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olivLaw · US equity research

Danaos Corporation DAC

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight · SIC 4412 · Vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

152.45USD−0.45% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Danaos Corporation is an international owner of containerships and drybulk vessels that charters its container fleet to major liner companies under multi-year contracts. The company operates 75 containerships and 11 Capesize bulkers, and its container fleet has expanded through new orders.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Danaos Corporation (DAC) stock was 152.45 USD (−0.45% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.8 bn USD, P/E 5.7 on diluted EPS of 26.76 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.26%, beta 0.64, 52-week range 91.86–170.22 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.8 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.7
Diluted EPS TTM 26.76 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
17.55%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
2.26%
DPS 12m 3.45
Beta (2y)
0.64
Volatility (1y) 24%
52-week range
91.86170.22

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
149.58 – 169.49
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.14 · band width 12.5%
SMA 50 / 200
157.89 / 131.50
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.16 / -0.12
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−8.1%−1.1%−7.0 pp—
3 months+10.0%−0.5%+10.4 pp—
6 months+16.6%+4.4%+12.2 pp—
Year to date+61.9%+12.3%+49.6 pp—
1 year+70.1%+13.5%+56.6 pp+30.6%
3 years+129.3%+76.4%+52.9 pp+35.8%
5 years+115.2%+63.7%+51.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−10.4%
08 Oct 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−51.7%
17 Mar 2022 → 19 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+16.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 8-quarter history (min 1.1, median 2.2, max 3.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue458.7 m447.2 m461.6 m689.5 m993.3 m973.6 m1.0 bn1.0 bn
Revenue YoY+1.5%−2.5%+3.2%+49.4%+44.1%−2.0%+4.2%+2.8%
Net income-32.9 m131.3 m153.6 m1.1 bn559.2 m576.3 m505.1 m494.6 m
Net income YoY−139.3%unavailable+17.0%+585.7%−46.9%+3.1%−12.4%−2.1%
Diluted EPS-3.108.096.4551.1527.2828.9526.0526.76
Diluted EPS YoY−129.0%unavailable−20.3%+693.0%−46.7%+6.1%−10.0%+2.7%
net %-7.2%29.3%33.3%152.7%56.3%59.2%49.8%47.4%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.0 bn USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
117.8 m USD
Equity
3.8 bn USD
Total assets
5.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.30x
Current ratio
3.28x
ROE
13.7%
ROA
10.5%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
973.6 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
580.7 m
2024
540.9 m
2025
498.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
129.3 m
2024
148.3 m
2025
163.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
709.9 m ≈
2024
689.2 m ≈
2025
662.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
20.5 m
2024
26.2 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
576.3 m
2024
505.1 m
2025
494.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
576.3 m
2024
505.1 m
2025
494.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
28.95
2024
26.05
2025
26.76

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
19.9 m
2024
19.4 m
2025
18.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
3.05
2024
3.25
2025
3.45

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
271.8 m
2024
453.4 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
9.9 m
2024
25.6 m
2025
38.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
24.5 m
2024
23.9 m
2025
23.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
501.8 m
2024
671.0 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.7 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
22.8 m
2024
29.0 m
2025
17.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
21.3 m
2024
35.2 m
2025
283.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
382.9 m
2024
699.6 m
2025
872.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
168.2 m
2024
169.0 m
2025
401.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
644.8 m
2024
918.9 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.0 bn †
2024
3.4 bn †
2025
3.8 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
19.4 m
2024
19.0 m
2025
18.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
576.3 m
2024
621.8 m
2025
644.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-338.5 m
2024
-650.8 m
2025
-325.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-233.6 m
2024
210.6 m
2025
264.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
60.7 m
2024
62.8 m
2025
63.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
70.6 m
2024
53.3 m
2025
75.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
26.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
32.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
63.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
47.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
47.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
117.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
19.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
644.8 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
97.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
5.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
2.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
4.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
5.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
2.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 64 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

152.45 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
4.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
47.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Feb 2026
verified 432

Score by group

  • Valuation71
  • Returns71
  • Quality72
  • Balance sheet93
  • Growth7

Estimated value range

Low
128.36
USD per share
Mid
253.26
USD per share
High
413.92
USD per share
Price: 152.45 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 66.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 39.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 102.08 – 433.60 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA154.64 – 394.25 (Mid 256.83)
    13 companies used · median multiple 7.3x · quartiles 4.4x – 11.1x
    CCEC, CMRE, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, GNK, GSL, HSHP, LPG, NVGS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Peers: P/E102.08 – 433.60 (Mid 249.68)
    30 companies used · median multiple 9.3x · quartiles 3.8x – 16.2x
    ASC, CCEC, CISS, CMBT, CMRE, CTRM, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, ESEA, FRO, GASS, GNK, GSL, HSHP, IMPP, LPG, NMM, NVGS, PANL, PSHG, PXS, SBLK, SHIP, STNG, TK, TOPS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate45.34 – 60.97 (Mid 52.00)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 64/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality13.1%64 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality47.4%84 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.6%14 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.6%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.2x86 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet19.0x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.3x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation5.7x65 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation4.4x77 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.0%71 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet93/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth7/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial71/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation71/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DANAOS CORPORATION (DAC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.8%; net margin 47.4%; ROE 13.7%; net debt/EBITDA 0.2x.

The estimated value range is 128.36–413.92 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 253.26 USD, the price of 152.45 USD leaves a potential of 66.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 39.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 64/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 47.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.2x
  • Interest coverage: 19.0x
  • Current ratio: 3.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 4.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.0%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -0.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
5.7x
vertical median 10.1x
below median (−43.4%)
EV/EBITDA
4.4x
vertical median 7.3x
below median (−39.6%)
P/S
2.7x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+42.0%)
P/B
0.7x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−32.3%)
ROE
13.7%
vertical median 9.9%
above median (+39.0%)
Net margin
47.4%
vertical median 18.1%
above median (+161.5%)
EBIT margin
47.8%
vertical median 27.0%
above median (+77.2%)
Revenue YoY
2.8%
vertical median -1.2%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.2x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−86.2%)
Dividend yield
2.3%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−9.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FROFrontline plc10.8 bn28.515.6%19.2%−8.8%+106% / +144%
CMBTCmb.tech NV5.4 bn3.849.1%92.6%−23.9%+56% / −5%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.4.4 bn12.111.4%36.7%−24.6%+48% / +57%
TRMDTORM plc3.8 bn13.213.3%21.3%−14.1%+76% / +33%
DHTDht Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn16.819.4%42.4%−12.8%+69% / +121%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.3.4 bn7.111.9%6.9%−18.1%+39% / +306%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.3.1 bn37.33.4%8.1%−17.6%+37% / +28%
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.3.0 bn22.525.0%31.4%−0.4%+130% / +252%
DACDanaos Corporation2.8 bn5.713.7%47.4%+2.8%+70% / +129%
NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.2.5 bn8.6—21.2%+0.8%+57% / +232%
LPGDorian Lpg Ltd.2.1 bn6.528.3%55.0%+36.3%+99% / +17%
SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.1.7 bn—-2.5%-3.6%−18.9%+42% / +3%
CMRECostamare Inc.1.6 bn4.615.9%41.5%−1.2%−14% / +30%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.1.4 bn3.525.5%54.3%+7.8%+14% / +118%
NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd1.3 bn13.98.2%17.1%+3.6%+14% / +40%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.1.2 bn7.312.0%—+62.0%+2% / +57%
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.1.2 bn11.94.8%10.3%−22.2%+38% / +95%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited1.1 bn13.98.9%15.5%−19.1%+31% / +59%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.987.8 m14.37.8%13.4%−5.6%+37% / +98%
ASCArdmore Shipping Corp752.3 m21.06.6%13.2%−23.6%+51% / +36%
HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.719.3 m40.611.2%13.4%+6.7%+72% / +157%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.491.7 m10.111.0%6.7%+17.8%+7% / +7%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd.459.1 m3.333.1%60.1%+7.0%+8% / +172%
GASSStealthgas Inc.308.3 m5.19.2%35.0%+3.5%+21% / +24%
DSXDiana Shipping Inc.276.7 m21.73.5%8.3%−6.4%+21% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DAC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
88.55
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
156.78
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
236.46
Total return 58% · Per year 58%
3 years
81.04
Total return -42% · Per year -17%
161.91
Total return 13% · Per year 4%
268.81
Total return 85% · Per year 23%
5 years
74.17
Total return -43% · Per year -11%
167.20
Total return 22% · Per year 4%
305.59
Total return 116% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 40.48
  • Net margin± 28.33
  • Annual revenue growth± 23.92
  • Annual dilution± 2.38

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (09 Oct 2026), 6-K (04 Aug 2026), 6-K (18 Jun 2026), 6-K (12 May 2026).

In brief

Danaos Corporation is an international owner of containerships and drybulk vessels that charters its container fleet to major liner companies under multi-year contracts. The company operates 75 containerships and 11 Capesize bulkers, and its container fleet has expanded through new orders 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The containership fleet runs at very high utilization and under multi-year fixed-rate charters, which provide relatively predictable revenues 1.
  • The company has a customer base of major liner companies under contracts that extend over several years 1.
  • Staggered contract maturities reduce exposure to any single stage of the market cycle 1.

Weaknesses

  • Drybulk vessels are exposed to spot rates, which are more volatile and can fall quickly in weak markets 1.
  • The drybulk fleet is relatively recent in strategy, and its vessels are older on average than the container fleet 1.
  • Reliance on the affiliated manager and the majority shareholder creates concentration in governance and related-party dealings 1.

Opportunities

  • Strong Capesize rates in the fourth quarter of 2025 could support drybulk revenues if the market stays firm 1.
  • New orders could expand capacity and bring new long-term contracts 1.
  • Renewing expiring contracts could be done at better rates if the market remains favorable 1.

Threats

  • If charter rates fall below existing contract levels, vessels could be re-chartered at lower prices 1.
  • A customer that fails to meet its payment obligations could seriously affect the company's revenues 1.
  • Changes in trade demand and macroeconomic conditions could alter cargo flows and rates 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on charterers meeting their obligationshigh

    Revenues depend on the ability and willingness of charterers to pay; if they do not, operating and financial results could be significantly affected 1.

  • Contract expiries in weaker marketsmedium

    If expiring contracts are renewed at lower rates than current ones, revenues could decline accordingly 1.

  • Drybulk segment volatilitymedium

    Capesize vessels operated on the spot market can generate revenues that are hard to predict and lower in weak periods 1.

  • Cost and financing of new vesselsmedium

    Newbuilding orders are large financial commitments, and interest rates and financing terms can influence net results 1.

  • Concentrated governance structurelow

    The manager and the majority shareholder are affiliated, which can create conflicts of interest in related-party transactions 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The base of multi-year contracts and very high utilization of the containership fleet provide a notable degree of revenue stability 1.
  • Containership charter rates have stayed high, which could support re-charter rates at good levels 1.
  • Fleet expansion through new orders could raise capacity and revenues over the medium term if projects are delivered as planned 1.

What would break the thesis

  • The drybulk segment's exposure to spot rates can lead to more volatile revenues and declines in weak periods 1.
  • Contracts expiring in the coming period could be renewed at lower rates if the market weakens 1.
  • Reliance on charterers' ability to pay and large newbuilding commitments make results sensitive to market shocks 1.

What to watch

  • Container fleet utilization and the contracts expiring2026
  • Delivery of newbuildings under construction and their charter placement2026-2029
  • Capesize spot rates and drybulk segment resultsnext 10-K
  • Customer payments and contracted revenue levelsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (09 Oct 2026), 6-K (04 Aug 2026), 6-K (18 Jun 2026), 6-K (12 May 2026).

The business

Danaos Corporation operates through wholly owned subsidiaries incorporated in Liberia and the Marshall Islands, which own the vessels in its fleet 1. Its core activity is chartering containerships to liner companies such as CMA CGM, MSC, Hapag Lloyd and Maersk under multi-year fixed-rate contracts 1. Since 2023 it has also re-entered the drybulk segment, operating Capesize vessels on the spot market and short-term charters 1.

As of February 25, 2026, the fleet comprised 75 containerships with 477,491 TEUs, 27 under construction with 174,550 TEUs, and 11 Capesize bulkers, one of which was due for delivery in March 2026 1. The company ordered four Newcastlemax bulkers in early 2026, with an approximate capacity of 844,000 DWT 1. Operations are managed by an affiliated manager, Danaos Shipping, under the supervision of the board of directors 1.

Revenues are driven mainly by fleet size, operating days and the charter rates obtained 1. Multi-year contracts provide relatively stable cash flows, while the spot exposure of the Capesize vessels makes drybulk revenues more volatile 1.

Segments

Containerships

The main segment, with 75 vessels and 27 newbuildings under construction, mostly chartered on multi-year fixed-rate contracts 1. Container fleet utilization was 98.2% in 2025, compared with 97.2% in 2024 1.

Capesize drybulk

The 11 Capesize vessels, fully delivered, are operated mainly on the spot market and on short-term time charters 1. The Baltic Capesize 5TC average rate for 2025 was approximately 21,151 USD per day 1.

Market context

The containership charter market saw relatively high charter rates through 2025 and into early 2026, after an improvement in 2024 1. For Danaos, the balance of demand and supply for capacity sets the rates at which vessels are re-chartered as contracts expire 1. The Capesize market was subdued in the first three quarters of 2025 before strengthening in the fourth quarter, supported by iron ore and bauxite exports 1.

Contracted revenues depend on many charters expiring at different times, so exposure to future rates depends on when vessels are re-chartered 1. Total future minimum charter payments of 4,153.4 million USD at December 31, 2025 indicate the size of the contracted base 1.

Trends

  • Improving containership charter ratestailwind

    Containership charter rates improved in 2024 and stayed at high levels in 2025, which could support rates when vessels are re-chartered 1.

  • Charter expiries and lower re-charter ratesheadwind

    If market rates fall below those in expiring contracts, vessels could be re-chartered at lower rates, reducing revenues 1.

  • Capesize market volatilitymixed

    Capesize vessels are exposed to spot rates, which can rise in periods of strong demand but fall in weak markets, making drybulk revenues less predictable 1.

  • New orders and fleet expansionmixed

    New orders built to the latest IMO standards could expand capacity and revenues, but they also raise financing needs and execution risk 1.

Competitive position

Danaos competes with other containership owners that charter capacity to major liner companies, where fleet size, efficiency and the ability to offer multi-year contracts are decisive 1. In drybulk, competition depends on spot availability and operating costs 1.

  • Liner companies that charter vessels (customers and partners)

    Companies such as CMA CGM, MSC, Hapag Lloyd and Maersk are both customers and market players, and their relationships shape demand for capacity 1.

  • Other independent containership owners

    Independent owners compete for the same multi-year charters, especially for larger vessels 1.

  • Capesize bulk carrier operators

    Capesize operators compete on the spot market and in short-term contracts for iron ore and bauxite cargoes 1.

  • Asian and European drybulk fleet operators

    Drybulk operators compete for cargoes and spot rates, which affects the revenues of the drybulk segment 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 11 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 09 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Danaos Corporation · 27 Feb 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.