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olivLaw · US equity research

Westlake Corporation WLK

Industrial Organic Chemicals · SIC 2860 · Vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

67.90USD−0.83% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Westlake Corporation is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of housing and infrastructure products and of performance and essential materials, running from ethylene and chlor-alkali through to PVC, polyethylene and epoxy. In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported net sales of $3,271 million and EBITDA of $679 million, as the PEM segment recovered, which makes the company relevant to the current cycle in petrochemicals.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Westlake Corporation (WLK) stock was 67.90 USD (−0.83% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.7 bn USD, dividend yield 3.13%, beta 0.91, 52-week range 56.38–123.39 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.0 bn USD (+5.0% YoY), net income of 6.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.7 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.49 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-5.14%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.13%
DPS 12m 2.12
Beta (2y)
0.91
Volatility (1y) 43%
52-week range
56.38123.39

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
59.15 – 69.97
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.81 · band width 16.8%
SMA 50 / 200
67.52 / 86.68
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.53 / -0.38
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.1%−1.1%+6.2 pp—
3 months−13.8%−0.5%−13.3 pp—
6 months−32.0%+4.4%−36.4 pp—
Year to date−8.2%+12.3%−20.5 pp—
1 year+1.7%+13.5%−11.9 pp−5.5%
3 years−45.1%+76.4%−121.5 pp−26.4%
5 years−31.5%+63.7%−95.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.7%
07 Apr 2026 → 21 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.2%
09 Apr 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.0 bn USD
+5.0% YoY
Net income
6.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
0.2% / 1.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.8 bn2.8 bn3.0 bn2.8 bn2.5 bn2.7 bn3.3 bn3.0 bn
Cost of revenue2.5 bn2.6 bn2.7 bn2.6 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.6 bn2.6 bn
Gross profit328.0 m232.0 m258.0 m236.0 m87.0 m112.0 m652.0 m382.0 m
SG&A226.0 m227.0 m221.0 m228.0 m224.0 m236.0 m253.0 m250.0 m
Operating income66.0 m-32.0 m-109.0 m-766.0 m-671.0 m-172.0 m364.0 m43.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation281.0 m283.0 m295.0 m303.0 m297.0 m284.0 m286.0 m290.0 m
Interest expense39.0 m39.0 m40.0 m41.0 m51.0 m56.0 m55.0 m52.0 m
Pre-tax income96.0 m-34.0 m-125.0 m-775.0 m-663.0 m-190.0 m338.0 m8.0 m
Income tax77.0 m1.0 m6.0 m-3.0 m-130.0 m-33.0 m67.0 m-10.0 m
Net income7.0 m-40.0 m-142.0 m-782.0 m-544.0 m-169.0 m260.0 m6.0 m
Diluted EPS0.05 ≈-0.31-1.11-6.06-4.24 ≈-1.312.010.05
Operating cash flow434.0 m-77.0 m135.0 m ≈182.0 m ≈225.0 m-94.0 m318.0 m ≈395.0 m ≈
Capex285.0 m248.0 m267.0 m ≈239.0 m ≈241.0 m209.0 m207.0 m ≈175.0 m ≈
Dividends paid67.0 m68.0 m68.0 m ≈68.0 m ≈68.0 m68.0 m69.0 m ≈68.0 m ≈
Share repurchases60.0 m30.0 m0 ≈0 ≈33.0 m030.0 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.6 bn8.1 bn7.5 bn11.8 bn15.8 bn12.5 bn12.1 bn11.2 bn
Revenue YoY+7.4%−6.0%−7.6%+57.0%+34.1%−20.6%−3.2%−8.0%
Net income996.0 m421.0 m330.0 m2.0 bn2.2 bn479.0 m602.0 m-1.5 bn
Net income YoY−23.6%−57.7%−21.6%+510.6%+11.5%−78.7%+25.7%−350.5%
Diluted EPS7.623.252.5615.5817.343.704.64-11.70
Diluted EPS YoY−23.8%−57.3%−21.2%+508.6%+11.3%−78.7%+25.4%−352.2%
net %11.5%5.2%4.4%17.1%14.2%3.8%5.0%-13.5%
Free cash flow707.0 m514.0 m772.0 m1.7 bn2.3 bn1.3 bn306.0 m-530.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.7 bn USD
Financial debt
5.6 bn USD
Net debt
2.9 bn USD
Equity
9.3 bn USD
Total assets
20.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.60x
Current ratio
2.24x
ROE
-14.8%
ROA
-7.4%
FCF margin
-4.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.5 bn
2024
12.1 bn
2025
11.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
10.3 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
10.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
813.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
865.0 m
2024
874.0 m
2025
900.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
729.0 m
2024
875.0 m
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.8 bn ≈
2024
2.0 bn ≈
2025
-400.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
165.0 m
2024
159.0 m
2025
171.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
700.0 m
2024
938.0 m
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
178.0 m
2024
291.0 m
2025
-126.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
479.0 m
2024
602.0 m
2025
-1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.70
2024
4.64
2025
-11.70

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
128.6 m
2024
129.2 m
2025
128.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.71
2024
2.05
2025
2.11

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.3 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.6 bn
2024
6.2 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
8.5 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
8.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
910.0 m
2024
820.0 m
2025
743.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
21.0 bn
2024
20.8 bn
2025
20.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
877.0 m
2024
851.0 m
2025
783.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
299.0 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
497.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
10.3 bn
2024
9.7 bn
2025
10.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
10.8 bn
2024
11.0 bn
2025
9.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
465.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
995.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
306.0 m ≈
2025
-530.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.0 bn
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-245.0 m
2024
-650.0 m
2025
530.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
221.0 m
2024
264.0 m
2025
272.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
23.0 m
2024
60.0 m
2025
63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-8.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-280.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-350.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-352.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-273.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
10.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
2,275.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
844.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
832.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
12.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
117.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
12.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
723.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.86
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 24 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

67.90 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-8.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2854derived 206

Score by group

  • Balance sheet27
  • Growth0
  • Quality37
  • Returns33
  • Valuation17

Estimated value range

Low
15.19
USD per share
Mid
17.44
USD per share
High
29.43
USD per share
Price: 67.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -74.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -289.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.66 – 37.29 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA2.66 – 21.58 (Mid 3.07)
    5 companies used · median multiple 5.1x · quartiles 5.0x – 8.4x
    ALTO, GPRE, LYB, MEOH, NEU
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)27.73 – 37.29 (Mid 31.81)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 24/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-2.9%30 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-3.9%47 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.6x14 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.0x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.6x29 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation0.1%2 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.9%55 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns2,275.0%0 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality37/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns33/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation17/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Westlake Corporation (WLK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 11.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -8.0%; net margin -3.9%; ROE -4.9%; net debt/EBITDA 4.6x.

The estimated value range is 15.19–29.43 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 17.44 USD, the price of 67.90 USD leaves a potential of -74.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -289.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 24/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -2.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -10.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.6x
  • Interest coverage: -2.0x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.6x
  • FCF yield: 0.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 2,275.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 13.8x
EV/EBITDA
16.6x
vertical median 8.4x
above median (+97.8%)
P/S
0.8x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−51.5%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−37.7%)
ROE
-4.9%
vertical median 1.3%
below median (−469.4%)
Net margin
-3.9%
vertical median 1.6%
below median (−348.3%)
EBIT margin
-3.8%
vertical median -3.9%
at median
Revenue YoY
-8.0%
vertical median -4.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
4.6x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+317.4%)
Dividend yield
3.1%
vertical median 1.8%
above median (+71.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc22.0 bn122.11.3%1.6%−5.2%+26% / +16%
LYBLyondellbasell Industries N.V.20.4 bn15.611.9%4.1%−9.7%+29% / −34%
WLKWestlake Corporation8.7 bn—-4.9%-3.9%−8.0%+2% / −45%
NEUNewmarket Corporation6.7 bn14.725.3%16.5%−2.2%−5% / +37%
SXTSensient Technologies Corp5.4 bn31.713.7%9.7%+3.5%+29% / +117%
MEOHMethanex Corporation5.0 bn70.16.4%4.0%−3.5%+83% / +53%
REXRex American Resources Corporation1.3 bn10.522.5%20.9%+1.2%+20% / +62%
GPREGreen Plains Inc.957.5 m8.615.4%6.8%−14.9%+32% / −45%
WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LP761.8 m12.9—4.8%+2.7%+14% / −5%
GEVOGevo, Inc.316.5 m—-57.0%-119.9%+849.3%−40% / +13%
ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.271.5 m5.322.2%5.5%−4.9%+37% / +43%
FFFuturefuel Corp.246.5 m—-18.3%-19.9%−60.7%+70% / −5%
CDXSCodexis, Inc.118.3 m—-69.4%-39.6%+18.6%−38% / −54%
LODEComstock Inc.113.3 m—-38.2%-3,680.5%−48.5%−58% / −68%
AMTXAemetis, Inc90.2 m——-27.4%−26.2%−28% / −72%
TANHTantech Holdings Ltd90.1 m—-25.7%-80.9%−10.7%−76% / −100%
LNZALanzaTech Global, Inc.69.2 m0.4146.4%295.7%+12.6%−63% / −99%
SAFXXcf Global, Inc.41.0 m—-246.1%—unavailable−87% / unavailable
TOMZTomi Environmental Solutions, Inc.18.2 m—-168.8%-49.8%−27.2%−6% / −26%
CNEYCn Energy Group. Inc.2.5 m—-11.2%-31.3%−30.2%−65% / −99%
BAKBraskem SA———-14.6%+9.7%−61% / −86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WLK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    Westlake Corporation is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of housing and infrastructure products and of performance and essential materials, running from ethylene and chlor-alkali through to PVC, polyethylene and epoxy. In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported net sales of $3,271 million and EBITDA of $679 million, as the PEM segment recovered, which makes the company relevant to the current cycle in petrochemicals.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Vertical integration across the chain from ethylene and chlor-alkali to finished building products gives flexibility in managing margins 1.
    • A cost advantage in North America from cheaper natural gas and power supports the competitiveness of the PEM segment 2.
    • A portfolio of established brands in siding, stone, roofing and PVC pipe, with an extensive North American distribution network 1.

    Weaknesses

    • High exposure to commodity products sold in competitive markets where price dominates, making margins sensitive to industry cycles 1.
    • Goodwill impairment and plant closure costs in 2025 affected results and showed the vulnerability of some assets in Europe and North America 1.
    • A sizeable debt load could limit financial flexibility if markets weaken, although the company reduced debt in the second quarter of 2026 3.

    Opportunities

    • The acquisition of a PVC and VCM site in Germany could extend the European footprint and bring long-term logistical advantages 2.
    • Demand for water infrastructure and PVC pipe could keep growing if public investment is sustained 3.
    • If Asian feedstock supply stays constrained, North American producers could gain market share in commodity products 2.

    Threats

    • Global overcapacity in PVC, polyethylene, chlor-alkali and epoxy could keep pressure on prices and margins 1.
    • Tariffs, antidumping duties and trade disputes could restrict access to export markets and raise costs 1.
    • Volatility in energy and raw material prices, including from the Middle East conflict, could affect costs and demand 2.

    Risks

    • Petrochemical cyclicalityhigh

      The industry is cyclical, and periods of oversupply could reduce margins or produce operating losses, according to the annual report risk factors 1.

    • Price competition and importshigh

      Low-priced commodity products from Asia and other countries could reduce sales and pressure margins, particularly if imports breach fair trade rules 1.

    • Raw material volatilitymedium

      Costs of raw materials, energy and logistics are volatile, and delays in passing costs on to customers can weigh on profitability 1.

    • International exposure and tariffsmedium

      Global operations face currency, trade barrier and political risks, which could reduce exports and revenues 1.

    • Indebtednessmedium

      The level of debt and covenants in credit agreements could limit the ability to fund investment or respond to a fall in revenue 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the price recovery in PEM holds and the profitability programme meets its targets, quarterly results could stay above earlier-year levels 3.
    • Vertical integration and the North American cost advantage could support steadier margins than competitors that depend on naphtha 2.
    • Volume growth in pipe and fittings, linked to North American infrastructure, could offset weakness in residential construction 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The PEM recovery could prove temporary if Middle East disruption eases and global overcapacity returns 2.
    • If mortgage rates stay high, demand for residential construction could remain weak and affect the HIP segment 1.
    • Antidumping duties and tariffs could reduce US exports of PVC and epoxy, which could limit volumes and margins 1.

    What to watch

    • EBITDA margin trend and average sales prices in the PEM segmentQ3 2026
    • Progress of the three-pillar profitability plan and delivery of the $600 million operating income benefit2027
    • US housing demand, mortgage rates and the NAHB housing starts outlook2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    Westlake operates two principal segments: Housing and Infrastructure Products (HIP), covering siding, trim, stone, roofing, windows, PVC pipe and fittings and compounds, and Performance and Essential Materials (PEM), producing ethylene, PE, chlor-alkali, PVC, VCM and epoxy resins. Integration along the materials chain, from ethylene and chlor-alkali to finished products, is central to the business model 1.

    The company has expanded through acquisitions including Axiall, Boral's North American building products, Hexion's epoxy business and, in January 2026, the ACI/Perplastic Group, which has manufacturing locations including Romania, per source 1. In 2025 Westlake decided to close several North American chlorovinyl units, a styrene plant and the Pernis epoxy units as part of asset optimization.

    Westlake also holds an interest in Westlake Chemical Partners LP, and part of the ethylene used in PEM is supplied by OpCo on a cost-plus basis, which gives the company a cost-advantaged position 1. This integrated structure largely explains the swings in margins between quarters.

    Segments

    Performance and Essential Materials (PEM)

    The PEM segment returned to operating profit in the second quarter of 2026, with net sales of $2,019 million and an improved margin, supported by a 14% higher average sales price year-over-year and the profitability improvement plan 3. Management links part of this to logistical disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, per the executive commentary 3.

    Market context

    The North American housing market remains under pressure from affordability and inflation, but the NAHB outlook points to housing starts stabilising in the coming years, per the annual report 1. Demand for water infrastructure and PVC pipe and fittings is seen as a support over the medium and long term 2.

    Petrochemical markets are cyclical and sensitive to the balance of supply and demand; the Middle East conflict that began in February 2026 created supply constraints and higher costs for naphtha-based producers in Asia, while North American producers with cheaper natural gas gained a competitive edge 2.

    Trends

    • Middle East disruptionmixed

      The Middle East conflict has raised global petrochemical prices and created constraints for naphtha-based producers, supporting prices in Westlake's PEM segment, while also raising logistics and raw material costs for HIP 2.

    • North American natural gas costtailwind

      The cost advantage of North American producers using cheaper natural gas and power could support PEM margins if the cost gap persists, according to the quarterly report 2.

    • Antidumping duties and tariffsheadwind

      Antidumping duties imposed by the EU, the UK and Brazil on US PVC resin, and US duties on Asian epoxy resins, could restrict US exports and reduce demand, while broader tariffs add uncertainty over input costs 1.

    • Infrastructure and housingmixed

      US infrastructure investment, combined with a historic housing shortfall, could support the HIP segment over the long term, while mortgage affordability remains a near-term risk factor 1.

    Competitive position

    In HIP, Westlake competes with producers and fabricators including Associated Materials, CertainTeed, Cornerstone Building Brands, Diamond Plastics, IPEX, JM Eagle, Trex and James Hardie, and in compounds with GEON Performance Solutions and Teknor Apex 1. Competition rests on quality, innovation, service and price.

    In commodity PEM products, competition is dominated by price and by low-cost imports from Asia, and can be intensified by new capacity and by customers integrating backwards 1. Westlake aims to keep cost advantages through integration and geographic positioning.

    • Associated Materials LLC

      Exterior building products maker and competitor in HIP siding and trim 1.

    • Trex Company, Inc.TREX

      Competitor in decking and outdoor products named in source 1.

    • James Hardie

      Maker of fibre cement exterior products and a competitor in HIP named in the annual report 1.

    • JM Eagle Inc.

      PVC pipe producer and direct competitor for pipe and fittings in HIP 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 16 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Westlake Corporation · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Westlake Corporation · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Westlake Corporation · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.