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olivLaw · US equity research

Kenon Holdings Ltd. KEN

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

63.05USD−2.38% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Kenon Holdings is a holding company whose main asset is its roughly 46% stake in OPC, an independent power producer with operations in Israel and the United States. The company currently carries no material debt, which gives it room for new investments and shareholder distributions.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Kenon Holdings Ltd. (KEN) stock was 63.05 USD (−2.38% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.3 bn USD, P/E 49.6 on diluted EPS of 1.27 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 8.16%, beta 0.88, 52-week range 52.66–95.54 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
49.6
Diluted EPS TTM 1.27 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
2.01%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
8.16%
DPS 12m 5.14
Beta (2y)
0.88
Volatility (1y) 44%
52-week range
52.6695.54

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.0
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
59.29 – 68.46
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.41 · band width 14.3%
SMA 50 / 200
64.45 / 73.89
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.36 / 0.37
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+3.0%−1.1%+4.1 pp—
3 months−1.9%−0.5%−1.5 pp—
6 months−31.5%+4.4%−35.9 pp—
Year to date−4.9%+12.3%−17.2 pp—
1 year+20.6%+13.5%+7.0 pp−2.5%
3 years+218.4%+76.4%+142.0 pp+40.8%
5 years+47.3%+63.7%−16.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−37.8%
05 May 2026 → 01 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−75.3%
23 Mar 2022 → 27 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 80 percentile of its own 5-quarter history (min 3.0, median 3.2, max 52.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue364.0 m373.5 m386.5 m487.8 m574.0 m691.8 m751.3 m871.9 m
Revenue YoY−0.5%+2.6%+3.5%+26.2%+17.7%+20.5%+8.6%+16.1%
Net income434.2 m-13.4 m507.1 m930.3 m312.7 m-236.0 m597.7 m66.3 m
Net income YoY+83.5%−103.1%unavailable+83.4%−66.4%−175.5%unavailable−88.9%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable9.4117.275.80-4.4211.341.27
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+83.5%−66.4%−176.2%unavailable−88.8%
net %119.3%-3.6%131.2%190.7%54.5%-34.1%79.6%7.6%
Free cash flow-16.9 m51.2 m17.7 m866.0 k490.1 m-55.3 m-75.6 m167.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.5 bn USD
Financial debt
1.7 bn USD
Net debt
173.4 m USD
Equity
3.2 bn USD
Total assets
5.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.52x
Current ratio
4.94x
ROE
2.3%
ROA
1.4%
FCF margin
19.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
691.8 m
2024
751.3 m
2025
871.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
494.3 m
2024
521.9 m
2025
657.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
119.5 m
2024
143.8 m
2025
146.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
15.6 m
2024
12.2 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
42.6 m
2024
47.5 m
2025
62.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
78.0 m
2024
85.6 m
2025
67.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
120.6 m ≈
2024
133.1 m ≈
2025
129.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
66.3 m
2024
115.2 m
2025
86.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
81.2 m
2024
93.3 m
2025
176.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
25.2 m
2024
40.6 m
2025
28.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-236.0 m
2024
597.7 m
2025
66.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.42
2024
11.34
2025
1.27

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.85
2024
3.85
2025
5.14

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
696.8 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2023verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2023verified

Total assets
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
181.9 m
2024
94.0 m
2025
245.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
358.8 m
2024
182.8 m
2025
365.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
52.8 m
2024
52.2 m
2025
52.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
276.8 m
2024
265.1 m
2025
283.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
332.1 m
2024
340.7 m
2025
116.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-55.3 m ≈
2024
-75.6 m ≈
2025
167.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-432.2 m
2024
135.9 m
2025
-361.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
324.6 m
2024
-84.1 m
2025
505.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
150.4 m
2024
200.6 m
2025
267.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
31.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-88.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-40.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-33.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-88.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-39.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-33.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
19.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
404.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
160.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
173.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
0.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
283.8 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
116.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
167.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
252.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
218.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
94 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
49.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
49.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
3.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
26.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
55.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
4.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
19.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

63.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
49.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
26.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Mar 2026
verified 307derived 8

Score by group

  • Valuation10
  • Returns64
  • Quality30
  • Balance sheet54
  • Growth43

Estimated value range

Low
46.42
USD per share
Mid
52.53
USD per share
High
60.77
USD per share
Price: 63.05 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -16.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -20.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 20.15 – 155.36 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)88.62 – 155.36 (Mid 112.72)
    WACC 7.9% · starting FCFF 240.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -9.1%
  • Dividend discount (DDM)67.57 – 90.87 (Mid 77.51)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA20.15 – 30.66 (Mid 26.08)
    24 companies used · median multiple 11.8x · quartiles 9.4x – 13.7x
    AEP, AQN, BKH, CEG, CNP, CWEN, D, EIX, ELLO, ENLT, ES, ETR, HE, IDA, NEE, NRG, OTTR, PNW, POR, SO, SPRU, TVC, TXNM, VST
  • Peers: P/E25.27 – 30.39 (Mid 27.54)
    18 companies used · median multiple 21.7x · quartiles 19.9x – 23.9x
    AEP, AQN, BKH, CEG, CNP, D, ES, ETR, FE, IDA, NEE, NRG, OTTR, PNW, POR, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality1.7%17 (vs peers)6%
Net margin · Quality7.6%43 (vs peers)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth15.0%100 (on a fixed band)6%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-39.7%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.3x83 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation49.6x14 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation26.7x4 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns8.2%91 (vs peers)15%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns404.9%0 (on a fixed band)6%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet54/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth43/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality30/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns64/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation10/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

KENON HOLDINGS LTD. (KEN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 871.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.1%; net margin 7.6%; ROE 4.1%; net debt/EBITDA 1.3x.

The estimated value range is 46.42–60.77 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 52.53 USD, the price of 63.05 USD leaves a potential of -16.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -20.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 15.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.3x
  • Current ratio: 4.9x
  • Dividend yield: 8.2%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 1.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -39.7%
  • Interest coverage: 0.7x
  • P/E (TTM): 49.6x
  • EV/EBITDA: 26.7x
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 404.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
49.6x
vertical median 21.7x
above median (+128.9%)
EV/EBITDA
26.7x
vertical median 11.8x
above median (+125.8%)
P/S
3.8x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+33.5%)
P/B
2.1x
vertical median 2.1x
at median
ROE
4.1%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−54.6%)
Net margin
7.6%
vertical median 11.1%
below median (−31.4%)
EBIT margin
7.2%
vertical median 21.5%
below median (−66.8%)
Revenue YoY
16.1%
vertical median 8.3%
above median (+93.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.3x
vertical median 4.8x
below median (−72.3%)
Dividend yield
8.2%
vertical median 3.2%
above median (+156.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc184.4 bn22.515.6%31.5%+9.8%+3% / +51%
SOSouthern Co105.0 bn23.911.3%14.5%+10.6%+2% / +31%
PAMPampa Energy Inc.88.2 bn141.021.8%33.0%+8.3%−28% / +38%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation87.1 bn24.015.3%11.1%+8.3%−33% / +103%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.3 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+4% / +62%
DDominion Energy, Inc61.3 bn20.610.5%16.9%+14.2%+11% / +54%
ETREntergy Corp51.2 bn28.411.1%13.6%+9.0%+15% / +121%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC40.4 bn19.943.1%11.6%+3.0%−33% / +240%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc26.8 bn25.29.6%11.4%+8.3%+3% / +45%
ESEversource Energy26.5 bn18.29.1%10.4%+13.8%+5% / +19%
EIXEdison International23.7 bn6.520.8%19.6%+9.8%+4% / −8%
NRGNRG Energy, Inc17.5 bn21.623.8%2.6%+9.2%−51% / +74%
TLNTalen Energy Corporation14.2 bn—-16.7%-6.4%+22.0%−17% / +470%
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation12.8 bn19.89.1%11.7%+4.2%+16% / +41%
ENLTEnlight Renewable Energy Ltd.8.9 bn67.79.2%27.0%+29.3%+69% / +293%
IDAIDACORP, Inc.8.7 bn23.29.9%20.5%−1.2%+12% / +53%
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners L.P.8.5 bn—-1.9%-1.1%+9.0%+8% / +25%
CWENClearway Energy, Inc.7.3 bn72.61.8%6.4%+4.2%−2% / +43%
TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.6.5 bn41.15.5%7.5%+9.9%+0% / +41%
BKHBlack Hills Corporation6.4 bn21.37.9%13.0%+8.6%+14% / +63%
PORPortland General Electric Company5.5 bn19.76.6%7.7%+4.0%−9% / +12%
OKLOOklo Inc.4.1 bn—-7.7%—unavailable−76% / +114%
OTTROtter Tail Corporation3.5 bn20.09.4%13.6%−2.3%+2% / +10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KEN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
41.24
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
72.59
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
108.88
Total return 75% · Per year 75%
3 years
48.88
Total return -17% · Per year -6%
95.92
Total return 60% · Per year 17%
156.67
Total return 159% · Per year 37%
5 years
57.94
Total return 2% · Per year 0%
126.76
Total return 117% · Per year 17%
225.45
Total return 278% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 23.98
  • Net margin± 16.79
  • Annual revenue growth± 12.52
  • Annual dilution± 1.41

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (29 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026).

In brief

Kenon Holdings is a holding company whose main asset is its roughly 46% stake in OPC, an independent power producer with operations in Israel and the United States. The company currently carries no material debt, which gives it room for new investments and shareholder distributions.1

SWOT

Strengths

  • A strong balance sheet with no material debt at holding level and substantial cash, giving flexibility for investments and distributions.
  • The OPC stake generates revenue from a portfolio spread across Israel and the US, with long-term contracts.
  • A track record of shareholder distributions and high-return asset sales, including the ZIM stake.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends almost entirely on OPC, so the subsidiary's performance directly drives holding-level results.
  • The OPC stake was diluted in 2025 through capital raises in which Kenon did not fully participate.
  • The holding company has no independent operations and depends on distributions from subsidiaries, which may be limited by debt and regulation.

Opportunities

  • Development of solar projects with storage in Israel and gas projects in the US could add capacity and revenue.
  • Recovery of amounts from the Qoros disputes and the Peru arbitration could bring additional cash, if enforcement succeeds.
  • Majority or minority stakes in new businesses could diversify the portfolio if conditions are favorable.

Threats

  • Changes to the generation tariff set by the Electricity Authority could reduce OPC's revenue in Israel.
  • Rising gas costs and excise taxes could compress margins, especially if the gas price stays at its minimum.
  • Volatile capital market conditions could make project financing more expensive or unavailable.

Risks

  • Financing of OPC and CPV projectshigh

    Projects under construction and in development need additional financing, and if it is unavailable on acceptable terms, development could be delayed.

  • Dilution of the OPC stakehigh

    If Kenon does not participate pro rata in OPC capital raises, its stake could decline further, reducing its share of the subsidiary's results.

  • Israeli tariffs and regulationmedium

    Changes to the tariff structure or the generation component could directly affect the profitability of the Israeli segment.

  • Dependence on subsidiary distributionsmedium

    As a holding company, Kenon relies on cash flows from OPC and asset sales, which may be limited by contracts or laws.

  • Recovery of arbitration claimslow

    Recovery of amounts awarded in the Qoros and Peru arbitrations is not assured, and enforcing awards may prove difficult.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If OPC continues developing solar and storage projects and raises its stakes in US plants, the value of Kenon's interest could grow over time.
  • A balance sheet with no material debt and available cash could allow new investments or distributions to shareholders, if conditions are favorable.
  • Recovery of arbitration amounts could bring unexpected proceeds if favorable awards are enforced.

What would break the thesis

  • The OPC stake has declined through dilution, and if Kenon cannot keep participating in capital raises, its share could continue to fall.
  • Higher gas costs and tariff changes in Israel could compress OPC's margins and the holding company's income.
  • If new investments do not earn adequate returns, distributions to shareholders could be reduced or delayed.

What to watch

  • Evolution of the OPC stake after capital raises2026
  • Completion of the Maryland stake acquisition and consolidation of CPV resultsQ2 2026
  • Commercial operation of Sorek 2 and the Israeli storage projects2026
  • Outcome of recovery efforts on the Qoros and Peru arbitration awardsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (29 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Sept 2026), 6-K (10 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026).

The business

Kenon is a holding company incorporated in Singapore and listed on the NYSE and TASE under the symbol KEN. Its only operating business is OPC, which accounted for all of the company's revenue in 2025, of 872 million USD.1 According to the 20-F, at March 30 2026 Kenon held approximately 46% of OPC, down from approximately 55% at the start of 2025, when it did not take part in all of OPC's capital raises.1

Since its 2015 spin-off the company has distributed over 2.8 billion USD in cash and listed securities to shareholders, and in March 2026 it announced a dividend of approximately 200 million USD.1 At March 30 2026 Kenon had cash and other investments of approximately 708 million USD and no material debt.1 It has also sold its interests in ZIM, Tower and the Inkia business, while a dispute over its remaining Qoros interest is still pending.1

Management evaluates investment opportunities in new businesses, generally in established industries, and may support OPC's growth through participation in its capital raises. Funding for such plans could come from cash on hand, asset sales or new financing, depending on market conditions.1

Segments

Israel (OPC Israel)

The Israeli segment generates electricity for private customers and for the System Operator Noga, using natural gas plants and solar projects co-located with storage. In 2025 the segment reported revenue of 675 million USD.1 Tariffs set by the Electricity Authority directly affect results, and the generation component for 2026 was set at 28.90 agorot per kWh.1

United States (CPV Group)

CPV Group, approximately 71% owned by OPC, operates gas-fired plants and renewable projects in the US. The energy transition segment generated revenue of 197 million USD in 2025, and the Fairview plant has a capacity of 1,050 MW.1 The company increased its stakes in some plants and completed the acquisition of about 11% of Shore in January 2026.1

US Renewable Energies

The US renewable segment develops, builds and operates wind and solar projects, with CPV Group's interest in renewable projects at 66.7%. The projects sell under long-term power purchase agreements or are linked to renewable energy certificates, mainly in the PJM and SPP markets.1

Market context

OPC operates in the Israeli electricity market, where contract prices are linked to the generation tariff set by the Electricity Authority and denominated in NIS. In the US, gas-fired plants sell power mainly to the grid in regulated markets such as PJM and NYISO. Both markets were affected in 2025 by variable gas costs and new tax rules.1

The Israeli tariff structure changed on January 1 2026, when the generation component was split into a fixed and a variable part, both adjusted periodically.1 The increase in the excise tax on natural gas, from 19 to 33 NIS per ton in 2025 and to 54 NIS in 2026, could raise OPC's gas costs, although management expects part of the impact to be offset by higher tariffs.1

Trends

  • Israeli electricity tariffsmixed

    The generation component fell in 2025 and was set at a lower level for 2026, which compresses margins in Israel. The new indexed structure could however protect long-term revenue if the variable part tracks actual costs.1

  • Cost of natural gasheadwind

    OPC's gas contracts are partly linked to the dollar and to the generation tariff, with minimum prices. If the tariff falls below the minimum, gas costs do not fall proportionately, which could limit the benefit of a lower tariff.1

  • Project financingheadwind

    OPC has projects under construction and in development in Israel and the US that need significant capital. Access to capital markets could become more expensive if conditions deteriorate, which could delay development.1

  • Demand for renewables and storagetailwind

    Solar projects co-located with storage, such as Ramat Bekka and Hadera 2, reflect a shift toward renewable energy and flexibility. If these projects reach commercial operation they could support growth in OPC's segments.1

Competitive position

The sources do not provide a dedicated competition section, and direct product competitors are not explicitly named. The acquisition risks are described, however: Kenon competes with financial investors and local or international companies for investment opportunities, and some rivals have greater resources or lower costs of capital.1

In independent power production, OPC operates in markets where generators compete for supply contracts and development projects. If other developers secure similar projects, OPC's cost advantage could be reduced.1

  • Financial investors and infrastructure funds

    Compete with Kenon for investment and acquisition opportunities, sometimes with greater resources and lower costs of capital.

  • Local and international energy companies

    Take part in bids and acquisitions of generation assets, which can raise the cost of new investments.

  • Renewable and storage project developers

    Compete in the same US and Israeli markets for solar, wind and storage projects.

  • Natural gas power producers

    Compete in US capacity and energy markets, where gas-fired plants sell mainly to the grid.

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Kenon Holdings Ltd. · 30 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.