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olivLaw · US equity research

Westlake Chemical Partners LP WLKP

Industrial Organic Chemicals · SIC 2860 · Vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

21.61USD−0.78% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Westlake Chemical Partners LP is a limited partnership holding a minority stake in a US ethylene producer, with nearly all its income coming from contracts with Westlake. It matters now because distributions depend on the long-term sales agreement, which was recently renewed through 2027, and second-quarter 2026 results show a recovery in operating cash flow.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Westlake Chemical Partners LP (WLKP) stock was 21.61 USD (−0.78% on the day), with market capitalisation 761.8 m USD, P/E 12.9, beta 0.27, 52-week range 17.87–23.72 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 314.5 m USD (+1.8% YoY), net income of 16.2 m USD (+10.7% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
761.8 m USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.9
market cap ÷ net income
E/P (TTM)
7.77%
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.27
Volatility (1y) 18%
52-week range
17.8723.72

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
59.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
20.60 – 21.73
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.89 · band width 5.3%
SMA 50 / 200
21.38 / 22.00
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.06 / -0.04
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.9%−1.1%+2.0 pp—
3 months+1.6%−0.5%+2.1 pp—
6 months−7.8%+4.4%−12.2 pp—
Year to date+13.7%+12.3%+1.4 pp—
1 year+16.8%+13.5%+3.3 pp−5.5%
3 years−1.8%+76.4%−78.2 pp−33.8%
5 years−16.7%+63.7%−80.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−12.3%
11 May 2026 → 16 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.8%
20 Apr 2022 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
314.5 m USD
+1.8% YoY
Net income
16.2 m USD
+10.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
5.2% / 30.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue290.1 m237.6 m297.1 m308.9 m323.0 m305.7 m297.1 m314.5 m
Cost of revenue191.5 m183.5 m199.6 m209.5 m226.2 m211.9 m202.3 m210.6 m
Gross profit98.6 m54.1 m97.5 m99.4 m96.8 m93.8 m94.8 m103.9 m
SG&A6.6 m7.5 m6.3 m7.4 m7.1 m7.2 m7.5 m8.3 m
Operating income92.0 m46.6 m91.2 m92.0 m89.8 m86.6 m87.3 m95.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation27.5 m27.1 m32.5 m ≈33.9 m ≈34.6 m34.3 m35.0 m ≈32.2 m ≈
Interest expense5.8 m5.5 m5.9 m5.9 m5.5 m5.1 m5.1 m5.1 m
Pre-tax income87.6 m42.4 m86.0 m86.3 m84.5 m81.8 m82.5 m91.0 m
Income tax202.0 k107.0 k205.0 k42.0 k193.0 k177.0 k178.0 k158.0 k
Net income15.0 m4.9 m14.6 m14.7 m14.5 m14.2 m14.2 m16.2 m
Operating cash flow132.5 m45.8 m9.1 m ≈105.2 m ≈120.4 m110.2 m129.8 m ≈122.2 m ≈
Capex13.5 m16.0 m24.4 m ≈29.7 m ≈8.8 m5.6 m12.5 m ≈11.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.3 bn1.1 bn966.7 m1.2 bn1.6 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY+9.6%−15.1%−11.5%+25.7%+31.1%−25.3%−4.6%+2.7%
Net income49.3 m61.0 m66.2 m82.5 m64.2 m54.3 m62.4 m48.7 m
Net income YoY+1.4%+23.6%+8.5%+24.8%−22.3%−15.4%+14.9%−21.9%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %3.8%5.6%6.8%6.8%4.0%4.6%5.5%4.2%
Free cash flow396.3 m407.1 m336.4 m327.3 m409.6 m405.2 m436.0 m201.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
44.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
unavailable USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.80x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
3.8%
FCF margin
17.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
803.3 m
2024
717.0 m
2025
818.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
387.5 m
2024
418.9 m
2025
347.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
29.8 m
2024
28.5 m
2025
28.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
357.7 m
2024
390.4 m
2025
319.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
110.2 m
2024
111.9 m
2025
128.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
467.9 m ≈
2024
502.3 m ≈
2025
447.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
26.5 m
2024
25.7 m
2025
22.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
335.4 m
2024
370.0 m
2025
299.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
813.0 k
2024
835.0 k
2025
547.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
54.3 m
2024
62.4 m
2025
48.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
58.6 m
2024
58.3 m
2025
44.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 May 2023verified

Inventories
2023
4.4 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
226.2 m
2024
240.9 m
2025
143.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
943.8 m
2024
903.6 m
2025
886.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
5.8 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
5.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2023verified

Current liabilities
2023
56.3 m
2024
55.4 m
2025
51.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
460.6 m
2024
458.6 m
2025
454.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
452.0 m
2024
485.0 m
2025
280.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
46.8 m
2024
49.0 m
2025
78.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
405.2 m ≈
2024
436.0 m ≈
2025
201.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-75.9 m
2024
-89.0 m
2025
31.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-382.2 m
2024
-396.3 m
2025
-325.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-21.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-53.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
31.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
39.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
35.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
input data missing
ROA
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
17.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
482.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
38.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
444.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
750.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
97.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
2 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
761.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
58.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

21.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 761.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
761.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1415derived 130

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
11.62
USD per share
Mid
17.62
USD per share
High
25.45
USD per share
Price: 21.61 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -18.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -22.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.62 – 25.45 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E11.62 – 25.45 (Mid 17.62)
    7 companies used · median multiple 10.5x · quartiles 6.9x – 15.2x
    ALTO, GPRE, LNZA, LYB, NEU, REX, SXT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality4.8%68 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality750.5%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-9.9%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet17.3x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.5x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation12.9x56 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation58.3%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality84/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation75/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Westlake Chemical Partners LP (WLKP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.7%; net margin 4.8%.

The estimated value range is 11.62–25.45 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 17.62 USD, the price of 21.61 USD leaves a potential of -18.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -22.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 750.5%
  • Interest coverage: 17.3x
  • Current ratio: 3.5x
  • FCF yield: 58.3%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -9.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.9x
vertical median 14.7x
below median (−12.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.6x
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−60.8%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.4x
ROE
—
vertical median -1.8%
Net margin
4.8%
vertical median -3.9%
above median
EBIT margin
29.0%
vertical median -4.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
2.7%
vertical median -5.2%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc22.0 bn122.11.3%1.6%−5.2%+26% / +16%
LYBLyondellbasell Industries N.V.20.4 bn15.611.9%4.1%−9.7%+29% / −34%
WLKWestlake Corporation8.7 bn—-4.9%-3.9%−8.0%+2% / −47%
NEUNewmarket Corporation6.7 bn14.725.3%16.5%−2.2%−5% / +37%
SXTSensient Technologies Corp5.4 bn31.713.7%9.7%+3.5%+29% / +117%
MEOHMethanex Corporation5.0 bn70.16.4%4.0%−3.5%+83% / +53%
REXRex American Resources Corporation1.3 bn10.522.5%20.9%+1.2%+20% / +62%
GPREGreen Plains Inc.957.5 m8.615.4%6.8%−14.9%+32% / −45%
WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LP761.8 m12.9—4.8%+2.7%+17% / −2%
GEVOGevo, Inc.316.5 m—-57.0%-119.9%+849.3%−40% / +13%
ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.271.5 m5.322.2%5.5%−4.9%+37% / +43%
FFFuturefuel Corp.246.5 m—-18.3%-19.9%−60.7%+70% / −5%
CDXSCodexis, Inc.118.3 m—-69.4%-39.6%+18.6%−38% / −54%
LODEComstock Inc.113.3 m—-38.2%-3,680.5%−48.5%−58% / −68%
AMTXAemetis, Inc90.2 m——-27.4%−26.2%−28% / −72%
TANHTantech Holdings Ltd90.1 m—-25.7%-80.9%−10.7%−76% / −100%
LNZALanzaTech Global, Inc.69.2 m0.4146.4%295.7%+12.6%−63% / −99%
SAFXXcf Global, Inc.41.0 m—-246.1%—unavailable−87% / unavailable
TOMZTomi Environmental Solutions, Inc.18.2 m—-168.8%-49.8%−27.2%−6% / −26%
CNEYCn Energy Group. Inc.2.5 m—-11.2%-31.3%−30.2%−65% / −99%
BAKBraskem SA———-14.6%+9.7%−61% / −86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WLKP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
11.55
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
20.53
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
31.06
Total return 44% · Per year 44%
3 years
9.17
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
18.53
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
31.06
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
5 years
7.28
Total return -66% · Per year -20%
16.72
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
31.06
Total return 44% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.63
  • Net margin± 3.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.93
  • Annual dilution± 0.27

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Westlake Chemical Partners LP is a limited partnership holding a minority stake in a US ethylene producer, with nearly all its income coming from contracts with Westlake. It matters now because distributions depend on the long-term sales agreement, which was recently renewed through 2027, and second-quarter 2026 results show a recovery in operating cash flow.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Revenue comes from a long-term, cost-plus style contract that covers most of the plants' output.
  • Distributions have been paid consistently for many years, with a long record of consecutive quarterly payouts.
  • Plants sit on long-term leased land in Louisiana and Kentucky with access to ethane within the same industrial area.

Weaknesses

  • The partnership depends almost entirely on one counterparty, Westlake, for both revenue and feedstock.
  • It has no employees and cannot directly influence operating decisions, which are controlled by the general partner.
  • The contractual margin does not cover expansion capital costs, which limits organic growth.

Opportunities

  • Renegotiating the fixed margin in the Westlake contract could improve revenue if market conditions allow.
  • Acquisitions of income-generating assets or a higher stake in OpCo could widen the distribution base.
  • Stronger third-party prices could increase the share of revenue not tied to the contract.

Threats

  • If Westlake fails to meet its purchase obligations, cash flow to the partnership could fall sharply.
  • New capacity in the region could pressure prices in the open ethylene market.
  • Changes in environmental rules or compliance costs could raise operating expenses.

Risks

  • Dependence on Westlakehigh

    Almost all cash flow depends on payments from Westlake under the ethylene sales agreement. If Westlake does not meet its obligations, distributions could be reduced or suspended.

  • Contract renewalhigh

    The current agreements run through December 2027. If they are not renewed or replaced on similar terms, long-term revenue could be affected.

  • Operational disruptionsmedium

    Plant incidents, maintenance shutdowns or force majeure events could reduce volumes and revenue, and Westlake has no obligation to buy during shutdowns.

  • Interest rates and debtmedium

    Variable-rate debt exposes the partnership to rising financing costs, which could reduce cash available for distributions.

  • Partnership structuremedium

    Unitholders have limited voting rights, and the general partner can change distribution policy without their consent.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The contract with Westlake provides a fixed margin and relatively predictable cash flow, which could support quarterly distributions if operations remain stable.
  • Second-quarter 2026 results show operating cash flow recovering from the prior year, and distribution coverage on a trailing twelve-month basis has exceeded 1.00.
  • Extending the revolving credit facilities to 2031 lowers near-term refinancing risk and adds financial flexibility.

What would break the thesis

  • Most revenue depends on one customer, and financial difficulty at Westlake could directly affect distributions.
  • Distribution coverage sits close to the one-times level, leaving little room for cash flow declines.
  • Organic growth is limited because the contractual margin does not fund expansion, and new regional capacity could reduce prices.

What to watch

  • Trailing twelve-month distribution coverage and MLP distributable cash flow trendQ3 2026
  • Progress of negotiations on renewing the contracts beyond December 20272027
  • Third-party ethylene prices and the impact of the Middle East conflict on demandQ3 2026
  • Timing of future scheduled turnarounds and related maintenance spendingnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Westlake Chemical Partners LP is a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene production facilities. Its sole revenue-generating asset is a 22.8% limited partner interest in Westlake Chemical OpCo LP, which owns three ethylene plants with an aggregate annual capacity of approximately 1 billion pounds. The partnership also owns the general partner of OpCo and so controls its operations and cash distribution policy.

Most of OpCo's revenue comes from the Ethylene Sales Agreement with Westlake, under which Westlake buys 95% of planned ethylene output at a fixed margin of 0.10 USD per pound 1. Co-products such as propylene and crude butadiene are sold to third parties, and the feedstock supply agreement is also with Westlake. Both agreements were renewed on October 28, 2025 through December 31, 2027 1.

Segments

Third-party sales

Ethylene and co-product sales to third parties, on a spot or contract basis, are a minor part of revenue but rose in the first half of 2026 compared with the prior year, as third-party ethylene prices were higher 3.

Market context

Ethylene is the world's most widely used petrochemical by volume and feeds polyethylene and PVC used in packaging, construction and transportation 1. The North American market has recently seen capacity additions, which could pressure prices for uncontracted volumes. Ethane costs, linked to natural gas liquids, influence the margin on third-party sales.

In the second quarter of 2026, higher third-party ethylene prices supported results, while the conflict in the Middle East is cited as a factor that could affect global demand for the partnership's products 3.

Trends

  • Higher third-party pricestailwind

    Better prices for ethylene sold to third parties contributed to second-quarter 2026 results and could support margins on volumes not covered by the contract.

  • North American capacity additionsheadwind

    New ethylene capacity completed in the region could lower spot prices, which could limit revenue from third-party sales.

  • Scheduled turnaround cyclemixed

    The Petro 1 turnaround in 2025 lowered maintenance spending in 2026, and spreading future turnarounds could smooth cash flow if no delays occur.

  • Geopolitics and energy costsmixed

    The Middle East conflict and crude oil price moves could change demand and ethane costs, with positive or negative effects on margins.

Competitive position

Structurally the partnership does not compete directly for most of its output, since the bulk is contracted to Westlake. For uncontracted volumes, OpCo competes with other ethylene producers in the US Gulf region and with derivative producers using other feedstock bases.

The reference documents note that North American capacity expansions and ethylene or ethane exports could pressure prices, and that naphtha-based derivatives compete with those based on natural gas liquids 1.

  • Westlake CorporationWLK

    Parent company that controls the general partner, holds 77.2% of OpCo and consumes most of the ethylene produced.

  • US ethane-based ethylene producers

    Petrochemical operators that sell ethylene on the open market and compete for volumes not covered by contract.

  • Naphtha-based ethylene producers

    Producers using petroleum feedstock that can become competitors when ethane prices are high.

  • Asian and Middle Eastern ethylene producers

    Foreign capacity that can influence global ethylene prices and US export flows.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 Apr 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report04 Mar 2026
  • Current report24 Feb 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Westlake Chemical Partners LP · 04 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Westlake Chemical Partners LP · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Westlake Chemical Partners LP · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.