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olivLaw · US equity research

Masco Corporation MAS

Heating Equip, Except Elec & Warm Air; & Plumbing Fixtures · SIC 3430 · Vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx)

83.83USD−3.44% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Masco Corporation is a global maker of branded home improvement products, with net sales of $7.562 billion in fiscal 2025. In the first six months of 2026 net sales reached $3.910 billion, and management raised adjusted EPS guidance to $4.40-$4.60, mainly because of tariff refunds.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Masco Corporation (MAS) stock was 83.83 USD (−3.44% on the day), with market capitalisation 16.2 bn USD, P/E 18.2 on diluted EPS of 4.62 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.51%, beta 1.00, 52-week range 58.60–86.82 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (+2.6% YoY), net income of 230.0 m USD (+21.7% YoY), diluted EPS 1.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
16.2 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2
Diluted EPS TTM 4.62 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.51%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.51%
DPS 12m 1.27
Beta (2y)
1.00
Volatility (1y) 36%
52-week range
58.6086.82

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
65.78 – 86.47
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 27.2%
SMA 50 / 200
72.10 / 71.15
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.56 / 2.54
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+19.9%−5.9%+25.8 pp—
3 months+11.1%−4.6%+15.7 pp—
6 months+16.5%+0.2%+16.3 pp—
Year to date+32.1%+7.4%+24.7 pp—
1 year+32.2%+8.2%+24.0 pp+7.8%
3 years+53.4%+68.4%−15.0 pp+30.1%
5 years+30.6%+56.5%−25.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.7%
10 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.9%
29 Dec 2021 → 03 Nov 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.5%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
+2.6% YoY
Net income
230.0 m USD
+21.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.17
+30.0% YoY
net / operating
11.7% / 17.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.8 bn1.8 bn2.1 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Gross profit636.0 m644.0 m772.0 m656.0 m606.0 m686.0 m868.0 m720.0 m
SG&A345.0 m358.0 m361.0 m353.0 m354.0 m369.0 m397.0 m381.0 m
Operating income290.0 m286.0 m412.0 m303.0 m247.0 m316.0 m470.0 m338.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation37.0 m35.0 m36.0 m38.0 m39.0 m38.0 m38.0 m37.0 m
Interest expense24.0 m26.0 m26.0 m25.0 m24.0 m26.0 m28.0 m29.0 m
Pre-tax income258.0 m254.0 m378.0 m276.0 m227.0 m291.0 m440.0 m322.0 m
Income tax65.0 m56.0 m95.0 m76.0 m51.0 m63.0 m107.0 m82.0 m
Net income182.0 m186.0 m270.0 m189.0 m165.0 m213.0 m318.0 m230.0 m
Diluted EPS0.84 ≈0.871.280.900.80 ≈1.051.601.17
Operating cash flow407.0 m-158.0 m306.0 m ≈456.0 m ≈418.0 m-79.0 m496.0 m ≈371.0 m ≈
Capex56.0 m32.0 m36.0 m ≈41.0 m ≈47.0 m34.0 m43.0 m ≈39.0 m ≈
Dividends paid63.0 m66.0 m66.0 m ≈65.0 m ≈64.0 m65.0 m64.0 m ≈62.0 m ≈
Share repurchases269.0 m130.0 m101.0 m ≈123.0 m ≈217.0 m202.0 m390.0 m ≈260.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 48 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 7.2, median 18.3, max 43.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue6.7 bn6.7 bn7.2 bn8.4 bn8.7 bn8.0 bn7.8 bn7.6 bn
Revenue YoY+10.6%+0.8%+7.2%+16.5%+3.6%−8.2%−1.7%−3.4%
Net income734.0 m935.0 m1.2 bn410.0 m844.0 m908.0 m822.0 m810.0 m
Net income YoY+37.7%+27.4%+30.9%−66.5%+105.9%+7.6%−9.5%−1.5%
Diluted EPS2.373.224.591.623.634.023.763.86
Diluted EPS YoY+42.8%+35.9%+42.5%−64.7%+124.1%+10.7%−6.5%+2.7%
net %11.0%13.9%17.0%4.9%9.7%11.4%10.5%10.7%
Free cash flow813.0 m671.0 m839.0 m802.0 m616.0 m1.2 bn907.0 m866.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
647.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.9 bn USD
Net debt
2.3 bn USD
Equity
76.0 m USD
Total assets
5.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
38.75x
Current ratio
1.81x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
15.9%
FCF margin
11.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.0 bn
2024
7.8 bn
2025
7.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
149.0 m
2024
150.0 m
2025
148.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.5 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
106.0 m
2024
99.0 m
2025
101.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
278.0 m
2024
287.0 m
2025
277.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
908.0 m
2024
822.0 m
2025
810.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.02
2024
3.76
2025
3.86

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
226.0 m
2024
219.0 m
2025
210.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.14
2024
1.16
2025
1.24

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
634.0 m
2024
634.0 m
2025
647.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.0 bn
2024
938.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.1 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Feb 2024verified

Goodwill
2023
604.0 m
2024
597.0 m
2025
623.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
377.0 m
2024
220.0 m
2025
205.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
5.4 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
840.0 m
2024
789.0 m
2025
810.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
98.0 m
2024
-53.0 m
2025
76.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
243.0 m
2024
168.0 m
2025
156.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
907.0 m ≈
2025
866.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-383.0 m
2024
-50.0 m
2025
-144.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-854.0 m
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-888.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
257.0 m
2024
254.0 m
2025
261.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
353.0 m
2024
751.0 m
2025
571.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
37.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
17.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
37.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
27.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
24.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
12.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
163.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
112.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
79.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
81 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
16.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
18.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
17.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
4.10
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 63 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

83.83 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 16.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
16.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 3198derived 247

Score by group

  • Quality88
  • Growth7
  • Balance sheet70
  • Returns100
  • Valuation66

Estimated value range

Low
64.24
USD per share
Mid
75.75
USD per share
High
92.30
USD per share
Price: 83.83 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -9.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -10.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 16.29 – 139.47 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)55.08 – 96.51 (Mid 70.66)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 1.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 1.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA73.40 – 88.09 (Mid 80.84)
    12 companies used · median multiple 12.0x · quartiles 11.0x – 12.9x
    ACA, ACU, CXT, EML, GFF, HLMN, JBI, MWA, SNA, SSD, VATE, VMI
  • Peers: P/E77.68 – 139.47 (Mid 94.44)
    26 companies used · median multiple 20.5x · quartiles 16.8x – 30.2x
    ACA, ACU, BALL, CCK, CR, CXT, EML, GFF, JBI, LCUT, MTRN, MWA, OFLX, PH, PKOH, PRLB, RGR, SLGN, SNA, SSD, SWK, TRS, VMI, WTS, XPEL, ZJK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)16.29 – 21.91 (Mid 18.69)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 63/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality12.1%77 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality112.6%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.5%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth2.1%14 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.7x45 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet12.8x100 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x86 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.2x69 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.3x50 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation6.5%81 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns24.4%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth7/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation66/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Masco Corporation (MAS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.4%; net margin 12.1%; net debt/EBITDA 1.7x.

The estimated value range is 64.24–92.30 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 75.75 USD, the price of 83.83 USD leaves a potential of -9.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -10.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 63/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 12.1%
  • FCF conversion: 112.6%
  • Interest coverage: 12.8x
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • FCF yield: 6.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 24.4%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 2.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC.

Versus the vertical median

Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.2x
vertical median 21.5x
below median (−15.6%)
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
vertical median 12.4x
at median
P/S
2.1x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+38.6%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.5x
ROE
—
vertical median 9.5%
Net margin
12.1%
vertical median 4.6%
above median (+160.3%)
EBIT margin
17.9%
vertical median 6.6%
above median (+170.9%)
Revenue YoY
-3.4%
vertical median 4.6%
below median (−173.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.7x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+41.1%)
Dividend yield
1.5%
vertical median 1.1%
above median (+40.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation112.5 bn30.625.0%16.6%+8.3%+4% / +106%
AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.31.1 bn158.56.2%6.2%+33.5%−29% / +66%
SNASnap-on Inc18.9 bn19.117.0%19.2%unavailable+8% / +33%
BALLBall Corporation17.4 bn33.79.6%3.5%+11.6%+35% / +21%
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.17.1 bn20.69.4%5.5%unavailable+61% / +27%
MASMasco Corporation16.2 bn18.2—12.1%−3.4%+32% / +53%
CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.13.2 bn17.026.7%5.8%+4.8%+26% / +42%
CRCrane Company11.4 bn34.016.2%12.4%+8.2%+8% / +87%
SSDSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.8.1 bn21.518.3%15.6%+4.5%+19% / +19%
VMIValmont Industries, Inc.7.6 bn15.130.8%12.1%+0.7%−4% / +81%
ACAArcosa, Inc.7.3 bn14.917.9%17.9%+12.2%+46% / +116%
GFFGriffon Corporation4.6 bn26.1185.4%6.5%−3.9%+37% / +120%
SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc4.4 bn16.811.0%3.9%+10.7%+5% / −0%
MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.3.8 bn17.421.7%15.0%+8.7%+2% / +85%
MTRNMaterion Corporation3.7 bn36.310.5%4.6%+6.0%+45% / +57%
CXTCrane Nxt, Co.3.4 bn26.310.5%7.1%+11.4%+5% / +15%
HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.1.7 bn66.62.0%1.5%+5.4%−3% / +17%
PRLBProto Labs, Inc.1.5 bn44.25.1%6.0%+6.4%+24% / +74%
TRSTrimas Corporation1.4 bn1.683.9%136.2%+2.4%+11% / +48%
XPELXpel, Inc.1.1 bn20.319.5%10.8%+13.3%−14% / −12%
SMRNuscale Power Corporation1.0 bn—-13.0%-6,817.0%−15.0%−78% / +58%
RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.790.9 m49.05.7%2.7%+1.9%+64% / +13%
JBIJanus International Group, Inc.650.8 m19.86.0%3.7%unavailable−23% / −55%
PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp573.1 m16.19.0%2.0%−3.4%+85% / +74%
ACUAcme United Corp263.9 m28.98.4%4.6%+1.1%+86% / +91%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MAS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
46.90
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
83.30
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
126.02
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
37.66
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
75.99
Total return -5% · Per year -2%
127.30
Total return 57% · Per year 16%
5 years
30.24
Total return -59% · Per year -16%
69.31
Total return -10% · Per year -2%
128.59
Total return 63% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 19.00
  • Net margin± 13.30
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.94
  • Annual dilution± 1.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

Masco Corporation is a global maker of branded home improvement products, with net sales of $7.562 billion in fiscal 2025 1. In the first six months of 2026 net sales reached $3.910 billion 2, and management raised adjusted EPS guidance to $4.40-$4.60, mainly because of tariff refunds 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Industry-leading brands such as DELTA, HANSGROHE and BEHR support pricing power and customer loyalty 12.
  • The company has solid liquidity and a track record of share repurchases and dividend increases 13.
  • Operating across two segments and several regions reduces dependence on any single market 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on The Home Depot as the main outlet for BEHR creates customer concentration risk 1.
  • Demand is tied to economic cycles and renovation activity, making sales volatile 12.
  • Lower North American volumes reduced sales in the second quarter of 2026 2.

Opportunities

  • If the consumer-driven growth strategy succeeds, the company could grow faster than its market 2.
  • Tariff refunds and restructuring savings could support margins in the second half of the year 3.
  • Acquisitions of complementary brands could broaden the portfolio if integration succeeds 1.

Threats

  • New or renewed tariffs and trade restrictions on China-sourced goods could raise costs again 12.
  • Competition from private label and low-cost producers could pressure prices 1.
  • Weak consumer confidence could reduce demand for home improvement projects 12.

Risks

  • Dependence on one major customerhigh

    BEHR sales depend on The Home Depot, and losing this customer would materially affect the segment and the company 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Tariffs and changes in trade policy could raise the cost of imported products, especially in plumbing 12.

  • Renovation demandmedium

    A drop in repair and remodel activity, mortgage access or consumer confidence could reduce sales volumes 1.

  • Raw material costsmedium

    Prices of brass, copper, zinc and resins are volatile and could hurt margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

  • International exposurelow

    The share of sales outside North America could be affected by unfavorable currency moves and geopolitical tensions 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The margin rebound in the second quarter of 2026 and raised guidance could suggest that pricing and cost actions are working 3.
  • Strong brands and the ability to return significant capital to shareholders point to a solid financial position 3.
  • If restructuring and the Liberty integration deliver savings, profitability could hold up even after tariff refunds end 2.

What would break the thesis

  • The second-quarter tariff benefit is one-off and could mask weaker North American volumes 23.
  • Reliance on existing homes and renovation could leave sales exposed to an economic slowdown 1.
  • Intense competition and price pressure from low-cost products could limit the company's ability to keep high margins 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the adjusted EPS guidance of $4.40-$4.602026
  • North American volume trends and consumer confidence effectsQ3 2026
  • Actual cash receipt of IEEPA tariff refunds and their effect on costsQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

Masco Corporation designs, manufactures and distributes branded home improvement and building products, including BEHR paint, DELTA and HANSGROHE faucets, LIBERTY hardware and HOT SPRING spas 1. The company reports in two segments, Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products, and most sales come from residential repair and remodel activity rather than new construction 1. At December 31, 2025 it employed approximately 18,000 people and repurchased about 8.5 million shares during 2025 1.

Architectural coatings made up approximately 31 percent of consolidated net sales in 2025 1, making the decorative segment an important but concentrated part of the business. BEHR products are sold through The Home Depot, the company's largest customer, which holds exclusivity rights in certain channels, so a change in that relationship could affect sales 1.

The company aims for above-market growth through a consumer-driven strategy built on its brands, expanded commercial capabilities and operational excellence 2. Liberty Hardware is being integrated into Delta Faucet and will be reported within Plumbing Products starting with the first quarter of 2026 1.

Segments

Plumbing Products

This segment covers faucets, showering systems, acrylic tubs, spas and plumbing components, sold mainly through home center retailers and distributors, with 2025 net sales of $4.992 billion 1. Sales rose on higher net selling prices while tariff and commodity costs pressured margins.

Market context

Demand depends on residential repair and remodel activity, consumer confidence, mortgage availability and home prices 1. In the first half of 2026 North American volumes declined while International sales grew 3.

The company says demand could diminish further if consumer confidence erodes and prices of its products rise, while input cost inflation persists 2. New home construction plays a secondary role in its strategy 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and IEEPA refundsmixed

    The U.S. Supreme Court ruled IEEPA tariffs unlawful and the company began receiving refunds, with a net benefit of about $95 million in the second quarter of 2026 23. This benefit could be temporary, since higher tariffs raised costs during 2025 1.

  • Raw material cost pressureheadwind

    Brass, copper, zinc, resins and titanium dioxide have become more expensive, and energy costs have risen, which weighed on margins 12. If these costs stay high, the company could need further pricing actions.

  • Restructuring and reorganizationmixed

    The company began restructuring actions in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the Liberty integration, with further charges expected in 2026 2. Savings could support margins, though near-term costs may weigh on profit.

Competitive position

In plumbing, competitors include Dornbracht, Moen (Fortune Brands), Kohler, American Standard (Lixil) and Zurn Elkay, along with private label and digitally native brands 1. Competition rests on brand reputation, innovation, quality and price, and low-cost imports add pressure 1.

In coatings the company competes with Sherwin-Williams, PPG, Benjamin Moore, RPM and Pittsburgh Paints, and in hardware with Richelieu and Amerock 1. Brand reputation is an important factor for consumers, which can favor established brands like Masco's 1.

  • Fortune Brands InnovationsFBIN

    Owns the Moen brand, a main rival in faucets and bath hardware 1.

  • The Sherwin-Williams CompanySHW

    Major coatings competitor with brands such as Minwax, Valspar and Thompson's Water Seal 1.

  • Kohler Co.

    Privately held maker of faucets, baths and showering products that competes directly with Masco's bath lines 1.

  • PPG IndustriesPPG

    Paint maker with brands such as Glidden and Olympic, competing in architectural coatings 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Masco Corporation · 10 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Masco Corporation · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Masco Corporation · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.