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olivLaw · US equity research

TriMas Corporation TRS

Metal Forgings & Stampings · SIC 3460 · Vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx)

39.40USD+0.48% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

TriMas makes plastic and steel closures, dispensing systems and steel gas cylinders, and after selling its Aerospace unit in March 2026 it is focused on packaging and life sciences with a very strong balance sheet. Sales in the second quarter of 2026 edged up and the company raised the low end of its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook while it deploys the cash from the sale. Packaging made up 83% of continuing net sales in 2025, and at June 30 2026 the company held 1.24 bn USD of cash.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, TriMas Corporation (TRS) stock was 39.40 USD (+0.48% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.4 bn USD, P/E 1.6 on diluted EPS of 24.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.30%, beta 0.85, 52-week range 31.08–45.03 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 174.6 m USD (+1.6% YoY), net income of 13.4 m USD (−20.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.37 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.4 bn USD
shares as of 23 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
1.6
Diluted EPS TTM 24.03 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
60.99%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.30%
DPS 12m 0.12
Beta (2y)
0.85
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
31.0845.03

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.5
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
37.80 – 40.30
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.64 · band width 6.4%
SMA 50 / 200
38.94 / 38.74
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.10 / 0.09
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.2%−1.1%+2.3 pp—
3 months−3.7%−0.5%−3.2 pp—
6 months−5.3%+4.4%−9.7 pp—
Year to date+11.1%+12.3%−1.2 pp—
1 year+16.9%+13.5%+3.4 pp+12.6%
3 years+60.1%+76.4%−16.3 pp+36.3%
5 years+6.8%+63.7%−56.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.9%
30 Jun 2026 → 21 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−48.3%
12 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+1.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
174.6 m USD
+1.6% YoY
Net income
13.4 m USD
−20.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.37
−9.8% YoY
net / operating
7.7% / 6.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue158.5 m149.7 m152.5 m171.8 m166.0 m155.5 m168.3 m174.6 m
Cost of revenue177.7 m-37.3 m119.6 m133.8 m203.4 m-85.5 m131.4 m139.2 m
Gross profit35.2 m22.5 m32.8 m38.0 m34.5 m32.9 m36.9 m35.3 m
SG&A39.0 m-5.7 m31.0 m30.5 m41.1 m5.1 m30.0 m24.5 m
Operating income8.3 m-23.4 m7.2 m7.4 m16.6 m-24.2 m6.9 m10.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.2 m22.3 m9.2 m9.6 m14.5 m—9.6 m9.9 m
Interest expense4.9 m4.6 m4.5 m4.6 m4.4 m4.6 m5.2 m4.1 m
Pre-tax income3.4 m-27.4 m2.6 m3.1 m12.1 m-27.4 m2.5 m18.1 m
Income tax860.0 k-6.9 m650.0 k700.0 k2.8 m-61.2 m54.3 m-49.2 m
Net income2.5 m5.6 m12.4 m16.7 m9.3 m81.7 m800.8 m13.4 m
Diluted EPS0.060.140.300.410.232.0321.400.37
Operating cash flow22.0 m ≈27.1 m9.2 m30.3 m ≈36.5 m ≈41.5 m-19.4 m-38.5 m ≈
Capex11.9 m15.0 m12.9 m12.1 m13.7 m4.7 m5.2 m6.5 m
Dividends paid1.7 m ≈1.7 m1.6 m1.7 m ≈1.7 m ≈1.7 m1.5 m1.5 m ≈
Share repurchases2.4 m ≈0460.0 k1.8 m ≈0 ≈101.1 m54.5 m18.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 3 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 1.5, median 20.6, max 41.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue705.0 m723.5 m770.0 m857.1 m883.8 m652.2 m630.8 m645.7 m
Revenue YoY+7.4%+2.6%+6.4%+11.3%+3.1%−26.2%−3.3%+2.4%
Net income83.3 m98.6 m-79.8 m57.3 m66.2 m40.4 m24.3 m120.1 m
Net income YoY+169.1%+18.4%−180.9%unavailable+15.5%−39.0%−39.9%+395.4%
Diluted EPS1.802.16-1.831.321.560.970.602.95
Diluted EPS YoY+168.7%+20.0%−184.7%unavailable+18.2%−37.8%−38.1%+391.7%
net %11.8%13.6%-10.4%6.7%7.5%6.2%3.8%18.6%
Free cash flow105.9 m45.9 m86.9 m89.2 m26.6 m34.0 m12.8 m69.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
30.0 m USD
Financial debt
472.8 m USD
Net debt
442.8 m USD
Equity
705.6 m USD
Total assets
1.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.67x
Current ratio
2.52x
ROE
17.5%
ROA
8.6%
FCF margin
10.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
652.2 m
2024
630.8 m
2025
645.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
498.9 m
2024
501.3 m
2025
507.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
153.3 m
2024
129.5 m
2025
138.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
102.5 m
2024
109.7 m
2025
129.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
50.7 m
2024
15.2 m
2025
41.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
57.6 m
2024
64.9 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
108.3 m ≈
2024
80.1 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
15.9 m
2024
19.6 m
2025
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
35.9 m
2024
-4.2 m
2025
24.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
6.3 m
2024
-2.2 m
2025
-48.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
40.4 m
2024
24.3 m
2025
120.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.97
2024
0.60
2025
2.95

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
41.7 m
2024
40.7 m
2025
40.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.04
2024
0.04
2025
0.04

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
34.9 m
2024
23.1 m
2025
30.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
148.0 m
2024
115.6 m
2025
111.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
192.5 m
2024
110.4 m
2025
108.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
397.4 m
2024
426.6 m
2025
462.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
330.0 m
2024
237.7 m
2025
247.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
293.9 m
2024
287.1 m
2025
300.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
181.0 m
2024
78.4 m
2025
76.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
91.9 m
2024
72.4 m
2025
72.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Nov 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
400.0 m
2024
401.5 m
2025
472.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
159.5 m
2024
159.4 m
2025
183.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
658.7 m
2024
656.9 m
2025
779.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
683.0 m
2024
667.3 m
2025
705.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
88.2 m
2024
63.8 m
2025
117.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
54.2 m
2024
51.0 m
2025
48.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
34.0 m ≈
2024
12.8 m ≈
2025
69.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-134.4 m
2024
-47.0 m
2025
-64.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-30.9 m
2024
-28.6 m
2025
-46.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
6.7 m
2024
6.6 m
2025
6.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
18.8 m
2024
19.3 m
2025
103.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
172.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
395.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
22.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
391.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
23.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
439.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
136.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
83.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
49.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
5.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
4.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
20.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
30.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-9.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
26.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
98 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
157 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
153 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
102 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
61.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.61
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 55 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

39.40 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
83.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
136.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 31 Jul 2026
verified 2687derived 190

Score by group

  • Balance sheet40
  • Valuation56
  • Quality50
  • Growth50
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
460.87
USD per share
Mid
555.09
USD per share
High
659.39
USD per share
Price: 39.40 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 1,308.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 92.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 460.87 – 659.39 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E460.87 – 659.39 (Mid 555.09)
    25 companies used · median multiple 23.1x · quartiles 19.2x – 27.4x
    ACA, ACU, AZZ, BALL, CIX, CR, CXT, EML, GFF, JBI, LCUT, MAS, MWA, NPK, OFLX, PH, PKOH, RECT, SNA, SSD, SWBI, SWK, WTS, XPEL, ZJK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate0.53 – 0.71 (Mid 0.60)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 55/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality136.2%100 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality-1.1%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-9.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth23.7%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation1.6x100 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns12.8%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality50/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TRIMAS CORPORATION (TRS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 645.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.4%; net margin 136.2%; ROE 83.9%.

The estimated value range is 460.87–659.39 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 555.09 USD, the price of 39.40 USD leaves a potential of 1,308.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 92.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 55/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 136.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 23.7%
  • Current ratio: 5.4x
  • P/E (TTM): 1.6x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 12.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -1.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -9.9%
  • Interest coverage: 0.6x
  • FCF yield: -0.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Fabricated metal products (SIC 34xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
1.6x
vertical median 23.5x
below median (−93.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.5x
P/S
2.1x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+29.0%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−61.2%)
ROE
83.9%
vertical median 9.6%
above median (+777.1%)
Net margin
136.2%
vertical median 5.5%
above median (+2,365.7%)
EBIT margin
1.5%
vertical median 8.3%
below median (−81.7%)
Revenue YoY
2.4%
vertical median 7.3%
below median (−67.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
0.3%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−70.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation114.7 bn32.025.1%17.0%+8.3%+6% / +110%
AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.34.5 bn175.86.2%6.2%+33.5%−21% / +85%
SNASnap-on Inc19.0 bn19.217.0%19.2%unavailable+8% / +34%
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.17.6 bn21.29.4%5.5%unavailable+65% / +30%
BALLBall Corporation17.5 bn33.99.6%3.5%+11.6%+36% / +22%
MASMasco Corporation16.7 bn18.8—12.1%−3.4%+34% / +43%
CRCrane Company11.9 bn35.416.2%12.4%+8.2%+13% / +95%
SSDSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.8.4 bn22.418.7%15.6%+4.5%+23% / +23%
ACAArcosa, Inc.7.3 bn14.917.9%17.9%+12.2%+46% / +116%
GFFGriffon Corporation4.9 bn27.4185.4%6.5%−3.9%+43% / +131%
AZZAZZ Inc.4.0 bn23.812.3%9.6%+4.6%+25% / +169%
MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.3.8 bn17.021.7%15.0%+8.7%−1% / +81%
CXTCrane Nxt, Co.3.5 bn27.310.5%7.1%+11.4%+9% / +20%
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.2.8 bn——0.2%+12.0%+27% / +18%
HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.1.7 bn68.62.0%1.5%+5.4%+0% / +20%
PRLBProto Labs, Inc.1.6 bn46.65.1%6.0%+6.4%+31% / +84%
TRSTrimas Corporation1.4 bn1.683.9%136.2%+2.4%+17% / +60%
SMRNUSCALE POWER Corp1.2 bn—-30.2%-3,888.7%−15.0%−74% / +85%
XPELXpel, Inc.1.2 bn21.319.5%10.8%+13.3%−9% / −8%
NPKNational Presto Industries Inc1.1 bn25.010.9%7.9%+29.7%+59% / +100%
JBIJanus International Group, Inc.682.2 m20.76.0%3.7%unavailable−19% / −53%
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.649.7 m26.56.6%4.4%+10.4%+66% / +5%
PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp630.3 m23.17.0%1.6%−3.4%+103% / +91%
BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc549.7 m——-2.2%+1.1%−41% / +160%
CIXCompx International Inc457.6 m23.116.3%14.0%+8.5%+65% / +58%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
22.12
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
39.30
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
59.47
Total return 51% · Per year 51%
3 years
17.56
Total return -55% · Per year -23%
35.47
Total return -9% · Per year -3%
59.47
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
5 years
13.95
Total return -64% · Per year -18%
32.01
Total return -17% · Per year -4%
59.47
Total return 53% · Per year 9%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.87
  • Net margin± 6.21
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.61
  • Annual dilution± 0.52

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

TriMas makes plastic and steel closures, dispensing systems and steel gas cylinders, and after selling its Aerospace unit in March 2026 it is focused on packaging and life sciences with a very strong balance sheet. Sales in the second quarter of 2026 edged up and the company raised the low end of its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook while it deploys the cash from the sale. Packaging made up 83% of continuing net sales in 2025 1, and at June 30 2026 the company held 1.24 bn USD of cash 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a solid market position in customized closures and dispensers, with long relationships with large customers and its own capacity for innovation and patenting.
  • The balance sheet is very strong after the Aerospace sale, with abundant cash and low debt, giving flexibility for investment or buybacks.
  • Plants spread across several countries allow production close to customers and reduce exposure to supply chain disruptions.

Weaknesses

  • Sales depend heavily on the Packaging segment, and customer concentration is rising, which increases the risk of sudden order cuts.
  • Specialty Products has had thin margins and high demand volatility, and raw material cost increases have been hard to pass on in time.
  • Second quarter 2026 results were distorted by a tax accounting misapplication that was later corrected, which points to weaknesses in financial controls.

Opportunities

  • Deploying the remaining Aerospace proceeds into packaging and life sciences acquisitions could broaden the portfolio and add new customers.
  • Cost savings and the operational excellence program could improve margins if they are sustained into the second half of the year.
  • Demand for recyclable and lower-plastic packaging could favor the company's newer product lines.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty may raise input costs or reduce competitiveness of products made outside the US.
  • A fall in interest rates could sharply reduce income from the invested cash that has supported 2026 adjusted earnings.
  • Competition from lower-cost manufacturers in Asia could limit volumes and pressure prices.

Risks

  • Reliance on cash interest incomehigh

    A large part of the 2026 adjusted profit comes from interest on the cash left after the Aerospace sale, and lower rates would reduce this income.

  • Supply chain disruptionmedium

    The company relies on single sources for some materials, and disruptions from geopolitics, climate or logistics could affect deliveries.

  • Raw material cost volatilitymedium

    Resins and steel have volatile costs and price recovery lags, which can compress margins.

  • Goodwill impairmentmedium

    Goodwill and intangible assets make up a large share of total assets, and weaker results could trigger significant impairments.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    Large packaging and cylinder customers could reduce orders or seek less favorable terms, affecting sales stability.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If acquisitions in packaging and life sciences are made at sensible prices, the company could grow revenue over the long term while keeping a very strong balance sheet.
  • Cost reduction and operational excellence programs could lift margins, as the 2026 guidance indicates 3.
  • A recovery in steel cylinder demand could support Specialty Products, whose sales rose in the second quarter of 2026 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Adjusted profit for 2026 depends largely on cash interest income, and a fall in rates could significantly reduce results.
  • Organic packaging sales declined in the second quarter of 2026, showing that demand in some consumer markets remains volatile 2.
  • If the remaining proceeds go to poor acquisitions or excessive buybacks, value for shareholders could be diluted.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and the 2026 adjusted EPS outlookQ3 2026
  • Use of the remaining Aerospace proceeds, including acquisitions and buybacks2026
  • Packaging organic demand and Specialty Products margin trendQ4 2026
  • Impact of tariffs and the Supreme Court refunds on costsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

TriMas designs, develops and manufactures products for consumer, aerospace and defense, and industrial markets through its TriMas Packaging, TriMas Aerospace and Specialty Products groups 1. Net sales from continuing operations were 645.7 mn USD in 2025, and roughly 66% came from North America 1. On March 16 2026 the company completed the sale of TriMas Aerospace for about 1,456.9 mn USD, leaving packaging and Specialty Products as the continuing businesses 2. Headquarters are in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, with about 3,700 employees 1.

The stated strategy combines organic growth in new and sustainable products, strategic acquisitions in packaging and life sciences, and a single operating model across the company 1. The Strategic Investment Committee is evaluating uses of the remaining sale proceeds, which may include organic investment, acquisitions and share repurchases 13. Cost reduction continued, including the closure of the Atkins, Arkansas packaging plant 3.

The value model rests on engineered closures and dispensing systems sold on long customer qualification cycles, and on forged steel cylinders, where Norris Cylinder is the only remaining US maker of high-pressure Type 1 forged steel cylinders 1. If cylinder demand stabilizes, the Specialty Products segment could see less of the volatility it experienced in recent years 1.

Segments

Packaging

The Packaging segment designs and makes polymeric and steel dispensing systems, closures and flexible packaging for beauty, personal care, food and beverage and life sciences customers 1. In 2025 it had net sales of 535.5 mn USD and operating profit of 68.1 mn USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 sales were roughly flat, while adjusted operating profit and margin improved from the prior quarter 3.

Specialty Products

The Specialty Products segment consists mainly of Norris Cylinder, which makes steel cylinders for compressed gases for industrial, welding and defense customers 1. The Arrow Engine business was sold in January 2025 1. In 2025 it had net sales of 110.2 mn USD and operating profit of 4.2 mn USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 sales rose 10.2% year over year, but margin fell on raw material cost lags and manufacturing inefficiencies 3.

Market context

The closures and dispensing market is fragmented, with large global groups and smaller producers, many in Asia, each focused on particular products 1. Demand here depends on consumer goods volumes and customer inventory levels, which can shift quickly 1. Cylinder demand went through a destocking period after strong purchases in earlier years and picked up again in 2026 12.

Tariffs introduced in 2025 raised the cost of some products sourced outside the US, and after the February 2026 Supreme Court decision the company is entitled to refunds of some tariffs paid 12. Raw material costs, especially resins and steel, remain volatile and could compress margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

Trends

  • Cylinder demand recoverytailwind

    Demand for steel cylinders rose in the second quarter of 2026 after the earlier destocking period, supporting Specialty Products sales 23. If this demand holds, it could support segment revenue growth.

  • Tariffs and input costsheadwind

    Tariffs on products from China and other countries raised the cost of some materials and components, and uncertainty about future tariffs remains high 12. If these costs cannot be passed on to customers, margins could fall.

  • Interest income on cashmixed

    Proceeds from the Aerospace sale are held in liquid interest-bearing instruments, which produced significant financial income in the second quarter of 2026 23. If rates fall or the company uses the cash for acquisitions, this support could disappear.

  • Sustainable packagingtailwind

    Packaging customers increasingly ask for recyclable products with less plastic, and the company has launched single-material pumps and recyclable closures 1. This trend can open sales opportunities but requires continued innovation spending.

Competitive position

In packaging the company faces large players such as Amcor, Aptar, Silgan and Greif, as well as specialist producers such as Bericap, Mold-Rite, Phoenix Closures and Technocraft, plus smaller Asian companies 1. TriMas does not believe a single competitor matches its full product range 1.

Norris Cylinder competes with non-US producers including Beijing Tianhai, ENK, Everest Kanto, Faber, MAT and Zhejiang Jindun, and it is the only remaining US manufacturer of high-pressure Type 1 forged steel cylinders 1. Building new capacity is costly and slow, which limits entry by other players 1.

  • AmcorAMCR

    Large packaging company named as a competitor in the Packaging segment

  • AptarATR

    Dispensing and closure producer named as a competitor in Packaging

  • SilganSLGN

    Closure and container maker named as a direct competitor

  • GreifGEF

    Industrial packaging company named as a rival in Packaging

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / TriMas Corporation · 02 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / TriMas Corporation · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / TriMas Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.