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olivLaw · US equity research

Fly-E Group, Inc. FLYE

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies · SIC 3711 · Vertical: Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies (SIC 3711)

1.70USD−1.16% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Fly-E Group is a New York electric vehicle company that designs, installs, sells and rents electric motorcycles, bicycles and scooters under the Fly E-Bike brand. Revenue fell to 19.1 million USD in fiscal 2026, and the company faces lawsuits, an SEC investigation and going-concern doubts, which makes its trajectory worth watching closely.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Fly-E Group, Inc. (FLYE) stock was 1.70 USD (−1.16% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.8 m USD, beta 1.29, 52-week range 1.27–15.79 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 2.7 m USD (−48.4% YoY), net income of -3.9 m USD, diluted EPS -2.41 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.8 m USD
shares as of 01 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -7.94 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-466.99%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.29
Volatility (1y) 212%
52-week range
1.2715.79

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.03 – 3.41
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.28 · band width 107.2%
SMA 50 / 200
1.87 / 2.26
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.06 / 0.02
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+28.8%−1.1%+29.9 pp—
3 months−2.3%−0.5%−1.8 pp—
6 months−11.9%+4.4%−16.3 pp—
Year to date−74.4%+12.3%−86.7 pp—
1 year−76.2%+13.5%−89.7 pp−37.0%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable−54.6%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−92.0%
01 Dec 2025 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.8%
10 Jul 2024 → 07 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
2.7 m USD
−48.4% YoY
Net income
-3.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-2.41
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-143.3% / -128.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue6.8 m5.7 m5.1 m5.3 m3.9 m2.6 m7.2 m2.7 m
Cost of revenue3.9 m3.1 m3.2 m3.1 m2.9 m1.6 m6.8 m2.4 m
Gross profit2.9 m2.6 m1.9 m2.3 m976.5 k1.0 m372.7 k299.9 k
Research & development163.9 k125.3 k114.6 k169.3 k———1.8 m
Operating income-1.2 m-940.3 k-2.3 m-1.5 m-1.0 m-1.6 m-2.3 m-3.5 m
Interest expense23.8 k155.7 k158.1 k546.2 k———191.4 k
Pre-tax income-1.3 m-1.1 m-2.4 m-2.1 m-1.7 m-2.1 m-3.1 m-3.9 m
Income tax-165.9 k-428.2 k857.8 k-50.3 k40.0 k-149.8 k488.8 k89.0 k
Net income-1.1 m-684.5 k-3.3 m-2.0 m-1.8 m-1.9 m-3.5 m-3.9 m
Diluted EPS-4.65-2.78-13.36 ≈-6.00-2.18-1.18-2.17 ≈-2.41
Operating cash flow-4.9 m ≈-1.8 k ≈-645.5 k-5.3 m-2.4 m ≈-6.3 m ≈121.1 k-190.2 k
Capex1.2 m ≈42.4 k ≈15.9 k141.6 k-97.0 k ≈25.2 k ≈4.8 k2.2 k

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2023202420252026
Revenue21.8 m32.2 m25.4 m19.1 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+47.9%−21.0%−25.0%
Net income1.4 m1.9 m-5.3 m-9.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable+37.5%−379.2%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.060.43-21.95-8.38
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+616.7%−5,204.7%unavailable
net %6.3%5.9%-20.8%-48.6%
Free cash flowunavailable3.1 m-11.7 m-13.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
265.2 k USD
Financial debt
6.1 m USD
Net debt
5.8 m USD
Equity
17.4 m USD
Total assets
29.5 m USD
Debt / equity
0.35x
Current ratio
2.47x
ROE
-67.9%
ROA
-29.3%
FCF margin
-73.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
32.2 m
2025
25.4 m
2026
19.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
19.1 m
2025
15.0 m
2026
14.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
13.1 m
2025
10.5 m
2026
4.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Research & development
2024
292.7 k
2025
549.4 k
2026
340.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Operating income
2024
3.3 m
2025
-4.6 m
2026
-6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
152.1 k
2025
405.6 k
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jul 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2024
3.1 m
2025
-5.0 m
2026
-8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Income tax
2024
1.2 m
2025
336.2 k
2026
328.7 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.9 m
2025
-5.3 m
2026
-9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.43
2025
-21.95
2026
-8.38

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
4.4 m
2025
241.1 k
2026
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
1.4 m
2025
840.1 k
2026
265.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Receivables
2024
212.8 k
2025
466.2 k
2026
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Inventories
2024
5.4 m
2025
6.4 m
2026
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Current assets
2024
8.1 m
2025
14.0 m
2026
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
1.8 m
2025
7.3 m
2026
5.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
36.4 k
2025
525.9 k
2026
431.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Total assets
2024
29.0 m
2025
33.7 m
2026
29.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
1.2 m
2025
1.3 m
2026
433.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
1.2 m
2025
5.2 m
2026
94.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
7.8 m
2025
12.7 m
2026
6.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
22.2 m
2025
23.9 m
2026
12.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Equity
2024
6.8 m
2025
9.8 m †
2026
17.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
4.3 m
2025
-10.1 m
2026
-13.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Capex
2024
1.3 m
2025
1.6 m
2026
74.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
3.1 m ≈
2025
-11.7 m ≈
2026
-13.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-3.2 m
2025
-2.9 m
2026
-2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-49.6 k
2025
12.5 m
2026
15.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jul 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-25.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
16.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-51.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-67.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-53.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-82.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-37.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-38.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-46.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
6.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-9.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-8.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
64.8 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-8.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
107 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
105 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
193 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
8.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-467.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-317.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
-0.69
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.70 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-82.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-67.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-25.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 01 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 01 Sept 2026
verified 482derived 40

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies (SIC 3711)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-38.1%36 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-67.9%36 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.3%0 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-9.6x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-317.9%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality36/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FLY-E GROUP, INC. (FLYE). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 19.1 m USD in 2026; YoY growth -25.0%; net margin -67.9%; ROE -82.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.0x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.3%
  • Interest coverage: -9.6x
  • FCF yield: -317.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies (SIC 3711) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 25 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 22.5x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 19.0x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 1.5x
below median (−88.5%)
P/B
0.2x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−90.9%)
ROE
-82.2%
vertical median -4.4%
below median
Net margin
-67.9%
vertical median -17.1%
below median
EBIT margin
-51.4%
vertical median -21.6%
below median
Revenue YoY
-25.0%
vertical median -0.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.5x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TSLATesla, Inc.1,522.6 bn424.63.8%3.1%−2.9%−10% / +60%
GMGeneral Motors Company78.0 bn20.66.1%2.1%−1.3%+26% / +192%
PCARPACCAR Inc55.9 bn20.213.7%9.5%−15.5%+1% / +16%
LILi Auto Inc.23.5 bn144.81.6%1.0%−18.8%−37% / −69%
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.20.5 bn—-55.0%-45.9%+8.4%−17% / −16%
OSKOshkosh Corporation8.7 bn17.511.0%4.6%−2.9%+12% / +47%
NIONIO Inc.8.2 bn—-302.6%-17.1%+38.9%−40% / −55%
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.7.8 bn——-175.5%+54.7%+2% / −61%
FSSFederal Signal Corporation7.2 bn24.520.5%11.7%+17.1%+3% / +71%
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.1.3 bn—-571.4%-249.2%+67.6%−75% / −92%
LOTLotus Technology Inc.217.2 m——-89.4%−43.8%−75% / −97%
NIUNiu Technologies115.3 m—-4.4%-0.9%+36.7%−49% / −24%
GGRGogoro Inc.45.7 m—-56.2%-28.4%−9.4%−23% / −94%
WKHSWorkhorse Group Inc.36.2 m——-301.5%+201.1%−69% / −100%
DCXDigital Currency X Technology Inc.21.5 m——-434.9%−27.1%−100% / −100%
FFAIFaraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.12.2 m—-2,030.5%-21,838.0%−0.6%−100% / −100%
FLYEFly-E Group, Inc.2.8 m—-82.2%-67.9%−25.0%−76% / unavailable
CENNCenntro Inc.434.8 k—-126.6%-423.9%−42.2%−98% / −100%
FFord Motor Co——-18.4%-4.2%+1.2%−5% / +23%
XPEVXpeng Inc.——-7.9%-46.7%unavailable−55% / −41%
HMCHonda Motor Co., Ltd.——6.7%3.9%+6.2%+16% / +15%
RACEFerrari N.V.——42.9%22.3%+7.0%+10% / +20%
STLAStellantis N.V.——-33.0%-14.5%−2.1%−56% / −79%
TMToyota Motor Corp——13.6%9.9%+6.5%−1% / +5%
AIIORobo.ai Inc.———-17,614.9%−92.1%−96% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FLYE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Fly-E Group is a New York electric vehicle company that designs, installs, sells and rents electric motorcycles, bicycles and scooters under the Fly E-Bike brand. Revenue fell to 19.1 million USD in fiscal 2026, and the company faces lawsuits, an SEC investigation and going-concern doubts, which makes its trajectory worth watching closely.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has an early presence and market knowledge in New York, a store network and a brand known among food delivery workers.
    • The product range is diversified across motorcycles, bicycles and scooters, with features aimed at urban riders.
    • Gross margins have held up well, supported by lower battery costs, which points to some discipline in purchasing.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue has fallen repeatedly, and a net loss was recorded in fiscal 2025 after a profit in the prior year.
    • The company depends on a small number of suppliers in China without long-term contracts, which raises supply chain vulnerability.
    • The annual report flags substantial doubt about the ability to continue as a going concern and material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting.

    Opportunities

    • Municipal replacement programs and the expansion of rental services could support demand for certified models.
    • Developing digital apps and the ERP system could improve customer and fleet management if widely adopted.
    • Expansion to other cities and abroad, cited as a management goal, could diversify revenue sources.

    Threats

    • Securities class actions and derivative suits could generate large costs and distract management if outcomes go against the company.
    • The SEC investigation notified in January 2026 could have unclear consequences for reputation and operations depending on its outcome.
    • Tariffs and lithium battery incidents could reduce demand and raise costs, hitting margins and liquidity.

    Risks

    • Product liabilityhigh

      Battery defects could lead to injuries, damage and liability claims, affecting reputation and sales, and adequate insurance cannot be assured.

    • Securities class and derivative actionshigh

      The class action filed in September 2025 and the derivative suits filed in October and November 2025 could result in significant damages, and the outcome cannot yet be estimated.

    • Going concernhigh

      The annual report includes a warning about the company's ability to continue operating, which could limit access to financing if revenue does not improve.

    • China supply chainmedium

      Dependence on a few principal vendors and the lack of long-term contracts could delay production if suppliers cannot deliver components on time.

    • Nasdaq listingmedium

      Late filings triggered Nasdaq deficiency notices; the company says it has regained compliance, but the risk of delisting has not fully disappeared.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If municipal replacement programs and rental services lift demand, the company could recover part of the lost volume and benefit from gross margins that have already held up.
    • A broad product range and a recognized presence in New York could support expansion into other cities if execution is sound.
    • Funding raised through the 2025 share issuances could provide resources for inventory, production and digital investment.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue has fallen repeatedly, and losses and going-concern doubts could push the company toward further share issuances, diluting shareholders.
    • The class action, derivative suits and SEC investigation could generate costs and distraction if outcomes are unfavorable.
    • Dependence on components from China and trade tensions could reduce margins if tariffs rise or supply is interrupted.

    What to watch

    • Trend in revenue and gross margin in the quarterly reportQ2 2027
    • Status of the class action and derivative suits after the response to the amended complaint2027
    • Outcome of the SEC investigation and any implications for financial reportingnext 10-K
    • Nasdaq compliance status and any new deficiency noticesQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company began in 2018 with a store in New York and grew into one of the leading providers of e-bikes for food delivery workers in New York City. As of July 2026 it had 4 U.S. stores, rental services in New York, Boston and Los Angeles, and an online store. Retail, wholesale and rental are its three revenue sources, and revenue fell from 25.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 to 19.1 million USD in fiscal 2026 13.

    The range includes 27 e-motorcycle, 37 e-bike and 38 e-scooter products as of the annual report date 1. Delivery-focused e-bikes feature longer battery life, a stable backseat for a basket and a battery swap system that takes about a minute at any store. Assembly takes place in one facility in Maspeth, New York, using components sourced mainly from China and the United States 1.

    The company simplified its structure by disposing of several subsidiaries to reduce administrative complexity. Over the recent period it also carried out two reverse stock splits in 2025 and a registered direct offering, which substantially changed its capital structure 1.

    Segments

    Wholesale

    Wholesale revenue to partners rose in fiscal 2026 to 11.6 million USD, suggesting a shift in the sales model toward external partners 1.

    Rentals

    The e-bike rental service, launched in October 2024 and available in New York City and Los Angeles through the Go Fly app, added a small amount of 0.6 million USD in fiscal 2026 1.

    Market context

    The U.S. urban electric vehicle market, especially e-bikes and e-scooters, depends on consumer adoption and local rules, including battery safety regulation. Fly-E focuses on New York, where delivery workers are an important segment, and 2025 sales were hit by lithium-battery incidents that reduced units sold to 58,765 from 69,611 in the prior year 3.

    New York City's trade-in program for unsafe e-bikes, launched with a 2 million USD budget, opened an opportunity for certified models, but regulation and safety pressure remain decisive for demand 1.

    Trends

    • Lithium battery safetyheadwind

      Battery incidents in New York reduced customers' willingness to buy e-bikes, and the company attributed lower sales to these accidents. If safety standards and certifications become stricter, the company could need extra investment but may also regain confidence.

    • Municipal replacement programstailwind

      The New York City trade-in program for delivery workers offers potential demand for certified models such as the Fly-11 PRO, which participates in the program.

    • US-China trade tensionsheadwind

      The company relies largely on components from China, and tariffs and trade restrictions could raise costs and cut margins if alternative sources are not found.

    • Digital servicesmixed

      The Go Fly and Fly E-Bike apps and the ERP system were in development and could support rentals and fleet management if completed and adopted by customers.

    Competitive position

    Fly-E operates in a young and fast-changing market where competition is intense, and the company acknowledges its brand recognition is relatively weak. The primary sources do not name competitors, so the analysis is limited to the pressure factors described in the annual report 1.

    The company's stated advantages are its reputation built in New York, its broad model range and better prices from battery suppliers, which supported a gross margin of 41.1% in fiscal 2025 3.

    • Local e-bike manufacturers and distributors

      Unnamed competitors in the same urban and delivery segments, not identified by ticker in the primary sources.

    • Electric motorcycle makers

      Competitors in the e-motorcycle segment, mentioned generically in the annual report without specific names in the sources.

    • Gasoline-powered vehicles

      Customers may choose gasoline vehicles over electric ones, an indirect competitor noted in the results release.

    • Urban vehicle rental platforms

      Rental operators competing with the Go Fly service in New York, Los Angeles and Boston, not named in the primary sources.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Fly-E Group, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Fly-E Group, Inc. · 01 Sept 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Fly-E Group, Inc. · 16 Jul 2025

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.