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olivLaw · US equity research

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. SBLK

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight · SIC 4412 · Vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

27.20USD−0.37% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. is a global dry bulk shipping company that carries ores, grains, bauxite and other bulk cargoes on international routes. It is in a phase of fleet consolidation, with newbuildings under construction and a possible acquisition of secondhand vessels, in a market cycle that remains volatile. The fleet of 141 vessels totals 14.0 million dwt.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) stock was 27.20 USD (−0.37% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 37.3 on diluted EPS of 0.73 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.10%, beta 0.72, 52-week range 18.09–32.48 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
37.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.73 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
2.68%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.10%
DPS 12m 0.30
Beta (2y)
0.72
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
18.0932.48

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.85 – 30.40
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.10 · band width 12.4%
SMA 50 / 200
29.88 / 26.64
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.60 / -0.47
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−11.8%−1.1%−10.7 pp—
3 months−2.7%−0.5%−2.3 pp—
6 months+1.1%+4.4%−3.3 pp—
Year to date+41.5%+12.3%+29.2 pp—
1 year+51.5%+13.5%+38.0 pp+30.6%
3 years+44.8%+76.4%−31.7 pp+39.6%
5 years+41.1%+63.7%−22.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.8%
02 Mar 2026 → 13 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−62.3%
23 May 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+7.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 86 percentile of its own 7-quarter history (min 3.4, median 12.0, max 88.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue651.6 m821.4 m693.2 m1.4 bn1.4 bn949.3 m1.3 bn1.0 bn
Revenue YoY+96.3%+26.1%−15.6%+105.9%+0.7%−33.9%+33.3%−17.6%
Net income58.4 m-16.2 m9.7 m680.5 m566.0 m173.6 m304.7 m84.2 m
Net income YoYunavailable−127.7%unavailable+6,944.8%−16.8%−69.3%+75.5%−72.4%
Diluted EPS0.76-0.170.106.715.521.752.800.73
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−122.4%unavailable+6,610.0%−17.7%−68.3%+60.0%−73.9%
net %9.0%-2.0%1.4%47.7%39.4%18.3%24.1%8.1%
Free cash flow-159.6 m-258.6 m98.5 m636.9 m744.5 m317.7 m416.1 m211.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
488.5 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.4 bn USD
Total assets
3.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.78x
ROE
3.4%
ROA
2.1%
FCF margin
20.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
949.3 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
238.5 m
2024
383.0 m
2025
136.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
71.3 m
2024
91.8 m
2025
71.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
173.7 m
2024
304.5 m
2025
85.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
183.0 k
2024
-116.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
173.6 m
2024
304.7 m
2025
84.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.75
2024
2.80
2025
0.73

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
98.9 m
2024
108.7 m
2025
115.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.57
2024
2.50
2025
0.30

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
227.5 m
2024
425.1 m
2025
488.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
68.6 m
2024
79.3 m
2025
83.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
62.4 m
2024
78.6 m
2025
51.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
454.4 m
2024
659.0 m
2025
683.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.5 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
359.4 m
2024
399.8 m
2025
383.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.7 bn †
2024
2.5 bn †
2025
2.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
84.0 m
2024
117.6 m
2025
113.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
335.8 m
2024
471.2 m
2025
295.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
18.1 m
2024
55.1 m
2025
84.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
317.7 m ≈
2024
416.1 m ≈
2025
211.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
235.5 m
2024
356.2 m
2025
101.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-595.9 m
2024
-648.2 m
2025
-336.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
158.1 m
2024
277.0 m
2025
34.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
393.1 m
2024
25.3 m
2025
98.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-64.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-72.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-47.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-73.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-49.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
48.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-49.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
41.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
16.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
1.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
295.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
84.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
211.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
251.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
29 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
36.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
3.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
14.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 40 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

27.20 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 19 Mar 2026
verified 439derived 3

Score by group

  • Valuation42
  • Returns77
  • Quality64
  • Balance sheet37
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
3.36
USD per share
Mid
4.92
USD per share
High
7.71
USD per share
Price: 27.20 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -81.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -452.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.78 – 10.12 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E2.78 – 10.12 (Mid 5.32)
    29 companies used · median multiple 7.3x · quartiles 3.8x – 13.9x
    ASC, CCEC, CISS, CMBT, CMRE, CTRM, DAC, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, ESEA, FRO, GASS, GNK, GSL, IMPP, LPG, NMM, NVGS, PANL, PSHG, PXS, SHIP, STNG, TK, TOPS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)3.94 – 5.30 (Mid 4.52)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 40/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality8.1%29 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality251.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.1%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-49.1%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.9x6 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x82 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation37.3x6 (vs peers)15%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.9%86 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.3%61 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns16.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet37/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns77/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation42/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -17.6%; net margin 8.1%; ROE 3.4%.

The estimated value range is 3.36–7.71 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.92 USD, the price of 27.20 USD leaves a potential of -81.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -452.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 40/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 251.8%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • FCF yield: 6.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 16.2%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 8.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -10.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -49.1%
  • Interest coverage: 1.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 37.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.3x
vertical median 8.6x
above median (+333.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.4x
P/S
3.0x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+57.4%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+27.1%)
ROE
3.4%
vertical median 10.8%
below median (−68.3%)
Net margin
8.1%
vertical median 20.2%
below median (−60.1%)
EBIT margin
13.1%
vertical median 27.8%
below median (−52.8%)
Revenue YoY
-17.6%
vertical median -0.4%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.1x
Dividend yield
1.1%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−55.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FROFrontline plc10.8 bn28.515.6%19.2%−8.8%+106% / +144%
CMBTCmb.tech NV5.4 bn3.849.1%92.6%−23.9%+56% / −5%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.4.4 bn12.111.4%36.7%−24.6%+48% / +57%
TRMDTORM plc3.8 bn13.213.3%21.3%−14.1%+76% / +33%
DHTDht Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn16.819.4%42.4%−12.8%+69% / +121%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.3.4 bn7.111.9%6.9%−18.1%+39% / +306%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.3.1 bn37.33.4%8.1%−17.6%+52% / +45%
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.3.0 bn22.525.0%31.4%−0.4%+130% / +252%
DACDanaos Corporation2.8 bn5.713.7%47.4%+2.8%+56% / +117%
NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.2.5 bn8.6—21.2%+0.8%+57% / +232%
LPGDorian Lpg Ltd.2.1 bn6.528.3%55.0%+36.3%+99% / +17%
SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.1.7 bn—-2.5%-3.6%−18.9%+42% / +3%
CMRECostamare Inc.1.6 bn4.615.9%41.5%−1.2%−14% / +30%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.1.4 bn3.525.5%54.3%+7.8%+14% / +118%
NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd1.3 bn13.98.2%17.1%+3.6%+14% / +40%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.1.2 bn7.312.0%—+62.0%+2% / +57%
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.1.2 bn11.94.8%10.3%−22.2%+38% / +95%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited1.1 bn13.98.9%15.5%−19.1%+31% / +59%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.987.8 m14.37.8%13.4%−5.6%+37% / +98%
ASCArdmore Shipping Corp752.3 m21.06.6%13.2%−23.6%+51% / +36%
HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.719.3 m40.611.2%13.4%+6.7%+72% / +157%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.491.7 m10.111.0%6.7%+17.8%+7% / +7%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd.459.1 m3.333.1%60.1%+7.0%+8% / +172%
GASSStealthgas Inc.308.3 m5.19.2%35.0%+3.5%+21% / +24%
DSXDiana Shipping Inc.276.7 m21.73.5%8.3%−6.4%+21% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SBLK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
14.78
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
26.27
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
39.75
Total return 47% · Per year 47%
3 years
11.74
Total return -55% · Per year -23%
23.71
Total return -10% · Per year -3%
39.75
Total return 50% · Per year 14%
5 years
9.32
Total return -63% · Per year -18%
21.40
Total return -17% · Per year -4%
39.75
Total return 53% · Per year 9%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.93
  • Net margin± 4.15
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.75
  • Annual dilution± 0.35

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (09 Oct 2026), 6-K (18 Sept 2026), 6-K (16 Sept 2026), 6-K (15 Sept 2026), 6-K (11 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026).

In brief

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. is a global dry bulk shipping company that carries ores, grains, bauxite and other bulk cargoes on international routes. It is in a phase of fleet consolidation, with newbuildings under construction and a possible acquisition of secondhand vessels, in a market cycle that remains volatile. The fleet of 141 vessels totals 14.0 million dwt 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The fleet is large, relatively modern and fitted with scrubbers on nearly all vessels, giving a fuel cost advantage 1.
  • The company's size allows economies of scale in commercial and technical management and in procurement of fuel and equipment 1.
  • The company has invested in emission reduction technologies and in real-time monitoring of fuel consumption 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends heavily on spot charter rates, which are volatile and hard to predict 1.
  • The fleet includes older vessels, and secondhand acquisitions can lead to higher operating costs and off-hire periods 1.
  • The company relies on third-party or affiliated managers for technical management of the fleet, which can affect operational control 1.

Opportunities

  • If the Diana vessel purchase is completed, fleet capacity would rise and the company could gain further economies of scale 1.
  • Deliveries of new Kamsarmax vessels in 2026 could improve fleet efficiency and attract customers who prefer modern tonnage 1.
  • Rising commodity demand and environmental regulation could favor operators with efficient, properly equipped vessels 1.

Threats

  • A rapid fall in charter rates could significantly reduce revenue and the ability to comply with loan covenants 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and the partial closure of shipping routes could disrupt transport and raise security risks 1.
  • Trade measures and port fees could affect the company's routes and operating costs 1.

Risks

  • Charter rate volatilityhigh

    Results depend on charter rates, which are shaped by external factors and can fall quickly, affecting revenue and the ability to comply with loan covenants 1.

  • Geopolitical risk and navigation securityhigh

    Conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine and attacks on vessels can disrupt routes and raise insurance and security costs 1.

  • Newbuilding and acquisition riskmedium

    Deliveries of new vessels can be delayed, and the proposed secondhand purchase depends on the outcome of a third-party offer, which adds uncertainty 1.

  • Fleet aging and maintenance costsmedium

    Older vessels may require costlier repairs and drydockings, and operating costs could rise 1.

  • Interest rate and financing exposuremedium

    A rise in SOFR could affect earnings and cash flow, and restrictions in financing agreements can limit dividend payments 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the dry bulk market stays above its long-term average, the company could benefit from good rates on its large fleet and from the advantage of scrubber-fitted vessels.
  • Completing the Eagle integration and taking delivery of new vessels could produce economies of scale and a more efficient fleet.
  • If the proposed secondhand purchase is completed, the company could expand capacity without waiting for newbuilding deliveries.

What would break the thesis

  • Charter rates fell in 2025 compared with 2024, and a further decline could significantly reduce profitability, especially for companies exposed to the spot market.
  • Geopolitical tensions and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could raise costs and reduce demand for bulk commodity transport.
  • If the secondhand vessel purchase does not complete or is delayed, growth plans could be affected and costs could rise.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the new Kamsarmax vessels under the Qingdao and Hengli contracts2026
  • Outcome of Diana's offer for Genco and completion of the vessel purchase2026
  • Development of TCE rates and the Baltic Dry Index compared with 2025Q1 2027
  • Effects of Middle East tensions on routes and insurance costsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (09 Oct 2026), 6-K (18 Sept 2026), 6-K (16 Sept 2026), 6-K (15 Sept 2026), 6-K (11 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026).

The business

Star Bulk operates a diversified fleet of dry bulk vessels, from Capesize and Newcastlemax to Supramax, with capacities between 55,569 and 209,537 dwt 1. The company was formed through the merger with Eagle in April 2024, which added 52 Supramax/Ultramax vessels, and the integration is described as substantially completed 1. The sources also mention newbuilding commitments and the proposed purchase of 16 secondhand vessels from Diana, subject to the outcome of Diana's offer for Genco 1.

Revenue is generated through short to medium time charters, voyage charters, contracts of affreightment and pools, depending on market conditions. The company relies largely on the spot market, which exposes it to the cyclicality and volatility of charter rates 1. The time charter equivalent rate was 15,360 USD per day in 2025, compared with 18,392 USD in 2024 1.

The company emphasizes the competitive advantage of vessels fitted with scrubbers, which can burn cheaper high-sulfur fuel, and investments in carbon reduction through voyage optimization systems, energy-saving devices and antifouling paints 1. On governance, the sources describe a majority independent Board and a program to pilot AI applications across processes 1.

Segments

Spot and time charter dry bulk vessels

The company can deploy its vessels on the spot market or on time charters, depending on market conditions. Longer contracts provide more predictable cash flows, while the spot market can lift margins in favorable periods but exposes the company to rate declines 1.

Market context

The dry bulk shipping market remains cyclical. Charter rates for dry bulk vessels declined in 2025 from 2024 levels but were sustained above the 10-year average 1. The Baltic Dry Index fell 4.2% from 2024 but averaged 17.4% above the decade average 1. Elevated commodity demand, the partial closure of the Suez Canal and trade tensions between major economies supported the market in 2025 1.

Market developments depend on commodity demand, the pace of newbuilding deliveries, port congestion and environmental regulation, most of which lie outside the company's control 1. Tensions in the Middle East and restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz could affect routes and demand for dry bulk capacity 1.

Trends

  • Middle East geopolitical tensionsmixed

    The conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran has increased security risks for vessels in the Gulf and led to an effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. If disruption persists, it could affect oil markets and demand for dry bulk vessels 1.

  • Emission and fuel regulationtailwind

    IMO sulfur rules have favored vessels fitted with scrubbers, and companies with equipped fleets could gain a commercial edge as these systems become more common 1.

  • Rising operating and drydocking costsheadwind

    Drydocking expenses rose significantly in 2025, and fleet aging together with secondhand acquisitions could bring higher operating costs and off-hire periods 1.

  • Trade tensions and port feesheadwind

    US trade policy and port fees on China-linked vessels could change shipping routes and raise costs for shipping companies 1.

Competitive position

The sources analyzed do not give the company's market share or a full list of competitors. The 20-F notes, however, that dry bulk operators compete on rates, capacity and the ability to use cheaper fuel, and that larger fleets can benefit from economies of scale 1.

The advantages the company declares include fleet size, fuel efficiency, scrubber coverage and the ability to use economies of scale in commercial and technical management 1. Competition could intensify if new vessels enter the market or if other companies acquire similar assets 1.

  • Genco Shipping & TradingGNK

    Named in the source in connection with the Diana offer, on whose outcome the proposed vessel purchase depends.

  • Diana Shipping

    Seller of the vessels in the proposed purchase agreement, whose completion depends on its offer for Genco.

  • Eagle Bulk Shipping

    Company acquired through the 2024 merger, whose vessel fleet now forms part of the current fleet.

  • Other dry bulk operators

    The source does not name other competitors but notes that operators with conventional vessels compete in the same market.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 19 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 09 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Star Bulk Carriers Corp. · 19 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.