States to Latin America and the Caribbean corridor, which includes Mexico, Central and South America and the Caribbean. Remittances to Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and the Dominican Republic are the main revenue source, and services are offered through over 100,000 independent agents, 118 Company-operated stores at year-end 2025 and digital channels 1. In fiscal 2025 the principal amount sent fell 2.2% to 23.8 billion USD 1. The company is in a merger with Western Union, in which shareholders receive 16.00 USD per share in cash 12.

Segments

Remittances to Latin America (single reportable segment)

The company reports one reportable segment covering money transfers through its agent network, Company-operated stores in the United States, Canada, Spain, Italy and Germany, and its websites and mobile apps 1. Revenue comes from fees paid by senders and from managing currency exchange spreads. Mexico dominates the corridor, with an 18.6% share of remittances to Mexico in 2025 1.

Digital channels and RaaS

The company develops digital channels and Remittance-as-a-Service relationships with partners, earning a fee for transfers processed through its proprietary software and money transmitter licences 1. Investment in marketing digital products was described as a short-term pressure on results 1.

Market context

The remittance market from the United States to Latin America is one of the largest in the world, and Intermex holds significant shares in Mexico and Guatemala 1. Principal sent fell 2.2% in 2025 to 23.8 billion USD, and transactions fell 8.5% to 53.9 million 1. In the first half of 2026, principal sent fell 12.0% to 10.4 billion USD, which the company attributed to a contraction in the retail remittance market, particularly the LAC corridor 2.

Trends

  • Contraction in Mexico remittancesheadwind

    The volume decline in the Mexico corridor was attributed to a general market contraction and a change in behaviour, with fewer transfers but larger amounts, which could continue to weigh on volume 1.

  • Merger with Western Unionmixed

    The merger agreement provides for 16.00 USD per share in cash, and closing was expected once the remaining regulatory approvals were received, if completed on the stated timetable 12.

  • Shift to digital transferstailwind

    Digital channels partly offset the volume decline and could become more relevant as consumers move transactions online, if adoption continues 12.

  • Taxes and immigration policyheadwind

    Changes to US tax law, including taxes on certain remittances from 2026, and immigration policy could affect transfer volumes 12.

Competitive position

The industry is concentrated, with a few large competitors and many small niche players, including remittance companies, banks, payment processors and newer digital providers 1. Intermex says it differentiates on trust, convenience, outlet efficiency, value and brand recognition 1.

  • The Western Union CompanyWU

    Company that signed the merger agreement with Intermex and would become its owner if the transaction is completed.

  • Digital money transmission providers

    Digital platforms competing on features and price, described by the company as an increasing pressure on its model.

  • Banks and financial institutions

    Banks that offer transfer services and remain payment partners or competitors for consumers with bank accounts.

  • Informal remittance systems

    Informal systems competing for consumers with limited access to formal financial services.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / International Money Express, Inc. · 06 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / International Money Express, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / International Money Express, Inc. · 11 Aug 2025

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.