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olivLaw · US equity research

Jack in the Box Inc. JACK

Retail-Eating Places · SIC 5812 · Vertical: Retail-Eating Places (SIC 5812)

14.37USD+8.29% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Jack in the Box Inc. operates and franchises quick-service restaurants under the Jack in the Box brand, with 2,115 units at July 5, 2026, most of them franchised. After selling the Del Taco brand, the company is focused on restoring restaurant performance amid declining same-store sales.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) stock was 14.37 USD (+8.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 275.6 m USD, P/E 8.2 on diluted EPS of -4.24 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.13, 52-week range 9.40–23.52 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 257.7 m USD (−1.8% YoY), net income of 20.1 m USD (−8.6% YoY), diluted EPS 1.03 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
275.6 m USD
shares as of 05 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.2
Diluted EPS TTM -4.24 · TTM to 28 Sept 2025
E/P (TTM)
-29.51%
TTM to 28 Sept 2025
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.13
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
9.4023.52

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
62.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
10.53 – 14.06
above the upper band · %B 1.09 · band width 28.7%
SMA 50 / 200
13.47 / 14.55
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.03 / -0.35
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.3%−1.1%+17.4 pp—
3 months−22.0%−0.5%−21.5 pp—
6 months+5.4%+4.4%+1.0 pp—
Year to date−24.2%+12.3%−36.5 pp—
1 year−14.1%+13.5%−27.6 pp+4.4%
3 years−78.5%+76.4%−154.9 pp−8.3%
5 years−86.0%+63.7%−149.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−60.0%
15 Jan 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−91.0%
09 Nov 2021 → 30 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−32.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 05 Jul 2026

Revenue
257.7 m USD
−1.8% YoY
Net income
20.1 m USD
−8.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.03
−10.4% YoY
net / operating
7.8% / 20.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue365.3 m369.2 m349.3 m265.7 m262.4 m566.1 m254.3 m257.7 m
SG&A37.5 m29.6 m30.0 m28.2 m20.6 m59.7 m26.4 m17.0 m
Operating income54.2 m-102.2 m51.1 m48.3 m48.4 m-185.2 m35.5 m52.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation13.9 m13.8 m13.6 m8.1 m8.7 m29.1 m11.0 m10.5 m
Pre-tax income34.0 m-122.2 m31.0 m28.6 m28.9 m-204.6 m17.3 m33.4 m
Income tax9.0 m83.0 k9.1 m7.9 m6.0 m-49.4 m4.8 m12.3 m
Net income25.0 m-122.3 m21.9 m-142.2 m22.0 m5.8 m10.2 m20.1 m
Diluted EPS1.26-6.261.17 ≈-7.471.150.31 ≈0.531.03
Operating cash flow—45.3 m ≈29.6 m—59.7 m ≈33.7 m——
Capex—18.1 m ≈24.0 m—20.4 m ≈28.0 m—9.6 m ≈
Dividends paid—8.5 m ≈8.3 m—0 ≈0—0 ≈
Share repurchases—15.0 m ≈15.0 m—0 ≈-3.0 k—0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue869.7 m950.1 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn
Revenue YoY−20.7%+9.2%+7.5%+12.0%+28.4%+15.3%−7.2%−6.7%
Net income121.4 m94.4 m89.8 m165.8 m115.8 m130.8 m-36.7 m-80.7 m
Net income YoY−10.3%−22.2%−4.9%+84.7%−30.1%+13.0%−128.0%unavailable
Diluted EPS4.213.623.867.375.456.30-1.87-4.24
Diluted EPS YoY−3.9%−14.0%+6.6%+90.9%−26.1%+15.6%−129.7%unavailable
net %14.0%9.9%8.8%14.5%7.9%7.7%-2.3%-5.5%
Free cash flow66.2 m120.8 m124.0 m160.1 m116.4 m155.0 m-22.4 m74.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Sept 2025

Cash
unavailable USD
Financial debt
29.5 m USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
-938.3 m USD
Total assets
2.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.51x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-3.0%
FCF margin
5.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
172.9 m
2024
143.2 m
2025
149.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
278.8 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
-18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
62.3 m
2024
59.8 m
2025
58.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
341.0 m ≈
2024
142.3 m ≈
2025
40.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025derived

Pre-tax income
2023
189.3 m
2024
-4.3 m
2025
-102.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
58.5 m
2024
32.4 m
2025
-22.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
130.8 m
2024
-36.7 m
2025
-80.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.30
2024
-1.87
2025
-4.24

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
20.8 m
2024
19.6 m
2025
19.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.76
2024
1.76
2025
0.88

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
185.9 m
2024
54.2 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025verified

Inventories
2023
3.9 m
2024
3.9 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
326.0 m
2024
181.3 m
2025
220.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
412.0 m
2024
430.0 m
2025
343.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
330.0 m
2024
161.2 m
2025
136.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
11.3 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
85.0 m
2024
69.5 m
2025
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
30.0 m
2024
35.9 m
2025
29.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
559.6 m
2024
434.3 m
2025
430.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
-718.3 m †
2024
-851.8 m †
2025
-938.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
215.0 m
2024
68.8 m
2025
162.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
60.0 m
2024
91.2 m
2025
88.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
155.0 m ≈
2024
-22.4 m ≈
2025
74.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
42.2 m
2024
-69.4 m
2025
-74.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-207.4 m
2024
-131.2 m
2025
-60.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
35.9 m
2024
34.0 m
2025
16.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
90.0 m
2024
70.0 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-121.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
-3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
FCF margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
162.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
72.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
90.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
267.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
1,168.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
275.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
8.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
FCF yield
32.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.37 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 275.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
275.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 05 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 05 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 05 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 12 Aug 2026
verified 2307derived 209

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
21.73
USD per share
Mid
25.81
USD per share
High
36.32
USD per share
Price: 14.37 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 79.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 44.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.56 – 57.08 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E31.89 – 57.08 (Mid 38.36)
    22 companies used · median multiple 21.8x · quartiles 18.1x – 32.5x
    ARCO, ARMK, BDL, BLMN, CAKE, CBRL, CMG, DRI, EAT, FWRG, GTIM, LOCO, MB, MCD, NATH, PTLO, PZZA, QSR, TXRH, WING, YUM, YUMC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)11.56 – 15.55 (Mid 13.26)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Eating Places (SIC 5812)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality2.4%56 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Quality267.9%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.1%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.2x88 (vs peers)19%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation32.8%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality78/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation94/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

JACK IN THE BOX INC. (JACK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-05.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -6.7%; net margin 2.4%.

The estimated value range is 21.73–36.32 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 25.81 USD, the price of 14.37 USD leaves a potential of 79.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 44.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 267.9%
  • P/E (TTM): 8.2x
  • FCF yield: 32.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.1%
  • Current ratio: 0.6x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Eating Places (SIC 5812) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.2x
vertical median 26.3x
below median (−68.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.9x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−78.3%)
P/B
—
vertical median 3.3x
ROE
—
vertical median 6.8%
Net margin
2.4%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+27.5%)
EBIT margin
-3.5%
vertical median 4.3%
below median (−181.9%)
Revenue YoY
-6.7%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−234.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.3x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 2.1%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MCDMcDONALD’S CORPORATION198.3 bn0.0—31.7%+3.7%−10% / −1%
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.45.4 bn20.9—25.4%+8.8%+9% / +32%
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.44.5 bn32.948.5%10.8%+5.4%+2% / −20%
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.26.1 bn22.555.1%8.8%+9.4%+28% / +47%
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc.24.8 bn18.253.8%20.1%+12.2%+8% / +10%
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.17.0 bn18.317.5%7.8%+4.4%+3% / +15%
ARMKAramark13.8 bn36.711.8%1.9%+6.4%+41% / +87%
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.12.9 bn31.328.1%6.8%+9.4%+12% / +75%
EATBrinker International, Inc.9.2 bn19.4134.7%8.4%+7.9%+43% / +512%
CAVACAVA Group, Inc.7.2 bn109.38.3%4.8%+22.4%+27% / +82%
HDLSuper Hi International Holding Ltd.6.4 bn247.56.9%2.8%+13.4%−46% / unavailable
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated5.8 bn27.441.6%5.2%+4.7%+142% / +268%
WINGWingstop Inc.4.5 bn39.3—16.0%+11.4%−37% / −30%
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.1.6 bn50.26.7%1.0%−4.7%+143% / +5%
ARCOArcos Dorados Holdings Inc.1.5 bn7.033.2%4.5%+4.7%−7% / −39%
SGSweetgreen, Inc.1.1 bn117.93.1%2.0%+0.4%+82% / +25%
BLMNBloomin’ Brands, Inc.939.3 m35.16.7%0.7%+0.1%+55% / −53%
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.833.3 m42.13.1%1.5%+20.3%−27% / −25%
PZZAPapa John’s International, Inc.658.1 m25.1—1.4%−0.3%−52% / −69%
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.501.2 m14.111.8%7.0%+3.6%+51% / +98%
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.448.6 m106.7—0.4%+8.2%+17% / −16%
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.418.2 m21.1—11.8%+9.4%−4% / +56%
PTLOPortillo's Inc.336.8 m29.83.0%1.9%+3.0%+4% / −65%
PLAYDave & Buster’s Entertainment, Inc.305.8 m—-69.7%-4.3%−1.4%−50% / −79%
JACKJack In The Box Inc.275.6 m8.2—2.4%−6.7%−14% / −78%

1- and 3-year price returns: for JACK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
8.10
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
14.36
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
21.68
Total return 51% · Per year 51%
3 years
7.16
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
14.34
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
23.87
Total return 66% · Per year 18%
5 years
6.33
Total return -56% · Per year -15%
14.32
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
26.29
Total return 83% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.59
  • Net margin± 2.51
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.15
  • Annual dilution± 0.21

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Jack in the Box Inc. operates and franchises quick-service restaurants under the Jack in the Box brand, with 2,115 units at July 5, 2026, most of them franchised. After selling the Del Taco brand, the company is focused on restoring restaurant performance amid declining same-store sales 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The brand has solid recognition in the western and southern United States, and a franchise model generates stable royalty and rent revenue 1.
  • The company completed a debt refinancing and prepaid significant tranches, strengthening its financial flexibility 3.
  • The restaurant portfolio is largely franchised, reducing direct exposure to operating costs 1.

Weaknesses

  • Same-store sales have declined steadily, with lower transactions 23.
  • Franchise-level margin has fallen and bad debt has risen 3.
  • Geographic concentration in a few states makes the company vulnerable to regional economic conditions 1.

Opportunities

  • Investment in technology and digital channels could support sales 2.
  • A recovery in franchisee performance could improve returns across the system 3.
  • Sales of real estate could generate gains and reduce debt.

Threats

  • Falling consumer confidence could reduce restaurant traffic 1.
  • Rising commodity and labor costs could compress margins 12.
  • Strong competition and shifting consumer preferences could erode market share 1.

Risks

  • Decline in same-store saleshigh

    Same-store sales have fallen this year, affecting franchise and company restaurant revenue 23.

  • Cost pressurehigh

    Commodity inflation and wage growth could reduce restaurant margins 12.

  • Geographic concentrationmedium

    Most restaurants are in a few states, amplifying the effect of local economic conditions 1.

  • Dependence on franchiseesmedium

    Revenue depends on franchisee financial health, and disputes or unpaid balances could affect results 13.

  • Leadership changelow

    The company is led by an interim chief executive, which could slow execution of its strategy 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the sales recovery is confirmed, restaurant margins could return to better levels 3.
  • The refinancing and early repayments could reduce interest costs and strengthen the balance sheet 3.
  • The franchise model provides recurring revenue, and selective closures could improve system health 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If transactions keep falling, royalty and rent revenue could stay under pressure 23.
  • Persistent commodity inflation could limit the ability to pass costs on to customers 2.
  • Restaurant closures and asset sales could shrink the long-term revenue base 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the adjusted EBITDA and restaurant count guidancefiscal 2026
  • Trend in same-store sales in the coming quartersQ4 2026
  • Franchise-level margin and the level of unpaid franchisee balancesQ4 2026
  • Appointment of a permanent CEO and long-term strategy2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is a restaurant company headquartered in San Diego that operates and franchises the Jack in the Box chain, one of the largest hamburger chains in the United States 1. As of July 5, 2026 there were 2,115 restaurants, mostly franchised 2. Revenue comes from company-operated restaurant sales, rent, royalties calculated as a percentage of sales, franchise fees and franchisee contributions to advertising 12. The company sold the Del Taco brand for 115 million dollars, a transaction completed on December 22, 2025 2.

Segments

Company-operated restaurants

Company-operated restaurants are few, about 149 as of July 5, 2026 23. In the first 40 weeks of fiscal 2026 their sales were roughly flat, but food costs rose under commodity inflation 2.

Franchising and royalties

Most restaurants are franchised, and franchise revenue includes rent, royalties and advertising contributions 12. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 franchise-level margin declined, reflecting lower sales, fewer restaurants and higher bad debt 3.

Market context

The restaurant market is highly competitive, with national and regional chains and some competitors with greater financial resources 1. Demand depends on consumer confidence and disposable income, and the company is concentrated in California and Texas 1. A continued decline in transactions could persist if demand remains weak 2.

Trends

  • Closures under the JACK on Track programmixed

    The restaurant closure program aims to improve system health but reduces the rent and royalty base 3. In the short term it pressures franchise-level margin, although it could support the profitability of remaining franchisees 3.

  • Commodity inflationheadwind

    Inflation in beef, poultry and beverages has raised food costs 2. If pressure persists, margins at company-operated restaurants could remain under strain 3.

  • Debt refinancingtailwind

    The company refinanced securitized debt and prepaid several tranches, which could reduce interest costs 3. The effect depends on cash flow developments.

  • Labor costsheadwind

    Higher wages, especially in California, have raised personnel costs 12. If wage pressure persists, margins could be further affected.

Competitive position

Jack in the Box competes directly and indirectly with many national and regional quick-service chains, with independent restaurants, grocery stores and delivery services 1. Some competitors have greater financial and marketing resources 1.

  • National quick-service chains

    Competitors with greater national name recognition, described in the company's sources without further detail.

  • Regional restaurant chains

    Regional competitors that dominate some local markets, mentioned in the declared risks.

  • Independent restaurants

    Local businesses competing on price and perceived value.

  • Grocery stores and delivery services

    Supermarket delis and delivery services are indirect competitors.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report21 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report12 Aug 2026
  • Current report12 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report23 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Jun 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report13 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-28 · SEC / Jack in the Box Inc. · 19 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-05 · SEC / Jack in the Box Inc. · 12 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Jack in the Box Inc. · 12 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.