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olivLaw · US equity research

Dorian LPG Ltd. LPG

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight · SIC 4412 · Vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

49.43USD−4.87% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE: LPG) owns and operates very large gas carriers that move LPG by sea, with nearly all of its revenue earned through the Helios Pool joint venture. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenues reached $187.9 million amid high freight volatility linked to geopolitical disruption, which keeps the company closely watched by investors.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) stock was 49.43 USD (−4.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.1 bn USD, P/E 6.5 on diluted EPS of 7.55 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.97%, beta 0.68, 52-week range 23.93–58.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 187.9 m USD (+123.1% YoY), net income of 138.3 m USD (+1,271.6% YoY), diluted EPS 3.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.1 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.5
Diluted EPS TTM 7.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
15.27%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.97%
DPS 12m 2.95
Beta (2y)
0.68
Volatility (1y) 43%
52-week range
23.9358.31

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
49.28 – 58.94
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.02 · band width 17.9%
SMA 50 / 200
54.25 / 42.38
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.75 / -0.27
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−14.2%−1.1%−13.1 pp—
3 months+14.8%−0.5%+15.3 pp—
6 months+26.6%+4.4%+22.2 pp—
Year to date+103.1%+12.3%+90.8 pp—
1 year+70.0%+13.5%+56.5 pp+30.6%
3 years+29.8%+76.4%−46.6 pp+37.7%
5 years+285.9%+63.7%+222.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.1%
20 May 2026 → 30 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−66.1%
30 May 2024 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+31.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
187.9 m USD
+123.1% YoY
Net income
138.3 m USD
+1,271.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.24
+1,250.0% YoY
net / operating
73.6% / 75.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue82.4 m80.7 m75.9 m84.2 m124.1 m120.0 m153.3 m187.9 m
Operating income19.1 m23.4 m14.7 m15.6 m59.3 m51.3 m83.9 m142.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.4 m17.5 m17.6 m18.4 m17.9 m18.1 m17.3 m17.6 m
Interest expense9.4 m8.9 m8.0 m7.7 m7.6 m7.1 m6.9 m8.7 m
Net income9.4 m21.4 m8.1 m10.1 m55.4 m47.2 m81.0 m138.3 m
Diluted EPS0.220.500.190.241.301.111.903.24
Operating cash flow57.3 m ≈24.3 m ≈50.2 m814.5 k46.4 m ≈80.8 m ≈82.1 m30.5 m
Dividends paid43.7 m ≈42.6 m ≈29.8 m21.2 m26.3 m ≈27.7 m ≈29.8 m42.5 m
Share repurchases—0 ≈2.0 m1.8 m2.9 m ≈-2.8 k ≈2.3 m—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 54 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 3.5, median 6.0, max 23.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue158.0 m333.4 m315.9 m274.2 m389.7 m560.7 m353.3 m481.5 m
Revenue YoY−0.8%+111.0%−5.2%−13.2%+42.1%+43.9%−37.0%+36.3%
Net income-50.9 m111.8 m92.6 m71.9 m172.4 m307.4 m90.2 m193.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−17.2%−22.3%+139.7%+78.3%−70.7%+114.8%
Diluted EPS-0.932.071.861.784.297.602.144.54
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−10.1%−4.3%+141.0%+77.2%−71.8%+112.1%
net %-32.2%33.5%29.3%26.2%44.2%54.8%25.5%40.2%
Free cash flow4.9 m149.2 m161.1 m95.5 m155.3 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
327.4 m USD
Financial debt
560.4 m USD
Net debt
233.0 m USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.49x
Current ratio
2.67x
ROE
17.7%
ROA
10.6%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
560.7 m
2025
353.3 m
2026
481.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
328.8 m
2025
112.6 m
2026
210.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
68.7 m
2025
69.6 m
2026
71.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
397.5 m ≈
2025
182.2 m ≈
2026
281.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
40.5 m
2025
35.8 m
2026
29.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
307.4 m
2025
90.2 m
2026
193.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
7.60
2025
2.14
2026
4.54

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
40.5 m
2025
42.2 m
2026
42.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
4.00
2025
3.70
2026
2.45

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
282.5 m
2025
316.9 m
2026
327.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
659.6 k
2025
1.4 m
2026
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
2.4 m
2025
2.5 m
2026
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
368.9 m
2025
382.4 m
2026
450.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
10.2 m
2025
11.5 m
2026
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
53.5 m
2025
54.5 m
2026
100.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
551.5 m
2025
498.8 m
2026
460.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
101.8 m
2025
107.9 m
2026
168.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
814.1 m
2025
732.6 m
2026
732.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
1.0 bn †
2025
1.0 bn †
2026
1.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
388.4 m
2025
173.0 m
2026
210.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Jun 2023verified

Free cash flow
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Jun 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-34.8 m
2025
-7.4 m
2026
-93.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-219.7 m
2025
-131.3 m
2026
-105.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
162.3 m
2025
156.4 m
2026
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
3.9 m
2025
6.3 m
2026
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
36.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
86.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
114.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
112.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
19.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
69.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
57.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
55.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
28.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
165.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
239.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
58.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
2 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
6.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
6.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 72 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

49.43 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
28.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
55.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
36.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1522derived 85

Score by group

  • Balance sheet93
  • Valuation64
  • Quality86
  • Growth37
  • Returns90

Estimated value range

Low
32.20
USD per share
Mid
67.32
USD per share
High
105.53
USD per share
Price: 49.43 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 36.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 26.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 28.31 – 105.71 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA38.62 – 105.71 (Mid 67.32)
    14 companies used · median multiple 7.5x · quartiles 4.5x – 11.5x
    CCEC, CMRE, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, GNK, GSL, HSHP, NVGS, SMHI, TEN, TRMD, ZIM
  • Peers: P/E28.31 – 105.53 (Mid 70.44)
    28 companies used · median multiple 9.3x · quartiles 3.7x – 14.0x
    ASC, CCEC, CISS, CMBT, CMRE, CTRM, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, ESEA, FRO, GASS, GNK, GSL, IMPP, NMM, NVGS, PANL, PSHG, PXS, SHIP, STNG, TEN, TK, TOPS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)32.20 – 43.30 (Mid 36.93)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 72/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality21.0%85 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality55.0%89 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.3%61 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth1.9%13 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.4x87 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet11.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.3x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation6.5x63 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.6x64 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.3%90 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet93/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth37/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality86/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial90/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation64/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DORIAN LPG LTD. (LPG). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 481.5 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 36.3%; net margin 55.0%; ROE 28.3%; net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.

The estimated value range is 32.20–105.53 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 67.32 USD, the price of 49.43 USD leaves a potential of 36.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 26.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 72/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 21.0%
  • Net margin: 55.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.4x
  • Interest coverage: 11.2x
  • Current ratio: 3.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.3%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 1.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
6.5x
vertical median 10.3x
below median (−36.4%)
EV/EBITDA
5.6x
vertical median 7.5x
below median (−25.1%)
P/S
3.6x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+98.0%)
P/B
1.7x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+57.8%)
ROE
28.3%
vertical median 9.1%
above median (+210.0%)
Net margin
55.0%
vertical median 16.3%
above median (+238.1%)
EBIT margin
57.6%
vertical median 27.0%
above median (+113.4%)
Revenue YoY
36.3%
vertical median -1.2%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.4x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−76.2%)
Dividend yield
6.0%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+184.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FROFrontline plc10.8 bn28.515.6%19.2%−8.8%+106% / +144%
CMBTCmb.tech NV5.4 bn3.849.1%92.6%−23.9%+56% / −5%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.4.4 bn12.111.4%36.7%−24.6%+48% / +57%
TRMDTORM plc3.8 bn13.213.3%21.3%−14.1%+76% / +33%
DHTDht Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn16.819.4%42.4%−12.8%+69% / +121%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.3.4 bn7.111.9%6.9%−18.1%+39% / +306%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.3.1 bn37.33.4%8.1%−17.6%+37% / +28%
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.3.0 bn22.525.0%31.4%−0.4%+130% / +252%
NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.2.5 bn8.6—21.2%+0.8%+57% / +232%
LPGDorian Lpg Ltd.2.1 bn6.528.3%55.0%+36.3%+70% / +30%
SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.1.7 bn—-2.5%-3.6%−18.9%+42% / +3%
CMRECostamare Inc.1.6 bn4.615.9%41.5%−1.2%−14% / +30%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.1.4 bn3.525.5%54.3%+7.8%+14% / +118%
TENTsakos Energy Navigation Limited1.4 bn10.59.1%20.1%−0.7%+91% / +132%
NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd1.3 bn13.98.2%17.1%+3.6%+14% / +40%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.1.2 bn7.312.0%—+62.0%+2% / +57%
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.1.2 bn11.94.8%10.3%−22.2%+38% / +95%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited1.1 bn13.98.9%15.5%−19.1%+31% / +59%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.987.8 m14.37.8%13.4%−5.6%+37% / +98%
ASCArdmore Shipping Corp752.3 m21.06.6%13.2%−23.6%+51% / +36%
HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.719.3 m40.611.2%13.4%+6.7%+72% / +157%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.491.7 m10.111.0%6.7%+17.8%+7% / +7%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd.459.1 m3.333.1%60.1%+7.0%+8% / +172%
GASSStealthgas Inc.308.3 m5.19.2%35.0%+3.5%+21% / +24%
DSXDiana Shipping Inc.276.7 m21.73.5%8.3%−6.4%+21% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LPG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
29.93
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
52.85
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
79.52
Total return 69% · Per year 69%
3 years
30.71
Total return -23% · Per year -8%
60.85
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
100.28
Total return 129% · Per year 32%
5 years
31.51
Total return -12% · Per year -2%
70.06
Total return 79% · Per year 12%
126.47
Total return 205% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 15.21
  • Net margin± 10.65
  • Annual revenue growth± 8.51
  • Annual dilution± 0.89

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE: LPG) owns and operates very large gas carriers that move LPG by sea, with nearly all of its revenue earned through the Helios Pool joint venture. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenues reached $187.9 million amid high freight volatility linked to geopolitical disruption, which keeps the company closely watched by investors.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A relatively young, modern fleet with ECO design, scrubbers and ammonia-capable vessels supports the company's commercial position. In-house commercial and technical management supports service reliability.
  • Participation in the Helios Pool gives better market coverage and access to a large volume of contracts, and recent results show the company's ability to capture spot-market upside. 3
  • The company has reduced debt through prepayments and vessel sales, which could increase its financial flexibility. 2

Weaknesses

  • Near-total dependence on one vessel type and one market, with no diversification into other maritime segments, leaves the company exposed to downturns in the LPG industry. 1
  • Revenue depends heavily on the Helios Pool, where customer concentration could create risk if one of them fails to meet its obligations. 1
  • Exposure to spot rates makes results volatile, and weak quarters can reduce revenue quickly. 1

Opportunities

  • Higher transport demand linked to geopolitical disruption and new trade routes from the United States to Asia and Europe could support rates over the medium term. 1
  • The order for a new dual-fuel 90,000 cbm vessel could extend the modern fleet in the coming years. 2
  • If ammonia cargoes find additional demand, the company's ability to carry ammonia could become an advantage. 1

Threats

  • The delivery of a large wave of newbuildings in coming years could reduce rates and vessel values. 1
  • Environmental regulation and compliance costs could raise expenses and affect results. 1
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade policies could change shipping patterns and affect vessel employment. 1

Risks

  • Single-segment dependencehigh

    All vessels operate in the VLGC segment, so a problem in the LPG industry would have a direct and broad impact on the company. 1

  • Exposure to spot rateshigh

    Vessels are employed mainly through the Helios Pool, which works largely in the spot market, making revenue sensitive to rate swings. 1

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    A small number of customers within the Helios Pool generate most revenue, and failure by any of them to meet obligations could hurt results. 1

  • Debt and restrictive covenantsmedium

    Debt and financing agreements can limit operating flexibility, and a fall in vessel values could breach covenants. 1

  • Currency and interest rate exposurelow

    Revenue is earned in dollars but some expenses are in other currencies, and SOFR movements can affect financing costs. 1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Recent results show that a high-rate environment can produce very large profits, and a relatively modern fleet places the company well to capture that upside. 3
  • The company has shown financial discipline through vessel sales, debt prepayments and regular dividends, which can support investor confidence. 2
  • Participation in the Helios Pool and the new vessel order could strengthen its market position over the long term. 1

What would break the thesis

  • Current profits are tied to a volatile geopolitical environment, and a normalisation of rates could reduce results quickly. 3
  • Concentration in one segment and in the Helios Pool leaves the company vulnerable to shocks in the LPG industry. 1
  • Large deliveries of new vessels in coming years could create oversupply and pressure on rates and vessel values. 1

What to watch

  • Trend in TCE rate per available day and the Baltic LPG indexQ2 2027
  • Quarterly results and company commentary on current-quarter freight ratesQ2 2027
  • Progress of vessel sales and reduction of debtnext 10-K
  • Delivery progress of the new 90,000 cbm vessel and any further orders2029

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Dorian was incorporated in 2013 under the laws of the Marshall Islands, is headquartered in the United States and focuses on owning and operating VLGCs in the LPG shipping industry. As of May 22, 2026 its fleet had twenty-seven vessels, including ECO-design 84,000 cbm ships, a 93,000 cbm VLGC/AC able to carry ammonia, and several time chartered-in vessels. According to the 10-K, commercial management is handled in-house for all vessels and technical management for owned vessels. 1

The company has no diversification outside VLGCs: both its fleet and the Helios Pool depend exclusively on cash flow from LPG transport. Dorian pursues a mix of multi-year time charters, shorter time charters, spot voyages and contracts of affreightment. The pool arrangement with MOL Energia, under which net pool revenues are shared, is the main mechanism through which revenue is generated. 1

In August 2026 Dorian reported record results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, which management attributes to higher transportation demand from geopolitical disruption. The company sold older vessels and prepaid debt, and in June 2026 it ordered a new ship with expected delivery in the third quarter of 2029. 3

Segments

International LPG transportation with VLGCs

The company reports one segment, international LPG transportation, because all vessels serve the same type of customer and share the same operating and regulatory environment. Revenue comes almost entirely from the Helios Pool. 1

Helios Pool (joint venture with MOL Energia)

Helios Pool is a 50/50 joint venture with MOL Energia in which vessels are commercially managed together and net pool revenues are shared by points and on-hire days. In fiscal 2026 the pool generated 99% of total revenues, making it the main driver of results. 1

Market context

The VLGC market is fragmented, with about 129 owners and the top ten holding 41% of the fleet by vessel count. Capacity depends on the existing fleet, newbuilding deliveries and scrapping. Demand is seasonal, with strength typically in the second and third calendar quarters, although this pattern has been less marked in recent years. 1

The Baltic LPG index for the benchmark Ras Tanura-Chiba route averaged $199.694 per metric ton in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, against $63.500 a year earlier, showing a sharp rise in freight levels. Bunker prices rose over the same period, which affects margins. 3

Trends

  • Geopolitical disruption and transport demandtailwind

    Management links the record results to higher transport demand from geopolitical disruption and to high freight volatility that continued into the current quarter. If these conditions persist they could support elevated rates. 3

  • Volatility of spot freightheadwind

    Because the fleet is exposed to spot rates through the Helios Pool, sharp declines in rates would weigh on results. The company notes that spot rates have in the past been affected by seasonality and other fluctuations. 1

  • Fleet renewal and efficiencymixed

    ECO vessels and ships with dual-fuel engines or scrubbers can earn better rates when the cost of more refined fuel exceeds that of less refined fuel. A younger fleet than the global average supports the company's position. 1

Competitive position

The main competitors in VLGC shipping are BW LPG, NYK Line and Petredec. Competition is based on price, vessel position, size, age, condition and charterer acceptability, and Dorian emphasises in-house management and service reliability. 1

The fleet is younger than the global VLGC average, which can help win charterers who want modern tonnage. Some competition also comes from LPG distributors and traders that run their own fleets and compete directly with independent owners. 1

  • BW LPG Ltd.

    One of the largest competitors in the VLGC segment, named in the 10-K.

  • Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (NYK Line)

    Shipping operator named among the largest competitors for VLGC services.

  • Petredec Pte. Ltd.

    Important competitor in VLGC transport, named in company documentation.

  • LPG distributors and traders with their own fleets

    Companies that carry LPG on their own ships and compete with independent owners in the charter market.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report30 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Sept 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement27 Jul 2026
  • Current report16 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Jun 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report27 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Dorian LPG Ltd. · 27 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Dorian LPG Ltd. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Dorian LPG Ltd. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.